At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey
It is opening day at Gulfstream Park on Saturday, the 11-race card featuring nine stakes that make up the 18th edition of the Claiming Crown. The nine stakes offer over $1 million in purses for horses that have started for a claiming tag.
The feature at Aqueduct is the $250,000 Go for Wand Handicap (G3) and there are a pair of graded stakes at Del Mar—the $200,000 Bayakoa Handicap (G2) and the $300,000 Hollywood Derby (G1).
Who said the year ends with the Breeders’ Cup?
The Claiming Crown card is fantastic with fields of 11,11,14,14,14,13,14,9 and 14. It took me most of Thursday evening and half the day Friday to complete the report.
There is a ton of excitement surrounding the Gulfstream Park meeting, with the $12 million Pegasus World Cup Invitational less than two months away, and of course we will see plenty of Kentucky Derby hopefuls over the next four months.
The focus of opening day is the bread and butter horses that generally run for small purses that have an opportunity to run for some serious cash in the Claiming Crown.
Trainer Mike Maker is the all-time leading trainer in Claiming Crown wins and he takes another big run this year with contenders in six of the nine races.
The Gerald Bennet barn has been hot and he has rumens in three races, while Jorge Navarro has runners in five races.
I will be handicapping Gulfstream Park full time through April 1, which is Florida Derby Day. I will be doing a report for Aqueduct each Saturday during the winter.
My Best Plays Report for Saturday includes my 12 strongest plays from Aqueduct, Del Mar and Gulfstream Park.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:00 ET)
#10 Gentle Kitten 5-1
#1 Aquemini 3-1
#8 Psalmody 4-1
#12 Saratoga Citizen 20-1
Analysis: Gentle Kitten stalked the early pace, came with a six-wide bid and did not have enough punch left late in a third place finish last out at Churchill Downs, beaten four lengths for the top spot. Two back at Keeneland the filly came with a good late run to finish in the runner up spot. Looks like she has been facing a bit tougher than she meets here. She is out of the stakes winner Menifeeque ($164,938) who has dropped three winners and two have won on turf, top earner stakes winner Thank You Marylou ($444,292).
Aquemini came with a good late rally to finish in the runner up spot last out at Gulfstream Park West at this distance against Florida breds. The filly ran second in her first two outings here against open maidens. She adds blinkers here for the Nicks barn. She is out of a Street Cry mare that has dropped one other foal to race, Ian Smith ($82,997) his one win coming on turf.
Wagering
WIN: #10 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 1,10 / 1,8,10,12
TRI: 1,10 / 1,8,10,12 / 1,2,8,10,12
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 The Go for Wand Hcp G3 (3:43 ET)
#4 Wonder Gal 9-5
#3 Bar of Gold 8-5
#5 Highway Star 8-1
#7 High Ridge Road 6-1
Analysis: Wonder Gal faded to finish 10th last out in the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1) and drops into an easier spot here. Three back this gal was a sharp winner against state bred Alw-2 optional claimers where she trounced the field by 11 1/2 lengths earning a career top speed fig. Her last trip at a one turn mile was last June where she was a good third in the Acorn (G1), beaten a length by Curalina. She figures to bounce back with a better effort here with the class relief.
Bar of Gold trounced the field in the state bred Empire Distaff 'Cap where she won by 10 lengths in the slop., She is now perfect in five trips on wet tracks and 0 for 9 on fast dirt surfaces. Her Beyer of 109 last out was 17 pints higher than her previous high. She won't catch a wet track and figures to regress off her last but still fits in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 3,4 / 3,4,5,7
TRI: 3,4 / 3,4,5,7 / 3,4,5,6,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 10 The Claiming Crown Jewel (4:34 ET)
#3 Royal Posse 7-5
#1 Bigger Picture 4-1
#7 John Jones 9-2
#4 Mr. Kisses 10-1
Analysis: Royal Posse is back to defend his title here for the RRod barn. The trainer took this guy for just $20,000 in May of 2015 and he has landed in the exacta in 13 straight starts for the barn. He won this race last year in the slop after a second in the state bred Empire Classic. This year he comes in here riding a three race winning streak, winning the Empire Classic this year in a near career top effort. He is 8 for 11 at nine furlongs and looks very tough in this spot.
Bigger Picture is coming off a win in the Red Smith Handicap (G3) on turf at 1 3/8 miles. The Mike Maker trainee has only raced on conventional dirt twice in his career, the last a third versus $25,000 claimers at seven furlongs at the Spa in August of '14. Maker claimed this guy for $32,00 last November and he has won 4 of 7 for the barn and earned over $300,000. The gelding has worked well on dirt. The barn is 15% winners moving runners from turf to dirt.
John Jones was off a beat slow last out and after pressing the early pace opened up heading for home and drew clear to win by nearly five lengths against $35,000 starter allowance foes. The Lacey Gaudet barn claimed this guy for $25,000 and he is perfect for the new connections in four starts including winning the restricted Mister Diz at Laurel Park going six furlongs on turf in his first go for the barn. His last trip was his first at nine furlongs. He is sharp and will be forwardly placed.
Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 1,3 / 1,3,4,7
TRI: 1,3 / 1,3,4,7 / 1,3,4,5,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R1: #3 Schott 8-1
R2: #1 Orleans Avenue 8-1
R4: #6 Complicit 10-1
R4: #10 Sophie Germaine 10-1
R6: #2 Proven Commodity 10-1
R7: #5 Astounding 15-1
R8: #5 Highway Star 8-1
R9: #10 Stay Safe Kitten 12-1
Good luck today!