Hotty Toddy's Week 1

[HottyToddy]

Good to be back fellas! Hopefully we can get it going this year! Lets start it out right! I won't be writing elobarate write ups but if you have any questions please ask. Im on the ipad and hate typing on it. I can assure you that I have put in the time but doesn't mean success. My plays will be rated from 1-10 units... I will rarely have a ten unit play and I will not start posting them regularly if I'm sucking lol. The info you get is what I'm actually playing... I do really like a few of the Thursday games which is scary but there's no room for scared money.

Thursday
Temple +14 -115- 8 units
Temple ML +420- 1 unit
Temple U 50.5- 10 unit
Ole Miss -11- 3 units
Wazzu -8- 3 units

Thats a monster Thursday card but I play what my "Capping" tells me. I know I said rarely will play a 10 unit play and you may not see 5 more all year but when your numbers are staggering you play it no matter what week it is. Those that know me know I'm more conservative than risky. Hopefully it works out but if not we have a long year to make it up. Folks that 8 unit play is absolutely huge for me. Most weeks ill have around 4-6 plays total in a week and I have 5 on a Thursday. Do not take my OM and Wazzu plays lightly either because that's the norm. When my numbers show an advantage ill play them accordingly its just most of the time I have much fewer plays.

ill just go ahead and share my Temple numbers with you. I have Vandy favored by 5 1/2 and I have the Total set at 36 1/2. It wouldn't surprise me to see Temple win outright thus the ML play but its more of a value play. A 13-10 or 17-14 type score wouldn't surprise me at all. I just don't see either team being to impressive on the offensive side of the ball but I've been bad wrong before. Of course Vandy wins 51-0 lol.

Friday
Houston over 56- 3 units

Saturday
UCLA -21- 5 units
Georgia -7.5- 3 units
Marshall O 59- 3 units
Arkansas +19- 3 units

Sunday

Utah St U 51.5- 5 units
Baylor -33- 5 units
Baylor over 73- 4 units

Well folks that's the biggest opening weekend card ever.... All 13 plays.. Seriously fellas lets all enjoy the start of college football. Good luck to you all!

 

[sendacash]

Question for you about that Wazzu game. How much home field advantage do you give the Cougars (if any), with the game being played in Seattle?

 

[HottyToddy]

I don't give them any home field advantage in the game. I don't see how playing there once a year can be much of advantage... I think the total tickets sold is right at 30000... Place is going to be empty.

 

[SECplayer]

Good luck HottyToddy.

 

[linebets]

Good luck this year HT.

 

[indiana]

H/T...........welcome back and BOL with all your action this season...........indy

 

[HottyToddy]

Thank you fellas. Best of luck to you!

 

[HottyToddy]

Wow Temple looked great. Wow Vandy looked awful (will probably beat my Rebs next weekend lol). I knew that the Moneyline had a good chance but Damn that was butt kicking. Seriously was very impressed with Temple especially the offense. Much improved over last years version. Thought the under was done after the scoop and score at the end of the 1st half but it slowed down like we thought it would in the second half only scoring 16 points. I thought my Rebs were about to get beat when Freeze decided to go for a 4th and 1 instead of kicking a 35 yard field goal. Bo Wallace is still Bo Wallace. A senior in his 3rd year of the offense is still playing erratic. He locks in on the 1 and doesn't go through his progression for 3 quarters. Then Boom it clicked in the 4th quarter and he was a new QB... Progressing and checking down and lit it up. For OM to contend for the upper tier he has to play consistently. The Rebs D was as advertised. We were fast, physical, nasty, and ball hungry tonight. Robert Nkemdiche disrupted all night. He's going to be tough to handle at the tackle position especially when Gross gets back. Gross and Nkemdiche have a chance to be the best Dtackle duo in the SEC. 8 sacks and 4 Ints.. Gave up some big plays but that is to be expected when you play such an aggressive style. Totally missed on the Wazzu play. My numbers and my personal opinion was just off. I really thought that in year 3 Mike Leachs team was primed to handle Rutgers. That's a big loss for him. An average team came across country and got it done. Good start for Rutgers in the BIG traveling across country to win in PAC 12 country. I couldn't ask for a better start to the year but its only a start. I've got a long way to go this week but a 4-1 start with a +420 money line blow out. First night and up a very good 21.9 units. I probably should buy all of my other wagers back and pocket 20 units on the week lol. No seriously. Hope everybody had a great night and made some profitbtobstart the season off good. Good night fellas!

Thursday Night- 4-1 + 21.9 units

Temple +14 -115- 8 units- Winner
Temple ML +420- 1 unit- Winner
Temple U 50.5- 10 unit- Winner
Ole Miss -11- 3 units- Winner
Wazzu -8- 3 units- loser

 

[TheFalls]

Very nice call on the ML...

Vandy was so painful to watch-I felt bad for anyone who was on them.

 

[ERockMoney]

Well played.

As a Temple alum, I really enjoyed that last night. You learn to savor the wins a little bit more when they are so few and far between. As for Ole Miss, I really think they have a legitimate opportunity to compete for the conferences best defense, which is saying a hell of a lot when you are talking the SEC.

Best of luck this season.

 

[TyBounce]

Great start Toddy.

 

[rolltide]

was all over temple myself but not enough balls to grab the ML. well done!

btw, where are all your peeps here in Atlanta? damn dome was a ghost town last night...literally have seen only 2 ole miss shirts out here in decatur but on my way downtown right now. time to check out the new CFB HOF

 

[HottyToddy]

Well RT most of us Ole Miss fans had a choice to make.... Atlanta or Nashville and most chose Nashville. We only sold around 15,000 tickets and most who went left Thursday and coming back Friday. Really if we had a home game next weekend we would of sold much more. Nashville is Ole Miss home away from home and we will flock. I figure there will 30,000 Rebels in town next weekend. Most of them like me. Leave Thursday to stay with transplanted family and friends. No excuse though.. We should of traveled better and I'm one that stayed home . Lol Bama could of seriously played a Mississippi high school team and sold it out.

Have a great one Roll Tide. Congrats on your big cash. Appreciate the kind words.

 

[HottyToddy]

Well played.

As a Temple alum, I really enjoyed that last night. You learn to savor the wins a little bit more when they are so few and far between. As for Ole Miss, I really think they have a legitimate opportunity to compete for the conferences best defense, which is saying a hell of a lot when you are talking the SEC.

Best of luck this season.

Best of luck to you as we'll Rock. Thank you.

 

[HottyToddy]

Thank you Falls and TY Bounce... Bol to you guys.

 

[SECplayer]

Well RT most of us Ole Miss fans had a choice to make.... Atlanta or Nashville and most chose Nashville. We only sold around 15,000 tickets and most who went left Thursday and coming back Friday. Really if we had a home game next weekend we would of sold much more. Nashville is Ole Miss home away from home and we will flock. I figure there will 30,000 Rebels in town next weekend. Most of them like me. Leave Thursday to stay with transplanted family and friends. No excuse though.. We should of traveled better and I'm one that stayed home . Lol Bama could of seriously played a Mississippi high school team and sold it out.

Have a great one Roll Tide. Congrats on your big cash. Appreciate the kind words.

I thought we sold around twice that? Was thinking 30,000-35,000.

problem is Boise sold about 1,800. Which I can't really blame them considering its a 3,000 mile trip.

Neutral site game game on a Thursday night; probably a good idea to match two team relatively close to the venue. Ole Miss vs any ACC school and it's likely close to a sellout.

 

[mws]

Congrats on a great start to the season. Great calls on the Temple game!

 

[HottyToddy]

Congrats on a great start to the season. Great calls on the Temple game!

Thank you MWS. A blind squirrel finds an acorn every now and then. I really hate to have this much action. I'm a 5 games a weekend guy but Last night settled the nerves some. Best of luck to you bud. Hope you have a 70% season

 

[HottyToddy]

SECplayer I hope all is well with you bud. You're probably correct on the number. Yeah the Boise matchup is good on paper but its no way for them to travel well. A UNC or NC State matchup makes much more sense. Man I was impressed with our D last night. We flew to the ball... When gross gets back that Dline is going to be wow good... If oline and QB play gets better we can be very good. We have 3 weeks to figure it out.

 

[Well-Seasoned]

Best of luck HT...............Great call on the Temple game.......That's some elite capping, especially since you went a lot bigger on it compared to others.