Woodbine Harness: Monday 12/12 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1/2,6,8/3/1,8,9/ALL = $18
EARLY PICK 4: 1,8,9/2,7/2,9/1,4,5,6 = $48
LATE PICK 4: 1,4,5,6/2,3,5,8/5,6/4,5 = $64
MEET STATS: 48 - 176 / $263.00 BEST BETS: 9 - 17 / $31.00
SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 17 / $15.20
Best Bet: WINDSUN REVENGE (3rd)
Spot Play: SIR GALAHAD (1st)
Race 1
(1) SIR GALAHAD paced a remarkable 26 flat third 1/4 last time and just failed to get by the leader late. A slightly better trip gets him a win here. (4) LATE NIGHT drops back to the class he won in two back and looks like the main danger. (8) MIGRATE BLUE CHIP raced well vs. a sharp shipper last time and he figures to take a good share here. (3) BIG JOHN HOUN could improve for Moreau here, but it's doubtful he can challenge the top three.
Race 2
(6) FREE WILLY HANOVER steps up off a powerful win and he can take another here if he minds his manners. (8) MONOPOLY made a big move last week and tried to bottom out the field and it almost worked. His current sharp form should be respected. (2) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE has been closing powerfully but often too late; use him on the bottom of vertical bets here. (5) THE POWER OF MANY figured to follow along and take another smaller share here.
Race 3
(3) WINDSUN REVENGE is the top dog in this class right now and he should take another here. (5) IL SOGNO DREAM was no match for the choice last time, but he did beat him two back on a track rated two seconds slow. He likely completes a chalky exacta here. (2) WILD AND CRAZY GUY is in great form and he should be passing rivals late to take a share here. (6) FEARLESS MAN is getting closer and he could take these a long way on the lead.
Race 4
(1) J JS DELIVERY didn't show much in his return race, but he moves to Allard here and drops into a claimer; angle play. (8) YORK SEELSTER blew his foes away when claimed last week. If that race didn't empty the tank, he should be tough right back here. (9) PAR INTENDED is in solid form and always dangerous; using. (3) MUSSELSFROMBRUSSELS ships in and goes for trainer Fine off the claim. Others look better, but he does have upset possibilities.
Race 5
(7) CATCH THE DREAM moves to a much better post here and drops slightly. He should be on the move earlier; top call. (2) A ROD HALL has a pattern of winning following by breaking stride next out. Tonight will be a win if the pattern holds. (9) RAMAS LAST SON was game in victory last time. He could string another good one together here if he is pushed to get good position early. (6) COVERT OPERATIVE should be along for a share in the stretch here.
Race 6
(9) CRANKIN IT UP jumps up in class off a lifetime-best score. He could get a similar trip to last time which would produce the same result. (2) NEVER BEEN TOLD was the easiest of winners last time and wasn't even asked down the lane. He's the one to beat. (7) RAGING FINGERS looks next best in a race with few real contenders. (6) SIERRA MADRE should pick up some pieces late here passing tired rivals.
Race 7
(4) HIDDEN POTENTIAL has had many rough trips of late. He picks up McNair here. Maybe he can work out a better trip and score at a price. (1) LOVEDANCINWITHYOU drops to the bottom conditioned level where he should fit much better; using. (6) WALTZKING HANOVER has faced a very hot horse the past two starts in claimers and raced okay. He could be a good fit here. (5) A COOL CARD takes a huge class drop and should wake up with a much better effort, but he could be wildly overbet.
Race 8
(8) TYMAL WIZARD steps up off two powerful wins. He could triple up here in what looks like a weak field for this class. (5) DIRTY SECRET shows all “1s” in her past performances. She's the one to track down, obviously. (3) SMOOTHER RIDE gets a much better post and Jamieson sticks; using. (2) MEADOWBRANCH MEMO is another that can improve getting away from the 10-hole.
Race 9
(6) RESISTANCE FUTILE flew home last week but ran out of racetrack late. He should be tough here, but probably at a very short price. (7) BRINGHOME THEBLUE has beaten better on this circuit this year and he shouldn't be taken lightly in this spot. (10) IDOLE DUHARAS drops off an even effort and if he blasts off the gate he could surprise here. (5) AUDREYS DREAM faces easier and adds Lasix; consider for exotics.
Race 10
(5) CS EYE drops into a claimer which should mean all systems go here. (4) JAC SPADE was taken back by trainer Campbell at Flamboro and he should be right there again as he is in top form. (8) NO BU ships in for Allard and is another that is in good form and should take a share. (3) CUNDALINI has a penchant for finishing 4th and that is where he gets rated here. (7) ROCKIN THE HOUSE goes for 1/2 the price he was taken for in August which is a red flag, but, he is very fast when right. This one is a bit of a head scratcher.