IN MLB 50% to 15%, what the hell am I talking about?

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May 31, 2006
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here's a cool little chart I found that might help with in-game betting or something...

This is how many runs you can expect to be scored in that inning in each situation. Data taken from seasons 99-02:

Code:
	0 Out	1 Out	2 Out
Empty	0.555	0.297	0.117
1st	0.953	0.573	0.251
2nd	1.189	0.725	0.344
3rd	1.482	0.983	0.387
1st+2nd	1.573	0.971	0.466
1st+3rd	1.904	1.243	0.538
2nd+3rd	2.052	1.467	0.634
Loaded	2.417	1.650	0.815

just a disclaimer...most of the stats I dish out I calculated myself, but I just found this, so don't blame me if it's wrong for some reason:think2:
 

WVU

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nice chart goodcall. You seem to have a good handle on statistical gambling
 

Raising 4 girls!
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Nice chart, goodcall. Of course, we still gripe when our team has a bases-loaded (or 2nd & 3rd) scenario with ZERO outs then only manage one run via SF or a GIDP RBI then right away, the outs add up to the miserable 3 outs.

So we get 1 run, but we feel that we blew it anyway.

"2nd+3rd 2.052 (0 outs)"

How many times we see a lead-off walk & then a double to make it a 2nd & 3rd with zero outs, and end up with no runs or just 1 mere run? That's what I think many teams have trouble with these days...

* CalvinTy
 

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