Looking forward to your plays Tate........have you ever entered the Hilton contest?
no,, I will probably do so next year,,,
this year is all about building up and locking in bankroll,, no chasing,,, straight betting,, I had some TIME issues getting all of my bets in here during the NBA playoffs,,, that should NOT be the case with preseason or reg season NFL,,, Enfuego was upset with me, and considers me a liar,,, soooo,, lol,,, in the most immortal words of every sports better on every sports site,,,
follow or Fade,,,
I wish luck to everyone,,,
I will be tracking all of my plays at wagerline you can find me there too at tatehill2001(I think I can win some of the tournaments there)
cheers
this year is all about building up and locking in bankroll,, no chasing,,, straight betting,, I had some TIME issues getting all of my bets in here during the NBA playoffs,,, that should NOT be the case with preseason or reg season NFL,,, Enfuego was upset with me, and considers me a liar,,, soooo,, lol,,, in the most immortal words of every sports better on every sports site,,,
follow or Fade,,,
I wish luck to everyone,,,
I will be tracking all of my plays at wagerline you can find me there too at tatehill2001(I think I can win some of the tournaments there)
cheers
Originally Posted by Kevan kazzan to me from Lake Tahoe N.V by E-Mail
This is really interesting that I would like to share with you tatehill2000
There was a time that, before those lines were massaged by bettors throughout the week, there used to be an early line. It was an overnight opening line that Vegas oddsmakers sent to a few, well respected, select professional sports bettors. These bettors would bet the line, with limits, which would then give bookmakers an idea of how to adjust the lines before releasing them to the public. This helped Vegas prepare to balance the line with the "sharps," just like your thread title says Mr.Hat. Once released, betting centers like Louisiana, Chicago, and New York sent much of the action early while the rest of the nation caught up closer to game time. Now, with worldwide gambling so accessible, and so many opinions being read instantly at a places like offshore betting. I wonder if this system is at work anymore. Bookmakers and odds-makers are more or less one and the same anymore and they too may employ "sharps."
Any thoughts Hat?
Something to Consider "tatehill2000"... Assuming that the "juice" (the interest or vig) is 10% (i.e. you must wager $110 to win $100) you must win 11 out of 21 bets to break even, or 52.4%. This gives the house an edge of 4.5%. Hitting 11 out of 21 bets may sound easy to do, but if you have been wagering for some time now like me you know this is not. The average bettor actually picks below 50%. The difference between 50% and 60% does not sound extreme, but over the NFL season it could cost you difference between losing money and making a profit "tatehill2000". Many handicappers claim to be "hitting 80% during season" but I can guarantee that they can not do this on a consistent basis and over the long term. In 2013 season in NFL Bye Week Picks were 57% including 65% (11-6) on the 4* and 5* picks making it a very prosperous year! If you could consistently pick 55% you will significantly increase your original investment. Consistently picking 60% is like batting .400 in Major League Baseball "tatehill2000".
Very Good Luck To You My Friend In NFL Season
MR.HARRYtheHAT
PS ....The Stat's are from J.J. Bascus[ Reno N.V.] power rating analysis considered the best 80% true.
This is really interesting that I would like to share with you tatehill2000
There was a time that, before those lines were massaged by bettors throughout the week, there used to be an early line. It was an overnight opening line that Vegas oddsmakers sent to a few, well respected, select professional sports bettors. These bettors would bet the line, with limits, which would then give bookmakers an idea of how to adjust the lines before releasing them to the public. This helped Vegas prepare to balance the line with the "sharps," just like your thread title says Mr.Hat. Once released, betting centers like Louisiana, Chicago, and New York sent much of the action early while the rest of the nation caught up closer to game time. Now, with worldwide gambling so accessible, and so many opinions being read instantly at a places like offshore betting. I wonder if this system is at work anymore. Bookmakers and odds-makers are more or less one and the same anymore and they too may employ "sharps."
Any thoughts Hat?
Something to Consider "tatehill2000"... Assuming that the "juice" (the interest or vig) is 10% (i.e. you must wager $110 to win $100) you must win 11 out of 21 bets to break even, or 52.4%. This gives the house an edge of 4.5%. Hitting 11 out of 21 bets may sound easy to do, but if you have been wagering for some time now like me you know this is not. The average bettor actually picks below 50%. The difference between 50% and 60% does not sound extreme, but over the NFL season it could cost you difference between losing money and making a profit "tatehill2000". Many handicappers claim to be "hitting 80% during season" but I can guarantee that they can not do this on a consistent basis and over the long term. In 2013 season in NFL Bye Week Picks were 57% including 65% (11-6) on the 4* and 5* picks making it a very prosperous year! If you could consistently pick 55% you will significantly increase your original investment. Consistently picking 60% is like batting .400 in Major League Baseball "tatehill2000".
Very Good Luck To You My Friend In NFL Season
MR.HARRYtheHAT
PS ....The Stat's are from J.J. Bascus[ Reno N.V.] power rating analysis considered the best 80% true.
I don't usually comment on posts like this and I can't comment on your % because anyone can post a %. But lets just look at it logically. You call yourself a professional. If that's the case then the Hilton Contest is the cost of doing business as a professional. Just my opinion. If your a professional and don't have 1500 then why would anyone follow you ? Just my opinion. If you are building your bankroll then why would anyone follow you ? Just my opinion. You may be exactly what you claim, if so then enter the LVH style contest on this site for $150. I'm not bashing you man but people that don't know better will follow you so put up your picks and we'll see. If you hit over 55% posted picks (which would make you one of the best handicappers alive) I'll pay you back the entry fee. So it's a can't lose proposition for you. Let me know and we'll all be watching.
Good Luck Tate :toast:
don't fall into the LVH trap
hno:
the games you bet go like 31-50 for +19 around 62%
that's 35 games you got pick for the LVH you don't like or have money on and they go 13-35 for -22 around 36%
so your'e glad you won and others count the games you had no money on and say you lost
then you have to put up a disclaimer like
I'm not betting these picks if you follow don't bet these they don't count in my record blah blahhno:
don't fall into the LVH trap
hno:the games you bet go like 31-50 for +19 around 62%
that's 35 games you got pick for the LVH you don't like or have money on and they go 13-35 for -22 around 36%
so your'e glad you won and others count the games you had no money on and say you lost
then you have to put up a disclaimer like
I'm not betting these picks if you follow don't bet these they don't count in my record blah blah
hno:
Good Luck Tate :toast:
don't fall into the LVH trap
the games you bet go like 31-50 for +19 around 62%
that's 35 games you got pick for the LVH you don't like or have money on and they go 13-35 for -22 around 36%
so your'e glad you won and others count the games you had no money on and say you lost
then you have to put up a disclaimer like
I'm not betting these picks if you follow don't bet these they don't count in my record blah blah
My thoughts exactly. We share that good ol' Canadian logic.
Good luck, Tate.
cheers to you,,, I appreciate your words,, and you will see with my picks how solid I am,,, soo,, you can judge me by what I put up, then see for yourself,, as far as money goes, and how I choose to manage it,,, lol,,, well,,, this just isnt something I wnat to do at this time,,, I am just not interested in competing,, maybe next year,,,
Im wagering 2 in preseason games,,, and I will be wagering 3-4 on reg season games,,, no progressions,,, just a periodic bump to 4 when signals deem so
I am going to be in the sbr preseason competition, I was able to use my points,, lol so why not,,, I will win it im pretty sure,,, soo,,, being that i am already in one tournament,,, that is almost 1 too many lolol,, my picks will be the same here at RX as well as sbr.
cheers
if by site?? do you mean here at the RX or at a sportsbook?? I am 99% out of off shore,, too much risk,, and I can honestly get better lines on land,,, (and get paid in 2hours and 30 minutes,,, lolol,,,}
I will be posting here loveandbigal
all bets will be posted 1-2 hours before kickoff,,
Ohh,,, and for what its worth, apparently I have developed a stalker Enfuego and Loomis,, and they continues to call me a tout, or a wanna be tout,
that is NOT my angle,, I want nothing,,, so please no need to message me privately for anything,, I am just going to do this for the RX to try and help out the guys here,,
send no money, I dont need it,, just be supportive when I lose and lets celebrate when I win,,
cheers
that is NOT my angle,, I want nothing,,, so please no need to message me privately for anything,, I am just going to do this for the RX to try and help out the guys here,,
send no money, I dont need it,, just be supportive when I lose and lets celebrate when I win,,
cheers
Jesus, I just sent my money in for the RX NFL Contest...are you entered....may want Mr. B to send my money back.
Don't see you paid in the contest Bud...XXXXXXX only a $150 entry fee for an NFL expert and last years winner won over six grand.
Guess you didn't know...XXXXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXXXX!
Don't see you paid in the contest Bud...XXXXXXX only a $150 entry fee for an NFL expert and last years winner won over six grand.
Guess you didn't know...XXXXXXX XXXXXXX XXXXXXX!
