How to translate your totals number into a percentage of being correct?

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When doing moneyline or spread it's easy as you can compare one team's winning % to the other team's and get it to equal 100%.. but with totals you only have one number.. what do you compare it to?

Ex.

Oklahoma City Thunder = 185.18 = 47%
Los Angeles Lakers = 208.82 = 53%

(I don't if the above is a reasonable way to determine the winner or not as I have never bet moneyline. I have always bet totals, but playing every game.. I've had some success with this but I imagine I could be doing better if I only bet on the best games. In order to figure out which games are best though, I need to figure out my odds of being right in order to compare to the sportsbook odds. If anyone knows how to do this, please give me some insight.)

Oklahoma City Thunder & Los Angeles Lakers = 194 = ?%
 

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