Hypothetical question that possibly could be moot.
Spurs vs Heat, NBA finals ..... What do think the series price will be? And for sh!ts and giggles, in parenthesis you can add your own personal line also. For ex, I think it will be Spurs -150, my line is pk....etc.
i have run run this multiple respected BMs, players, and just fans of the game, and have had very mixed results.
First guy( who runs a book on DB) said most books will have spurs in the -200 to -220 range. ( which I think is too high personally ) next guy has a 3000 player package and is a very avid observer of all the major sports, I've known him 20 yrs. He says Spurs -120ish and stressed that the Heat are public team, beat spurs last year as the visitor and says anyone giving Miami +120 or better is nuts.
Next guy I asked said Spurs -130-140, citing the "Lebron factor" and once again stressed Public loves Heat.
Another BM sided with the first I asked and said spurs -190ish. Because they are paying so good and if they win in 4-5 gms and Heat in 6-7 that will be factored into line.
If spurs are/were -185 went to -200 after Ibaka was Out for playoffs, how could they possibly be equal or more than a healthy 2time defending championship Heat team? Who beat spurs as road team last year and Wade was equally as Banged up ( yes a lucky bounce to Ray Ray, but last highlights I saw, some those historical bounces to Horrys heroics in the finals made luck look like a lock) point being shit happens end of the day barring somebody from the stand throwing a paper airplane which directly collides and alters the game winning shot, shit happens, crazy stuff for both teams, bottom line you gotta make the shot.
I think spurs will be favored, but not by much (assuming no major injuries in conference finals going forward. ) favored for the home factor. I think a realistic line will be Spurs -115-120, but will settle with spurs -125 as final answer, my line however is Miami -120 ( yes everyone knows I'm a Lebron nuthugger, there I said it first.) But we all knows books openers aren't based on the "right line" they are created to create 2 way action, and any BM that opens spurs over -185 is basically I want to be on them, I want to need them. Let's Gamble
I don't post much anymore but would really love to hear your opinions who I still read and hold the upmost respect for
Perdiction Spurs -120-125
my line Heat -120
My my line isn't based on gm 1, if heat lose line will be much better, but I think are rightfully deserved to be the favorite even if they aren't.
RP
Coo coo coo ( for old time sakes)
Spurs vs Heat, NBA finals ..... What do think the series price will be? And for sh!ts and giggles, in parenthesis you can add your own personal line also. For ex, I think it will be Spurs -150, my line is pk....etc.
i have run run this multiple respected BMs, players, and just fans of the game, and have had very mixed results.
First guy( who runs a book on DB) said most books will have spurs in the -200 to -220 range. ( which I think is too high personally ) next guy has a 3000 player package and is a very avid observer of all the major sports, I've known him 20 yrs. He says Spurs -120ish and stressed that the Heat are public team, beat spurs last year as the visitor and says anyone giving Miami +120 or better is nuts.
Next guy I asked said Spurs -130-140, citing the "Lebron factor" and once again stressed Public loves Heat.
Another BM sided with the first I asked and said spurs -190ish. Because they are paying so good and if they win in 4-5 gms and Heat in 6-7 that will be factored into line.
If spurs are/were -185 went to -200 after Ibaka was Out for playoffs, how could they possibly be equal or more than a healthy 2time defending championship Heat team? Who beat spurs as road team last year and Wade was equally as Banged up ( yes a lucky bounce to Ray Ray, but last highlights I saw, some those historical bounces to Horrys heroics in the finals made luck look like a lock) point being shit happens end of the day barring somebody from the stand throwing a paper airplane which directly collides and alters the game winning shot, shit happens, crazy stuff for both teams, bottom line you gotta make the shot.
I think spurs will be favored, but not by much (assuming no major injuries in conference finals going forward. ) favored for the home factor. I think a realistic line will be Spurs -115-120, but will settle with spurs -125 as final answer, my line however is Miami -120 ( yes everyone knows I'm a Lebron nuthugger, there I said it first.) But we all knows books openers aren't based on the "right line" they are created to create 2 way action, and any BM that opens spurs over -185 is basically I want to be on them, I want to need them. Let's Gamble
I don't post much anymore but would really love to hear your opinions who I still read and hold the upmost respect for
Perdiction Spurs -120-125
my line Heat -120
My my line isn't based on gm 1, if heat lose line will be much better, but I think are rightfully deserved to be the favorite even if they aren't.
RP
Coo coo coo ( for old time sakes)
