Indiana 9-11-2018

[Prof_Factor]

Will be posting Indiana picks to this thread shortly.
Until then, here's my jockey report for said track.

                                Prof Report     
                             - Short version -  
                            Jockey Reports for IND
                            61 riders last 30 days
                                 09-11-2018
                            ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
   JOCKEY                  DIRT          TURF          OVERALL
BERMUDEZ, SAMUEL         7 / 37 =19%   1 / 11 = 9%   8 / 48 =17%
PEREZ, EDUARDO           8 / 30 =27%   0 / 8 = 0%    8 / 38 =21%
DE LA CRUZ, FERNANDO     14 / 62 =23%  1 / 20 = 5%   15 / 82 =18%
CASTANON, JESUS          5 / 37 =14%   4 / 14 =29%   9 / 51 =18%

   JOCKEY                DIRT SPRINT  DIRT ROUTE   TURF SPRINT  TURF ROUTE
BERMUDEZ, SAMUEL         4 / 23 =17%  3 / 14 =21%  1 / 2 =50%   0 / 9 = 0%
PARKER, DESHAWN          4 / 38 =11%  4 / 21 =19%  2 / 6 =33%   3 / 15 =20%
PEREZ, EDUARDO           6 / 19 =32%  2 / 11 =18%  0 / 2 = 0%   0 / 6 = 0%
PEDROZA, MARCELINO       7 / 44 =16%  2 / 22 = 9%  1 / 6 =17%   3 / 12 =25%
CANCHARI, ALEX           3 / 21 =14%  2 / 11 =18%  0 / 4 = 0%   0 / 5 = 0%
DE LA CRUZ, FERNANDO     8 / 37 =22%  6 / 25 =24%  0 / 5 = 0%   1 / 15 = 7%
PRESCOTT, RODNEY         4 / 35 =11%  4 / 24 =17%  0 / 7 = 0%   2 / 14 =14%
CASTANON, JESUS          2 / 19 =11%  3 / 18 =17%  2 / 6 =33%   2 / 8 =25%
RIQUELME, JOSE           4 / 16 =25%  0 / 7 = 0%   0 / 2 = 0%   0 / 4 = 0%
 
   JOCKEY                FAVS WIN%    FAVS OFF%    <4:5 WIN%       ITM%
PARKER, DESHAWN          7 / 12 =58%  3 / 12 =25%  3 / 4 =75%   32 / 80 =40%
PEREZ, EDUARDO           3 / 6 =50%   1 / 6 =17%   2 / 2 =%100% 17 / 38 =45%
PEDROZA, MARCELINO       7 / 19 =37%  5 / 19 =26%  4 / 6 =67%   38 / 84 =45%
CANCHARI, ALEX           3 / 6 =50%   3 / 6 =50%   3 / 3 =%100% 21 / 41 =51%
CASTANON, JESUS          1 / 2 =50%                1 / 1 =%100% 25 / 51 =49%
MORALES, EDGAR                                                  7 / 13 =54%
 
LONGSHOT WINNERS (19-1 or more)
 815 BERMUDEZ, SAMUEL 41.4 ......... LEONARD, III, GEORGE (MARK FOR GOOD)   8 DIRT
 818 MORENO, ANGEL 35.3 ............ GRANITZ, ANTHONY (GIVEN FAVORITE)   8 DIRT
 824 BRACHO, RICHARD 24 ............ DURAN, ANTONIO (FRAN'S SALSA)   5.5 DIRT
 901 MORENO, ANGEL 49.6 ............ RAPER, RON (FORGET I'M A LADY)   7.5 TURF
 901 PUSAC, ALBERTO 20.4 ........... GARCIA, GENARO (THIRTEEN ROSES)   5.5 DIRT
 906 DE LA CRUZ, FERNANDO 65.5 ..... HARAN, JOHN (NIECE JACKIE DAVIS)   6 DIRT
 907 BRACHO, RICHARD 33.3 .......... HOLDEN, JAY (SLICKLY DONE)   8 TURF

 
   JOCKEY                SHOTS ON BOARD (14-1 or more)
PARKER, DESHAWN          3 / 13 =23%
PEREZ, EDUARDO           3 / 10 =30%
PEDROZA, MARCELINO       3 / 13 =23%
PUSAC, ALBERTO           2 / 17 =12%
MORENO, ANGEL            2 / 8 =25%
DE LA CRUZ, FERNANDO     4 / 18 =22%
PRESCOTT, RODNEY         4 / 19 =21%
SANJUR, SANTO            3 / 22 =14%
BRACHO, RICHARD          4 / 16 =25%
CASTANON, JESUS          3 / 9 =33%
FRANKLIN, MALCOLM        2 / 20 =10%
 
                         - WINNING STYLES -
   JOCKEY                FR  PP  ST  CL  DC
BERMUDEZ, SAMUEL         4   2   2   0   0 
PARKER, DESHAWN          3   7   3   0   0 
PEREZ, EDUARDO           2   1   1   3   1 
PEDROZA, MARCELINO       6   3   2   2   0 
CANCHARI, ALEX           2   1   1   1   0 
PUSAC, ALBERTO           0   0   1   2   0 
MORENO, ANGEL            2   0   0   0   0 
DE LA CRUZ, FERNANDO     10  5   0   0   0 
PRESCOTT, RODNEY         6   2   2   0   0 
SANJUR, SANTO            2   0   1   1   0 
BRACHO, RICHARD          1   1   0   1   0 
CASTANON, JESUS          5   1   2   1   0 
MORALES, EDGAR           1   0   1   0   0 
FRANKLIN, MALCOLM        2   0   0   0   0 
RIQUELME, JOSE           3   1   0   0   0 
  TOTAL                  49  24  16  11  1

 

[Prof_Factor]

Indiana 9-11-2018

Last post was a solid 4 for 8 day.
Track has been displaying strong middle/in post position bias on dirt, so that's something to keep an eye on.


race #1 - 6f
... looks to be an evenly matched field. Fav is on the rail so will look for a price.
#3 9-2 PROMPTED - might be speed of the speed
#6 15-1 BENTEN - jock+
#1 9-5 PAISLEY - logical but will need to be tractable and hasn't shown that ability

race #2 - 6f
... 2yo MSW with mostly first timers
#6 5-2 EVIL GENIUS - connection hi%
#3 5-1 WORKAHOLIC - popped and stopped at ELP ... Villasana sticks. If you don't know the jock, you should. Prone to $$ setups.
#2 1-1 STEALING SUNSHINE - Cox generally sends ready

race #3 - 8f turf
... turf race with no pace.
#2 6-1 AMERICAN AMAZON
#6 4-1 BLESS THE RAINS
#7 8-5 BRENDA'S FEVER

race #4 - 8f
#2 5-2 MIA VALENTINA - logical
#3 8-1 CHEVY TO THE LEVY - wire threat
#5 8-1 EASY ATTITUDE
#7 30-1 BAR RAG - exotic booster, 10lb bug from MTH tries IND ... first mount of 3 on the card

... rest to follow shortly ...

 

[Prof_Factor]

race #5 - 5f
... race fell apart off turf.
#8 8-1 MAJESTIC MIST
#4 12-1 ORBELINA
#9 12-1 FUERZA - when you just can't cut it in California, go to Indiana? Ortiz runner should be live

race #6 - 6f
... we're going 6f today ... not 5. These are 2 year olds ...
#5 3-1 MAX EXPRESS - good finish in last
#1A 12-1 SOLITAIRE GAME - add lasix, blinks, and jock, for 2nd time out. Improvement possible? Hell yes.
#4 6-1 COMFORT ME NOW - good finish in last

race #7 - 8f
#10 9-5 LUCY'S REVENGE
#1 4-1 COUNCIL RULES
#5 20-1 LADY CLEOPATRA

race #8 - 8f
... cheap MCL route race without pace, so anything is possible when the jocks all sit on a merry-go-round.
#6 5-2 MAGNUM - most logical, in my book anyways
#4 12-1 TWO STEPS - looks solid and should be prominent throughout
#7 20-1 PASA FUERTE - second start with a real jock ... lets give a shot.
#10 8-5 ANALYTICAL JUSTICE - jock likely too stupid to know he can't take back in a paceless race from post 10 going flat mile .... watch him do exactly that.


FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
Good luck to all!

 

[Lt1]

Good luck Prof:toast:

 

[Prof_Factor]

Good luck Prof:toast:

Thanks, Lt. Same to you.

 

[Baldheadedprick]

Prof the information you share is great, I for one appreciate it... best of luck today

Lest not forget what day it is 9/11 Take a moment to remember those who perished that day