Indy Colts 10 Over W's +120

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Just got this on matchbook at +120, can't believe I'm getting a price.

I think the Dungy loss is overrated because their defensive scheme is pretty simple and mostly feeds off the offense.

This team won 12 games last year (albiet several close 1's) with Manning barely being able to walk the first month, Marvin Harrison's corpse out there and Bob Sanders only playing 6 games (sure he could miss a lot this year but still.) They lost no major contributors from last years team and their OL and PManning are gonna start the year much healthier than in the past. Gonzalez starting full-time will be a huge upgrade over Harrison last year, Dungy clearly started Harrison out of loyalty and because of his big paycheck which you can't really fault him for, +the team was winning but obviously in the playoffs vs SD Manning was feeding Gonzalez and he looks like the next Colts offensive star.

Also like the upgrade at RB from the always reliable Dominic Rhodes to D Brown.

Breaking down their schedule...

Toughest game looks to be NE, but atleast it is @home for them. Tennessee is a formidable opponent but they did lose Haynesworth and thats a big blow to their D.

The miami game week 2 is at night, which takes away the humidity factor that gives Miami an edge in home games in September. @Buffalo in early January is a big break for Indy since it isn't even really going to be a road game in Toronto, much better than playing in fthe freezing temps of Buffalo or heavy wind.

Colts also play the pathetic NFC West and AFC East which is below average besides NE. Houston looks like they might be OK this year but if they couldn't beat Indy last year after the Colts spotted them 17 with 4 minutes to go, gotta like Indy there...

Thoughts?
 

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i've had my eyes on this for a while now too. at + money i like it even more obv., thegreek has it at 10.5 at +150, even though buying off the 10 win wise is somewhat significant, i might end up putting some on the 10.5 at thegreek too.
 

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Show us how much you put on it and maybe we can give you a Barry Horowitz (1980's WWF reference)
 

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I'm not big on back pats, so how about this? :spanker:

Nice play dude it looks great!
 

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