This is a very good point actually WW. I was trying to psych myself up for betting baseball yesterday and started looking at the numbers and the one thing that sticks out on average is that one pays HALF the juice then they do on most other sports as they do with baseball.
When I broke everything down on my end and looked at it over 800 plays a month (like I average) I thought to myself that I will be saving $15 a loss on each play (on a $300 per play basis).
So I then decided to break the numbers down a little more and I came up with this:
In an average month if I was to go 392-408 betting baseball and the 392 winners paid me +105 that would be 411.6 units or $123,480 and if the 408 losses are all 408 dogs prices (+100 per loss instead of the -105 one would pay on a +105 dog) meaning I would lose 408 units or $122,400 (based on $300 a unit). Meaning I would be up $1,080 at the end of the month.
Now here is the big thing and this is why I think baseball is so beatable. If I was playing into a 20 cent line like most every other sport (paying 5 cents more on average per loss or $15 in this $300 per bet example), then all these losses would add up to $128,520 on the loss end. So I would be down a little over 5k in a month just based on the fact i am paying double the juice instead of the positive 1k I would be up on reduced juice.
This adds up to a 6k difference PER MONTH for someone like me or around 36k over the entire baseball season. So YES you are right WW it makes a huge difference and something I don't pay enough attention to right now and will for sure with baseball. Good point!!
When I broke everything down on my end and looked at it over 800 plays a month (like I average) I thought to myself that I will be saving $15 a loss on each play (on a $300 per play basis).
So I then decided to break the numbers down a little more and I came up with this:
In an average month if I was to go 392-408 betting baseball and the 392 winners paid me +105 that would be 411.6 units or $123,480 and if the 408 losses are all 408 dogs prices (+100 per loss instead of the -105 one would pay on a +105 dog) meaning I would lose 408 units or $122,400 (based on $300 a unit). Meaning I would be up $1,080 at the end of the month.
Now here is the big thing and this is why I think baseball is so beatable. If I was playing into a 20 cent line like most every other sport (paying 5 cents more on average per loss or $15 in this $300 per bet example), then all these losses would add up to $128,520 on the loss end. So I would be down a little over 5k in a month just based on the fact i am paying double the juice instead of the positive 1k I would be up on reduced juice.
This adds up to a 6k difference PER MONTH for someone like me or around 36k over the entire baseball season. So YES you are right WW it makes a huge difference and something I don't pay enough attention to right now and will for sure with baseball. Good point!!
