[h=1]How to bet Dallas-New Orleans[/h]
ESPN INSIDER
NFL Week 4 has arrived and includes a Sunday night matchup between Dallas and New Orleans. ESPN Chalk's Vegas experts are here to provide analysis on the game. Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas as of Saturday afternoon.
[h=2]Matchup: Dallas Cowboys atNew Orleans Saints[/h]Spread: Opened New Orleans -3; remains New Orleans -3
Total: Opened 47.0; now 47.5
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[h=2]Over/under[/h]Erin Rynning: The Saints will be looking to make amends after being embarrassed by the Cowboys last season 38-17 as three-point favorites on the road. Of course, with their record at 0-3, a win to turn their season around is paramount. Drew Brees is probable, and that gives the Saints an important edge at the quarterback position against Brandon Weeden. The Saints wanted to become a more physical football team this season, while winning the line of scrimmage. To date, the new philosophy has backfired, as the Saints have been outgained on the ground in all three of their games. I still expect an attempt at the run game in this contest, with a focus on the short-passing game to protect their quarterback.
In addition, the Saints will hope to get healthy in their secondary for the Sunday matchup, with both Keenan Lewis and Jairus Byrd expected to return. Meanwhile, the Cowboys were able to produce 28 points last week in their loss to the Atlanta Falcons. However, they gained 347 yards and were shut out in the second half. Still, playing on the road and trying to replace the production ofTony Romo and Dez Bryant will prove difficult. I'll bet the under in this matchup with a lean to the Saints.
Wunderdog: No Romo and possibly no Brees takes a lot of offense out of this one. Dallas trots out Weeden once again. He has lost each of his past nine starts and owns more interceptions than touchdown passes over his career. The Cowboys are missing Romo as they own the worst yards at catch in the NFL at 4.2. Dallas receivers have only caught passes of 25-plus yards three times this season. The Saints aren't much better either, with just seven. The days of the Saints offense hanging 30 points almost like clockwork are over, and in their past five games they have not even reached 24. Once a lock for 30 points at home, the Saints past three here have resulted in just 14.3 points per game. Needless to say, these are teams with big offensive reputations, but are no longer the same threat. Take the under.
[h=2]Against the spread[/h]Dave Tuley: The NFL Vegas Rankings had Dallas rated 5 points over New Orleans, though I wrote we would upgrade the Saints by 3 points if Brees played, but would recommend the Cowboys as an underdog. I'm sticking with that. I don't see why the 0-3 Saints, even with Brees. vs. Weeden, are such a favorite over a Cowboys team that has a better record against better competition. Besides, the Saints have lost six straight games in the Superdome, so I'm not sure they should be getting many points for home-field advantage these days.
ATS pick: Cowboys +3
ESPN INSIDER
NFL Week 4 has arrived and includes a Sunday night matchup between Dallas and New Orleans. ESPN Chalk's Vegas experts are here to provide analysis on the game. Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas as of Saturday afternoon.
Total: Opened 47.0; now 47.5
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[h=2]Over/under[/h]Erin Rynning: The Saints will be looking to make amends after being embarrassed by the Cowboys last season 38-17 as three-point favorites on the road. Of course, with their record at 0-3, a win to turn their season around is paramount. Drew Brees is probable, and that gives the Saints an important edge at the quarterback position against Brandon Weeden. The Saints wanted to become a more physical football team this season, while winning the line of scrimmage. To date, the new philosophy has backfired, as the Saints have been outgained on the ground in all three of their games. I still expect an attempt at the run game in this contest, with a focus on the short-passing game to protect their quarterback.
In addition, the Saints will hope to get healthy in their secondary for the Sunday matchup, with both Keenan Lewis and Jairus Byrd expected to return. Meanwhile, the Cowboys were able to produce 28 points last week in their loss to the Atlanta Falcons. However, they gained 347 yards and were shut out in the second half. Still, playing on the road and trying to replace the production ofTony Romo and Dez Bryant will prove difficult. I'll bet the under in this matchup with a lean to the Saints.
Wunderdog: No Romo and possibly no Brees takes a lot of offense out of this one. Dallas trots out Weeden once again. He has lost each of his past nine starts and owns more interceptions than touchdown passes over his career. The Cowboys are missing Romo as they own the worst yards at catch in the NFL at 4.2. Dallas receivers have only caught passes of 25-plus yards three times this season. The Saints aren't much better either, with just seven. The days of the Saints offense hanging 30 points almost like clockwork are over, and in their past five games they have not even reached 24. Once a lock for 30 points at home, the Saints past three here have resulted in just 14.3 points per game. Needless to say, these are teams with big offensive reputations, but are no longer the same threat. Take the under.
[h=2]Against the spread[/h]Dave Tuley: The NFL Vegas Rankings had Dallas rated 5 points over New Orleans, though I wrote we would upgrade the Saints by 3 points if Brees played, but would recommend the Cowboys as an underdog. I'm sticking with that. I don't see why the 0-3 Saints, even with Brees. vs. Weeden, are such a favorite over a Cowboys team that has a better record against better competition. Besides, the Saints have lost six straight games in the Superdome, so I'm not sure they should be getting many points for home-field advantage these days.
ATS pick: Cowboys +3
