4 Unit Play. #738. Take Vanderbilt +2 over Kentucky (Tuesday @ 9pm est). Glad things worked out as La Tech made a spirited come back in the final four minutes of the contest out west. Let's continue that mojo today with Vanderbilt as the home dog today against a very solid Kentucky team in the SEC. This game reminds me a lot of last year's series between these two squads. Note, that Kentucky defeated this team last year 79-33 in OT. Vandy then came back home and just routed this team in revenge as they were a 4 point chalk but ended up winning 93-52. Now, by no means is Vandy that good this year nor is Kentucky as bad as they were last year. But, Vandy still has revenge, this is a weekday when the majority of the public will take the favorite here in the SEC as Kentucky is the road chalk. Tack on the home court advantage for Vandy, the fact this game is televised and revenge, we have a making for a decent cover here on Vandy's home floor. Vandy is a very unique place to play as well given the makeup of the court and that will certainly throw off Kentucky in the early going as it did last year. Don't think that Vandy cannot matchup to the Wildcats here as they played earlier this year and Kentucky won by 10 points. Vandy does show some punch at home as they are 11-4 as they come off a rough loss to Tennessee on the road by 19 as they were a 10 point dog. With 70% of the public riding Kentucky here, note that the Wildcats who are top 25 in many power rankings, have lost to 80 teams such as Vandy before. The Wildcats if you remember lost to Ole Miss by 5 and were down at several points in the Arkansas game before coming back. Vandy has been dismal covering ATS spreads of late, but I think they are turning the corner a bit as they beat Ole Miss at home by 10, beat Auburn on the road by 7 and were competitive against South Carolina on the road. Given that this team only lost to Kentucky by 10 points on the road this year, Kentucky coming off a big road win, Vandy coming off a huge road loss, with the crowd behind them, as a small home dog on a weekday night fading the majority of the public, with revenge, I think all of these factors make for the 8 point difference as this team has a decent shot at winning Outright esp. if the refs are a bit generous with calls due to the home crowd. Vandy is 6-2 ATS as home dogs of late and Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in the SEC of late.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
4 Unit Play. #705. Take Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5 over the Washington Wizards (Tuesday @ 7pm est). Let's kick off our 9th straight winning NBA Week on the right foot today. We were 3-1 last week, 5-2 the week before and 5-2 the week before that in the Association. I like the Timberwolves despite having no Al Jefferson. After all, this team still has a great deal of depth and it is not as if Washington is playing at full strength either. The Wizards still have no Haywood and Arenas who are both due back in Mid March. Thus, this game comes down to execution, heart and which team will have the "no-quit" attitude. With the exception of Butler and Jamison, Washington really does not have strong scoring options on this team. Take a look at the Wizard's last game when they were on the road at Charlotte and lost by double-digits, Butler dropped 26 and Jamison dropped 23, but outside that, the rest of the starting lineup of McGuire, Songaila and James had 7, 6 and 6 points respectively. Now, take a look at the Timberwolves who faced the Raptors at home and actually led most of the way, had balanced scoring from their starting five. Foye led the way with 33 points, Gomes with 17, Love with 15, Miller with 12 and Telfair with 11. I like the balanced scoring attack of Minnesota far more than Washington as I feel Minny is a team that is more focused on the "team" concept and frankly although McHale is a sorry GM, he is a great coach thus far and has really given this team a sense of confidence that they can compete in this league and their drastic increase in wins over the last two months is testament to that. Let's ride the Twolves here as they look to get the Outright on the road at Washington with more of a "team" concept play, a far more balanced scoring attack and frankly, a team that plays with more of a sense of urgency with a chip on their shoulder coming off a fourth quarter collapse against the Raptors as they look to get the second half of the season going on the right foot. The Twolves are 10-2 ATS as a road Underdog of late and the Wizards are 2-9 ATS as small favorites of late. Give me the dog and let me go contrary to a team that truly should not be laying points given their play this season.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
IC Leans NOT his plays!!
Philadelphia vs. Indiana
I would normally lean on Indiana here, but the fact they are a bit banged up as the injury report shows is a reason to be wary. Note, that Philly beat this team by 5 points earlier this year back in February and Indy has revenge here. Philly comes off 4 straight wins, and although they failed to cover at New Orleans, they did cover at Houston. Frankly, I think this game is a tossup and it really depends on who ends up lacing up for the Pacers.
Charlotte vs. Orlando
Orlando beat this team by 5 earlier this year. This game is interesting for several reasons and for starters, Bell and Wallace are likely suiting up for the Bobcats today as they make their return. But, the Magic are solid at home and will look to cover despite Charlotte having revenge. I wish this game was in Charlotte as I can take the Bobcats for a strong cover, but on the road, it makes me a bit weary. Nevertheless, with the Bob's in full strength, they can be competitive despite being on the road imo as they were in Miami when they weren't even in full strength. I wonder if the two new players returning to the starting lineup will mess up the chemistry a bit...but then again, Augustin has been playing great and will likely guide the ship early on.
Milwaukee vs. Detroit
I wonder if these two teams get sick of playing each other. Detroit most recently beat this team by 5 on the road in OT. Milwaukee does have revenge and they did beat the Raptors without Michael Redd earlier this year. Milwaukee also took care of Indiana and Houston and ar 4-2 ATS over their last 6. Detroit comes into this game having lost 3 straight and Curry realizes his neck is on the line - certainly, even more so now that Porter got the hook. The rumors are soaring that Curry is next. Lean on the Bucks to stay inside the number especially considering this is likely to feature a low-scoring game.
San Antonio vs. New York
SA beat this team by 5 earlier this year at home and now the spread has yet to change for this game as they play in MSG. The Spurs are 6-1-1 ATS over their last 7 coming into this game and lost to the Spurs SU on the road in their last game. The Knicks although have lost 6 straight are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 and do have revenge, are playing well - but why go against the Spurs off a loss? A small lean on the over here.
New Orleans vs. OKC
New Orleans beat this team by 25 points on the road and 12 at NO earlier this year. OKC comes into this game having lost to the Blazers and Lakers on the road. The Hornets themselves are just 2-6 SU over their last 8. I actually lean on the Thunder here to get the SU win as 80% of the public will likely ride teh banged up Hornets. Note, that there Chandler and Peterson are both questionable for this game. Chris Paul did play 30 minutes in their last game - albeit, this team still lost at Memphis and most recently to Boston
Remember these are NOT his actual plays! Just leans. GLSoumi
Philadelphia vs. Indiana
I would normally lean on Indiana here, but the fact they are a bit banged up as the injury report shows is a reason to be wary. Note, that Philly beat this team by 5 points earlier this year back in February and Indy has revenge here. Philly comes off 4 straight wins, and although they failed to cover at New Orleans, they did cover at Houston. Frankly, I think this game is a tossup and it really depends on who ends up lacing up for the Pacers.
Charlotte vs. Orlando
Orlando beat this team by 5 earlier this year. This game is interesting for several reasons and for starters, Bell and Wallace are likely suiting up for the Bobcats today as they make their return. But, the Magic are solid at home and will look to cover despite Charlotte having revenge. I wish this game was in Charlotte as I can take the Bobcats for a strong cover, but on the road, it makes me a bit weary. Nevertheless, with the Bob's in full strength, they can be competitive despite being on the road imo as they were in Miami when they weren't even in full strength. I wonder if the two new players returning to the starting lineup will mess up the chemistry a bit...but then again, Augustin has been playing great and will likely guide the ship early on.
Milwaukee vs. Detroit
I wonder if these two teams get sick of playing each other. Detroit most recently beat this team by 5 on the road in OT. Milwaukee does have revenge and they did beat the Raptors without Michael Redd earlier this year. Milwaukee also took care of Indiana and Houston and ar 4-2 ATS over their last 6. Detroit comes into this game having lost 3 straight and Curry realizes his neck is on the line - certainly, even more so now that Porter got the hook. The rumors are soaring that Curry is next. Lean on the Bucks to stay inside the number especially considering this is likely to feature a low-scoring game.
San Antonio vs. New York
SA beat this team by 5 earlier this year at home and now the spread has yet to change for this game as they play in MSG. The Spurs are 6-1-1 ATS over their last 7 coming into this game and lost to the Spurs SU on the road in their last game. The Knicks although have lost 6 straight are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 and do have revenge, are playing well - but why go against the Spurs off a loss? A small lean on the over here.
New Orleans vs. OKC
New Orleans beat this team by 25 points on the road and 12 at NO earlier this year. OKC comes into this game having lost to the Blazers and Lakers on the road. The Hornets themselves are just 2-6 SU over their last 8. I actually lean on the Thunder here to get the SU win as 80% of the public will likely ride teh banged up Hornets. Note, that there Chandler and Peterson are both questionable for this game. Chris Paul did play 30 minutes in their last game - albeit, this team still lost at Memphis and most recently to Boston
Remember these are NOT his actual plays! Just leans. GLSoumi
