[h=1]How to bet Buffalo-Seattle[/h]NFL Vegas Experts
Special to ESPN.com
ESPN INSIDER
ESPN Chalk's Vegas experts are here to provide analysis and best bets for all Week 9 games, including Sunday night's tilt between Denver and Oakland and Monday night's Buffalo-Seattle matchup.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Sunday morning.
Spread: Opened Seattle -7; now Seattle -7 (EVEN)
Total: Opened 44; now 44<offer style="box-sizing: border-box;"></offer>
PickCenter public consensus pick: 54 percent Seattle
Public perception: The public is mostly split on the Monday Night Football game. The Seahawks would normally be the choice, but the line being relatively high evens it out more. Besides, the Seahawks are 4-2-1 SU but only 3-4 ATS for backers (Bills are 4-4 SU & ATS).
Wiseguys' view: The sharps prefer the Bills +7 but would be much more split at 6.5 (with plenty of wiseguys likely to lay under a touchdown).
Dave Tuley's take: Both these teams have been inconsistent, as shown by their ATS records. The Seahawks' offense has had issues all season and the six points against the Cardinals in their tie game is almost less surprising than them being able to score only 20 against the Saints. So, I don't expect Russell Wilsonto light up the scoreboard against the Buffalo defense, and I'm encouraged with the Bills' chances of moving the ball on Seattle's No. 6 defense with RB LeSean McCoy upgraded to probable. This just looks more like a field goal game to me.
The pick: Bills +7*
Erin Rynning:
The Bills have been a tricky team to handicap. Under Rex Ryan, they've often played a sloppy, undisciplined brand of football, similar to their last two weeks of play in losing to the Dolphins and Patriots. However, they have sandwiched their losses this season with a four-game winning streak, while impressively physically controlling the game. The Bills' defensive front should give this Seattle offensive line issues and already a Seattle offense with just 19 offensive points in their last two games. However, this Bills' offense simply can't throw the football -- they rank 31st in the NFL in passing. A one-dimensional offense should seemingly find it difficult winning in Seattle, but of course, the Seahawks will be missing two vital pieces on defense in Kam Chancellor and Michael Bennett.
Play: Pass
Rufus Peabody:
Despite losing in New Orleans last week, Seattle hangs on to the No. 2 spot in this week's Massey-Peabody ratings. The Seahawks' performance graded out as the sixth best in the league last week, due primarily to an offense that averaged 8.1 yards per pass play and had a play success rate of 57.7 percent. The Seahawks have struggled this year to mount a rushing attack in the absence of Marshawn Lynch, with their running backs averaging only 3.6 yards per rush (27th in the NFL). They also have only three rushes of 15-plus yards all season, tied for last in the NFL. Two straight poor showings have dropped Buffalo from the seventh-rated team in football after Week 6 to No. 11 now. My model gives the Seahawks a 71.6 percent chance of winning.
Pick: Pass
Massey-Peabody Line: Seattle -7.0, Total 44.3
Mike Clay:
Prediction: Seattle 23, Buffalo 19
The pick: Buffalo and the under -- BUF +7, 43.5
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Special to ESPN.com
ESPN INSIDER
ESPN Chalk's Vegas experts are here to provide analysis and best bets for all Week 9 games, including Sunday night's tilt between Denver and Oakland and Monday night's Buffalo-Seattle matchup.
Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Sunday morning.
Total: Opened 44; now 44<offer style="box-sizing: border-box;"></offer>
PickCenter public consensus pick: 54 percent Seattle
Public perception: The public is mostly split on the Monday Night Football game. The Seahawks would normally be the choice, but the line being relatively high evens it out more. Besides, the Seahawks are 4-2-1 SU but only 3-4 ATS for backers (Bills are 4-4 SU & ATS).
Wiseguys' view: The sharps prefer the Bills +7 but would be much more split at 6.5 (with plenty of wiseguys likely to lay under a touchdown).
Dave Tuley's take: Both these teams have been inconsistent, as shown by their ATS records. The Seahawks' offense has had issues all season and the six points against the Cardinals in their tie game is almost less surprising than them being able to score only 20 against the Saints. So, I don't expect Russell Wilsonto light up the scoreboard against the Buffalo defense, and I'm encouraged with the Bills' chances of moving the ball on Seattle's No. 6 defense with RB LeSean McCoy upgraded to probable. This just looks more like a field goal game to me.
The pick: Bills +7*
Erin Rynning:
The Bills have been a tricky team to handicap. Under Rex Ryan, they've often played a sloppy, undisciplined brand of football, similar to their last two weeks of play in losing to the Dolphins and Patriots. However, they have sandwiched their losses this season with a four-game winning streak, while impressively physically controlling the game. The Bills' defensive front should give this Seattle offensive line issues and already a Seattle offense with just 19 offensive points in their last two games. However, this Bills' offense simply can't throw the football -- they rank 31st in the NFL in passing. A one-dimensional offense should seemingly find it difficult winning in Seattle, but of course, the Seahawks will be missing two vital pieces on defense in Kam Chancellor and Michael Bennett.
Play: Pass
Rufus Peabody:
Despite losing in New Orleans last week, Seattle hangs on to the No. 2 spot in this week's Massey-Peabody ratings. The Seahawks' performance graded out as the sixth best in the league last week, due primarily to an offense that averaged 8.1 yards per pass play and had a play success rate of 57.7 percent. The Seahawks have struggled this year to mount a rushing attack in the absence of Marshawn Lynch, with their running backs averaging only 3.6 yards per rush (27th in the NFL). They also have only three rushes of 15-plus yards all season, tied for last in the NFL. Two straight poor showings have dropped Buffalo from the seventh-rated team in football after Week 6 to No. 11 now. My model gives the Seahawks a 71.6 percent chance of winning.
Pick: Pass
Massey-Peabody Line: Seattle -7.0, Total 44.3
Mike Clay:
Prediction: Seattle 23, Buffalo 19
The pick: Buffalo and the under -- BUF +7, 43.5
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