Horse Racing 12-3-16

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey

It is opening day at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, the 11-race card featuring nine stakes that make up the 18th edition of the Claiming Crown. The nine stakes offer over $1 million in purses for horses that have started for a claiming tag.

The feature at Aqueduct is the $250,000 Go for Wand Handicap (G3) and there are a pair of graded stakes at Del Mar—the $200,000 Bayakoa Handicap (G2) and the $300,000 Hollywood Derby (G1).

Who said the year ends with the Breeders’ Cup?

The Claiming Crown card is fantastic with fields of 11,11,14,14,14,13,14,9 and 14. It took me most of Thursday evening and half the day Friday to complete the report.

There is a ton of excitement surrounding the Gulfstream Park meeting, with the $12 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational less than two months away, and of course we will see plenty of Kentucky Derby hopefuls over the next four months.

The focus of opening day is the bread and butter horses that generally run for small purses that have an opportunity to run for some serious cash in the Claiming Crown.

Trainer Mike Maker is the all-time leading trainer in Claiming Crown wins and he takes another big run this year with contenders in six of the nine races.

The Gerald Bennet barn has been hot and he has rumens in three races, while Jorge Navarro has runners in five races.

I will be handicapping Gulfstream Park full time through April 1, which is Florida Derby Day. I will be doing a report for Aqueduct each Saturday during the winter.

My Best Plays Report for Saturday includes my 12 strongest plays from Aqueduct, Del Mar and Gulfstream Park.


Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:

GP Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:00 ET)
#10 Gentle Kitten 5-1
#1 Aquemini 3-1
#8 Psalmody 4-1
#12 Saratoga Citizen 20-1

Analysis: Gentle Kitten stalked the early pace, came with a six-wide bid and did not have enough punch left late in a third place finish last out at Churchill Downs, beaten four lengths for the top spot. Two back at Keeneland the filly came with a good late run to finish in the runner up spot. Looks like she has been facing a bit tougher than she meets here. She is out of the stakes winner Menifeeque ($164,938) who has dropped three winners and two have won on turf, top earner stakes winner Thank You Marylou ($444,292).

Aquemini came with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out at Gulfstream Park West at this distance against Florida breds. The filly ran second in her first two outings here against open maidens. She adds blinkers here for the Nicks barn. She is out of a Street Cry mare that has dropped one other foal to race, Ian Smith ($82,997) his one win coming on turf.

Wagering
WIN: #10 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 1,10 / 1,8,10,12
TRI: 1,10 / 1,8,10,12 / 1,2,8,10,12

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 8 The Go for Wand Hcp G3 (3:43 ET)
#4 Wonder Gal 9-5
#3 Bar of Gold 8-5
#5 Highway Star 8-1
#7 High Ridge Road 6-1

Analysis: Wonder Gal faded to finish 10th last out in the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1) and drops into an easier spot here. Three back this gal was a sharp winner against state bred Alw-2 optional claimers where she trounced the field by 11 1/2 lengths earning a career top speed fig. Her last trip at a one turn mile was last June where she was a good third in the Acorn (G1), beaten a length by Curalina. She figures to bounce back with a better effort here with the class relief.

Bar of Gold trounced the field in the state bred Empire Distaff 'Cap where she won by 10 lengths in the slop., She is now perfect in five trips on wet tracks and 0 for 9 on fast dirt surfaces. Her Beyer of 109 last out was 17 pints higher than her previous high. She won't catch a wet track and figures to regress off her last but still fits in this spot.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 3,4 / 3,4,5,7
TRI: 3,4 / 3,4,5,7 / 3,4,5,6,7

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:

GP Race 10 The Claiming Crown Jewel (4:34 ET)
#3 Royal Posse 7-5
#1 Bigger Picture 4-1
#7 John Jones 9-2
#4 Mr. Kisses 10-1

Analysis: Royal Posse is back to defend his title here for the RRod barn. The trainer took this guy for just $20,000 in May of 2015 and he has landed in the exacta in 13 straight starts for the barn. He won this race last year in the slop after a second in the state bred Empire Classic. This year he comes in here riding a three race winning streak, winning the Empire Classic this year in a near career top effort. He is 8 for 11 at nine furlongs and looks very tough in this spot.

Bigger Picture is coming off a win in the Red Smith Handicap (G3) on turf at 1 3/8 miles. The Mike Maker trainee has only raced on conventional dirt twice in his career, the last a third versus $25,000 claimers at seven furlongs at the Spa in August of '14. Maker claimed this guy for $32,00 last November and he has won 4 of 7 for the barn and earned over $300,000. The gelding has worked well on dirt. The barn is 15% winners moving runners from turf to dirt.

John Jones was off a beat slow last out and after pressing the early pace opened up heading for home and drew clear to win by nearly five lengths against $35,000 starter allowance foes. The Lacey Gaudet barn claimed this guy for $25,000 and he is perfect for the new connections in four starts including winning the restricted Mister Diz at Laurel Park going six furlongs on turf in his first go for the barn. His last trip was his first at nine furlongs. He is sharp and will be forwardly placed.

Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 1,3 / 1,3,4,7
TRI: 1,3 / 1,3,4,7 / 1,3,4,5,7

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R1: #3 Schott 8-1
R2: #1 Orleans Avenue 8-1
R4: #6 Complicit 10-1
R4: #10 Sophie Germaine 10-1
R6: #2 Proven Commodity 10-1
R7: #5 Astounding 15-1
R8: #5 Highway Star 8-1
R9: #10 Stay Safe Kitten 12-1

Good luck today!
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Post: 1:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$11100 - CD 2-6YO NW 5 EXT PM RACES OR $25,000 LIFE
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 6 FRISKIE CRUISER 3/1
# 3 THE CATAMOUNT KID 5/1
# 5 DAFINATY 5/2

Hey, listen up! FRISKIE CRUISER is the educated bet if you like to win. Overall rankings appear very good. Can't throw out at this point. When the trainer Burke puts Palone up for the drive really good things happen. Just check out the 33 win percent. Considered a solid bet based solely on his high triumph percentage. THE CATAMOUNT KID - Should compete quite well in this contest as his style of running fits well in this pack. This gelding has been racing against some of the most competitive company in this group of horses recently. DAFINATY - He has been going to post solidly and the TrackMaster Speed Ratings are among the most compelling in the race. Good for a win bet just off the outstanding prior class stats. Have to like this nice horse.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Post: 7:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$6000 - PROGRESSIVE CLAIMING SERIES FILLIES & MARES CLAIMING $6000
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 2 MISS JIM BOB 9/2
# 5 ROCHAS HANOVER 5/2
# 3 CYPRESS HILL ROSE 2/1

The consensus in this contest is that MISS JIM BOB is the one to beat. Worth considering for this race if only for the very nice TrackMaster speed fig achieved in the most recent affair. A really good win clip has been earned by nice horses coming from the 2 hole. The driver Schillaci has a knack with this mare, regularly cashing in their contests. ROCHAS HANOVER - Take a look at this interesting entrant's avg speed ranking of 75 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a nice wager. Has to be given a look based on the nice speed figure recorded in the most recent race. CYPRESS HILL ROSE - Wrenn is racking up the wins these days. Amazing win percent makes this race horse our choice. Recorded a 67 TrackMaster Speed Rating last out. A duplicate effort here should get the triumph here.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $125000 Class Rating: 86

DISPLAY S. - FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $125 EACH WHICH SHALL ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION AND AN ADDITIONAL $1,250 WHEN MAKING ENTRY. THE PURSE TO BE DIVIDED: 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, 2% TO FIFTH, 1% TO SIXTH, 1% TO SEVENTH, 1% TO EIGHTH. WEIGHT 122 LBS. WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES OF $60,000 TWICE AT A MILE OR OVER,


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 8 KING AND HIS COURT 2/1

# 2 GUY CABALLERO 8/1

# 9 JUROJIN 20/1

My choice in this event is KING AND HIS COURT. This pick will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today. Has to be given consideration based on the strong Equibase Speed Fig earned in the last affair. GUY CABALLERO - Has performed admirably recently in route races, posting a nifty 83 avg speed rating. This gelding with Hernandez in the irons makes him a solid choice. JUROJIN - Is hard not to look at given the company run in as of late.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $15500 Class Rating: 85

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 4 FIRST TO MOON YOU 6/1

# 12 ONE SWEET ROJO 30/1

# 9 KENNEL KITTY 4/1

FIRST TO MOON YOU appears to be the wager in here. Could beat this group given the 84 speed rating posted in his last outing. Has strong Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a bet in this race. This gelding has a strong win percentage in short races. ONE SWEET ROJO - Has been racing well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Recent figures for the jockey - 21 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group of horses in this race. KENNEL KITTY - Has run solidly when racing a short race. Has ran quite well in short races.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:00pm - SS - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $110,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating:

#12 A PLACE TO SHINE (ML=9/2)
#11 MOONSHINE PROMISE (ML=10/1)
#1 LITTLEMISSPERFECT (ML=5/1)
#14 TOO CLEVER BY HALF (ML=12/1)


A PLACE TO SHINE - I like to bet on this angle, a racer coming back off a nice outing within the last thirty days. This filly is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money. A little change in scenery has got to do this animal well. Reading the PP lines, it seems like she likes to visit the winner's circle on different tracks. MOONSHINE PROMISE - Last time out, finished fifth in the slop at Thistledown. Have to do better in this race. LITTLEMISSPERFECT - Ran last time around the track against much better horses at Churchill Downs. The move down the ladder based on class should suit her well. This thoroughbred coming off a good try in the last month is a win candidate in my humble opinion. The 93 latest race rating looks good in the TrackMaster PPs. TOO CLEVER BY HALF - This one has shown the power to win at different racing venues. Making the move from Parx Racing for today's event, I have to believe she's ready to run.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 CONCEALEDWITHAKISS (ML=4/1), #9 SWEET MADEA (ML=8/1),

CONCEALEDWITHAKISS - This horse gave a less than rousing performance last time finishing seventh. Don't see any hint of any change in today's event. SWEET MADEA - Finished first in her most recent performance with a mediocre speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this group.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #12 A PLACE TO SHINE to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/2 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,11,12]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:

[11,12] with [1,11,12,14] with [1,11,12,14] with [1,2,4,11,12,14] with [1,2,4,11,12,14] Total Cost: $72
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 1:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#5 C B BODEMESTER (ML=6/1)
#1 TWO BIT DRIFTER (ML=9/2)
#7 TACTICAL HERO (ML=2/1)
#2 NOONAN ON THURSDAY (ML=12/1)
#3 FULL QUEST (ML=4/1)


C B BODEMESTER - Lynch drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping info to believe this horse has a good chance at this level. Entered a $50,000 Optional Claiming race at Laurel last out and raced on a track listed as good finishing fifth. Will most certainly do better today. TWO BIT DRIFTER - A horse coming back this quickly after a nice effort is a good signal. Adding blinkers often leads to a better effort on the racetrack. TACTICAL HERO - After a pair of sprints, he's routing today, which is probably what this gelding wants to do. This horse's last race was out at Parx Racing in a race with a class figure of 91. Dropping drastically in class rating in today's event puts him in a solid position in this race. This gelding has been posting some excellent workout times. This gelding notched a strong speed rating of 75 in his last event. That speed fig should be high enough to prove victorious in today's event. NOONAN ON THURSDAY - Recent speed figs show solid pattern of improvement. FULL QUEST - He has the highest earnings per start. Take a long look at this thoroughbred. I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a pony coming back off a strong contest within the last 30 days. This one has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 45 to 58 to 67 right in a row.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 HATTERAS BOUND (ML=6/1),

HATTERAS BOUND - This thoroughbred hasn't had nary a single workout after running so well on November 11th. When looking at today's class rating, he will have to garner a better speed figure than last race out to compete in this dirt route.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #5 C B BODEMESTER to win if you can get odds of 6/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,5] with [1,5,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] Total Cost: $24

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:

[1,5,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] Total Cost: $72
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #8 -AQUEDUCT - 3:47 PM EASTERN POST

The Go for Wand Handicap

8.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE III FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $250,000.00 PURSE

#4 WONDER GAL
#3 BAR OF GOLD
#7 HIGH RIDGE ROAD
#5 HIGHWAY STAR

The race honors the career of the filly, Go For Wand, who as a two-year-old, she had a record of three-for-four before winning the 1989 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies. Her performances earned her the 1989 Eclipse Award for Outstanding Two-Year-Old Filly. As a three-year-old, she was seven-for-nine and was voted the 1990 Eclipse Award for Outstanding Three-Year-Old Filly. In 1990 at Belmont Park she ran against the Argentinian mare Bayakoa in the Breeders' Cup Distaff. Go For Wand was leading by a head at the sixteenth pole when she suffered an open fracture to her right cannon bone. She fell to the track and threw jockey Randy Romero to the ground before rising to limp on three legs. Track personnel caught her and got her to lie down, and she was immediately euthanized on the track. The next day, she was buried in the infield at Saratoga racetrack. Like the death of Ruffian at the same track, the accident was shown by NBC on live television, and reminded viewers of that promising filly who was fatally injured on the track. Several veterinarians estimate that she broke her leg about twelve strides before she fell, which would mean that she suffered her catastrophic injury while passing the flagpole next to which Ruffian was buried. Here in the 62nd running of "The Wand," #4 WONDERR GAL takes a class drop (-9), and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of her last five outings, including a BLISTERING, 12-length, "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd race back. Jockey Kendrick Carmouche and Trainer Leah Gyarmati send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 54% of their entries saddled as a team to date. The morning line favorite is the overall speed leader in this stakes field racing at today's distance of a mile on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her last five outings, including "POWER RUN WINS" in both her last start, as well as in his 5th race back.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Woodbine Harness: Saturday 12/3 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF

Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 2,3,5/4,5,6/2,4/2/4,8,9 = $10.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2/4,8,9/2,3,4,5/2,3,4 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 4,5/1,5,6/1,6,8/1,6,8 = $54

MEET STATS: 32 - 125 / $188.60 BEST BETS: 7 - 12 / $22.30

SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 12 / $9.50

Best Bet: BET YA (4th)

Spot Play: TRASHYTONGUETALKER (11th)


Race 1

(3) THINK ON IT extended his win streak to five in winning the Autumn series final and in doing so, he proved that he doesn't need the lead to win. He should be tough again here racing from close range. (5) DREAMY FELLA made a huge brush to the front in the third 1/4 - which he paced in 26 2/5 - then gamely dug in late. He is a force to be reckoned with right now. (2) FLAHERTY fits this class well if he can stay pacing this time. (9) PERFECT VISTA rarely misses a check and he could fill one of the bottom exotic rungs at a price here.

Race 2

(5) COOL ROCK was uncovered as the pace accelerated noticeably last time and he couldn't keep pace. He could get a much better setup for his late charge here. (6) ASAP HANOVER is another that will likely adopt a closing style which should play well here. (4) VEGAS ROCKS drops slightly and he could get a good trip near the front; using. (8) GRATIAS DEO is an interesting newcomer, but having missed four weeks he is likely to need this one.

Race 3

(2) VICTORIA SEMALU should be tough here moving inside eight posts; top call. (4) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE is another that should have a much easier time of it at the start moving to a better post. Toss her on Pick 5 tickets. (6) RUBIS PRESCOTT finished ahead of the choice last time and she can take another smaller share here. (1) BIG TSUNAMI should get a much better trip this time starting from the inside. She can pass a few of these and take a slice.

Race 4

(2) BET YA takes the plunge here and she should be tough to beat, although expect a short price. (1) BAROCKEY should also go much better here on the class drop - see her narrow loss in this class two back. (8) YOUR MY SECRET closed a big gap in the back 1/2 last week at a huge price; consider for exotics. (4) MAPLEA hasn't had the best year, but, she can close here for a minor share.

Race 5

(4) TWOMACSONEMACH couldn't withstand the wicked backstretch brush of the winner last week, but he could control things this time; top call. (8) CAMS LUCKY SAM made two moves and finished ahead of the choice. He looks like the main threat here. (9) SPEEDLING took a shuffle behind the choice last time after blasting to the lead first. He's worth a look here off that deceptively decent mile. (1) MIGRATE BLUE CHIP could get a decent trip here and take a share.

Race 6

(5) SANDBETWEENURTOES is at the top of her game and should be tough here again although she did miss a week in this class last week. (4) WRANGLER MAGIC keeps tiring very late and getting picked off. Maybe she looks for the pocket this week? (2) WAASMULA beat them all in this class last week off a decent trip and she is another to consider here. (3) DELIGHTFUL HILL is one I keep thinking will blast and sit a good trip near the front then spring an upset. I still think it will come soon.

Race 7

(4) MAJESTIC PRESENCE has blossomed in four starts for Henriksen and she looks best here; top call. (3) SWAN FOR DEE made a power move to beat easier and while she figures here, she will need more late speed to beat the choice. (2) SWEET ROYALTY qualified sharply for Baillargeon and if he stays flat here he should be a big factor. (8) MISSION MAN is another that should be in the thick of things from close range here.

Race 8

(5) NICKLE BAG was motoring up late last week but he couldn't quite reach the leader. He is consistent as they come and will win his share in this class this winter. (4) ANDREIOS KARDIA has won four straight in this class and he has shown some grit in many of those wins. He's the one to beat at a short price. (6) ALEXAS JACKPOT improved with Lasix last time. He can make the ticket again. (2) AMERICAN VIRGIN steps up off a win where he got a nice third 1/4 breather, but he could slide into one of the bottom exotic slots here.

Race 9

(5) BATOUTAHILL trotted the final 1/8th like he was shot out of a cannon last week. If he can reproduce that kind of kick, his rivals here will be in trouble. (6) PINK PISTOL stayed flat and raced okay behind the choice. She could improve off that comeback effort. (1) WALK TO FOLSOM drops back to the class where he took his life mark two back; using. (3) MANOFMANYIMAGES never missed the board so he may be rated a bit low here. He is hard to leave off tri bets.

Race 10

(6) COMPANY MAN raced decently off the claim last week and paced home quickly. Look for more aggressive handling this time. (8) DAYLIGHT RUSH is as sharp and as game as they come right now. He must be included on Pick 5 tickets. (1) PRESCOTTS HOPE hinted that he might break in the post parade last week. Keep a close eye on his score down. (3) VELOCITY DRIVEN rarely misses taking a share and tonight should be no different.

Race 11

(1) TRASHYTONGUETALKER paced a big mile last week coming off a vet scratch and a three-week break. I'll give him the nod here returning to a 7-day cycle. (8) CARRACCI HANOVER should be prominent on the class drop here. (6) WAZZUP WAZZUP also faces easier but he has missed some time; mixed signals. (2) CHAMPAGNE PHIL can make the ticket leaving from a much better post here. (9) IMKEEPNTHISGUY has taken some curious action the past two starts. He should be passing many of these in the final 1/4, but a smaller share seems likely.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Meadowlands: Saturday 12/3 Analysis
By Jay Bergman

DRF

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 0 - 0 / $0.00

Best Bet: UNCLE COZ (1st)

Spot Play: SOME POWER (5th)


Race 1

(3) UNCLE COZ came off the shelf with a vengeance romping over similar at Pocono. Lightly raced gelding arrives sharp and should handle these with ease. (8) DJNORTHERNSTAR was in a very dull cover flow in his local debut and fired nicely in the stretch before overpacing himself near the wire. (10) BORN OF FIRE has a pedigree that suggests he'll improve with additional racing.

Race 2

(1A) IN THE ARSENAL returns to the big track after making a miscue at Yonkers bumping into the starting gate. This millionaire has a decided class edge over these and need only mind his manners to get the job done. (3) UNCLE LILE A has been on these shores a short time but continues to impress. Gets boosted up the ladder here facing the best field locally but may be more than up to the task. (5) ASHLEYS HUSBAND could be compromised once again by a slow pace.

Race 3

(8) EVER AGAIN is another top pick returning after a break at Yonkers and this one seems to be a standout in this pseudo-handicap event. Noel Daley-trained gelding has come of age towards the end of the campaign and should be able to overcome the assigned post. (3) CHILLN MATISSE looked like he had some potential earlier this year but has taken some time to get there. Soph is inside his main rival and could prove troublesome. (7) MAAJAACKKOBE ships in and moves into the Russo stable.

Race 4

(3) LAST DRAGON took plenty of early tote action last week then promptly took back at the start and lagged through a soft opening fraction. Sub-1:50 performer in his last two years should be able to rise to the occasion with a touch of early foot here. (2) MAJOR BUBBLES N can be excused for lackluster efforts against tougher in his last two given the outside draws; improved spot tonight. (7) STATESMAN N has a good deal of back class and needs to be respected in his return from Ontario.

Race 5

(3) SOME POWER has been matching strides with some tough mid-level claimers at Harrah's in recent weeks. One-time $270K yearling purchase seems to have a class edge on most of these. (5) BROWN COLOR had no chance in his local debut but finds a better spot and may look towards the front. (4) MR BLISSFULL steps up in class after two solid miles.

Race 6

(1) NORTHERN ASSASSIN A has shown high speed in both of his U.S. starts. Import may appreciate the big track and is certainly in a good spot. (8) BARIMAH A takes a nice drop in class after a much needed start and may look to get engaged early in this group. (9) ARI ALLSTAR moves into the Russo stable upon his arrival from Pocono and should do well at this level.

Race 7

(3) ELWELL was a 1:50 winner here a month ago from a similar spot and finally gets a bit of post relief. (1) URBANITE HANOVER is another in that's lost his edge racing from the outside. Veteran has speed and an inside lane. (7) JACKSRLUCKYTOO is in the midst of a banner season finishing first or second in nearly half of his 31 starts; post could be an issue.

Race 8

(8) MATRIX OF LUCK had no chance racing from off the pace in his local debut but held evenly late. Burke-trained Indiana-bred is likely to get closer to the action early this time. (1) J J FLYNN won in his first try for Spagnola at Saratoga. Soph faces mostly older foes here but clearly has the speed to handle the assignment. (3) SAM MCSMITH has obviously had issues this year with limited starts for Alagna but this son of McArdle qualified back strongly and may be ready for a late season surge.

Race 9

(5) SPEED AGAIN ships in relatively sharp for Burke and seems the best of these with Gingras in the bike. Dragon Again-sired gelding oozes class. (7) DR CS Z TAM can be excused for flattening out last time after being parked to a :26 2/5 opening quarter. Veteran has been racing at a higher level. (9) CITY HALL could be compromised by the outer draw but is razor sharp.

Race 10

(9) BOLD AND BRAVE was rather impressive finishing third after grinding up in a second move last week. Fusco-trained gelding draws outside again but may look to the front. (2) WINDSONG GORGEOUS is usually very tough at this level, especially with the inside draw. (3) GAMBLERS TALE has been knocking on the door but coming in a tad short recently; figures closely.

Race 11

(8) STIMULUS PLAN was extremely game on the front end failing to give in under constant pressure. Veteran was 1 for 21 prior to joining the Ginsburg stable this year and is now 2 for 2. (6) PARNU HANOVER is obviously a horse with plenty of talent but has had issues that have kept him from achieving a high level. A 1:49 3/5 winner as a 3-year-old he's won only two races since then and is now approaching 6. (2) ELRAMA N arrives off the claim by Russo and could be a factor with these.

Race 12

(6) OUR CULLENSCROWN N can be excused for getting a bit too wound up on the front end last week and caving in come stretch time. Veteran import has the ability to control the issue and should do so here. (2) ESPRIT DE KAYJAY A has been first or second in more than half of his 41 starts this year. Import changes hands but finds a solid spot. (1B) KEYSTONE CAMARO suffered from an overland journey in his first trip for Fraley and could rebound.

Race 13

(4) BROADIES SONG was used very hard against this type in last and did very well to hold on for third. With his speed and an inside draw he could get a more manageable fraction here. (5) OVERLOADED has a reasonable closing kick and may improve with the move to the big track. (8) TWINCREEKS JACK is dangerous with a trip.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Yonkers: Saturday 12/3 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF

MEET STATS: 432 - 1235 / $2,377.20

BEST BETS: 56 - 101 / $189.60

Best Bet: SANTA FE BEACHBOY (7th)

Spot Play: TAKE IT BACK TERRY (8th)


Race 1

(4) GYPSY LEATHER returns to the Allard barn via claim, keeps Dube and has won his last two at this level; veteran should be on the move early. (6) SHADIOS stepped up to the 30K claiming level and got hung to dry; he's back where he belongs. (2) RANGERS SURESHOT returns locally and has been sharp in his last two.

Race 2

(5) CHOCOLATE CRACKERS was very stubborn in defeat last out coming off a sick scratch and he looms the one to beat for these live connections. (6) FREENEASY HANOVER ships from Pocono for Burke, where he's been flashing solid speed. (2) ROGER MACH EM rallied well for a share last out in a needed start and looms a threat from the better post.

Race 3

(6) BETTOR REASON N debuts for the Hudson barn off the claim and he's proven to be capable with this type; he could get it done with a smooth trip. (5) LUCKY MCTRUCKY returns locally after blowing away lesser in his last three and he has some early speed at his disposal. (1) REAL FLIGHT has clearly tailed off recently but he does draw best and picks up Bartlett.

Race 4

(3) SWEET TALKIN SATIN powered away versus lesser in his debut for Milici and may have more to offer. (6) IN THE HUDDLE has solid speed and is clearly fast enough to go with these. (1) TYLER gets much-needed post relief and will be part of the early pace.

Race 5

(1) MACHS BEACH BOY should have finished better last out but he was used a bit in the early stages; he draws best and I'm willing to give him one last chance. (6) BIG SURF lacks the class of others but he's been very sharp. (4) BIG N BAD disappointed me last out and now Bartlett chose elsewhere.

Race 6

(4) MACINTOSH N surprised me with an aggressive eight-hole speed try last out; Vallee trainee remains sharp and the post relief helps. (8) DALHOUSIE DAVE remains at the same level off a win but he's stuck outside tonight. (5) KEYSTONE HONOR fits with these but needs a trip; closing threat.

Race 7

(4) SANTA FE BEACHBOY gets needed class relief, a decent post and Bartlett's back driving; lots to like. (3) DOCTOR BUTCH needed last week's start and is always better with an inside post; threat. (7) LUCAN HANOVER is another coming off a needed start where he was uninvolved; perhaps he shows more tonight.

Race 8

(4) TAKE IT BACK TERRY got away last and had too far to come in that record-setting mile last out; I fully expect him to be much more involved tonight. (3) P H SUPERCAM hasn't been at his best recently but lands a better spot and certainly is capable. (7) FIRST CLASS HORSE was game in defeat last out; erratic yet talented horse could land a share with some racing luck.

Race 9

(4) ROCK ABSORBER loomed large but flattened in his first start for new connections; prior to that race he had won four straight. (5) SPORTS BETTOR keeps Barteltt and has been very sharp. (6) DOJEA SOLO has had a very nice season and he would be a big threat with a better post; with that said he does have strong early speed to get into play.

Race 10

(3) OH JOHNY BE GOOD N has been very sharp in his last two and he faces no standouts here. (1) J T doesn't win often but he can rally late from this spot off a ground-saving trip. (4) MOONLITEONTHEBEACH has hit the board in his last four at this level.

Race 11

(4) TE KAWAU N returns locally off a sharp win at Pocono and he was facing better when last seen here. (5) MCERLEAN moved aggressively and was much the best last out; he can string multiple good efforts together. (2) HOLDINGALLTHECARDS remains at the same level off a front-end win and he draws well again.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Aqueduct (4th) Divine Miss Grey, 5-1
(9th) Lover's Key, 5-1


Charles Town (6th) Deandrea's Pride, 7-2
(7th) Romantic Cork, 3-1


Del Mar (3rd) Yes Yes Yes, 7-2
(5th) Dr. Fager's Gal, 6-1


Fair Grounds (4th) Devine Teaching, 7-2
(5th) Full Tap, 9-2


Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Baruch, 5-1
(6th) Sea Myrtle, 4-1


Gulfstream Park (2nd) Classic Rock, 4-1
(9th) Northern Smile, 6-1


Hawthorne (8th) Ballyjamesduff, 4-1
(9th) Shmily, 5-1


Laurel Park (2nd) Full Quest, 4-1
(4th) Southern Peach, 8-1


Mahoning Valley (2nd) Lotto Cat, 4-1
(9th) Tracey Said So, 9-2


Parx (2nd) Miss Motivation, 6-1
(8th) Doublethestyle, 6-1


Penn National (2nd) Cairenn, 4-1
(6th) Hauler, 9-2


Remington Park (3rd) Gospel Commander, 8-1
(5th) Queen's Memories, 5-1


Tampa Bay Downs (2nd) Resident, 7-2
(3rd) Renee's Cat, 9-2


Turf Paradise (6th) Micmac Spree, 3-1
(7th) Flat Gone, 5-1


Turfway Park (4th) Bahama Benny, 5-1
(6th) Dear Elaine, 6-1


Woodbine (9th) Pulled the Goalie, 3-1
(10th) Mizzen George, 6-1
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,879
Messages
13,574,618
Members
100,879
Latest member
am_sports
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com