At the Gate - Friday
By Mike Dempsey
Coming up on Saturday is opening day at Gulfstream Park, which will feature the 18th edition of the Claiming Crown.
The 11-race card offers over $1 million in purses and is highlighted by nine stakes race restricted to horses that have started for a claiming price. It is truly a “blue collar” day of horse racing and one of my favorite wagering days of the year.
I’ll have Saturday’s card up by midafternoon on Friday and will be up late Thursday evening handicapping the large fields.
The shortest field of the Claiming Crown races is the is the richest, the $200,000 Claiming Crown Jewel which drew a field of nine that will go 1 1/8 miles on the main track.
The field sizes of the other races will be 11,11,14,14,14,13,14 and 14.
The toteboard figures to light up all afternoon, except perhaps for the Jewel. The 7-5 morning line favorite is the defending champ Royal Posse for the Rudy Rodrigues barn.
The gelding was claimed for $20,000 and has gone on to land in the exacta in 13 straight outings for the barn. He has racked up $459,000 in purse earnings this year alone.
His last outing came in the New York bred Empire Classic where he was a much the best winner, his third win in a row and earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. His previous high was a 101 earned three back winning the Alydar Stakes.
He is going to be very tough to beat, but the good news is I am pretty sure he is the only chalk I will be picking on the entire 11-race card.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Clm $25,000N3L (12:20 ET)
#1 Chasintheblues 6-1
#4 Oathkeeper 5-2
#2 Tiz a Chance 5-1
#10 Roccia d'Oro 3-1
Analysis: Chasintheblues took the field gate to wire to beat state bred Alw-1 foes last out going six furlongs on turf. The gelding stretches out to a route and has shown he can handle the extra ground. He comes in here sharp and looks well spotted dropping in for a $25,000 tag and facing non-winners of three.
Oathkeeper tracked the early pace and faded to finish 10th last out against Alw-2 optional claimers. He is 0 for 4 since landing in the U.S. but catches an easier group here on the class drop. His speed figs two and three back put him in the mix in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,2,4,10
TRI: 1,4 / 1,2,4,10 / 1,2,4,7,10
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 7 Clm $16,000 (3:14 ET)
#7 Derby Glass 10-1
#8 Don Dulce 3-1
#10 Point Hope 5-2
#1 Husband's Folly / 1a Wizardly 5-1
Analysis: Derby Glass faded to finish a well beaten fifth last out against $25,000 claimers in his first start off the claim by the Englehart barn. The gelding drops into a softer spot here tagged for $16,000 and earlier this summer she beat $20,000 foes and was only beaten a head for a $25,000 tag. He is better than he showed last out and the 10-1 morning line looks more than fair.
Don Dulce tracked the early pace and finished evenly in a third place finish last out against $25,000 foes going a m mile as the beaten chalk. The gelding was claimed out of the race by the Asmussen barn that is 15% winners first off the claim. He was good enough to beat $80,000 optional claimers last September at Belmont park. The barn has been ending out live runners at the meeting and this guy owns back numbers good enough to easily beat this group.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 7,8 / 1,7,8,10
TRI: 7,8 / 1,7,8,10 / 1,4,7,8,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R7: #7 Derby Glass 10-1
Good luck today!