I have San Francisco at -1, how does this lose?

[ComebackKid31]

I think there's a high probability at this being a PUSH; at worst. But I bought the half point today and loaded up big on San Fran after things falling about how I thought they would. I could see a 21-20 or 17-16 or something whacky 49ers win; but I am certain San Francisco is going to go into Carolina and win that game. I have had a close eye on Carolina all year long. They are not ready for this.

Anyone have any thoughts at all on this game or this bet? It almost seems too easy here, it's one of those rare times.

 

[savage55]

it does seem to good but Im with you. Im also biased but SF will not lose this game..Something to really watch for is if Saints somehow beat Seattle since this is on satueday and Niners play sunday.. If Saints win SF knows all they have to do is win and they host NFC championship and get revenge for the BS call that cost them the game in NO.. If Saints win I really think the Niners win big.. Niners will score more than last time on Carolina cuz all weapons are healthy.. Lat time no Crabs and Vernon left early... I seriously think Niners push Carolina's shit in.. But this why they play the game.. Also Steve Smith will not be close to 100% and Niners will get pressure on Cam and he will make mistakes.... SF LARGE or nothing

 

[SerfCap]

I like SF. Carolina always seemed on the verge of exposure all year since they hit their run, but they just kept rolling. The Niners can load up on shutting down Cam (as they know what stopping dual threat means to winning the game) and focus on the run. Panthers will attempt the pass, but it's weakness vs. weakness. The underlying factor is the physicality of SF's DB's. Carolina won't score much.

On the other side of the ball I definitely don't see the Niners lighting it up, but give them the edge because of the experience factor. They should score just enough.

 

[JohnBlue123]

I'm going to lay off of this game more than likely but I like sf as well. I think this is an even matchup. Too close to call imo. I think if these teams play 10 they split 50/50 .

 

[ballerhanz]

Carolina wins

 

[seer]

how does it lose? well for one everyone thinks sf is amazing yet they only won over gb with a last second fg. carilona is a much better team than the pack. this is sfs 3rd str8 rd game which is almost suicide for most teams. if this spread was -20 i would then say how could it lose but it isnt.
the spread is -2 and coming down. sure the niners are better on paper but carolina is not a pretender

 

[Scott602]

Carolina 4 sure

 

[SerfCap]

how does it lose? well for one everyone thinks sf is amazing yet they only won over gb with a last second fg. carilona is a much better team than the pack. this is sfs 3rd str8 rd game which is almost suicide for most teams. if this spread was -20 i would then say how could it lose but it isnt.
the spread is -2 and coming down. sure the niners are better on paper but carolina is not a pretender

You're speaking in terms of the regular season though in terms of consecutive road games. And what tips you off to say Carolina is the much better team? I don't see it.

 

[savage55]

how does it lose? well for one everyone thinks sf is amazing yet they only won over gb with a last second fg. carilona is a much better team than the pack. this is sfs 3rd str8 rd game which is almost suicide for most teams. if this spread was -20 i would then say how could it lose but it isnt.
the spread is -2 and coming down. sure the niners are better on paper but carolina is not a pretender

It was bet up to 2 it opened at PK.. I don;t think it was bet up by some 50$ betting squares.. Caro;ina was lucky to get the bye but they earned it but I dont think they have what it takes to win this game.. Niners smell blood and how they played against GB has nothing to do with this game.. Those weather conditions were completely different than what it will be in Carolina.. NFC championship will be in SF.. yep thats what im predicting

 

[WinnersareGrinners]

It was bet up to 2 it opened at PK.. I don;t think it was bet up by some 50$ betting squares.. Caro;ina was lucky to get the bye but they earned it but I dont think they have what it takes to win this game.. Niners smell blood and how they played against GB has nothing to do with this game.. Those weather conditions were completely different than what it will be in Carolina.. NFC championship will be in SF.. yep thats what im predicting

SF may win this game ( i slightly favour SF), FWIW i think the market has the game framed about right & will not be betting--but as for the NFC championship being in SF there is almost zero chance of that happening, Seattle are for real & will slaughter the Saints (i have a major soft spot for the Saints given i backed them in '09 @ 25 to 1 to win the SB but i can not possibly entertain them winning up there)

 

[theCOLLECTOR]

This Sunday, the "Underdog" Carolina Panthers face the San Francisco 49ers in what should prove to be the most physical playoff game so far this post season.

While nearly every national media player is bathing the 49ers in adoration (mainly for ratings purposes), I don't buy into it, not for a second. According to them pedestrian receiver Michael Crabtree is the second coming of Jerry Rice. Why? Well, because he played well against the worst defenders in the league last week. Genius.

Here are just a few popular notions in the national media debunked:

San Francisco has a far superior offense.
While the 49ers do score an average of only 3 more points per game than the Panthers, the Panthers win in passing yards, third down conversion percentage, and most importantly Time of Possession. That last one is key. This game could certainly come down to which defense is more rested. The winner of the TOP battle will win this game.

Kaepernick and Newton are equal.
A laughable notion at best. Cam Newton is superior to Colin Kaepernick in every way. Cam has a higher completion percentage. Cam has more passing yards. Cam has more touchdowns. Cam has more rushing yards. All of this with less weapons and a less than stellar offensive line. Sorry Niners fans, Kaep is no Cam.

The 49ers Defense is equal to the Panthers defense
While the 49ers do have a good defense, it isn't quite at the level of Carolina. Carolina wins in nearly every statistical category. Points per game, rushing yards allowed, passing yards allowed, all in the Panthers favor.

Looking at all of this information and taking into consideration it is the Panthers who are playing at home after resting for a week, it becomes clear the Underdog title is nothing but large market media bias.

 

[cashducats]

This Sunday, the "Underdog" Carolina Panthers face the San Francisco 49ers in what should prove to be the most physical playoff game so far this post season.

While nearly every national media player is bathing the 49ers in adoration (mainly for ratings purposes), I don't buy into it, not for a second. According to them pedestrian receiver Michael Crabtree is the second coming of Jerry Rice. Why? Well, because he played well against the worst defenders in the league last week. Genius.

Here are just a few popular notions in the national media debunked:

San Francisco has a far superior offense.
While the 49ers do score an average of only 3 more points per game than the Panthers, the Panthers win in passing yards, third down conversion percentage, and most importantly Time of Possession. That last one is key. This game could certainly come down to which defense is more rested. The winner of the TOP battle will win this game.

Kaepernick and Newton are equal.
A laughable notion at best. Cam Newton is superior to Colin Kaepernick in every way. Cam has a higher completion percentage. Cam has more passing yards. Cam has more touchdowns. Cam has more rushing yards. All of this with less weapons and a less than stellar offensive line. Sorry Niners fans, Kaep is no Cam.

The 49ers Defense is equal to the Panthers defense
While the 49ers do have a good defense, it isn't quite at the level of Carolina. Carolina wins in nearly every statistical category. Points per game, rushing yards allowed, passing yards allowed, all in the Panthers favor.

Looking at all of this information and taking into consideration it is the Panthers who are playing at home after resting for a week, it becomes clear the Underdog title is nothing but large market media bias.

stats are nice but you have to see behind them. who were the stats built against? niners is division much tougher.

 

[Murphy8276]

of course any bet can lose... but San Fran smashes Carolina in the mouth :toast:


-murph

 

[theCOLLECTOR]

Cashducats - nfc south played nfc west so a quarter of those stats were built directly against them. Panthers had an extremely competitive schedule this year and dismantled the cupcake teams as good teams should. Not saying sf won't win this game but to act like they cant lose is beyond foolish. Panthers beat them once already on the road and can certainly do it again at home. Yeah sf was missing players but so was carolina. There is no team in the league that is more prepared to shut down the dual threat of kap after going against cam everyday.

 

[theCOLLECTOR]

Not to mention that carolina is 7-1 at home only losing the opener to seattle in which deangelo williams fumbled on the goal line for what would have been the go ahead td.

 

[ComebackKid31]

Yea I just made a CAN'T MISS bet. Should have bet more. Play of the year here BOOM

 

[rowdyroddy]

it sounds like a bingo, they are hottest team in NFC and teams that traditionally win in Dec. advance,...

 

[Slurve~Ball]

Carolina always seemed on the verge of exposure all year since they hit their run, but they just kept rolling.

I have been waiting for them to get exposed. Seems like they've had it easy to me.

 

[theCOLLECTOR]

FYI since 1993 and under this format, no home underdog (although rare and only happened three times) has ever lost in the divisional round.

 

[Kaveman]

how does it lose? well for one everyone thinks sf is amazing yet they only won over gb with a last second fg. carilona is a much better team than the pack. this is sfs 3rd str8 rd game which is almost suicide for most teams. if this spread was -20 i would then say how could it lose but it isnt.
the spread is -2 and coming down. sure the niners are better on paper but carolina is not a pretender

If we're gonna get into what-ifs, SF only lost to the Saints by a blown call. Take that away, and they got a bye and #1 seed. They match up pretty evenly with Panthers. Tossup game.