GS,
This is not a rebuttle I just know you appreciate good information. Mendenhall didn't do much in terms of rushing last season against Mizzou and it wasn't because the D was keying in on him. Honestly, nobody really knew who Mendenhall was last year to start the season. In fact, the only Illini RB that did well last year in the Mizzou game was Daniel Dufrane, who ran 6 times for 58 yds. His avg for the season was 6.3 yds/carry which was about the same as Mendenhall. Dufrane was a JUCO transfer with no D1 experience last year so there was no way he was going to compete for the starting job but he did awesome as a back up. Troy Pollard was a FR. RB last year who played real well until he went out for the season with an injury. Both these guys along with a couple talented freshman will fill the void Mendenhall left. If there is one thing the Illini do well, it's run the football. I think from a betting stand point there is value in the Illini this year because their offense will be hands down better than last year, especially now that there are actually some receivers and TE's to catch the football. I'm not saying they will beat Mizzou because I think Mizzou will be rediculous this year but 9 points in what is becoming a good rivalry game, is a gift.
Trust me, Zook and Co. want everyone to think they are going to be lost without Mendenhall but ever since Mike Locksley came in as OC, the Illini have led the Big 10 in rushing, not OSU or Wisconsin which is who most would guess.