I don't see any way Dallas covers tonight

[Paddywack]

Before I place my bet, I want to see what others think about this game.

First of all, the Birdman returns tonight. No way they would have lost the last game had he played. His tenacious defense was sorely missed, as evidenced by all the easy baskets Dirk made. KMart was taken to school over and over by Dirk. That is not the case with the Birdman. Secondly, his offensive rebounds and put backs were sorely missed.

In the friendly confines of their home court, with the crowd on their side, I can see them cruising to a 20 point victory. I think an excellent value play is the first half also.

Thoughts on the game?

 

[Paddywack]

Some trends courtesy of Covers:

• Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
• Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
• Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.

 

[YoungKramerstein]

I personally see this game completely differently. Of all the teams in history who could lose a 7 game series being up 3-0, I think it is the Nuggets. Now I don't think they will, I honestly believe they will win in 7, but hear me out on why I think they lose straight up tonight.

It would have been infinitely better for the Nuggs if they had been blown out last game, rather than being 30 seconds from the Western Conference finals and being beat by cold blooded Dirk jumpers. I still see some emotional instability with this team and I think they will nt come out with as much fire tonight. I think the momentum shifted seriosuly last game.

I'm putting more on the +9 because I think its a very safe play, but also tossing a little on Mavs ML because I really think they have a great chance to steal this game.

Dirk is cold blooded, and I think he puts them on his back this game. I also think people like J.R. Smith and Birdman try to play above their talent tonight because of immaturity, and shoot the Nuggets in the foot.

Just my thoughts, good luck on your play.

 

[crazyivan]

DAL are undervalued today.

 

[Bennyshoe]

just wondering how motivated Denver is with the way their families were treated in Dallas. They come out hungry tonight.

 

[jdub6810]

Dirk is a vagina.

 

[Smallplayer]

Dirk is a vagina.

I agree

He is definatly Not cold blooded

 

[crazyivan]

Well according to over 20,600 bets, 72% of these wagers are ATS in favor of the Denver Nugs

 

[kingking]

thats a pretty high public % . tough game to predict imo. go Mavs though!!! hope they keep it a game.

 

[Paddywack]

Well according to over 20,600 bets, 72% of these wagers are ATS in favor of the Denver Nugs

That has proven to be a useless indicator for what side to be on in the 2009 playoffs.

 

[mws]

just wondering how motivated Denver is with the way their families were treated in Dallas.

Cuban's comment happened before game 4. Now that the facts are coming out, it doesn't sound like anyone was mistreated during game 4.

 

[Mr_Mark]

im on denver to cover

 

[MRPOOPS]

Game is up to 10...


I think the Mavs a better shot covering a line like 10 than the Rockets did against the Lakers 12..

And alot of us think the Nuggets can beat the Lakers.

The Rockets had their 2 top players out. The Mavs unless Josh Howard is hurt are at full strength.

Im just trying to compare the 2 games.


Tough game to call.

 

[Bennyshoe]

Cuban's comment happened before game 4. Now that the facts are coming out, it doesn't sound like anyone was mistreated during game 4.

if you read the news, it said that Keynon Martin, Melo girlfriend and Billups' wife were verbally harassed in the stands on Monday night. Billups said things like that are a distraction for the players.

So Denver wants to close it out tonight i would hope but -10 is a lot of points.

 

[MRPOOPS]

if you read the news, it said that Keynon Martin, Melo girlfriend and Billups' wife were verbally harassed in the stands on Monday night. Billups said things like that are a distraction for the players.

So Denver wants to close it out tonight i would hope but -10 is a lot of points.

Jr Smith will be hoisting up 3s tonight bigtime

Will they go in?????