Make it a point to check Stanton's odds for most Home Runs for 2013 The linemakers may base the odds on Stanton hitting 37 Home Runs this year but don't take into consideration the number of games he missed this year.
If you think there is no way his HR odds for next season are based on the number of games played/missed this year, let me tell you how I won 10,000 a three years ago with Ron Howard. I noticed he hit only 22 Home Runs the year before, which is what I think the odds makers based his odds on, he was 40-1. The mistake the odds makers made was to not consider when Ron Howard was promoted to the Phillies from AAA in mid July. He hit 22 Home Runs in just a little over 2 and a half months. When I saw he was 40-1 I figured he would have hit over 40 Home Runs had he spent the full season with the Phillies. The guys who had over 40 Home Runs the year before had odds ranging from 6-1 to 12 to 1. And here's Ron Howard who had about thee same number of at bats per homerun as the other guys and he is at 40 -1. I played $250 at 40 to 1 for a ten dime payout. This year I liked what the A's pitchers were doing in spring training and all I needed was for the A's to beat out three teams to win the West. I only bet $80 at 50 to 1 and my balance just went up by $4,000 Too years ago I had a $100 future on San DIego to win the NL West at 50-1. With three games left with San Francisco all they had to do was win just one game to win the Division. Count that as another bad beat. But I can't really complain, after winning on Ron Howard and the Oakland A's, 2 of the past 4 years. It will take a lot of bad beats to lose those winnings back.
The moral of this story is to take a good look at Stanton's odds for most Home Runs next season. If they are about the same as the players who hit around 35 Home Runs there is your play with a good chance to make up for what he did this year. You won't get 40-1 like Ron Howard did because he only had 22 Home Runs, but I could see Stanton getting between 15 and 20 to one, instead of 6 to 12 to one had he played more game.
As for Zombies asking if anyone had a worse beat than he did. I had a three team NFL parley last Sunday for $200 which would have paid over $ 1400. The first two hit, leaving just Green Bay minus 2.5. Giving Seattle a touchdown and also missing the offensive pass interference, well that's my worst beat in a long time. Except for San Diego losing all 3 games to the Giants to end the season two years ago.
Good luck playing Stanton next year. Remind me, I think I'll be on him too.