At the Gate - Sunday
By Mike Dempsey
Mo Town took the $300,000 Remsen Stakes (G2) at Aqueduct on Saturday, earning 10 points toward entry into the Kentucky Derby (G1).
Trained by Tony Dutrow, the son of Uncle Mo won by 2 1/2 lengths as my second choice, beating my top pick No Dozing, who rallied to complete a $2 recommended exacta that returned $45.00.
The 4-5 favorite Takaful had to settle for third under a less than stellar ride from Jose Ortiz. The colt jumped to a quick lead, but instead of just going, Ortiz elected to strangle the colt back in third and did not have enough punch left late.
Sportsbooks still had Mo Town listed at +3000 in early Kentucky Debry wagering as of Saturday night,. Expect that price to shrink.
We also hit the recommended exacta in the $200,000 Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs, which was a Road to the Kentucky Derby points race.
My top pick was longshot Han Sense, who failed to threaten, but my second choice McCracken looked impressive, making a late run to get up late at 4-5. Wild Shot ran second, the $2 exacta returning $15.60.
McCracken is the current third choice in early Derby betting at +1000.
In Pool 1 of the Kentucky Derby Future wager, which closes today at 6:00 ET, Classic Empire is 5-1. The “All Others” is the favorite at 502.
Mo Town is currently at 17-1 while McCracken has drifted down to 12-1.
My Best Plays Report for Sunday includes my eight strongest plays from Aqueduct and Churchill Downs.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:20 ET)
#1 Bride Street 3-1
#4 I'm Betty G 7-2
#6 Raging Town 5-2
#7 Silencer 6-1
Analysis: Bride Street debut for the McLaughlin barn that is 18% winners (with a +ROI) with first time starters. The filly is by Street Cry (11% winners win debut runners) out of a Holy Bull mare that has dropped four winners including a couple of stakes winners, top earner Conveyance ($496,560). The filly debuts with lasix and a solid looking work tab.
I'm Betty G is a $150,000 purchase making her debut for the Pletcher barn that is 19% winners with first time starters. She is by Into Mischief (12% winners with debut runners) out of a Honour and Glory mare that has dropped one other foal to race no winners to date. She spent the winter at Palm Beach Downs and has a solid looking work tab.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,4,6,7
TRI: 1,4 / 1,4,6,7 / 1,4,5,6,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 Alw $67,000N1X (3:47 ET)
#8 Know Your Customer 12-1
#4 Exulting 2-1
#1 Battle of Evermore 8-1
#6 Altar Boy 12-1
Analysis: Know Your Customer prompted the early pace and finished strongly to beat $50,000 starter allowance foes in the slop last out on the switch from turf. The $170,000 Keeneland purchase will now make his first start over a fast main track. He looks headed in the right direction form wise for Brown and the 12-1 morning line looks generous.
Exulting came with a six wide rally and drew clear late to a good looking maiden score in his second career outing. He caught wet tracks he is bred for in both starts. This guy was a $500,000 purchase and the extra ground here will not be a problem. The McLaughlin barn is 22% winners moving runners from sprint to route.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 6-1 or better.
EX: 4,8 / 1,4,6,8
TRI: 4,8 / 1,4,6,8 / 1,4,6,8,11
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Churchill Downs:
CD Race 8 Md Sp Wt (4:27 ET)
#5 The Gipper 9-5
#6 Watch Me Whip 12-1
#3 He's Munnie 6-1
#12 Proforma 5-1
Analysis: The Gipper set the early fractions and could not hold off the winner late in a runner up finish last out in his second career start. He was three lengths clear of the rest of the field. He owns the edge in early and mid pace numbers and looks capable of shaking loose from this field early. The colt is out of the stakes winner Angel Trumpet ($298,589) who has dropped five other foals to race with four winners.
Watch Me Whip is a $330,000 Keeneland purchase making his debut for the Romans barn that is 9% winners with first time starters. The colt is by Smart Strike (14% winners with debut runners) out of a Deputy Minster mare that has dropped three winners, top earner stakes winner Private Vow ($491,213). Solid looking works on the morning tab.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 3,5,6,12
TRI: 5,6 / 3,5,6,12 / 3,5,6,10,12
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R2: #5 My Good Venezuela 10-1
R3: #1 Text Me 8-1
R4: #7 Remstin 10-1
R5: #10 Kitty Maddnes 15-1
R6: #3 Fuel the Bern 8-1
R6: #11 Opportunity Cost 15-1
R8: #8 Know Your Customer 12-1
R8: #6 Altar Boy 12-1
R9: #7 Trophy Girl 10-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
Mo Town took the $300,000 Remsen Stakes (G2) at Aqueduct on Saturday, earning 10 points toward entry into the Kentucky Derby (G1).
Trained by Tony Dutrow, the son of Uncle Mo won by 2 1/2 lengths as my second choice, beating my top pick No Dozing, who rallied to complete a $2 recommended exacta that returned $45.00.
The 4-5 favorite Takaful had to settle for third under a less than stellar ride from Jose Ortiz. The colt jumped to a quick lead, but instead of just going, Ortiz elected to strangle the colt back in third and did not have enough punch left late.
Sportsbooks still had Mo Town listed at +3000 in early Kentucky Debry wagering as of Saturday night,. Expect that price to shrink.
We also hit the recommended exacta in the $200,000 Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs, which was a Road to the Kentucky Derby points race.
My top pick was longshot Han Sense, who failed to threaten, but my second choice McCracken looked impressive, making a late run to get up late at 4-5. Wild Shot ran second, the $2 exacta returning $15.60.
McCracken is the current third choice in early Derby betting at +1000.
In Pool 1 of the Kentucky Derby Future wager, which closes today at 6:00 ET, Classic Empire is 5-1. The “All Others” is the favorite at 502.
Mo Town is currently at 17-1 while McCracken has drifted down to 12-1.
My Best Plays Report for Sunday includes my eight strongest plays from Aqueduct and Churchill Downs.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:20 ET)
#1 Bride Street 3-1
#4 I'm Betty G 7-2
#6 Raging Town 5-2
#7 Silencer 6-1
Analysis: Bride Street debut for the McLaughlin barn that is 18% winners (with a +ROI) with first time starters. The filly is by Street Cry (11% winners win debut runners) out of a Holy Bull mare that has dropped four winners including a couple of stakes winners, top earner Conveyance ($496,560). The filly debuts with lasix and a solid looking work tab.
I'm Betty G is a $150,000 purchase making her debut for the Pletcher barn that is 19% winners with first time starters. She is by Into Mischief (12% winners with debut runners) out of a Honour and Glory mare that has dropped one other foal to race no winners to date. She spent the winter at Palm Beach Downs and has a solid looking work tab.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,4,6,7
TRI: 1,4 / 1,4,6,7 / 1,4,5,6,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 Alw $67,000N1X (3:47 ET)
#8 Know Your Customer 12-1
#4 Exulting 2-1
#1 Battle of Evermore 8-1
#6 Altar Boy 12-1
Analysis: Know Your Customer prompted the early pace and finished strongly to beat $50,000 starter allowance foes in the slop last out on the switch from turf. The $170,000 Keeneland purchase will now make his first start over a fast main track. He looks headed in the right direction form wise for Brown and the 12-1 morning line looks generous.
Exulting came with a six wide rally and drew clear late to a good looking maiden score in his second career outing. He caught wet tracks he is bred for in both starts. This guy was a $500,000 purchase and the extra ground here will not be a problem. The McLaughlin barn is 22% winners moving runners from sprint to route.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 6-1 or better.
EX: 4,8 / 1,4,6,8
TRI: 4,8 / 1,4,6,8 / 1,4,6,8,11
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Churchill Downs:
CD Race 8 Md Sp Wt (4:27 ET)
#5 The Gipper 9-5
#6 Watch Me Whip 12-1
#3 He's Munnie 6-1
#12 Proforma 5-1
Analysis: The Gipper set the early fractions and could not hold off the winner late in a runner up finish last out in his second career start. He was three lengths clear of the rest of the field. He owns the edge in early and mid pace numbers and looks capable of shaking loose from this field early. The colt is out of the stakes winner Angel Trumpet ($298,589) who has dropped five other foals to race with four winners.
Watch Me Whip is a $330,000 Keeneland purchase making his debut for the Romans barn that is 9% winners with first time starters. The colt is by Smart Strike (14% winners with debut runners) out of a Deputy Minster mare that has dropped three winners, top earner stakes winner Private Vow ($491,213). Solid looking works on the morning tab.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 9-5 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 3,5,6,12
TRI: 5,6 / 3,5,6,12 / 3,5,6,10,12
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R2: #5 My Good Venezuela 10-1
R3: #1 Text Me 8-1
R4: #7 Remstin 10-1
R5: #10 Kitty Maddnes 15-1
R6: #3 Fuel the Bern 8-1
R6: #11 Opportunity Cost 15-1
R8: #8 Know Your Customer 12-1
R8: #6 Altar Boy 12-1
R9: #7 Trophy Girl 10-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 11 - Post: 4:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$13000 - NW $10,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS STARTERS IN A CLASS HIGHER THAN NW15500 OR A WINNER THIS CLASS IN LAST START INELIGIBLE PA PREFERENCE
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 ALLSTAR PARTNER 5/2
# 1 BETTOREVER 6/1
# 5 REGGIANO 3/1
ALLSTAR PARTNER seems to be our best wagering option in this outing. The handicapping group saw this horse's name on a tv show. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. Take a look at this interesting entrant's avg speed stat of 96 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a formidable bet. That 93 speed fig clocked in the most recent contest puts this standardbred in the mix in this event. BETTOREVER - This gelding has been battling versus some of the most competitive company in this field of late. REGGIANO - When the starter calls, harness racers coming out of the 5 position have more wins than the expected average. This nice horse has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 92 avg class number. Should play well in this one.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 11 - Post: 4:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$13000 - NW $10,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS STARTERS IN A CLASS HIGHER THAN NW15500 OR A WINNER THIS CLASS IN LAST START INELIGIBLE PA PREFERENCE
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 ALLSTAR PARTNER 5/2
# 1 BETTOREVER 6/1
# 5 REGGIANO 3/1
ALLSTAR PARTNER seems to be our best wagering option in this outing. The handicapping group saw this horse's name on a tv show. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. Take a look at this interesting entrant's avg speed stat of 96 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a formidable bet. That 93 speed fig clocked in the most recent contest puts this standardbred in the mix in this event. BETTOREVER - This gelding has been battling versus some of the most competitive company in this field of late. REGGIANO - When the starter calls, harness racers coming out of the 5 position have more wins than the expected average. This nice horse has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 92 avg class number. Should play well in this one.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pompano Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 10:02 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 91 - Purse:$12000 - OPEN 1 HANDICAP POST POSITIONS 7-8 ASSIGNED WALLIS PICKED 7 OVER 3
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 2 BLUEHOURPOWER 12/1
# 8 PANOCCHIO 2/1
# 1 HERE COMES WILLIAM 7/1
Hey, listen up! BLUEHOURPOWER is the intelligent wager if you like to win and is a competitive value wager given the line. Pace makes the race is a favorite saying of this wagering panel. Pace stats here point to a bang-up play. He has good class figures, averaging 91. Worth considering for a bet for this race. Deserves a shot given the successful win percentage he sports. PANOCCHIO - You have to strongly consider a horse that wins a lot, very attractive win pct. When Mattison sends this nice horse out you can bet they'll be in the money, stats show them there 83 percent of the time. HERE COMES WILLIAM - Many analyzers will recognize the stellar TrackMaster Speed Rating in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this group of animals.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 10:02 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 91 - Purse:$12000 - OPEN 1 HANDICAP POST POSITIONS 7-8 ASSIGNED WALLIS PICKED 7 OVER 3
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 2 BLUEHOURPOWER 12/1
# 8 PANOCCHIO 2/1
# 1 HERE COMES WILLIAM 7/1
Hey, listen up! BLUEHOURPOWER is the intelligent wager if you like to win and is a competitive value wager given the line. Pace makes the race is a favorite saying of this wagering panel. Pace stats here point to a bang-up play. He has good class figures, averaging 91. Worth considering for a bet for this race. Deserves a shot given the successful win percentage he sports. PANOCCHIO - You have to strongly consider a horse that wins a lot, very attractive win pct. When Mattison sends this nice horse out you can bet they'll be in the money, stats show them there 83 percent of the time. HERE COMES WILLIAM - Many analyzers will recognize the stellar TrackMaster Speed Rating in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this group of animals.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - SA - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 111
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS IN 2015-2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 7 BARREL KNOT 7/2
# 4 OKIE BLACKBIRD 20/1
# 5 AIN'T NO OTHER 6/1
My choice for this event is BARREL KNOT. Has been running solidly lately and will probably be up near the lead early on. Has posted strong Equibase Speed Figs in turf sprint races in the past. OKIE BLACKBIRD - With a solid jockey who has won at a very strong 15 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top selections. AIN'T NO OTHER - Had one of the most competitive speed figures of this field in his last contest. Going in a turf sprint race gives this gelding a very strong shot.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - SA - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 111
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS IN 2015-2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 7 BARREL KNOT 7/2
# 4 OKIE BLACKBIRD 20/1
# 5 AIN'T NO OTHER 6/1
My choice for this event is BARREL KNOT. Has been running solidly lately and will probably be up near the lead early on. Has posted strong Equibase Speed Figs in turf sprint races in the past. OKIE BLACKBIRD - With a solid jockey who has won at a very strong 15 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top selections. AIN'T NO OTHER - Had one of the most competitive speed figures of this field in his last contest. Going in a turf sprint race gives this gelding a very strong shot.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Portland Meadows
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $3500 Class Rating: 101
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR REGISTERED OREGON BRED TWO YEAR OLDS THAT WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE BAXTER ANDRUSS FUTURITY TRIALS. WEIGHT, 125 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 L BAR D GENUINE RED 4/5
# 5 FLYIN ROCKS 9/2
# 6 JESSES CLAIM TA FAME 3/1
L BAR D GENUINE RED is my choice. Will probably compete solidly in the early pace clash which bodes well with this field. He has been running soundly and the Equibase speed figs are among the strongest in this group of horses. Is tough not to consider given the company run in recently. FLYIN ROCKS - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Rosales running at this distance are the most favorable in this group of horses. Rosales has shown excellent profits (+1 ROI ) with horses in short events. JESSES CLAIM TA FAME - He must be given a chance given the solid speed numbers. Must be carefully examined based on the competitive Equibase speed fig posted in the last contest.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Trial - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $3500 Class Rating: 101
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR REGISTERED OREGON BRED TWO YEAR OLDS THAT WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THE BAXTER ANDRUSS FUTURITY TRIALS. WEIGHT, 125 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 L BAR D GENUINE RED 4/5
# 5 FLYIN ROCKS 9/2
# 6 JESSES CLAIM TA FAME 3/1
L BAR D GENUINE RED is my choice. Will probably compete solidly in the early pace clash which bodes well with this field. He has been running soundly and the Equibase speed figs are among the strongest in this group of horses. Is tough not to consider given the company run in recently. FLYIN ROCKS - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Rosales running at this distance are the most favorable in this group of horses. Rosales has shown excellent profits (+1 ROI ) with horses in short events. JESSES CLAIM TA FAME - He must be given a chance given the solid speed numbers. Must be carefully examined based on the competitive Equibase speed fig posted in the last contest.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Zia Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:15pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 85
Rating:
#4 LOOKS TO SPARE (ML=9/5)
#7 BRO DEREK (ML=7/2)
LOOKS TO SPARE - Entered last at Zia Park in a race with a class number of 99. Dropping a significant amount in Equibase class figure this time puts him in a solid position right here. He must like the track here. He just won over the track after shipping in. He has the highest earnings per race entered. Check out this animal. BRO DEREK - Don't often see a favorable ROI like +40. This jock/handler tandem has done well together over the last year. This gelding is in first-rate condition right now. Ended up first last out and comes back soon. Recent Equibase speed figs show powerful pattern of improvement.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CLASSIC GENT (ML=9/2), #3 MR MARCOM (ML=5/1), #5 DELAYED BY WHO (ML=6/1),
CLASSIC GENT - The lack of morning blow outs has to make one concerned despite the strong effort in the last event. MR MARCOM - The speed fig last out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underlay. DELAYED BY WHO - This runner didn't go to the head of the pack and didn't close ground down the homestretch last time he ran. I can't play this frequent non-winner. Gets the job done occasionally.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BRO DEREK - Love the latest bullet work. Should perform well today.
**
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 LOOKS TO SPARE on the nose if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
4 with 7 with [2,3,6] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Zia Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:15pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 85
Rating:
#4 LOOKS TO SPARE (ML=9/5)
#7 BRO DEREK (ML=7/2)
LOOKS TO SPARE - Entered last at Zia Park in a race with a class number of 99. Dropping a significant amount in Equibase class figure this time puts him in a solid position right here. He must like the track here. He just won over the track after shipping in. He has the highest earnings per race entered. Check out this animal. BRO DEREK - Don't often see a favorable ROI like +40. This jock/handler tandem has done well together over the last year. This gelding is in first-rate condition right now. Ended up first last out and comes back soon. Recent Equibase speed figs show powerful pattern of improvement.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CLASSIC GENT (ML=9/2), #3 MR MARCOM (ML=5/1), #5 DELAYED BY WHO (ML=6/1),
CLASSIC GENT - The lack of morning blow outs has to make one concerned despite the strong effort in the last event. MR MARCOM - The speed fig last out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underlay. DELAYED BY WHO - This runner didn't go to the head of the pack and didn't close ground down the homestretch last time he ran. I can't play this frequent non-winner. Gets the job done occasionally.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BRO DEREK - Love the latest bullet work. Should perform well today.
**
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 LOOKS TO SPARE on the nose if you can get odds of 9/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
4 with 7 with [2,3,6] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 3:00pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 83
Rating:
#13 PINK PRINCESS (ML=7/2)
#14 SMART N SMOKIN (ML=8/1)
#9 UKNOWFRIENDS (ML=12/1)
#6 GINGER BEER (ML=4/1)
PINK PRINCESS - The jockey and trainer combination have a positive ROI when they work together. This horse should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. If you review the PP's for this animal, you'll see she has recorded the top speed figure at the distance and surface. A repeat race in today's race and this horse has a superb chance to win. This animal picks up a lot of money per race. I believe she will add to the lifetime earnings in this race. SMART N SMOKIN - Trainer, Merryman, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Merryman brings her right back. I advocate you stick with this hot mare. A repeat of that recent race on October 29th where she earned a speed rating of 92 looks good enough to score in this event. UKNOWFRIENDS - This filly should be in top form, this far into her form cycle. I just may give this one a fair chance. Should rebound off last race where she did run out of the money, but was within five lengths at the end. GINGER BEER - Have to make this mare a serious competitor; she comes off a sharp race on Nov 12th. I'm optimistic this mare will run well today. Last prep was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me she's sharp right now. Last out, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. What that tells me is she can close well, and should be right there at the end in today's contest.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SALLY OH SALLY (ML=7/2), #8 STORMY MISTRESS (ML=5/1), #10 TAKE IT INSIDE (ML=5/1),
SALLY OH SALLY - In the last race this racer finished ninth. Doesn't look promising for her chances this time out. This mare garnered a speed fig in her last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. STORMY MISTRESS - Don't think this less than sharp equine will make an impact today. That last speed fig was mediocre when compared with today's class figure. TAKE IT INSIDE - When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to earn a much better speed rating than last race out to be competitive in this turf sprint.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SMART N SMOKIN - This steed's last two speed figures of 87 and 92 are better the today's class rating of 83.
**
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #13 PINK PRINCESS to win if you can get odds of 4/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [9,13,14]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 3:00pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 83
Rating:
#13 PINK PRINCESS (ML=7/2)
#14 SMART N SMOKIN (ML=8/1)
#9 UKNOWFRIENDS (ML=12/1)
#6 GINGER BEER (ML=4/1)
PINK PRINCESS - The jockey and trainer combination have a positive ROI when they work together. This horse should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. If you review the PP's for this animal, you'll see she has recorded the top speed figure at the distance and surface. A repeat race in today's race and this horse has a superb chance to win. This animal picks up a lot of money per race. I believe she will add to the lifetime earnings in this race. SMART N SMOKIN - Trainer, Merryman, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Merryman brings her right back. I advocate you stick with this hot mare. A repeat of that recent race on October 29th where she earned a speed rating of 92 looks good enough to score in this event. UKNOWFRIENDS - This filly should be in top form, this far into her form cycle. I just may give this one a fair chance. Should rebound off last race where she did run out of the money, but was within five lengths at the end. GINGER BEER - Have to make this mare a serious competitor; she comes off a sharp race on Nov 12th. I'm optimistic this mare will run well today. Last prep was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me she's sharp right now. Last out, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. What that tells me is she can close well, and should be right there at the end in today's contest.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SALLY OH SALLY (ML=7/2), #8 STORMY MISTRESS (ML=5/1), #10 TAKE IT INSIDE (ML=5/1),
SALLY OH SALLY - In the last race this racer finished ninth. Doesn't look promising for her chances this time out. This mare garnered a speed fig in her last event which likely isn't good enough in today's race. STORMY MISTRESS - Don't think this less than sharp equine will make an impact today. That last speed fig was mediocre when compared with today's class figure. TAKE IT INSIDE - When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to earn a much better speed rating than last race out to be competitive in this turf sprint.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SMART N SMOKIN - This steed's last two speed figures of 87 and 92 are better the today's class rating of 83.
**
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #13 PINK PRINCESS to win if you can get odds of 4/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [9,13,14]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:17 PM EASTERN POST
9.0 FURLONGS TURF FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD OPTIONAL CLAIMING $67,000.00 PURSE
#4 CHICADORO
#6 DAISY CUTTER
#1 INCHARGEOFME
#3 QUANT
#4 CHICADORO, a British-bred entry, has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of her last five starts, hitting the board in three of those efforts, including a BLISTERING, 13-length, "POWER RUN WIN" in her 5th race back. #6 DAISY CUTTER, the morning line favorite, comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN BOARD HITS" in her last two starts. #1 INCHARGEOFME, who was also bred in Great Britain, is the pace profile leader has hit the board in each of her three career starts to date, including a maiden-breaking win in her 2nd race back.
RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:17 PM EASTERN POST
9.0 FURLONGS TURF FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD OPTIONAL CLAIMING $67,000.00 PURSE
#4 CHICADORO
#6 DAISY CUTTER
#1 INCHARGEOFME
#3 QUANT
#4 CHICADORO, a British-bred entry, has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of her last five starts, hitting the board in three of those efforts, including a BLISTERING, 13-length, "POWER RUN WIN" in her 5th race back. #6 DAISY CUTTER, the morning line favorite, comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN BOARD HITS" in her last two starts. #1 INCHARGEOFME, who was also bred in Great Britain, is the pace profile leader has hit the board in each of her three career starts to date, including a maiden-breaking win in her 2nd race back.
Yonkers: Sunday 11/27 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 423 - 1213 / $2,315.50
BEST BETS: 55 - 99 / $186.30
Best Bet: LETTUCERIPRITA A (8th)
Spot Play: ZOOMING (2nd)
Race 1
(2) CENTURION ATM didn't race that badly last week getting shuffled as the lead changed; MacDonald drives today and he deserves another chance. (7) HEMI SEELSTER was hard to handle and very antsy in the pocket before ultimately breaking in last; his prior two efforts on the front end were super. (8) WIND OF THE NORTH returns locally after being right there in the TVG Final at The Meadowlands but he's got to overcome the far outside post.
Race 2
(5) ZOOMING has been in good form for quite some time now and he should be in line for a perfect trip from this spot. (3) CHARMED LIFE has plenty of class to her and she ships in off a sharp score upstate. (1) LILY'S SWAN POND was buried in that tough Open Handicap last week; he was a good second at this level four back.
Race 3
(3) XTATIC HANOVER was better last week which could be signaling a return to form; he may offer the best value of the contenders. (1) ZORGWIJK NOVA rallied nicely from off the pace after that second-tier start last out; mare will likely be controlling the action today. (4) PIERCEWAVE HANOVER should be in line for a better trip today.
Race 4
(3) SOUL TRAIN had been looking much better prior to last week's tiring front-end effort. Trotter can strike from off the pace today. (2) WING FLASH flattened late in a fast race last out; mare was solid the week before. (6) SIM BROWN blew away lesser in his second start for new connections and he may be sharp enough to handle this type.
Race 5
(1) KADABRASNEWRECRUIT was second last week and stays at the same level debuting for new connections off the claim; logical. (4) LO RAIL CROSSING missed a week but had been sharp in prior starts. (5) ROCKET MASTER gets a driver upgrade exiting the amateur ranks.
Race 6
(8) DARK ROAST arrives from The Meadows making her debut for the Allard barn and she gets Sears in the bike; trotter could fit well in here and is worth a look despite the poor post. (6) WHATNBLAZES hasn't won in two years but he fits at the basement level and he gets a professional driver back in the bike. (7) CI'S BUCKEYE gets Bartett back in the bike today but he stopped badly last week; use caution.
Race 7
(9) DREAMSTEELER was very game in victory for the second straight week; why not again? (4) WELL CONNECTED KID was outbattled by the top choice; big threat again from these connections. (2) MASSIVE TALENT lands the best post and should be a player in here, but he also should have won last week.
Race 8
(3) LETTUCERIPRITA A is up in class off a big effort and he keeps Bartlett over a good Bamond trainee; stick with him. (5) SNAP TO IT A returns locally and he's had success with these in the past. (1) REASONABLE FORCE had pace once clear last out and he draws best.
Race 9
(2) CASIMIR JITTERBUG gets needed post relief and the veteran is more than capable with these. (1) SPORTS BETTOR exits claimers off a sharp pocket-sitting win and he draws best again. (3) LORD OF MISRULE gets a better starting spot and was Dube's choice.
Race 10
(1) POLAK A gets away from the big boys, draws best and gets Stratton back in the bike; they teamed up for a big upset win three back. (2) BLOOD BROTHER came too late last week; he should be in a better spot today. (4) DOWNTHEHIGHWY may have needed his first local start last week and the Burke trainee can be better today.
Race 11
(4) SOMEWHERE IN L A returns locally now in the Banca barn and he can take these a long way on the front end. (3) TEXICAN N gets post relief and certainly can go with these. (2) LETTUCEROCKTHEM A is a bit unpredictable but the talent is there.
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 423 - 1213 / $2,315.50
BEST BETS: 55 - 99 / $186.30
Best Bet: LETTUCERIPRITA A (8th)
Spot Play: ZOOMING (2nd)
Race 1
(2) CENTURION ATM didn't race that badly last week getting shuffled as the lead changed; MacDonald drives today and he deserves another chance. (7) HEMI SEELSTER was hard to handle and very antsy in the pocket before ultimately breaking in last; his prior two efforts on the front end were super. (8) WIND OF THE NORTH returns locally after being right there in the TVG Final at The Meadowlands but he's got to overcome the far outside post.
Race 2
(5) ZOOMING has been in good form for quite some time now and he should be in line for a perfect trip from this spot. (3) CHARMED LIFE has plenty of class to her and she ships in off a sharp score upstate. (1) LILY'S SWAN POND was buried in that tough Open Handicap last week; he was a good second at this level four back.
Race 3
(3) XTATIC HANOVER was better last week which could be signaling a return to form; he may offer the best value of the contenders. (1) ZORGWIJK NOVA rallied nicely from off the pace after that second-tier start last out; mare will likely be controlling the action today. (4) PIERCEWAVE HANOVER should be in line for a better trip today.
Race 4
(3) SOUL TRAIN had been looking much better prior to last week's tiring front-end effort. Trotter can strike from off the pace today. (2) WING FLASH flattened late in a fast race last out; mare was solid the week before. (6) SIM BROWN blew away lesser in his second start for new connections and he may be sharp enough to handle this type.
Race 5
(1) KADABRASNEWRECRUIT was second last week and stays at the same level debuting for new connections off the claim; logical. (4) LO RAIL CROSSING missed a week but had been sharp in prior starts. (5) ROCKET MASTER gets a driver upgrade exiting the amateur ranks.
Race 6
(8) DARK ROAST arrives from The Meadows making her debut for the Allard barn and she gets Sears in the bike; trotter could fit well in here and is worth a look despite the poor post. (6) WHATNBLAZES hasn't won in two years but he fits at the basement level and he gets a professional driver back in the bike. (7) CI'S BUCKEYE gets Bartett back in the bike today but he stopped badly last week; use caution.
Race 7
(9) DREAMSTEELER was very game in victory for the second straight week; why not again? (4) WELL CONNECTED KID was outbattled by the top choice; big threat again from these connections. (2) MASSIVE TALENT lands the best post and should be a player in here, but he also should have won last week.
Race 8
(3) LETTUCERIPRITA A is up in class off a big effort and he keeps Bartlett over a good Bamond trainee; stick with him. (5) SNAP TO IT A returns locally and he's had success with these in the past. (1) REASONABLE FORCE had pace once clear last out and he draws best.
Race 9
(2) CASIMIR JITTERBUG gets needed post relief and the veteran is more than capable with these. (1) SPORTS BETTOR exits claimers off a sharp pocket-sitting win and he draws best again. (3) LORD OF MISRULE gets a better starting spot and was Dube's choice.
Race 10
(1) POLAK A gets away from the big boys, draws best and gets Stratton back in the bike; they teamed up for a big upset win three back. (2) BLOOD BROTHER came too late last week; he should be in a better spot today. (4) DOWNTHEHIGHWY may have needed his first local start last week and the Burke trainee can be better today.
Race 11
(4) SOMEWHERE IN L A returns locally now in the Banca barn and he can take these a long way on the front end. (3) TEXICAN N gets post relief and certainly can go with these. (2) LETTUCEROCKTHEM A is a bit unpredictable but the talent is there.
SPOT PLAYS
For Sunday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (2nd) Queenofthechannel, 6-1
(4th) Til We Meet Again, 6-1
Churchill Downs (4th) Anmaat, 5-1
(7th) Sky Wonder, 6-1
Del Mar (1st) Cyclone Betty, 7-2
(7th) Arewehavingfunyet, 9-2
Fair Grounds (1st) Muzz'em, 5-1
(9th) Northwoods Cat, 4-1
Golden Gate Fields (8th) Brownie Finale, 4-1
(9th) Mama's Secretstorm, 3-1
Gulfstream Park West (4th) Testaruda, 3-1
(9th) North of Calhoun, 5-1
Laurel (1st) Sventastic, 6-1
(5th) Proud Maid Marian, 9-2
Parx Racing (3rd) Mightnight Bounty, 9-2
(6th) Bertranda, 6-1
Turf Paradise (4th) Royal Briar, 5-1
(7th) Meeting in Heaven, 4-1
Woodbine (4th) Rebel Music, 4-1
(8th) Katalox, 8-1
For Sunday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (2nd) Queenofthechannel, 6-1
(4th) Til We Meet Again, 6-1
Churchill Downs (4th) Anmaat, 5-1
(7th) Sky Wonder, 6-1
Del Mar (1st) Cyclone Betty, 7-2
(7th) Arewehavingfunyet, 9-2
Fair Grounds (1st) Muzz'em, 5-1
(9th) Northwoods Cat, 4-1
Golden Gate Fields (8th) Brownie Finale, 4-1
(9th) Mama's Secretstorm, 3-1
Gulfstream Park West (4th) Testaruda, 3-1
(9th) North of Calhoun, 5-1
Laurel (1st) Sventastic, 6-1
(5th) Proud Maid Marian, 9-2
Parx Racing (3rd) Mightnight Bounty, 9-2
(6th) Bertranda, 6-1
Turf Paradise (4th) Royal Briar, 5-1
(7th) Meeting in Heaven, 4-1
Woodbine (4th) Rebel Music, 4-1
(8th) Katalox, 8-1
