Enfuego,
you are are absolutely correct. This last week I've been on a tear bringing in over 1,100$ And my startegy has been pretty simple. I stopped looking at trends and stats so much and just evaluated the line and told myself, "keep it simple stupid." Thus far, not over thinking these games has been the best strategy possible... Patriots +3, easy choice for a win, steelers as a pick'em at home, easy choice.... I think the same strategy applies here. The Giants are coming off a bye and will put up a fight, but they are down to a rookie running back and no victor Cruz for a deep threat. Give me the colts -3 because, well because it's andrew luck, T.Y. Hilton, Reggie Wayne and company.... "Should" be a 10-14 point win. BOL to you enfuego, im on the colts with ua. Stay hot.....pun intended
This has been my strategy for a while. I focus on totals and when I see certain QBs...especially when you have 2 good ones going....that's almost an automatic over play for me. Stats and all are good, but you gotta know who's playing too =) "KEEP IT SIMPLE, STUPID." LOL that was funny.
Well, well, well, what do we have here? Remember my "Always trust the odds maker" thread? Looks like we have the same situation here as we had last week when Indy played the Steelers. Everyone and their brother was on Indy and the Steelers blew the doors off them!
Now you tell me how anyone in their right mind won't bet the Colts in this game. Money is pouring in on the Colts and yet.......the line hasn't moved one inch!! We used to have a column here that would call this a "sucker bet". And you get to bet the Colts laying -115.
So.....beware folks.....something is fishy in this game!
I agree with BAGIANT. Opened at -3 with 73%+ on Indy and guess what happens... THE FRIGGIN LINE DOESN't MOVE ALL FRIGGIN WEEK. Can anyone tell me why this is happening????
t spreadsseeing some 3+, but look at the juice jockeying that's been going on, at some point, you could get even money, then there's -120, back to even money, yada, yada, yada. It's all about the vig to the books. What's pinny doing for the past 48 hours?
~t~
time | ind | nyg |
11/03 11:08 am | -3 -103 | +3 -107 |
11/03 08:37 am | -3 -102 | +3 -108 |
11/03 06:45 am | -3 -103 | +3 -107 |
11/03 06:28 am | -3 -104 | +3 -106 |
11/03 06:28 am | -3 -105 | +3 -105 |
11/03 06:18 am | -3 -106 | +3 -104 |
11/03 05:50 am | -3 -107 | +3 -103 |
11/03 04:22 am | -3 -106 | +3 -104 |
11/02 11:33 pm | -3 -104 | +3 -106 |
11/02 11:30 pm | -3 -105 | +3 -105 |
11/02 08:53 pm | -3 -102 | +3 -108 |
11/02 08:52 pm | -3 -104 | +3 -106 |
11/02 06:19 pm | -3 -109 | +3 -101 |
11/02 03:43 pm | -3 -111 | +3 +101 |
11/02 10:21 am | -3 -112 | +3 +102 |
11/02 10:21 am | -3 -113 | +3 +102 |
11/01 10:36 am | -3 -115 | +3 +104 |
10/31 07:40 pm | -3 -110 | +3 +100 |
10/31 05:07 pm | -3½ +116 | +3½ -128 |
10/29 11:08 pm | -3½ +111 | +3½ -123 |
10/29 06:33 pm | -3½ +108 | +3½ -119 |
10/29 11:54 am | -3½ +104 | +3½ -115 |
10/28 09:21 am | -3 -123 | +3 +111 |
10/27 12:50 am | -3 -116 | +3 +105 |
10/26 06:37 pm | -3 -113 | +3 +102 |
10/26 06:36 pm | -3 -117 | +3 +106 |
10/26 06:28 pm | -3 -113 | +3 +102 |