choptalk said:
100% agree
Someone can write a 5 page essay on a game and still be a bad capper. The records dont lie is true. I rarely take the time to write up my picks. It does not mean I dont know what im doing , or that I did not spend hours capping the matchups.
Gotta agree with chop on that...
I dont do writeups either.....but if my record over the last 3 years isnt enough to let someone know i know what im talking about, telling them that One team is 4-8 on the road, and the other team is 8-4 at home.....Well duh, everyone knows that, and its already factored into the line to start with...
Baseball is a very different sport than others to cap......And i am "untraditional" in the way i bet it anyway.....I dont believe in the "dawgs only" theory, or NO FAV'S over -150......If i like a team, and have capped it out as an easy win, i would rather lay -180 and win, then get +10 and lose, call me crazy......As i have said before the key in bases, it to pick the "right" fav's, and the "right" dawgs....
There may be days when i make 6 plays, and all 6 are fav's....Well thats just he way it is, its what i liked....Another day 5/7 might be dawgs.....I play where i see value......
If u knew ahead of time that the Yanks were gonna win 8-2, then the Yanks at (-240) would be VALUE, wouldnt it?
That is an extreme point, but some would lead u to believe that if u lay (-180), and win, that u have "DONE SOMETHING WRONG"........now if you are a 50% capper, laying (-180), then u have done something wrong....you've lost.....But if you are hitting 3/4 on your big fav's, guess what, you are MAKING MONEY......
All i am trying to say is everyone has "their style", and if u see someone winning with their style, let them be......the more winners, the better we will all be...