Record: 3-7, -8.42 units
Teaser hit last night, makes me 2-0 so far this weekend. Starting to claw back units from the books, hoping for a clean sweep rest of the weekend, let's keep the roll going tonight.
Saskatchewan/Montreal under 50, -102 (2 units)
Weather reports tonight for Regina look awful. Calling for thundershowers, that means plenty of rain, and in a passing league like the CFL, that means many drops and 2 and outs. Combine this with the fact we have two good defensive teams squaring off should equate to lots of punts and an under. Also, will Calvillo be 100%? He was awful after suffering that finger injury last weekend. The Roughies will be looking for Cates to rush the ball, and seeing how Montreal was able handle Lumsden in week 1, I'm confident they will handle Cates. Montreal's offense is primarily pass, and with the weather looking the way it is and Cavillo's hand probably not completely healed, it's going to be a long night for the Al's on offence. All combined, I don't see this game breaking 45 points tonight.
Teaser hit last night, makes me 2-0 so far this weekend. Starting to claw back units from the books, hoping for a clean sweep rest of the weekend, let's keep the roll going tonight.
Saskatchewan/Montreal under 50, -102 (2 units)
Weather reports tonight for Regina look awful. Calling for thundershowers, that means plenty of rain, and in a passing league like the CFL, that means many drops and 2 and outs. Combine this with the fact we have two good defensive teams squaring off should equate to lots of punts and an under. Also, will Calvillo be 100%? He was awful after suffering that finger injury last weekend. The Roughies will be looking for Cates to rush the ball, and seeing how Montreal was able handle Lumsden in week 1, I'm confident they will handle Cates. Montreal's offense is primarily pass, and with the weather looking the way it is and Cavillo's hand probably not completely healed, it's going to be a long night for the Al's on offence. All combined, I don't see this game breaking 45 points tonight.
Well, last night might be the last CFL under I play. Under looked great after 1st quarter, looked ok at the half, then the 2nd half came and they make it a scorefest. On to today:
Edmonton +4.5, -113 (2 units)
I see alot of people on the Argos, I will not put a penny on Toronto until they show me they can put together a solid effort. I don't care that it was close last week between the 2 teams at the half, the final score is what counts, and the fact is the Argos self-destructed. The Eskies are getting no respect at all, I think they have a great shot to take this game outright, the points are a gift IMHO. Argos shouldn't be laying points to anyone. And home field means nothing if you look at that angle, I've been to Argos games, you can hear a pin drop in the Rogers Centre. I'll keep fading the Argos here.
Edmonton +4.5, -113 (2 units)
I see alot of people on the Argos, I will not put a penny on Toronto until they show me they can put together a solid effort. I don't care that it was close last week between the 2 teams at the half, the final score is what counts, and the fact is the Argos self-destructed. The Eskies are getting no respect at all, I think they have a great shot to take this game outright, the points are a gift IMHO. Argos shouldn't be laying points to anyone. And home field means nothing if you look at that angle, I've been to Argos games, you can hear a pin drop in the Rogers Centre. I'll keep fading the Argos here.
See, people always get the term "home field advantage" wrong. Being on your home field means a lot more than just what the crowd can give you. You KNOW the building, you KNOW the surface, you get to sleep in your own bed, you know where to eat the night before the game... THAT'S the real home field advantage, and I totally believe that that makes a BIG DIFFERENCE in how a team prepares to play a game.
This is the last week I'm trusting this Toronto team. I'm still hoping that self-destruction last week was one of those things that just happens from time to time and that the Hamilton game was a fluke. We'll see though.
This is the last week I'm trusting this Toronto team. I'm still hoping that self-destruction last week was one of those things that just happens from time to time and that the Hamilton game was a fluke. We'll see though.
Record: 4-8, -8.46 units
Coming off a great 3-1 week 4, exactly what I needed. Hope I can continue in week 5, and take back some more from the books.
Calgary -6, -102 (2 units)
Calgary has the best offense in the league right now, and I don't see Winnipeg able to stop them. Winnipeg's defence is dinged up and the loss of Barin Simpson will really hurt the Bombers defence, and I don't see how they are going to be able to contain Burris and his corps of wide receivers. Coach Huffnagel has done a terrific job with this Calgary offence, and he will be aware of the mismatches in the Winnipeg secondary. Willie Amos won't be able to handle Kenyon Rambo, and Marlborough will get smoked by Nick Lewis. On offence, the Bombers have proved very anemic. With only 10 first downs against BC last weekend, they will continue to struggle to move the chains tonight. Dinwiddie gets the call insted of the terrible Glenn but Calgary's plan will be to attack him and this will result in Dinwiddie throwing some bad balls and getting picked off a few times. Winless Winnipeg is a desperate team, and that makes them dangerous, but I just don't see how Winnipeg will be able to hang in this game. The only reason last weeks game against BC was close until late in the 4th quarter was because Jarious Jackson didn't play well for 3 quarters. Burris has yet to have a bad game, and if continues to play as well as he has in the first few weeks this year, it's going to be a long night for the Blue Bombers.
Coming off a great 3-1 week 4, exactly what I needed. Hope I can continue in week 5, and take back some more from the books.
Calgary -6, -102 (2 units)
Calgary has the best offense in the league right now, and I don't see Winnipeg able to stop them. Winnipeg's defence is dinged up and the loss of Barin Simpson will really hurt the Bombers defence, and I don't see how they are going to be able to contain Burris and his corps of wide receivers. Coach Huffnagel has done a terrific job with this Calgary offence, and he will be aware of the mismatches in the Winnipeg secondary. Willie Amos won't be able to handle Kenyon Rambo, and Marlborough will get smoked by Nick Lewis. On offence, the Bombers have proved very anemic. With only 10 first downs against BC last weekend, they will continue to struggle to move the chains tonight. Dinwiddie gets the call insted of the terrible Glenn but Calgary's plan will be to attack him and this will result in Dinwiddie throwing some bad balls and getting picked off a few times. Winless Winnipeg is a desperate team, and that makes them dangerous, but I just don't see how Winnipeg will be able to hang in this game. The only reason last weeks game against BC was close until late in the 4th quarter was because Jarious Jackson didn't play well for 3 quarters. Burris has yet to have a bad game, and if continues to play as well as he has in the first few weeks this year, it's going to be a long night for the Blue Bombers.
0-1 last night, in what was Calgarys worst game of the season, without question. No pass rush whatsoever, they gave Dinwiddie all day long to pass, and Calgary's DB's got burned on every single play. Don't let the score fool you, Calgary just shit the bed big time last night. Let's move on.
Edmonton/Hamilton over 53, -109 (2 units)
Overs have been the theme since week 1. This theme should continue in this game. With Lumsden back for Hamilton tonight, their offense gets their main threat back. Edmonton has some problems defensively, especially stopping the run, and this is going to give Lumsden a good amount of yardage tonight that should lead to some scores. On the other side of the ball, we have the Eskimos, ranked 2nd in offense in the league, scoring an average of 31.2 points per game. They should be able to get some scoring against a porous Hamilton defence that allows an average of 30.5 points per game. I see this game getting in the upper 50's easily, possibly even more.
Edmonton/Hamilton over 53, -109 (2 units)
Overs have been the theme since week 1. This theme should continue in this game. With Lumsden back for Hamilton tonight, their offense gets their main threat back. Edmonton has some problems defensively, especially stopping the run, and this is going to give Lumsden a good amount of yardage tonight that should lead to some scores. On the other side of the ball, we have the Eskimos, ranked 2nd in offense in the league, scoring an average of 31.2 points per game. They should be able to get some scoring against a porous Hamilton defence that allows an average of 30.5 points per game. I see this game getting in the upper 50's easily, possibly even more.
Adding:
3 team, 10 point teaser:
Edmonton/Hamilton over 43, Montreal +16, Montreal/BC over 43, -130 (2 units)
I don't play many 3 team teasers, but I really like this play. Hamilton/Edmonton should get over 43 with ease. The Alouettes have proved they can score, they are the 3rd ranked offense in the league. Only when AC went down with that finger against Calgary did they fail to get over 30 points this year on offense. There is no way that BC will beat Montreal by more than 16 points. Montreal fucked up big time against the Roughies in the last 3 minutes of last weeks game, even if they fuck it up tonight, they still won't lose by more than 16. Jarious Jackson doesn't play well at home for some reason, he's better on the road. Maybe he's like Bret Favre and doesn't like the dome? In any event, this is a really nice teaser.
3 team, 10 point teaser:
Edmonton/Hamilton over 43, Montreal +16, Montreal/BC over 43, -130 (2 units)
I don't play many 3 team teasers, but I really like this play. Hamilton/Edmonton should get over 43 with ease. The Alouettes have proved they can score, they are the 3rd ranked offense in the league. Only when AC went down with that finger against Calgary did they fail to get over 30 points this year on offense. There is no way that BC will beat Montreal by more than 16 points. Montreal fucked up big time against the Roughies in the last 3 minutes of last weeks game, even if they fuck it up tonight, they still won't lose by more than 16. Jarious Jackson doesn't play well at home for some reason, he's better on the road. Maybe he's like Bret Favre and doesn't like the dome? In any event, this is a really nice teaser.
'll admit it, I chased last night after that horrid offensive performance in the Edmonton/Hamilton game. The Alouettes and the over came through with ease, brought me to even last night.
Going to be away all weekend, so I'll post my play now for Sunday:
Saskatchewan -5.5, -108 (2 units)
I'll keep fading the Argos here. Sask at home will be just too much for the Argos to handle. Sask at home is averaging 37.5 points per game, and the Argos on the road are giving up 31.5 points per game. Argos have had problems all year against good defences, and Sask will be the toughest one they will face, with Sask allowing just 23 points per game. Conversley, the Argos can't score on the road, scoring a measly 25.5 points per game. Everything points to an easy Roughie win on Sunday.
Going to be away all weekend, so I'll post my play now for Sunday:
Saskatchewan -5.5, -108 (2 units)
I'll keep fading the Argos here. Sask at home will be just too much for the Argos to handle. Sask at home is averaging 37.5 points per game, and the Argos on the road are giving up 31.5 points per game. Argos have had problems all year against good defences, and Sask will be the toughest one they will face, with Sask allowing just 23 points per game. Conversley, the Argos can't score on the road, scoring a measly 25.5 points per game. Everything points to an easy Roughie win on Sunday.
Record: 6-11, -9.28 units
A shitty week last week, dropped a unit on CFL. Good thing I chased on the Als and over, that cut my losses substantially. And another win by the hook in the Saskatchewan game, glad I had them at 5.5 and not 6, or 6.5 like some had. On to week 6.
7 point teaser:
Montreal -3, B.C./Edmonton under 61, -120 (2 units)
Really like this teaser. Montreal just dominates Hamilton at home. They haven't won a game in Montreal since 2001, that's eight games! What's even worse for the Ti-Cats, Printers won't get the start. Instead it will be backup QB Richie Williams getting behind centre. The problem Hamilton will have in this game is that they are unable to put up points on the board. Now, Montreal is suffering some key injuries in their secondary, most notably safety Proulx and CB Estelle. But Hamilton coach Taffee is one of the more dumb coaches in the league, and whether he can take advantage of this is to be seen. Hamilton though has their own injuries in their secondary though as Jakyne Bradley will be missed. Hamilton will also be missing WR Tony Miles. However, I'm not laying the big points, so I'm teasing this with Edmonton under, write up on that game below.
Edmonton under 54, -102 (2 units)
About the second game, major injuries on offence in both teams are going to make points hard to come by. Geroy Simon is out for BC, and that is their main cog in their offence. For Edmonton, Jason Tucker is out. These are 2 of the top 5 receivers in the CFL that are out tonight. With Simon out for BC, the Lions are going to be forced to run the ball more, he only has Clermont, who is terribly slow, and Paris Jackson. Edmonton has a good attacking defence, we saw how well they blitzed hamilton last week, expect the same today when Jackson has to pass. BC is looking to play 4 quarters of solid D tonight, which they have done on the road. BC is #1 in the league in INT's and sacks, that tells you they can play solid defence, especially against an Edmonton team missing their best receiver in Tucker. Another thing to add is that this game will be played on grass, which is a slower field than the Astro-Turf found in the other stadiums in the league. To sum up, the loss of 2 of the best receivers in the league, coupled with 2 good defences, I can't see many points in this game. It's going to be a battle of Field position and possession, and many FG's.
A shitty week last week, dropped a unit on CFL. Good thing I chased on the Als and over, that cut my losses substantially. And another win by the hook in the Saskatchewan game, glad I had them at 5.5 and not 6, or 6.5 like some had. On to week 6.
7 point teaser:
Montreal -3, B.C./Edmonton under 61, -120 (2 units)
Really like this teaser. Montreal just dominates Hamilton at home. They haven't won a game in Montreal since 2001, that's eight games! What's even worse for the Ti-Cats, Printers won't get the start. Instead it will be backup QB Richie Williams getting behind centre. The problem Hamilton will have in this game is that they are unable to put up points on the board. Now, Montreal is suffering some key injuries in their secondary, most notably safety Proulx and CB Estelle. But Hamilton coach Taffee is one of the more dumb coaches in the league, and whether he can take advantage of this is to be seen. Hamilton though has their own injuries in their secondary though as Jakyne Bradley will be missed. Hamilton will also be missing WR Tony Miles. However, I'm not laying the big points, so I'm teasing this with Edmonton under, write up on that game below.
Edmonton under 54, -102 (2 units)
About the second game, major injuries on offence in both teams are going to make points hard to come by. Geroy Simon is out for BC, and that is their main cog in their offence. For Edmonton, Jason Tucker is out. These are 2 of the top 5 receivers in the CFL that are out tonight. With Simon out for BC, the Lions are going to be forced to run the ball more, he only has Clermont, who is terribly slow, and Paris Jackson. Edmonton has a good attacking defence, we saw how well they blitzed hamilton last week, expect the same today when Jackson has to pass. BC is looking to play 4 quarters of solid D tonight, which they have done on the road. BC is #1 in the league in INT's and sacks, that tells you they can play solid defence, especially against an Edmonton team missing their best receiver in Tucker. Another thing to add is that this game will be played on grass, which is a slower field than the Astro-Turf found in the other stadiums in the league. To sum up, the loss of 2 of the best receivers in the league, coupled with 2 good defences, I can't see many points in this game. It's going to be a battle of Field position and possession, and many FG's.
1-1 yesterday, cashing the teaser but losing the straight under. We are making this league more difficult really. Every game seems to go over, so that's what I'm sticking to now. No more unders for me, and going to play alot of teasers now.
7 pt teaser
Winnipeg +10.5, over 45, -120 (2 units)
No brainer when it comes to the over here. All of them are getting to 50 points. The DB's in this league are just brutal. WR's are getting open all the time, getting 20 yards of space. Even BC, which supposedly has the best secondary in the league gives up wide open receivers. I really like Winnipeg teased, I still don't trust the Argos at all. Dinwiddie looked good last week, and the 'Peg looked more composed and confident. Toronto has still not done anything to warrant laying points on. They could win, but I don't see them covering 10.5 points in any event. Seems like teams tend to keep it close, or come back in the 4th quarter to fuck the spreads.
7 pt teaser
Winnipeg +10.5, over 45, -120 (2 units)
No brainer when it comes to the over here. All of them are getting to 50 points. The DB's in this league are just brutal. WR's are getting open all the time, getting 20 yards of space. Even BC, which supposedly has the best secondary in the league gives up wide open receivers. I really like Winnipeg teased, I still don't trust the Argos at all. Dinwiddie looked good last week, and the 'Peg looked more composed and confident. Toronto has still not done anything to warrant laying points on. They could win, but I don't see them covering 10.5 points in any event. Seems like teams tend to keep it close, or come back in the 4th quarter to fuck the spreads.
No offensive performance last night, killed the teaser. The under is not the norm though. Big play for me tonight:
7 pt teaser
Calgary pk, Over 47.5, -120 (4 units)
I really like this play. This is a bad spot for the undefeated Roughies on the road. I think they get their first loss of the year here. They will be facing the most potent offense in the league. Also, lots of points will be put up here, at least 50.
7 pt teaser
Calgary pk, Over 47.5, -120 (4 units)
I really like this play. This is a bad spot for the undefeated Roughies on the road. I think they get their first loss of the year here. They will be facing the most potent offense in the league. Also, lots of points will be put up here, at least 50.
