THE SPORTS ADVISORS
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Toronto (42-39) at N.Y. Yankees (46-33)
The Blue Jays trot out ace right-hander Roy Halladay (10-2, 2.56 ERA) to face struggling righty Chien-Ming Wang (1-6, 10.06) and the Yankees in the second game of a four-game series at Yankee Stadium.
New York rode the arm of A.J. Burnett to a 4-2 victory in Friday’s series opener, with the right-hander allowing two runs on six hits and two walks in seven innings, with seven strikeouts. The Yankees have won eight of their last nine and are on further upticks of 6-0 against right-handers, 6-1 against winning teams and 17-8 in the Bronx.
On the flip side, Toronto is on slides of 1-5 overall, 1-4 against winning teams, 0-4 on Saturday and 3-11 inside the A.L. East, but they are on a 5-1 surge on the road against winning teams.
New York is 3-1 this season against Toronto, after going 8-9 against the Jays last year, and the Yanks are 5-2 in Wang’s last seven home starts against Toronto. But with Halladay on the hill, the Blue Jays are on rolls in this rivalry of 21-7 overall and 10-4 at Yankee Stadium.
Toronto had won seven of nine behind Halladay before losing in his last two starts. On Monday at home against Tampa Bay, Halladay allowed two runs on five hits and two walks in six innings, but his teammates didn’t put up a run until the eighth inning of a 4-1 loss. Halladay is 4-0 with a solid 1.88 ERA in six road starts this year, and he’s 16-5 with a 2.79 ERA in 33 lifetime appearances (31 starts) against the Pinstripes. On May 12, he allowed just one run on five hits, with no walks and five strikeouts, in a complete-game 5-1 home win over New York.
With Halladay starting, Toronto is on runs of 89-43 overall, 13-6 on the road, 4-1 against winning teams and 45-18 in division play.
Wang finally notched his first win of the season last Sunday, yielding two runs on four hits and three walks in 5 1/3 innings of a 4-2 road win against the Mets. The 29-year-old is 0-2 with a whopping 11.57 ERA in four home appearances (three starts) this year, and he’s 4-2 with a 4.63 ERA in nine career starts against Toronto.
New York is 48-23 in Wang’s last 71 starts and 39-16 in his last 55 home outings, but the Mets are on slides behind the right-hander of 1-4 in division play and 2-8 with Wang an underdog.
The under for Toronto is on runs of 6-0-1 overall, 21-8 in the A.L. East and 12-5 on the road, but with Halladay starting, the over is on streaks of 17-6 overall, 8-3 against winning teams, 8-3 in division contests and 7-3 on the road. Likewise, with Wang starting for New York, the over is on rolls of 9-4-1 overall, 11-4-2 against winning teams and 5-1 at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TORONTO and OVER
NATIONAL LEAGUE
N.Y. Mets (39-40) at Philadelphia (40-37)
The Phillies send veteran left-hander Jamie Moyer (6-6, 2.05 ERA) to the mound at Citizens Bank Park for the second game of a three-game weekend set with the N.L. East rival Mets, who will counter with right-hander Fernando Nieve (3-1, 2.25).
In Friday’s opener, Philadelphia rolled to a 7-2 victory, putting up all seven runs over the first three innings and coasting from there. The Phillies, though, are still a dismal 14-22 at home this season and are on a number of negative streaks, including 4-12 overall, 2-9 as a favorite, 1-6 at home and 6-16 at home against righties.
New York is 13-7 in its last 20 division contests, but is otherwise on slides of 2-6 overall, 1-6 against winning teams and 1-4 on Saturdays.
The Mets went 4-1 in their first five games of the year against the Phillies, but Philadelphia has rebounded to win the last three in row in this rivalry, and the Phils are 4-1 in Moyer’s last five starts against New York.
Philadelphia has won in three of Moyer’s last four starts, including a 5-4 victory Sunday at Toronto, where the 46-year-old allowed four runs on five hits (three homers) and two walks in just five innings, yet still got the winning decision. Moyer is 2-4 with an inflated 7.15 ERA in seven home starts this season, and he’s 7-5 with a more respectable 3.66 ERA in 20 career starts against the Mets.
However, in back-to-back starts against New York in May -- one at home, one on the road -- he allowed 12 earned runs on 14 hits and six walks in just eight total innings. On May 7 at New York, he got pelted for seven runs on seven hits and two walks in just 2 1/3 innings of a 7-5 loss. Despite those negatives, the Phils are 32-11 in Moyer’s last 43 starts against N.L. East foes.
Nieve won his first three starts of the year, getting plenty of support as the Mets pushed 22 runs across while Nieve allowed just three runs over 18 2/3 innings (1.44 ERA). However, in his last outing, Nieve got roughed up for three runs on 11 hits and a walk in just 3 1/3 innings Monday during a 10-6 loss at Milwaukee. Nieve is 1-1 with a 3.75 ERA in three outings (two starts) on the road this year, and though he’s only pitched 1 1/3 career innings against the Phillies (over five relief appearances), he’s 0-1 with an astronomical 33.75 ERA against them.
The under is on a 12-5-1 roll with the Phils a home chalk and is 7-1 for Philadelphia behind Moyer. The under is also on a 6-2 run for New York in division play. But in this rivalry, the over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings at Citizens Bank Park.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA