At the Gate - Sunday
By Mike Dempsey
It looks like Hall of Fame trainer Bob Baffert has another serious Kentucky Derby contender in Mastery, who trounced the field in yesterday’s $300,000 Los Alamitos Cash Call Futurity (G1).
The colt picked up 10 points toward entry into the Run for the Roses next spring and remained undefeated, showing he could handle two turns.
The colt sat just off the pace set by Bobby Abu Dhabi, took over the lead in upper stretch with longshot Irap making a late move to engage, but the colt drew off late to win by 7 ¼ lengths.
The colt, ridden by Hall of Fame rider Mike Smith, returned $2.40 as the heavy favorite.
The $425,000 Keeneland purchase broke his maiden at Santa Anita on Oct. 22 and then won the seven-furlong Bob Hope (G3) on Nov. 19.
His early odds in Kentucky Derby future wagering is dropping. As of Saturday night, he has dropped to 8-1, now the second choice behind Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) winner Classic Empire at 6-1.
Mastery is still listed at +1000 but that price may drop a point or two in the next day or so.
Baffert was winning the Los Alamitos Futurity for a record ninth time, and for the third year in a row. He won it last year with Mor Spirit and in 2015 with Dortmund.
The next Road to the Kentucky Derby points races are the Jerome (G2) at Aqueduct and the Sham (G3) at Santa Anita on Jan. 7.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Clm $6,260 (12:35 ET)
#9 Gold Crescent 9-2
#2 Great Way Lady 3-1
#1 Like a Charm 8-1
#3 Starship Impulse 7-2
Analysis: Gold Crescent was off a beat slow last out and then lacked room forcing the jockey to check sharply, came with a seven-wide bid and was picking it up late in a fifth-place finish. This gal has shown some early zip and with a cleaner break should be forwardly placed against this group. She has a solid off track pedigree if the rains continue.
Great Way Lady exits the same race where she dueled for the early lead and did not have enough punch in the final furlong in a third-place finish, beaten 3/4 of a length for the top spot as the beaten favorite. She makes her third start of her current form cycle and Navarro is off to a hot start at the meeting.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 2,9 / 1,2,3,9
TRI: 2,9 / 1,2,3,9 / 1,2,3,5,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 7 The Bay Ridge (3:14 ET)
#7 First Service 4-1
#5 Super Surprise 2-1
#8 Jules N Rome 5-2
#3 Isabelle 6-1
Analysis: First Service took the field gate to wire to beat state bred Alw-2 optional claimers last out, drawing away to win by 5 1/2 lengths for the Brown barn. The filly returns here for her stakes debut and she looks up to it. She has plenty of pedigree for her first trip around two turns. She is by Ghostzapper out of a Mineshaft mare. Brown is 30% winners moving runners from sprint to route.
Super Surprise stretches back out to a route after making a mild late run to finish third last out in a NY Stallion Series race. The winner Highway Star came back to win the Go for wand 'Cap (G3) in her next outing here on Dec. 3. The Pletcher trainee won the state bred Fleet Indian two back at nine furlongs at the Spa and the stretch out here suits her.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 5,7 / 3,5,7,8
TRI: 5,7 / 3,5,7,8 / 3,5,6,7,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 7 Md Sp Wt (3:32 ET)
#9 Love Thy Kitten 4-1
#10 Collections Choice 12-1
#2 Jaunt 7-2
#1 Storm the Hill 6-1
Analysis: Love Thy Kitten debuts for the Chad Brown barn that is 19% winners (with a +ROI) with fir time starters. The filly is by Kitten's Joy out of a Saint Ballado mare that has dropped four winners and three are stakes winners, top earner Tweet Kitten ($195,765). A solid string of works and she debuts with lasix. Looks like a good fit on turf or on dirt.
Collections Choice debuts for the Clement barn that is 16% winners (with a +ROI) with firsters. This gal is bred top and bottom to handle a wet track. She is by Bernardini out of the stakes winner Model ($497,536) who has dropped one winner, 1 for 4 Senor Casanova ($16,475) the maiden score coming in a turf route. Solid works on the morning tab at Payson.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 9,10 / 1,2,9,10
TRI: 9,10 / 1,2,9,10 / 1,2,5,9,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #1 Like a Charm 8-1
R4: #1 Dreaming of Gold 20-1
R5: #11 Time to Shine 12-1
R6: #2 Starship Rocky 10-1
R7: #10 Collections Choice 12-1
R8: #7 All Over Me 12-1
R9: #7 Leverkusen 15-1
R10: #3 Ntrepidore 8-1
Good luck today!