If you knew you had a gift betting MLB.... would you go tout or just bet your picks

[CHOPTALK]

[QUOTE

I think its safe to say I am no ordinary MLB capper[/QUOTE]

no its not

 

[PatsFan1283]

So there is a sample of 250 picks where I am hitting 65%.

I think its safe to say I am no ordinary MLB capper

If you got 10k, bet 1-200 a game...if you win that bet 204 a game...if you lose 196 etc..

Just always bet 1-2% a game and over a large sample as long as you are hitting 60% you'll be rich.

Also, move to Las Vegas so you have a lot more betting options.

 

[warriorfan707]

This is where I run into trouble. I dont simply have a liquid 10k.

 

[warriorfan707]

The good news however is I firmly believe I am capable of absolutely destroying the books betting MLB consistently.

 

[shdw01]

warriorfan....u live in hawaii?

 

[warriorfan707]

No I dont live in Hawaii why do u ask

 

[warriorfan707]

How many picks do you guys think is an adequate enough sample?

 

[shdw01]

sorry, i asked because you are "warrior" fan (hawaii as well as other things) and you said brah

and you are online at a late hour (doubt you are east coast)


lots do not have $10k.....lots do not keep money management at 2%. if you are as good as you say you are, just don't chase and you will be fine

 

[warriorfan707]

I chase. I cant stop myself from chasing. I do it every time.

If I had 2k, I lost 1k betting MLB, I would bet an Australian Ping Pong game to get my money back at the end of the day if I had to.

If I lose a few units, it is very difficult for me to call it a day. Next to impossible.

 

[shdw01]

I chase. I cant stop myself from chasing. I do it every time.

If I had 2k, I lost 1k betting MLB, I would bet an Australian Ping Pong game to get my money back at the end of the day if I had to.

If I lose a few units, it is very difficult for me to call it a day. Next to impossible.

I am very much like you to a small degree.

As long as you understand why you may not be able to cap yourself to a consistent bankroll. once you learn to stop the chase, you will be amazed at how much better you will be long term.

 

[warriorfan707]

I am fully aware that not chasing would be highly beneficial to me and my life and I am still unable to do it.

So I end up throwing large amounts of my br into play if my plays for the day lost.

7 or 8 times out of 10 I don't need to chase because I had a winning day. The 1 or 2 times out of 10 that I did end up being highly destructive a large % of the time.

 

[CHOPTALK]

How many picks do you guys think is an adequate enough sample?

Honestly?
About 7000 at the very least.
And even that is not enough to get the full picture.

 

[Enfuego]

Believe me man I know.
Your unbelievable
Just dont get too greedy.

You need to lose some games on purpose every once in a while so you wont blow your cover. You need to let the books think they have a chance to get there money back. On second thought maybe you figured that out. That could be the reason you are only hitting 65% now that Im thinking about it.
And remember, try to keep your payouts below 10 million a month.
Anything more then that and you will cause trouble longterm.
You would not want to bring down the entire industry.
I dont think the white house will bail out the sportsbooks like they did the banks.
Have mercy Warrior fan on us mortals who cant hit 65 percent like you.

Greed kills.

This is what happened to Bernie Madoff.

That's a funny line Chop.

 

[smokeabowl]

I am 31 years old and have been betting baseball for 13 years.

I can honestly say, wholeheartedly, that I have finally figured it all out. MLB Betting.

Its over.

I created a system that is going to make me rich and famous.

I just dont know how I should go about this. I am so excited I can barely think straight....

It's a no brainer to just bet the stuff yourself. Theoretically if what you say is true then by going tout you allow other people to put bookmakers/books on the shelf as apposed to putting them on the shelf 1 by 1 yourself. Seems obv which way yields more money to me.
PS Famous is overrated.

 

[smokeabowl]

I dont have a big enough bankroll to get rich. I can make the picks though.

You can get rich starting with a $500 bankroll the way you pick them yo.

 

[smokeabowl]

How many picks do you guys think is an adequate enough sample?

2-5 thousand will give you a rough idea.

 

[YourAllAmerican]

Also this was me... "The Parlay King"

Sorry Mods, I lost my password.. I wasnt banned or anything...

It's always good to be up front and honest about past posting handles and accounts. Any others worth mentioning?

 

[PatsFanatic]

^ MLB CAPPER is another.

I really enjoyed his rants on how the US Government took down the WTC. God that was an excellent thread.

Just like being a fly on the wall in a mental hospital.

 

[mplastered]

^ MLB CAPPER is another.

I really enjoyed his rants on how the US Government took down the WTC. God that was an excellent thread.

Just like being a fly on the wall in a mental hospital.

That may be the case, but he is good.

 

[YourAllAmerican]

That may be the case, but he is good.

Quick quiz: What's the break even percentage on lines of -150? Approximate is good enough.