Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 1:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$2100 - N/W $155 P/S LAST 5-6 OR P/S IN 2016 $2900 P/C L/S B ALDRICH JR 2 OVER 6 J DEVAUX 4 OVER 3
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 KEYSTONE REACTOR 5/2
# 3 EASTER BAY 10/1
# 6 ART'S JIMMY RAY 8/1
The play in here is KEYSTONE REACTOR. If effort in the most recent competition is any indicator, this horse will have a very competitive shot here. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. Selectors love to play the driver of this gelding - superb win percent these days. EASTER BAY - This contender has shown us ability in its prior races, just look at the 74 avg class number. Should play well for this race. Take a good long look at making this horse your win bet based on well above average win pct alone. ART'S JIMMY RAY - Great driver Curtin should find the pace of today's outing to this gelding's liking - could be a good wager.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 1:45 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$2100 - N/W $155 P/S LAST 5-6 OR P/S IN 2016 $2900 P/C L/S B ALDRICH JR 2 OVER 6 J DEVAUX 4 OVER 3
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 KEYSTONE REACTOR 5/2
# 3 EASTER BAY 10/1
# 6 ART'S JIMMY RAY 8/1
The play in here is KEYSTONE REACTOR. If effort in the most recent competition is any indicator, this horse will have a very competitive shot here. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. Selectors love to play the driver of this gelding - superb win percent these days. EASTER BAY - This contender has shown us ability in its prior races, just look at the 74 avg class number. Should play well for this race. Take a good long look at making this horse your win bet based on well above average win pct alone. ART'S JIMMY RAY - Great driver Curtin should find the pace of today's outing to this gelding's liking - could be a good wager.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pompano Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 11 - Post: 10:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$4500 - NON-WINNERS $2,001 LAST 5 STARTS OR $425 PER START IN 2016 WITH 5 OR MORE STARTS IN 2016. HENNESSEY PICKED 1 OVER 5
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 9 KC RAMBUCTIOUS BOY 5/2
# 5 SOUTHWIND WHISKI 3/1
# 1 ROCKY REGAL 3/1
The pick today is KC RAMBUCTIOUS BOY. May provide us a score based on really good recent speed ratings - earning an avg of 84. This gelding has been battling against some of the most competitive horses in this field these days. This harness racer earned a competitive speed figure last time out. Looks sharp to come right back. SOUTHWIND WHISKI - Racing strongly, earned a huge TrackMaster speed fig in his last contest (80). The 5 slot sports a much better than average win clip at Pompano Park. ROCKY REGAL - His 81 average has this gelding among the most compelling TrackMaster Speed Ratings today. Many handicappers will recognize the great TrackMaster Speed Rating in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this field of horses.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 11 - Post: 10:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$4500 - NON-WINNERS $2,001 LAST 5 STARTS OR $425 PER START IN 2016 WITH 5 OR MORE STARTS IN 2016. HENNESSEY PICKED 1 OVER 5
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 9 KC RAMBUCTIOUS BOY 5/2
# 5 SOUTHWIND WHISKI 3/1
# 1 ROCKY REGAL 3/1
The pick today is KC RAMBUCTIOUS BOY. May provide us a score based on really good recent speed ratings - earning an avg of 84. This gelding has been battling against some of the most competitive horses in this field these days. This harness racer earned a competitive speed figure last time out. Looks sharp to come right back. SOUTHWIND WHISKI - Racing strongly, earned a huge TrackMaster speed fig in his last contest (80). The 5 slot sports a much better than average win clip at Pompano Park. ROCKY REGAL - His 81 average has this gelding among the most compelling TrackMaster Speed Ratings today. Many handicappers will recognize the great TrackMaster Speed Rating in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this field of horses.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Portland Meadows
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5500 Class Rating: 72
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 10, 2016 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 6 PUT SARAH ON 8/1
# 4 SIMPLY NAKED 6/1
# 10 CASSIDY COMMAND 9/2
PUT SARAH ON is tough to overlook as the wager in here and is a very good value bet given the line at 8/1. SIMPLY NAKED - Has been consistently running well lately. CASSIDY COMMAND - With a formidable 66 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. Has a sharp record at the distance and surface, which makes me favor this mare.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5500 Class Rating: 72
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 10, 2016 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 6 PUT SARAH ON 8/1
# 4 SIMPLY NAKED 6/1
# 10 CASSIDY COMMAND 9/2
PUT SARAH ON is tough to overlook as the wager in here and is a very good value bet given the line at 8/1. SIMPLY NAKED - Has been consistently running well lately. CASSIDY COMMAND - With a formidable 66 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. Has a sharp record at the distance and surface, which makes me favor this mare.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 69
FOR CERTIFIED ARIZONA BREDS) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 5 BERT'S BABY 5/2
# 2 SAINT SYLVIE 3/1
# 6 NATIVE SPEAKER 3/1
BERT'S BABY looks to be a very strong contender. She has been running admirably lately while recording sharp Speed Figures. Silva has her trained admirably to break swiftly out of the starting gate. Is a strong contender based on numbers put up recently under today's conditions. SAINT SYLVIE - Might best this group here, showing decent numbers of late. This filly looks very good for this event since Silva has a strong win percentage with horses going this distance. NATIVE SPEAKER - She looks very good in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Could beat this group given the 59 speed rating garnered in her last outing.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 69
FOR CERTIFIED ARIZONA BREDS) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 5 BERT'S BABY 5/2
# 2 SAINT SYLVIE 3/1
# 6 NATIVE SPEAKER 3/1
BERT'S BABY looks to be a very strong contender. She has been running admirably lately while recording sharp Speed Figures. Silva has her trained admirably to break swiftly out of the starting gate. Is a strong contender based on numbers put up recently under today's conditions. SAINT SYLVIE - Might best this group here, showing decent numbers of late. This filly looks very good for this event since Silva has a strong win percentage with horses going this distance. NATIVE SPEAKER - She looks very good in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Could beat this group given the 59 speed rating garnered in her last outing.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Zia Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:26pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 71
Rating:
#9 SHOE GAME (ML=5/2)
#5 MISS BULA BULA (ML=4/1)
SHOE GAME - I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a campaigner coming back off a nice effort within the last month. On board this animal on Nov 8th and Eikleberry is back again in the irons in today's contest. Note that although this filly finished in the place spot in her last race, she was well in front of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per race entered. This thoroughbred has the topmost in the field. I think she'll be close at the end. MISS BULA BULA - The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Dominguez. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 RUNAWAY NONNY (ML=7/2), #8 WARM SUNSHINE (ML=9/2), #7 SPRINGTIME RAIN (ML=5/1),
RUNAWAY NONNY - Not a perfect 'fit' in this clash. WARM SUNSHINE - Don't think that this filly has value at 9/2 in today's event. SPRINGTIME RAIN - Trying to beat this entrant this time at the price of 5/1.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #9 SHOE GAME on the nose if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Zia Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:26pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 71
Rating:
#9 SHOE GAME (ML=5/2)
#5 MISS BULA BULA (ML=4/1)
SHOE GAME - I like to bet on this handicapping theory, a campaigner coming back off a nice effort within the last month. On board this animal on Nov 8th and Eikleberry is back again in the irons in today's contest. Note that although this filly finished in the place spot in her last race, she was well in front of the third place horse. This is a classic positive angle. Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per race entered. This thoroughbred has the topmost in the field. I think she'll be close at the end. MISS BULA BULA - The morning line odds on this filly are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Dominguez. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 RUNAWAY NONNY (ML=7/2), #8 WARM SUNSHINE (ML=9/2), #7 SPRINGTIME RAIN (ML=5/1),
RUNAWAY NONNY - Not a perfect 'fit' in this clash. WARM SUNSHINE - Don't think that this filly has value at 9/2 in today's event. SPRINGTIME RAIN - Trying to beat this entrant this time at the price of 5/1.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #9 SHOE GAME on the nose if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,500 Class Rating: 53
Rating:
#4 PARRY O PESSIMIST (ML=3/1)
PARRY O PESSIMIST - Looking at the pps on all of these thoroughbreds, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long hard look at this animal. This filly has been posting some excellent workout times. Ran last time out against better company at Belterra Park. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit her well.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BAYLEE'S BOMBER (ML=5/2), #1A HIGHLY VISIBLE (ML=7/2), #1 ANGELOFTHEMORNING (ML=7/2),
BAYLEE'S BOMBER - You should normally gamble against favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. While Equibase's speed ratings are strong, I would ignore the high one from the Oct 28th on a track listed as good. Some horses just run well on the off going. HIGHLY VISIBLE - That was merely not a very good exhibition in the last affair. Tough to like the downward flow (46/32/8) of speed ratings. ANGELOFTHEMORNING - Awfully difficult to play this pony when she hasn't been showing any signs of life recently.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 PARRY O PESSIMIST is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,500 Class Rating: 53
Rating:
#4 PARRY O PESSIMIST (ML=3/1)
PARRY O PESSIMIST - Looking at the pps on all of these thoroughbreds, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a long hard look at this animal. This filly has been posting some excellent workout times. Ran last time out against better company at Belterra Park. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit her well.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 BAYLEE'S BOMBER (ML=5/2), #1A HIGHLY VISIBLE (ML=7/2), #1 ANGELOFTHEMORNING (ML=7/2),
BAYLEE'S BOMBER - You should normally gamble against favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks. While Equibase's speed ratings are strong, I would ignore the high one from the Oct 28th on a track listed as good. Some horses just run well on the off going. HIGHLY VISIBLE - That was merely not a very good exhibition in the last affair. Tough to like the downward flow (46/32/8) of speed ratings. ANGELOFTHEMORNING - Awfully difficult to play this pony when she hasn't been showing any signs of life recently.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 PARRY O PESSIMIST is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Yonkers: Tuesday 11/29 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 423 - 1213 / $2,315.50
BEST BETS: 55 - 99 / $186.30
Best Bet: ST JAMES GATE (10th)
Spot Play: ROCK ICON (6th)
Race 1
(1) ANNUITY went down the road last out from the rail spot and is in line to repeat. (3) FRATERNITY was used and battled hard before giving way as the big chalk ending his streak; price will be better today. (2) AUCKLAND FLYER takes a meaningful drop in class and draws well.
Race 2
(5) COOL DESIRE arrives from The Meadows and debuts for the Nick Clegg barn; 4-year-old has made decent money this season. (4) ARABELLA J tried hard from the outside post last out and understandably tired. (2) SHE SAID looks for two straight at this basement claiming level.
Race 3
(3) UPFRONT LORNE makes his second start for new connections with a better post and he should be in line for a smoother trip. (5) MAJOR HOMER gets Bartlett back in the bike for Milici and he'll be on the move early. (1) LYONS AGAIN is an interesting Canadian shipper for Allard but he's missed a month; let's watch one.
Race 4
(1) CANACO STAR is back on the rail and should control the action. (4) AMBRO COURAGE N returns locally and was a big upset winner at this level three back. (3) HERETIC FRANCO N has become completely erratic and unreliable but one of these weeks he'll put it together and pop at a price.
Race 5
(6) ALWAYS N THE MONEY drops a notch, picks up Bartlett and may be more aggressively handled. (4) OUR JERRY LEE N gets Sears upon arrival from The Meadowlands. (3) BRINGHOME THEBLUE returns from Pocono and was MacDonald's choice.
Race 6
(4) ROCK ICON returns to the Godinez barn via claim and he's beaten much better than these in the past. (1) NATURAL LEDA draws best and is in line for a live trip. (3) SIGN TO INVERELL A paces evenly most starts and could hit the ticket from this spot.
Race 7
(9) TACO TUESDAY broke in his local and Milici debut but he gets Bartlett in the bike today and deserves another chance. (6) WHAT A PEACH ships in from Pocono and looks like a solid speed threat. (10) DEWDLE ALL DAY was MacDonald's choice and she rallied well for second last week.
Race 8
(6) GLOBAL REVOLUTION really hasn't put in a bad race locally and he can be a decent price in this open event. (8) DANCING HALL ships in and has Dube driving for Svanstedt; good angle. (4) EMERALD CHIP seems capable of landing a share from this spot.
Race 9
(1) WANNA MAKE MONEY is another Pocono shipper in fine form who should fit well in here. (9) ITS CHOCOLATE TIME arrives locally now in the Godinez barn and the gelding has had some decent efforts sprinkled in; consider. (10) MASS BALANCE just missed last week as the odds-on favorite; better price today.
Race 10
(5) ST JAMES GATE took money but broke last week in his local debut; he gets a big driver upgrade to Zeron today. (4) BEST TURBO has raced well in defeat in her last few starts and would certainly be no surprise here. (10) GIDS PASSION was second best out of the eight hole last week; a smooth second-tier trip can land him a piece.
Race 11
(7) SOUTHERN CROSS two-moved and coasted down the road last week for the Svanstedt barn; he faces a bit tougher here but seems good enough to repeat. (6) TRIUMPHANT'S CHIP was game in defeat last out and can certainly be considered. (3) MADMAN HALL went down very stubbornly last week finishing fourth in a blanket photo; Schnittker trainee is a proven commodity with these.
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 423 - 1213 / $2,315.50
BEST BETS: 55 - 99 / $186.30
Best Bet: ST JAMES GATE (10th)
Spot Play: ROCK ICON (6th)
Race 1
(1) ANNUITY went down the road last out from the rail spot and is in line to repeat. (3) FRATERNITY was used and battled hard before giving way as the big chalk ending his streak; price will be better today. (2) AUCKLAND FLYER takes a meaningful drop in class and draws well.
Race 2
(5) COOL DESIRE arrives from The Meadows and debuts for the Nick Clegg barn; 4-year-old has made decent money this season. (4) ARABELLA J tried hard from the outside post last out and understandably tired. (2) SHE SAID looks for two straight at this basement claiming level.
Race 3
(3) UPFRONT LORNE makes his second start for new connections with a better post and he should be in line for a smoother trip. (5) MAJOR HOMER gets Bartlett back in the bike for Milici and he'll be on the move early. (1) LYONS AGAIN is an interesting Canadian shipper for Allard but he's missed a month; let's watch one.
Race 4
(1) CANACO STAR is back on the rail and should control the action. (4) AMBRO COURAGE N returns locally and was a big upset winner at this level three back. (3) HERETIC FRANCO N has become completely erratic and unreliable but one of these weeks he'll put it together and pop at a price.
Race 5
(6) ALWAYS N THE MONEY drops a notch, picks up Bartlett and may be more aggressively handled. (4) OUR JERRY LEE N gets Sears upon arrival from The Meadowlands. (3) BRINGHOME THEBLUE returns from Pocono and was MacDonald's choice.
Race 6
(4) ROCK ICON returns to the Godinez barn via claim and he's beaten much better than these in the past. (1) NATURAL LEDA draws best and is in line for a live trip. (3) SIGN TO INVERELL A paces evenly most starts and could hit the ticket from this spot.
Race 7
(9) TACO TUESDAY broke in his local and Milici debut but he gets Bartlett in the bike today and deserves another chance. (6) WHAT A PEACH ships in from Pocono and looks like a solid speed threat. (10) DEWDLE ALL DAY was MacDonald's choice and she rallied well for second last week.
Race 8
(6) GLOBAL REVOLUTION really hasn't put in a bad race locally and he can be a decent price in this open event. (8) DANCING HALL ships in and has Dube driving for Svanstedt; good angle. (4) EMERALD CHIP seems capable of landing a share from this spot.
Race 9
(1) WANNA MAKE MONEY is another Pocono shipper in fine form who should fit well in here. (9) ITS CHOCOLATE TIME arrives locally now in the Godinez barn and the gelding has had some decent efforts sprinkled in; consider. (10) MASS BALANCE just missed last week as the odds-on favorite; better price today.
Race 10
(5) ST JAMES GATE took money but broke last week in his local debut; he gets a big driver upgrade to Zeron today. (4) BEST TURBO has raced well in defeat in her last few starts and would certainly be no surprise here. (10) GIDS PASSION was second best out of the eight hole last week; a smooth second-tier trip can land him a piece.
Race 11
(7) SOUTHERN CROSS two-moved and coasted down the road last week for the Svanstedt barn; he faces a bit tougher here but seems good enough to repeat. (6) TRIUMPHANT'S CHIP was game in defeat last out and can certainly be considered. (3) MADMAN HALL went down very stubbornly last week finishing fourth in a blanket photo; Schnittker trainee is a proven commodity with these.
SPOT PLAYS
For Tuesday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Finger Lakes (2nd) Greenway Stroll, 7-2
(3rd) Darn That Trip, 3-1
Mahoning Valley (3rd) Secret Jackpot, 3-1
(7th) Endless Escape, 6-1
Parx Racing (1st) Image, 6-1
(8th) One Fast Chick, 10-1
Turf Paradise (6th) Mobius, 4-1
(8th) Native Speaker, 3-1
For Tuesday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Finger Lakes (2nd) Greenway Stroll, 7-2
(3rd) Darn That Trip, 3-1
Mahoning Valley (3rd) Secret Jackpot, 3-1
(7th) Endless Escape, 6-1
Parx Racing (1st) Image, 6-1
(8th) One Fast Chick, 10-1
Turf Paradise (6th) Mobius, 4-1
(8th) Native Speaker, 3-1
