From Nick Bogdanovich:
PITTSBURGH AT WASHINGTON: Another two point drop on a total, as 38 moved down to 36 fairly quickly. Washington has played very conservatively this year, with a strong defense keeping games from getting out of hand. This move makes a lot of sense to me. Pittsburgh has already played low scoring games with the NY Giants and Philadelphia from this division too. Not much yet happening on the team side. I'm sensing that guys want the dog with as many points as possible. That might not be much. If the sharps liked the favorite, they'd have stepped in at less than a field goal. That didn't happen, which suggests another "waiting" game with underdog sentiment. We'll have to wait and see what the public does on Monday. You can usually count on squares to bet cheap home teams on Monday nights. Note that Pittsburgh is in the teaser window. Many sharps will include the Steelers in teaser round robins then buy back some on the Skins and shoot for a middle if things go well Sunday.
PITTSBURGH AT WASHINGTON: Another two point drop on a total, as 38 moved down to 36 fairly quickly. Washington has played very conservatively this year, with a strong defense keeping games from getting out of hand. This move makes a lot of sense to me. Pittsburgh has already played low scoring games with the NY Giants and Philadelphia from this division too. Not much yet happening on the team side. I'm sensing that guys want the dog with as many points as possible. That might not be much. If the sharps liked the favorite, they'd have stepped in at less than a field goal. That didn't happen, which suggests another "waiting" game with underdog sentiment. We'll have to wait and see what the public does on Monday. You can usually count on squares to bet cheap home teams on Monday nights. Note that Pittsburgh is in the teaser window. Many sharps will include the Steelers in teaser round robins then buy back some on the Skins and shoot for a middle if things go well Sunday.
I create equations using the Kelly Criterium and multplying by the square root of pie. Then i factor in the teams win lose record with other variables such as weather, etc....Then I play with my lucky sack. Finally i log in to my computer and better the opposite way of the my public as a bookie
Very intense capping
Got one thing right playing with your sack. Does that formula also tell you that you are a DBAG.
Look at it this way you are jealous of all of they hype that BB gets. However his info can be used in 1 of 3 ways.
1) Follow
2) Fade
3) Dont even read it
or in your case decide that he is getting to much attention so you become a dbag
Just thinking 2 reg. average teams will have a normal from 42 to 44 pts by Vegas line. But usually pitts and Redskins will score less than a TD than other. So don't think 37 or 37.5 is a little.Redskin and Under............
Later Days
Have a feeling someone is on my boat as well.
Under 37 to nite
Unders 37-risking 4.24 to win 4.0---solid play
Redskins----risking 2.23 to win 2.0
ytd------C*v*rs Posted and 1 week back at rx
Sides 28-21 +55.35 units
Totals 14-4 +17.66
ML 1-0 +2.15
Solid Plays 5-6-2
Big Plays 5-1
Mad Shit Props Dogg (10 units +++) 1-0
ytd
43-25-2 (+75.16) or $7516.00
64%
Redskins----risking 2.23 to win 2.0
ytd------C*v*rs Posted and 1 week back at rx
Sides 28-21 +55.35 units
Totals 14-4 +17.66
ML 1-0 +2.15
Solid Plays 5-6-2
Big Plays 5-1
Mad Shit Props Dogg (10 units +++) 1-0
ytd
43-25-2 (+75.16) or $7516.00
64%
