At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey
No sooner had I switched my tack from New York to Florida, we had a $837,570 Pick 6 carryover at Aqueduct for Friday.
I completed my Gulfstream Park report and was going to go ahead and do Aqueduct anyway, but the boss and I had tickets to see the 80’s band The Fixx, and I just would not have enough time.
I told my girlfriend I was too tired to take in the concert and she got on the phone to try to give the ticket away. My plan was working.
I downloaded Friday’s past performances and just as I was getting ready to start handicapping, she said nobody wanted the tickets and we were going, no excuses.
I did mention she was the boss, right?
Well, the bad news was The Fixx were incredibly mediocre, the good news is I doubt any of you needed my help to solve the Pick 6.
There were 827 winning tickets sold, each worth $2,934.
The betting favorites won the first four legs of the sequence —Storm Pursuit ($4.60), Bow Town Cat ($3.80), Chilly Bon Bon ($7.80) and Smile Big ($4.20).
Doyouknowsomething won the seventh race as the third choice returning $9.90 and in the finale third choice Leftovers ($7.30) competed the Pick 6.
The consolation payoff for 5 of 6 returned $41.
No worries about the Big A for Saturday. I have my full card reports for both Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park posted, as well as my Best Plays Report which includes my 10 strongest plays from the two tracks.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Alw $50,000s (12:00 ET)
#9 Jermyn Street 3-1
#11 Lost Innocence 10-1
#3 Ventina 5-1
#6 Pop's Irish Rose 9-2
Analysis: Jermyn Street broke her maiden last out in her second career start and first on turf, tracking the early pace and drawing clear late to win by two lengths. She was sent off as the 2-1 favorite when she made her debut two back in a 12 horse field on the main track at Keeneland where she ran second behind repeat winner What What What who beat $20,000 non-winners of two in her next outing on Nov. 1o at Delta Downs by 11 1/2 lengths. She looks like a good fit and is in good hands with Ward.
Lost Innocence made a good late rally to get up late and break her maiden in her debut at GP West, sent off at 7-2 in a field of eight. The Speed fig came up on the light side but she looks capable of moving forward here with some extra ground. She is out of an Elusive Quality mare that has dropped two other winners including stakes winner
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 9,11 / 3,6,9,11
TRI: 9,11 / 3,6,9,11 / 3,6,8,9,11
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 7 Clm $20,000 (3:14 ET)
#2 Evolution 7-2
#3 Dad'z Laugh 3-1
#6 Galardonado 8-1
#7 Ackeret 4-1
Analysis: Evolution took the field gate to wire over a wet track at Belmont Park to beat $25,000 non-winners of three. The runner up and sixth place finisher came out of that race to win next out. Our top pick was claimed out of the race by the Nevin barn that is 20% winners first off the claim. He steps into open company here but fits and he picked up his maiden score on the inner track here back in February.
Dad'z Laugh dueled for the early lead and finished gamely to beat $16,000 claimers by a nose. He was claimed out of the race, the fifth straight start in which he was taken. He goes today for the RRod barn that is 32% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. The six-year-old owns solid early and mid pace numbers and has landed in the exacta in 4 of his 5 trips on the inner in his career.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 2,3 / 2,3,6,7
TRI: 2,3 / 2,3,6,7 / 2,3,5,6,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 10 The Wait a While (4:34 ET)
#14 Create a Dream 3-1
#9 Lady Alexandra 6-1
#8 Party Boat 5-1
#1 Queen Del Valle 12-1
Analysis: Create a Dream draws a tough post but the Brown trainee should be able to overcome it. The filly was a sharp winner of the Chelsey Flower last out at Belmont Park over good ground in her last outing. She made her U.S. debut two back in the Ms Grillo (G3) where she ran fourth behind the winner New Money Honey, who came back to the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1) in her next outing. She makes her third start off the bench and will be tough facing easier here.
Lady Alexandra broke her maiden in the mud at six furlongs last out in her debut in a race washed off the turf. Castellano departs to stick with our top pick and Gallardo gets the call. The $300,000 Ocala purchase has a decent turf pedigree, by More Than Ready to of a King's Best mare that has dropped just one other foal to race, not yet a winner.
Wagering
WIN: #14 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 9,14 / 1,8,9,14
TRI: 9,14 / 1,8,9,14 / 1,2,8,9,14
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R1: #4 Preziosa 10-1
R1: #5 Beyond Discreet 8-1
R3: #1 Ready Strike 8-1
R4: #5 Distorted Union 12-1
R5: #6 Jeter 8-1
R6: #1 Hard Hitter 10-1
R7: #6 Galardonado 8-1
R8: #2 Disco Chick 8-1
R8: #4 My Savannah Belle 15-1
Good luck today!