IVAN HAS BEEN SLOWLY GAINING LATITUDE
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS...AND THE LAST TWO RECON FIX POSITIONS
SUGGEST THAT IVAN MAY BE MOVING AT 295 DEGREES. DROPSONDE DATA FROM
THE 00Z SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE FLIGHTS AROUND IVAN HAS RESULTED IN
TIGHT AGREEMENT AMONG ALL OF THE AVAILABLE NHC MODELS THROUGH 60
HOURS...ON IVAN MOVING OVER OR AT LEAST VERY NEAR JAMAICA IN 36-48
HOURS. AFTER THAT...THE MODELS DIVERGE CONSIDERABLY...ALTHOUGH THE
SPREAD IS MUCH LESS THAN IT HAS BEEN OVER THE PREVIOUS 2-3 DAYS.
UNFORTUNATELY...THE MODEL SPREAD STILL BRACKETS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.