I Have Decided to Share An Opening Line Numbers Trend System

[Kojak]

Also, Arizona is a system play to add to above group!

 

[Bookie'sNoose]

JAX & Cards looking good so far!

Great info. Kojak...thanks for posting

 

[kingcapper33]

Kojak, i read everything you put on here, you are one of the few that i respect on here....

I wasnt that curious about the numbers 9 or 9.5 but that the fact that if the early game covers, the late game doesnt...or vice versa... I have made alot of money on watching this whether the points are 9 or 13, 11, 14 or whatever as long as it is above 9....

I see that last weekend there was two early games of spread of 9 or greater... Dallas-9.5 covered, but the Colts -9 did not cover...usually if both games are at the same time, i will just watch the first half and then beat accordly at halftime for the second half and make my money there...

now there was no 9 or greater favorite for the 4 est games last week, but there was that monday night game of pilly/gb
if both the 9 or greater spreads would have missed on sunday i would have went the other way on monday night, and vice versa....

This has worked alot for me , i dont know if you care to watch it or look up any numbers on it, just thought i would try to help you AS you have helped me ,

Thanks for all your work ,

Kingcapper

This week it went Colts-18.5 did not cover
Bears-11 covered
Patriots -10 pushed
thats the lines they opened at if you got the Pats at -9.5 they covered for you

but like i said, spreads of 9 or more never cover all games if you have 2 or more spreads of 9 or more in a weekend...

 

[Kojak]

Now28-0 Jaguars!

Like I mentioned in first post in thread 6.5 pt spread has been easy money on favorite!

 

[8ate]

jax game ain't complete yet

gl

:howdy:

 

[BADGAS]

So far so good. I am on Dallas Over 43 and so far so good.

Will you be posting the open lines that you use for this system tommorrow? If not, could you suggest a site that I should use for this system?

Thks for your work

 

[Kojak]

For those that are interested, I will be posting late tonight opening lines with system plays. I am going to Cards/Pads game so won't be able to do it till I get back. BOL

 

[WinningWand]

don't forget minnesota opened at -6.5

 

[BADGAS]

Thanks Buddy!

 

[WinningWand]

For those that are interested, I will be posting late tonight opening lines with system plays. I am going to Cards/Pads game so won't be able to do it till I get back. BOL

the other thing that would be strong would be the stat of NFL teams with a bye week in front of them are like 19-1 ATS.

Jacksonville was one team and they were -6.5. Could be a super play in the end.

 

[cains]

Very interesting in deed... Been looking through this for this season, after reading this... I picked out 5 different bookies.. And the avr. line is the final number i come up with.. Following lines has a small pattern so far..

-1 = favorite cover 4 out of 4
-2,5 = dog wins 4 out of 4
-4 = dog wins 3 out of 4
-7 = favorite covers 5 out of 8 (wins 2out of 8 but dont cover)
-10 to -13= favorite covers 6 out 8 (2 times they didnt was with -10,5)

With totals there is not so much yet but:

42 = 5 out of 6 is OVER
43,5 to 49,5 = 9 out of 12 is UNDER

Does that fit in with any games this week???

-2,5 = Rams --> Packers WIN
-4 = Broncos --> Ravens WIN
-17 = Colts --> Colts WIN

Titans vs Colts, Redskins vs Giants, Rams vs Packers. If stats is correct 2 of those is UNDER games

Dont know why i had the colts with here, since no stats for -17 at all... But all 3 U/O games was WIN..

Just finished all stats for 2005/06 season..Will post it here shortly..

 

[cains]

Stats 2005/06

Total Lines

30-32 = 7-1-1 (U-O-P)
35,5 = 2-7
40,5 = 3-7
41 = 3-7
42 = 0-5
43,5 - 53 = 59-30
43,5 - 48 = 49-28
48,5 - 53 = 10-2

What i noticed most is, that HIGH totals usely goes UNDER...
And when bookies set the Total LOW, then it usely will be LOW...

Gonna use more time on my lines on the teams.. So they wont be up until tuesday or so.. But they are all splitted up in: Dog WIN / Dog Cover but Favorite Wins / Favorite Covers...

Will look closer at previus years sometime through the week, when i got some more time. Couse defently some things to be focused on here, that could make a few $$$

So THX KOJAK...

 

[Mr.L.]

Great job today Kojak looking foward to you system plays for next week.

GL
Mr L.

 

[DribbleDrive]

Wouldn't a site like statfox.com have stats to tell you how many times the Over or Under has hit for all numbers over the past 5 years? Or if the fav or dog covers more often when the spread is -2.5, -3.5 or whatever?

This whole "system" of Kojak's seams really easy to calculate and if there was a system there, a stat service would have uncovered it long ago.

As I showed in post #54, there certainly wasn't any total with a big trend based on the 2005 season. Someone's got to have the data for a longer period of time that can really prove if a real trend exists for certain spreads or totals.

I'll bet member ComptrBob knows where to find. ComptrBob you out there?

 

[Kojak]

Review:
With Baltimore and Baltimore over still pending, plays are 7-3-3. Three losses were all on numbers that had not shown overwhelming win percentage being Pitt (fell into subset), Car over, and Jacksonville under but I will note that both totals were extremely close to covering. One play I have included in win column is Arizona as 2 in dog number and had moved to 4 where I got it.

What I learned this week:
Here is a rundown of numbers and what if any trend I see:
47.5...Showed big under trend and continued with Indy under.Should be a large play when we see.
18.5...First time we saw number but went dog. Likely no big trend here
43.5...Was showing to be big under number and continued with Skins/Giants game. Need to upgrade to a medium play.
4....giants,49ers....Looks like a big favorite number from this week.Worth medium bet
6...Vikings....Got lucky but still going as a big fav number.Small bet going forward until more evidence.
37...Vikes/Lions,Panthers/Browns....Showed coming in as big over number. Vikes went over,Panthers went under as both games came down to wire both times. Looks to be a number we need to be more careful with and see more evidence before betting again.
7.5...Saints....Saw only one time previous with AZ/SF. Both dogs covered. worth small bet next time we see
36...NO/TB...Showing strong trend to over. Worth small bet going forward
3...Rams,Chargers...This looks like a number that we need to avoid with system. Seems like we need to monitor juice and road/home fav numbers before putting any more money on
46...Rams/GB...This number has been 50/50 so need to avoid as system play until more definitive
39....Dolphins/NE...Showing strong trend towards under....worth medium play when we see it
9.5...NE...Need more evidence to consider betting as depending on number could have won on either side
11..Bears...Continues to be big trend for favorite; number we should hammer favorite when we see it
34..Bears/Bills, Balt/Den (pending)....Nothing has changed as this has been a money over number and should be hammered
8...Panthers....Game pushed but still strong trend toward dog, worth small play
6.5....Jags....One of the best numbers with 34 where we need to hammer it. Still 100%
38...Jags/Jets...Went against trend...need to see more evidence so should lay off
2...KC...Got win or push based on number. Still trend toward dog, should be small play or need more evidence
43...KC/AZ,Dal/Phil....Still great over number as Dallas easy and KC number closed at 40 so all should have gotten win. Move up to medium play.
39.5...SF/Oak...Game went over so we need to see more
36.5...Chargers/Pitt....Showing strong trend to under. Worth at least small bet maybe medium
2.5...Had been going toward dog and now showing trend toward home team. Need to avoid until we get more definitive trend


Tomorrow night should be hammer time on both over and Balt as both are 2 of our top 3 numbers so far this year! Will be back in little bit on opening numbers for Wk 6 and if any plays based on trend. Note: this is not my official plays but simply way for all to see if trend is working or not!

 

[ct2582]

The thing is, it differentiates, year to year.

Kojak's stated that, and he said that is why he tracks it from year to year.

For this year though, the stats are what they are, and one must admit, they're hitting at an astounding rate.

For whatever reason that may be, of course.

Will it continue, who knows.

Let's see how it goes for MNF, where according to this, it should Balt should cover, probably win out right, and both the 1H over and O for the game should hit.

I'm on it.

Big.

 

[ct2582]

Thanks for the time and effort, Kojak.

It's appreciated.

I'm with you on the Over for 2m's game.

Hope we cash.

 

[DribbleDrive]

What I learned this week:
Here is a rundown of numbers and what if any trend I see:
47.5...Showed big under trend and continued with Indy under.Should be a large play when we see.

This was the first 47.5 this season, and only 2 all last season.

 

[darthvader5]

very useful information, thx a bunch!!!uppy:

 

[Kojak]

DarthVader,
I am trying to help people here. These are not my official plays but simply what I have tracked. You can laugh all you want, but if you don't have anything to add, simply you and your 8 posts can go somewhere else. The 3 strongest numbers have been unbelievable

6.5 Jacksonville (W) 41-0
Minnesota (W) 26-17
34 Bears/Buff over (W) 47 pts
11 Bears (W) 40-7

Pending:
34 Den/Balt
4.5 Balt

So go laugh somewhere else while I am counting my money, I don't have time for people like yourself.