I love Scalping

[DannyMay]

Found 2 today.

I got a -105 and a +120 on the other side.

Then I found a different play with a -110 and a +115.

I have all my balances pending right now, no games tonight but a guaranteed $130 profit.

 

[RobFunk]

how much $ is sitting out for that those 4 takes. like 4 dimes?

 

[elk102873]

what if the -105 and -110 games win? how is that a guaranteed profit? you'd be down 15% vig.

 

[SENDITIN]

Hope it's not a 3 way bet in golf!

 

[Tablarasa]

If the minuses win, it will be no profit..you don't lose juice on a win.

So its either +130 or even, no guarantee, with a possible lesser result on a split on the favorites.

 

[DannyMay]

No. I win money on both games no matter what. I set it up that way.

 

[sickgambler]

If he has guaranteed himself 130, then I would say that he has roughly 8,000 dollars tied up.. And the way he guarantees the 130 is by putting a little less on the dog to assure himself the profit.

For example,

NYK +110 for 1950
BOS -105 for 2000

________

This guarantees him roughly 50 beans..

 

[DannyMay]

#1 ( -105 and +120 )

1050 to win 1000
930 to win 1116

 

[DannyMay]

$6600 tied up but for only one night.

 

[DannyMay]

Caribsports

Who will score first ?

Spurs +120

VIPSports

Who will score first ?

Mavericks -105

 

[D2bets]

It's amazing how people have trouble grasping these concepts.
At -110 $110 to win $100
At +115 $97.68 to win $112.32
$2.32 profit either way. Multiply that X10 and then it looks better.

Hard not to like scalping, heck, that's what the books do (well, the smart ones anyway).

 

[DannyMay]

CaribSports has changed the Spurs to +110 now after $1500 on Spurs. Still a 5 cent scalp available though.

 

[DannyMay]

I have been warned I should not post this because the books will have me pegged as an arbitrage player. I will say no more.

 

[sickgambler]

I have NEVER looked at NBA props, but if you are getting a line like that at Carib, then maybe I should be looking at them.

Now like I said, I never look at these things and I haven't researched the history, but I will say this.. NO WAY could that line at Carib be right. It has to be an off number. NO WAY could the Spurs be +120 to score first. This has to be roughly a pick em, because when there are going to be roughly 180 points scored in an NBA game, getting +120 is a joke. It's close to a 50-50 shot on who will score first, not +120.. That is a very weak line on Caribs part, IMO..

 

[DannyMay]

They have changed the line at Carib

Mavericks -140
Spurs +110

 

[DannyMay]

Props are about the only place you find scalps. It is rare to find a scalp on a straight game line.

I once saw a who will score first at -200


Rockets -200
Nuggets +160

I agree that seems way to high, who will score first is roughly 50/50.

 

[DannyMay]

Sick Gambler,

Check them tommorow night, when there are several games. There will be many that are +120 or higher.

 

[JohnnyDetroit]

VIP and company are not fond of scalpers. Not wise to advertise that. Hit a few of them and expect to have your limits dropped than eventually your account closed.

 

[DannyMay]

Yeah that is what I was just told.

They shouldnt be like that. I am giving them action whether I am covering it elsewhere or not. Thats none of their business really.

The soft line is at Carib anyway.

 

[lander]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by DannyMay:
Props are about the only place you find scalps. It is rare to find a scalp on a straight game line.

I once saw a who will score first at -200


Rockets -200
Nuggets +160

I agree that seems way to high, who will score first is roughly 50/50.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Danny,
That line is the way it is because the Rockets are almost certain to win the tip. This equates to a big edge in "team to score first".

You'll see similiar lines when Shaq is playing.