At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey
It’s never too early to find our Kentucky Derby pick and we have a couple of races today that could produce leading contenders for the Run for the Roses.
We have a pair of Road to the Kentucky Derby points races on tap this afternoon—the $300,000 Remsen (G2) at Aqueduct and the $200,000 Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs.
Classic Empire, the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) winner is the current favorite for the Kentucky Derby, currently at odds of +700.
Currently the fifth choice in the early Derby betting at +1500 is Uncontested, who goes in the Kentucky Jockey Club along with McCracken, who is currently the co-fifth choice at +2000.
Takaful is the 7-5 morning line favorite for the Remsen and his current odds for the Derby stand at +2000.
There are four graded stakes on the card at Aqueduct including the $500,000 Cigar Mile (G1), which drew a solid field of 10 including Pennsylvania Derby (G2) winner Connect and Kelso Handicap (G2) winner Anchor Down.
The supporting features at the Big A are the $300,000 Demoiselle (G2) for two-year-old fillies and the $250,000 Comely (G3) for three-year-old fillies.
My Best Plays Report for Saturday includes my 10 strongest plays from Aqueduct and Churchill Downs including all the stakes action.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Alw $50,000s (11:50 ET)
#2 Sir Alfred 3-1
#4 Baby Bear's Soup 5-2
#3 Tashreeh 7-2
#1 Divine Inetrventio 5-1
Analysis: Sir Alfred tracked the early pace and made a mild late rally to finish third last out at this level in his first trip over the Big A main track. The winner Will Did It came back to Alw-1 foes in his next outing here on Nov. 16. The Pletcher trainee beat $50,000 non-winners of two at Keeneland two back. He owns a solid pace profile throughout and fits well in this spot.
Baby Bear's Soup took the field gate to wire to beat $40,000 non-winners of two at Philly last out by 13 1/4 lengths at 6-5. Jacobson claimed this guy for $25,000 and the gelding earned a career top last out. He faces a bit tougher here and may end up a short price than the 5-2 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX:2,4 / 2,3,4
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 The Remsen G2 (3:20 ET)
#9 No Dozing 4-1
#8 Mo Town 5-1
#4 Takaful 7-5
#3 Hookup 12-1
Analysis: No Dozing was fourth last out in the Breeders' Futurity (G1 at Keeneland. The colt was bumped and bothered coming out of the gate, chased the early pace while wide, came four wide into the stretch and finished evenly, beaten four lengths for the top spot. The winner Classic Empire came back to win the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) while fifth place finisher Gunnevera came back to win the Delta Downs Jackpot (G3) in his next outing. The Delacour trainee figures to move forward off his last outing facing not as tough a group here.
Mo Town was a good looking maiden winner last out in the mud going a mile in his second career start, drawing away to win by seven lengths. The colt was a $200,000 Keeneland purchase and was solid in part after his last outing to the Coolmore group of Magnier, Tabor and Smith. The colt is by Uncle Mo and the first foal to race out of a Bernardini mare. He has worked smartly since his last outing and looks as if he still has a ton of upside.
Takaful went gate to wire to break his maiden in his debut at Belmont park going 6 1/2 furlongs and earned the top last out speed fig. He returns with lasix added for the McLaughlin barn and this guy is bred for more ground. he is by Bernardini out of a Distorted Humor mare, her first foal to race. The barn is 22% winners moving runners from sprint to route. The colt has a ton of potential but can't get to excited about his 7-5 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 8,9 / 3,4,8,9
TRI: 8,9 / 3,4,8,9 / 3,4,7,8,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Churchill Downs:
CD Race 11 The Kentucky Jockey Club G2 (5:56 ET)
#1 Han Sense 10-1
#11 McCracken 7-2
#12 Uncontested 5-1
#3 Wild Shot 4-1
Analysis: Han Sense stumbled badly coming out of the gate, stalked the early pace and could not get to the gate to wire winner in a runner up finish in the Nashua (G2) at Aqueduct last out. The colt caught a racing strip that was kind to inside speed that day. He ran a decent second on the fake stuff two back at Woodbine in the Grey (G3) after a fifth on turf in the Kentucky Downs Juvenile in his first start against winners. He is bred to handle two turns, by Hansel out of the stakes winner Humble Retha ($102,955) who ash dropped three other winners including stakes winner Humble Janet ($189,050).
McCracken came with a seven-wide run and drew off late to win the Street Sense last out in a sharp looking effort in his first start against winners. This guy looks as if he will have no trouble handling two turns although he draws a tough spot and his price is going to be lighter than the 7-2 morning line. He is by Ghostzapper out of a stakes placed Seeking the Gold mare.
Uncontested was of awkwardly and sent up to set the early fractions and took the field gate to wire to break his maiden in his debut in fast time. The runner up and eighth place finishers came out of that race to graduate in their next starts. The Catalano barn is 17% winners moving runners from sprint to route. He has six sibs that are winners, top earner stakes winner Solitary Ranger ($231,932).
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 6-1 or better.
EX: 1,11 / 1,3,11,12
TRI: 1,11 / 1,3,11,12 / 1,3,6,11,12
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R2: #5 Dynamax Prime 15-1
R3: #7 Mo d’Amour 10-1
R4: #7 Foreign Affair 10-1
R5: #4 Cut to Order 10-1
R6: #7 Majestic Bonnie 20-1
R8: #3 Hookup 12-1
R9: #6 Snag 8-1
R10: #10 Divining Rod 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
It’s never too early to find our Kentucky Derby pick and we have a couple of races today that could produce leading contenders for the Run for the Roses.
We have a pair of Road to the Kentucky Derby points races on tap this afternoon—the $300,000 Remsen (G2) at Aqueduct and the $200,000 Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) at Churchill Downs.
Classic Empire, the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) winner is the current favorite for the Kentucky Derby, currently at odds of +700.
Currently the fifth choice in the early Derby betting at +1500 is Uncontested, who goes in the Kentucky Jockey Club along with McCracken, who is currently the co-fifth choice at +2000.
Takaful is the 7-5 morning line favorite for the Remsen and his current odds for the Derby stand at +2000.
There are four graded stakes on the card at Aqueduct including the $500,000 Cigar Mile (G1), which drew a solid field of 10 including Pennsylvania Derby (G2) winner Connect and Kelso Handicap (G2) winner Anchor Down.
The supporting features at the Big A are the $300,000 Demoiselle (G2) for two-year-old fillies and the $250,000 Comely (G3) for three-year-old fillies.
My Best Plays Report for Saturday includes my 10 strongest plays from Aqueduct and Churchill Downs including all the stakes action.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Alw $50,000s (11:50 ET)
#2 Sir Alfred 3-1
#4 Baby Bear's Soup 5-2
#3 Tashreeh 7-2
#1 Divine Inetrventio 5-1
Analysis: Sir Alfred tracked the early pace and made a mild late rally to finish third last out at this level in his first trip over the Big A main track. The winner Will Did It came back to Alw-1 foes in his next outing here on Nov. 16. The Pletcher trainee beat $50,000 non-winners of two at Keeneland two back. He owns a solid pace profile throughout and fits well in this spot.
Baby Bear's Soup took the field gate to wire to beat $40,000 non-winners of two at Philly last out by 13 1/4 lengths at 6-5. Jacobson claimed this guy for $25,000 and the gelding earned a career top last out. He faces a bit tougher here and may end up a short price than the 5-2 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX:2,4 / 2,3,4
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 The Remsen G2 (3:20 ET)
#9 No Dozing 4-1
#8 Mo Town 5-1
#4 Takaful 7-5
#3 Hookup 12-1
Analysis: No Dozing was fourth last out in the Breeders' Futurity (G1 at Keeneland. The colt was bumped and bothered coming out of the gate, chased the early pace while wide, came four wide into the stretch and finished evenly, beaten four lengths for the top spot. The winner Classic Empire came back to win the Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1) while fifth place finisher Gunnevera came back to win the Delta Downs Jackpot (G3) in his next outing. The Delacour trainee figures to move forward off his last outing facing not as tough a group here.
Mo Town was a good looking maiden winner last out in the mud going a mile in his second career start, drawing away to win by seven lengths. The colt was a $200,000 Keeneland purchase and was solid in part after his last outing to the Coolmore group of Magnier, Tabor and Smith. The colt is by Uncle Mo and the first foal to race out of a Bernardini mare. He has worked smartly since his last outing and looks as if he still has a ton of upside.
Takaful went gate to wire to break his maiden in his debut at Belmont park going 6 1/2 furlongs and earned the top last out speed fig. He returns with lasix added for the McLaughlin barn and this guy is bred for more ground. he is by Bernardini out of a Distorted Humor mare, her first foal to race. The barn is 22% winners moving runners from sprint to route. The colt has a ton of potential but can't get to excited about his 7-5 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #9 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 8,9 / 3,4,8,9
TRI: 8,9 / 3,4,8,9 / 3,4,7,8,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Churchill Downs:
CD Race 11 The Kentucky Jockey Club G2 (5:56 ET)
#1 Han Sense 10-1
#11 McCracken 7-2
#12 Uncontested 5-1
#3 Wild Shot 4-1
Analysis: Han Sense stumbled badly coming out of the gate, stalked the early pace and could not get to the gate to wire winner in a runner up finish in the Nashua (G2) at Aqueduct last out. The colt caught a racing strip that was kind to inside speed that day. He ran a decent second on the fake stuff two back at Woodbine in the Grey (G3) after a fifth on turf in the Kentucky Downs Juvenile in his first start against winners. He is bred to handle two turns, by Hansel out of the stakes winner Humble Retha ($102,955) who ash dropped three other winners including stakes winner Humble Janet ($189,050).
McCracken came with a seven-wide run and drew off late to win the Street Sense last out in a sharp looking effort in his first start against winners. This guy looks as if he will have no trouble handling two turns although he draws a tough spot and his price is going to be lighter than the 7-2 morning line. He is by Ghostzapper out of a stakes placed Seeking the Gold mare.
Uncontested was of awkwardly and sent up to set the early fractions and took the field gate to wire to break his maiden in his debut in fast time. The runner up and eighth place finishers came out of that race to graduate in their next starts. The Catalano barn is 17% winners moving runners from sprint to route. He has six sibs that are winners, top earner stakes winner Solitary Ranger ($231,932).
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 6-1 or better.
EX: 1,11 / 1,3,11,12
TRI: 1,11 / 1,3,11,12 / 1,3,6,11,12
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R2: #5 Dynamax Prime 15-1
R3: #7 Mo d’Amour 10-1
R4: #7 Foreign Affair 10-1
R5: #4 Cut to Order 10-1
R6: #7 Majestic Bonnie 20-1
R8: #3 Hookup 12-1
R9: #6 Snag 8-1
R10: #10 Divining Rod 8-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 15 - Post: 10:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$6800 - FILLIES & MARES NON WINNERS $4000 IN LAST 5 STARTS THAT ARE N/W $45,000 IN 2016. AE: N/W 5 PARI-MUTUEL RACES. NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER NORTHFIELD HN 2 HILLARY`S STYLE - OFF LASIX TRAINER CHANGE HN 1 T.WILSON TO D.RUSSO
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 PINKPOLOSOCKS 2/1
# 3 DRAG N SAND 5/2
# 5 COUPON LADY 15/1
If you want a nice play in this event, feast your eyes on PINKPOLOSOCKS. Can't overlook based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been outstanding (81 avg) these days. A really good class horse cannot be forgotten. With an average class ranking of 81 all signs point to this one being the winner. Respectable driver/trainer, winning 19 percent of the time. Seems to be a super wager. DRAG N SAND - Horse fits well today and trainer's respectable return on investment for solid standardbreds who move down in class make this one a real very good wager. COUPON LADY - Could be considered in here if only for the really strong TrackMaster SR earned in the most recent race. A competitive play in here as she has one of the highest winning figures in the group of horses as well as super credentials all around.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 15 - Post: 10:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$6800 - FILLIES & MARES NON WINNERS $4000 IN LAST 5 STARTS THAT ARE N/W $45,000 IN 2016. AE: N/W 5 PARI-MUTUEL RACES. NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER NORTHFIELD HN 2 HILLARY`S STYLE - OFF LASIX TRAINER CHANGE HN 1 T.WILSON TO D.RUSSO
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 PINKPOLOSOCKS 2/1
# 3 DRAG N SAND 5/2
# 5 COUPON LADY 15/1
If you want a nice play in this event, feast your eyes on PINKPOLOSOCKS. Can't overlook based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been outstanding (81 avg) these days. A really good class horse cannot be forgotten. With an average class ranking of 81 all signs point to this one being the winner. Respectable driver/trainer, winning 19 percent of the time. Seems to be a super wager. DRAG N SAND - Horse fits well today and trainer's respectable return on investment for solid standardbreds who move down in class make this one a real very good wager. COUPON LADY - Could be considered in here if only for the really strong TrackMaster SR earned in the most recent race. A competitive play in here as she has one of the highest winning figures in the group of horses as well as super credentials all around.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 11 - Post: 10:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$6950 - COLTS & GELDINGS - NW $3,500 LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $400
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 BRIGADOON 5/2
# 8 SOUTHWIND INDY 12/1
# 5 CHANTEPLEURE 8/1
BRIGADOON looks like our best wagering option in this contest. Recorded a 83 TrackMaster Speed Rating last out. A duplicate contest here should get the victory today. Many analyzers support this gelding on the driver/handler numbers alone. Dobson will be looking to dominate today, has been hot within the recent past. Win percent over the last 30 days is a sparkling 22. SOUTHWIND INDY - Should be in the hunt again today, looking to improve that already high lifetime winning stat. Many expert selectors know speed is is key. This horse has credentials with a 89 avg rating. CHANTEPLEURE - Devaux is racking up the wins recently. Exemplary win percentage makes this interesting entrant our selection.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 11 - Post: 10:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$6950 - COLTS & GELDINGS - NW $3,500 LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $400
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 BRIGADOON 5/2
# 8 SOUTHWIND INDY 12/1
# 5 CHANTEPLEURE 8/1
BRIGADOON looks like our best wagering option in this contest. Recorded a 83 TrackMaster Speed Rating last out. A duplicate contest here should get the victory today. Many analyzers support this gelding on the driver/handler numbers alone. Dobson will be looking to dominate today, has been hot within the recent past. Win percent over the last 30 days is a sparkling 22. SOUTHWIND INDY - Should be in the hunt again today, looking to improve that already high lifetime winning stat. Many expert selectors know speed is is key. This horse has credentials with a 89 avg rating. CHANTEPLEURE - Devaux is racking up the wins recently. Exemplary win percentage makes this interesting entrant our selection.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $11325 Class Rating: 92
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 3 TEMPTING DIVA 3/1
# 2 MILLENNIUM FLY 6/1
# 1 BOYLIKE 2/1
TEMPTING DIVA looks respectable to best this field. Tough to pass on this filly with Ayala in the saddle. Looks very good against this field and ought to be one of the leaders. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last contest. MILLENNIUM FLY - Could best this field here, showing very good figures of late. Has to be considered versus this group of horses in this race displaying quite good numbers lately and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 86 under similar conditions. BOYLIKE - The average Equibase class figure of 79 makes this entrant difficult to beat. Mendez will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out quickly for this event.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $11325 Class Rating: 92
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 3 TEMPTING DIVA 3/1
# 2 MILLENNIUM FLY 6/1
# 1 BOYLIKE 2/1
TEMPTING DIVA looks respectable to best this field. Tough to pass on this filly with Ayala in the saddle. Looks very good against this field and ought to be one of the leaders. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last contest. MILLENNIUM FLY - Could best this field here, showing very good figures of late. Has to be considered versus this group of horses in this race displaying quite good numbers lately and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 86 under similar conditions. BOYLIKE - The average Equibase class figure of 79 makes this entrant difficult to beat. Mendez will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out quickly for this event.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 87
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $11,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $10,000 2 LBS. (IF
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 5 DANCE WITH GIO 15/1
# 4 UNSPOKEN 8/1
# 6 STORMINATEACUP 15/1
DANCE WITH GIO is the most respectable wager in this race especially at 15/1. Has been racing well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Must be given a shot given the class of races run as of late. Has decent speed figures and has to be considered for a wager in this competition. UNSPOKEN - The Equibase Speed Figure of 76 from her last race looks competitive in here. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses in this race - worth a look. STORMINATEACUP - Very good choice to take this race going in a turf route. Hernandez has strong numbers that point to this mare to be a very strong contender.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 87
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $11,000, FOR EACH $500 TO $10,000 2 LBS. (IF
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 5 DANCE WITH GIO 15/1
# 4 UNSPOKEN 8/1
# 6 STORMINATEACUP 15/1
DANCE WITH GIO is the most respectable wager in this race especially at 15/1. Has been racing well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Must be given a shot given the class of races run as of late. Has decent speed figures and has to be considered for a wager in this competition. UNSPOKEN - The Equibase Speed Figure of 76 from her last race looks competitive in here. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses in this race - worth a look. STORMINATEACUP - Very good choice to take this race going in a turf route. Hernandez has strong numbers that point to this mare to be a very strong contender.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:22pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 50
Rating:
#4 MIZZ FEEBIE (ML=3/1)
MIZZ FEEBIE - When this rider and conditioner join forces you have to take a look. Quinones and Ceccato have been terrific together. Ranked number one in earnings per start. Another indicator that this animal has class. This filly's last speed fig is good enough to prove victorious here, I'll wager on her right back this time around.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 START DE PARTE (ML=4/1), #9 HARLEY'S PAL (ML=9/2), #1 CASS N CAM (ML=5/1),
START DE PARTE - Mountaineer Park isn't nice digs to this less than sharp equine. The speed rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a vulnerable contender. CASS N CAM - No picnic to wager on any horse in a sprint event at 5/1 when she hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last couple of months.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MIZZ FEEBIE - This filly takes a big tumble in the class rating department from a rating of 71 down to 50. Strong contender.*
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 MIZZ FEEBIE is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
4 with [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:22pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 50
Rating:
#4 MIZZ FEEBIE (ML=3/1)
MIZZ FEEBIE - When this rider and conditioner join forces you have to take a look. Quinones and Ceccato have been terrific together. Ranked number one in earnings per start. Another indicator that this animal has class. This filly's last speed fig is good enough to prove victorious here, I'll wager on her right back this time around.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 START DE PARTE (ML=4/1), #9 HARLEY'S PAL (ML=9/2), #1 CASS N CAM (ML=5/1),
START DE PARTE - Mountaineer Park isn't nice digs to this less than sharp equine. The speed rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this thoroughbred as a vulnerable contender. CASS N CAM - No picnic to wager on any horse in a sprint event at 5/1 when she hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last couple of months.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MIZZ FEEBIE - This filly takes a big tumble in the class rating department from a rating of 71 down to 50. Strong contender.*
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 MIZZ FEEBIE is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
4 with [3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Gulfstream Park West - Race #11 - Post: 5:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 77
Rating:
#7 ALL THE NEWS (ML=4/1)
ALL THE NEWS - You always have to be on the patrol for profit making jock/conditioner tandems; we have one right here. This animal is for real on the turf. TrackMaster turf fig in last race at Gulfstream Park West was tops in this bunch. Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Horse didn't land in the top three in last race, but did beat half the field, and made up ground in the lane. A slight improvement and this horse should be right there at the end.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TRAFFIC EXPRESS (ML=3/1), #11 IT'Z MY VALENTINO (ML=7/2), #10 GUN STREET (ML=5/1),
TRAFFIC EXPRESS - Can't bet on this pony in today's sprint of 7 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint race of late. IT'Z MY VALENTINO - You always believe this horse has a shot to be victorious, but he falters frequently. GUN STREET - This gelding finished out of the top three on Oct 21st and wasn't close in the last race either.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - ALL THE NEWS - This gelding fits nicely here against these ponies. His average class figure is tops in the field.
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 ALL THE NEWS to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [1,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Gulfstream Park West - Race #11 - Post: 5:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 77
Rating:
#7 ALL THE NEWS (ML=4/1)
ALL THE NEWS - You always have to be on the patrol for profit making jock/conditioner tandems; we have one right here. This animal is for real on the turf. TrackMaster turf fig in last race at Gulfstream Park West was tops in this bunch. Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. Horse didn't land in the top three in last race, but did beat half the field, and made up ground in the lane. A slight improvement and this horse should be right there at the end.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TRAFFIC EXPRESS (ML=3/1), #11 IT'Z MY VALENTINO (ML=7/2), #10 GUN STREET (ML=5/1),
TRAFFIC EXPRESS - Can't bet on this pony in today's sprint of 7 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint race of late. IT'Z MY VALENTINO - You always believe this horse has a shot to be victorious, but he falters frequently. GUN STREET - This gelding finished out of the top three on Oct 21st and wasn't close in the last race either.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - ALL THE NEWS - This gelding fits nicely here against these ponies. His average class figure is tops in the field.
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 ALL THE NEWS to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [1,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #10 - AQUEDUCT - 4:20 PM EASTERN POST
The Cigar Mile Handicap
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE I THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $500,000.00 PURSE
#7 CONNECT
#1 ANCHOR DOWN
#10 DIVINING ROD
#2 ECONOMIC MODEL
The Cigar Mile was run as the NYRA Mile prior to 1997. It was renamed that year in honor of the two-time Horse of the Year who won the 1994 edition. Cigar equaled Citation's modern-day North American record of 16 consecutive victories with his win in the Citation Challenge at Arlington International in 1996. Among his victories during that streak were the 1995 Woodward, the 1995 Jockey Club Gold Cub, the 1995 Breeders' Cup Classic, and the 1996 Woodward, all at Belmont Park; as well as the aforementioned 1994 NYRA Mile at Aqueduct. The NYRA Mile was created by former NYRA President Jerry McKeon. The one-mile distance was chosen to attract both sprinters and distance horses. Here in the 28th renewal of this Grade I event, #7 CONNECT, the pace profile leader in this field, has scored with a quartet of "POWER RUN WINS" in his last five starts. Jockey Javier Castellano has been in his irons on two previous occasions, winning 'em both, en route to a +580% profit, and is back today here at "The Big-A" for his 3rd ride, gunning for a "Hat Trick Win." #1 ANCHOR DOWN, the morning line favorite, is the overall speed leader, and comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" facing better company (+3) in his last start.
RACE #10 - AQUEDUCT - 4:20 PM EASTERN POST
The Cigar Mile Handicap
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE I THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $500,000.00 PURSE
#7 CONNECT
#1 ANCHOR DOWN
#10 DIVINING ROD
#2 ECONOMIC MODEL
The Cigar Mile was run as the NYRA Mile prior to 1997. It was renamed that year in honor of the two-time Horse of the Year who won the 1994 edition. Cigar equaled Citation's modern-day North American record of 16 consecutive victories with his win in the Citation Challenge at Arlington International in 1996. Among his victories during that streak were the 1995 Woodward, the 1995 Jockey Club Gold Cub, the 1995 Breeders' Cup Classic, and the 1996 Woodward, all at Belmont Park; as well as the aforementioned 1994 NYRA Mile at Aqueduct. The NYRA Mile was created by former NYRA President Jerry McKeon. The one-mile distance was chosen to attract both sprinters and distance horses. Here in the 28th renewal of this Grade I event, #7 CONNECT, the pace profile leader in this field, has scored with a quartet of "POWER RUN WINS" in his last five starts. Jockey Javier Castellano has been in his irons on two previous occasions, winning 'em both, en route to a +580% profit, and is back today here at "The Big-A" for his 3rd ride, gunning for a "Hat Trick Win." #1 ANCHOR DOWN, the morning line favorite, is the overall speed leader, and comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" facing better company (+3) in his last start.
Woodbine Harness: Saturday 11/26 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
.20 PICK 5: 1,6,7 / 1,3,4 / 1,5 / 1,2,5 / 1,2,3 = $32.40
$1 EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,5 / 1,2,3 / 3,5 / 3,7 = $36
$1 LATE PICK 4: 3,7 / 2 / 2,4,6,7 / 1,5,6,7 = $32
MEET STATS: 19 - 85 / $120.00 BEST BETS: 4 - 8 / $11.90
SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 8 / $0.00
Best Bet: DAYLIGHT RUSH (8th)
Spot Play: DREAMY FELLA (1st)
Race 1
(6) DREAMY FELLA closed well Monday night despite having to chase leaders that enjoyed a slow first 1/2. He could get a much better setup for his late charge here. (1) TWOMACSONEMACH did most of the heavy lifting in the Autumn series final and he was still there at the wire. He appears to be the main danger. (7) SIR GALAHAD has been on a big roll out of town; he isn’t out of this. (3) P L JACKSON appears to have been bought by Cullen for himself after getting hung out to dry in the Autumn final. He’s another that could take this with the right trip.
Race 2
(4) TRACEUR HANOVER left like a rocket last time, intent on controlling the pace. He doesn’t need the lead to win and could take these in his current razor-sharp condition. (1) ANDREIOS KARDIA has never been better and is obviously the one to beat, but nothing lasts forever. (3) PRESCOTTS HOPE looked a little like his old self last week and he wouldn’t be a total shock in this spot considering how good he was here last winter. (6) EVENIN OF PLEASURE is always dangerous on or near the lead.
Race 3
(1) WALK TO FOLSOM was very impressive last week when taking a new life’s mark; catch him to greet the cashier. (5) MANOFMANYIMAGES couldn’t chase the choice down despite trotting a 28 1/5 kicker. If he is closer at the head of the lane this time, he could turn the tables. (10) A ROD HALL is in top form for Vanderkemp, but he will likely need to pass them all to win – which is virtually impossible at this track. (2) ZAGSTER should be able to make the ticket sitting a trip near the front here.
Race 4
(2) MISS COCO LUCK should be closer to the front here leaving from a better post, which gives her a decent chance to chase the leaders down late. (1) RIDE AWAY SHARK went a big trip in a quick mile but was overtaken late by two who had better trips. She rates highly here. (5) KISS ME OR NOT improved sharply with McNair in the bike and he sticks here; using. (7) SING LIKE AN ANGEL has a good record and she should be able to take a slice racing near the front.
Race 5
(3) PROVEN DESIRE adds Lasix after a couple of decent efforts a class higher. Expect a more aggressive steer this time. (2) REAL KID moves to the Wallace barn off a sharp win at Flamboro. He should fit here. (1) SUNNY BEACH DAY plunges to a class where he should be in the thick of things; using. (10) UF BETTORS HANOVER comes off a sharp mile but the post likely dooms him to a minor share this time.
Race 6
(5) SAFEKEEPING was a victim of a slow pace last time, but she still closed stoutly. She can turn the tables this time if she makes her move earlier. (3) MAJOR MUSCLE will be on the engine again and she’s the one the choice will need to overtake to get the win. (6) BATOUTAHILL adds Lasix after missing three weeks. She isn’t impossible in this spot, but the top two are preferred for Pick 4 tickets. (2) LMC MASS OAK is in good form and he should be able to sneak into the exotics off a good following trip.
Race 7
(7) WOGGY ROCKS woke up in a big way on the class drop last time and he took a new life’s mark in the process. With a repeat of that race, the jump in class won’t matter here. (3) MACH ON THE BEACH jogged first time in Moreau’s barn. He is the main threat. (6) VELOCITY DRIVEN is prone to getting some unlucky trips but he is an honest trier that can take a slice here. (8) ASAP HANOVER will likely be over bet on the class drop here but he can provide some value for the top two.
Race 8
(2) DAYLIGHT RUSH will be winging on the engine again here and unless he gets in some crazy duel, he will be tough to beat. (1) PERFECT VISTA was part of a wild pace duel last time and he paid the price late. Notice the choice came out of that race to win last week. (4) WEATHERLY can get a good trip and take a smaller share. (6) FLAHERTY was 2nd to the choice last week – although he was no match – and he can stick around for a piece here.
Race 9
(4) COOL ROCK looked like a winner last week but he was overtaken very late as the pace collapsed. He should get another honest pace to track here; slight nod. (6) DOMETHATAGAIN ships north in good form for a potent outfit; using. (2) COMPANY MAN has plenty of quick miles under his belt and he could rip one off here for Moreau off the claim; beware. (7) AMERICAN VIRGIN should take at least a smaller share on the class drop.
Race 10
(6) MACH PRIDE takes a big class drop shipping in here and picks up McNair, who is likely to roll him early; top call. (1) AVATARTIST is getting closer as he gets sharper with racing; using. (7) TRASHYTONGUETALKER went an incredible trip hung the mile last time at Hoosier and now he goes for the potent Weller barn in his first Woodbine start. He isn’t out of this despite missing some time. (5) DARCEE N was in a bad spot being first up as the pace accelerated last week. He could better this placing if the pace is slowing late. (4) SHOCK N ROCK is in good form and he should be closer early this time, which will result in him making the High-5 ticket.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
.20 PICK 5: 1,6,7 / 1,3,4 / 1,5 / 1,2,5 / 1,2,3 = $32.40
$1 EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,5 / 1,2,3 / 3,5 / 3,7 = $36
$1 LATE PICK 4: 3,7 / 2 / 2,4,6,7 / 1,5,6,7 = $32
MEET STATS: 19 - 85 / $120.00 BEST BETS: 4 - 8 / $11.90
SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 8 / $0.00
Best Bet: DAYLIGHT RUSH (8th)
Spot Play: DREAMY FELLA (1st)
Race 1
(6) DREAMY FELLA closed well Monday night despite having to chase leaders that enjoyed a slow first 1/2. He could get a much better setup for his late charge here. (1) TWOMACSONEMACH did most of the heavy lifting in the Autumn series final and he was still there at the wire. He appears to be the main danger. (7) SIR GALAHAD has been on a big roll out of town; he isn’t out of this. (3) P L JACKSON appears to have been bought by Cullen for himself after getting hung out to dry in the Autumn final. He’s another that could take this with the right trip.
Race 2
(4) TRACEUR HANOVER left like a rocket last time, intent on controlling the pace. He doesn’t need the lead to win and could take these in his current razor-sharp condition. (1) ANDREIOS KARDIA has never been better and is obviously the one to beat, but nothing lasts forever. (3) PRESCOTTS HOPE looked a little like his old self last week and he wouldn’t be a total shock in this spot considering how good he was here last winter. (6) EVENIN OF PLEASURE is always dangerous on or near the lead.
Race 3
(1) WALK TO FOLSOM was very impressive last week when taking a new life’s mark; catch him to greet the cashier. (5) MANOFMANYIMAGES couldn’t chase the choice down despite trotting a 28 1/5 kicker. If he is closer at the head of the lane this time, he could turn the tables. (10) A ROD HALL is in top form for Vanderkemp, but he will likely need to pass them all to win – which is virtually impossible at this track. (2) ZAGSTER should be able to make the ticket sitting a trip near the front here.
Race 4
(2) MISS COCO LUCK should be closer to the front here leaving from a better post, which gives her a decent chance to chase the leaders down late. (1) RIDE AWAY SHARK went a big trip in a quick mile but was overtaken late by two who had better trips. She rates highly here. (5) KISS ME OR NOT improved sharply with McNair in the bike and he sticks here; using. (7) SING LIKE AN ANGEL has a good record and she should be able to take a slice racing near the front.
Race 5
(3) PROVEN DESIRE adds Lasix after a couple of decent efforts a class higher. Expect a more aggressive steer this time. (2) REAL KID moves to the Wallace barn off a sharp win at Flamboro. He should fit here. (1) SUNNY BEACH DAY plunges to a class where he should be in the thick of things; using. (10) UF BETTORS HANOVER comes off a sharp mile but the post likely dooms him to a minor share this time.
Race 6
(5) SAFEKEEPING was a victim of a slow pace last time, but she still closed stoutly. She can turn the tables this time if she makes her move earlier. (3) MAJOR MUSCLE will be on the engine again and she’s the one the choice will need to overtake to get the win. (6) BATOUTAHILL adds Lasix after missing three weeks. She isn’t impossible in this spot, but the top two are preferred for Pick 4 tickets. (2) LMC MASS OAK is in good form and he should be able to sneak into the exotics off a good following trip.
Race 7
(7) WOGGY ROCKS woke up in a big way on the class drop last time and he took a new life’s mark in the process. With a repeat of that race, the jump in class won’t matter here. (3) MACH ON THE BEACH jogged first time in Moreau’s barn. He is the main threat. (6) VELOCITY DRIVEN is prone to getting some unlucky trips but he is an honest trier that can take a slice here. (8) ASAP HANOVER will likely be over bet on the class drop here but he can provide some value for the top two.
Race 8
(2) DAYLIGHT RUSH will be winging on the engine again here and unless he gets in some crazy duel, he will be tough to beat. (1) PERFECT VISTA was part of a wild pace duel last time and he paid the price late. Notice the choice came out of that race to win last week. (4) WEATHERLY can get a good trip and take a smaller share. (6) FLAHERTY was 2nd to the choice last week – although he was no match – and he can stick around for a piece here.
Race 9
(4) COOL ROCK looked like a winner last week but he was overtaken very late as the pace collapsed. He should get another honest pace to track here; slight nod. (6) DOMETHATAGAIN ships north in good form for a potent outfit; using. (2) COMPANY MAN has plenty of quick miles under his belt and he could rip one off here for Moreau off the claim; beware. (7) AMERICAN VIRGIN should take at least a smaller share on the class drop.
Race 10
(6) MACH PRIDE takes a big class drop shipping in here and picks up McNair, who is likely to roll him early; top call. (1) AVATARTIST is getting closer as he gets sharper with racing; using. (7) TRASHYTONGUETALKER went an incredible trip hung the mile last time at Hoosier and now he goes for the potent Weller barn in his first Woodbine start. He isn’t out of this despite missing some time. (5) DARCEE N was in a bad spot being first up as the pace accelerated last week. He could better this placing if the pace is slowing late. (4) SHOCK N ROCK is in good form and he should be closer early this time, which will result in him making the High-5 ticket.
Meadowlands: Saturday 11/26 Analysis
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 44 - 123 / $201.60 (-$44.40)
BEST BETS: 5 - 10 / $11.80 (-$8.20)
Best Bet: ROCK STAR (13th)
Spot Play: BLUE MUSE (2nd)
Race 1
(1) CARIBOU BEACH raced much better with Lasix added last time and really does face a blank field this week. (5) SANTANNA SAM put up some decent miles at Charlottetown and had no shot from post eight at Yonkers. (9) ST MATTYS DAY moves into a new barn; wakes up? (6) BORN OF FIRE lured Ginsburg off #5.
Race 2
(7) BLUE MUSE picks up David Miller this week and has proven a strong contender when he picks up a catch-driver. (3) LOU MAN ships in from Hoosier where he was racing in the top classes and moves into a hot barn. (2) ROCK OF CASHEL came up short again last time and this field isn't any easier. (4) FLYING ISA N is certainly sharp but not the best gaited horse in the world.
Race 3
This is a strange race seeing as #s 3,4,5 & 9 automatically get to race for more than twice as much against similar next week. (3) KEYSTONE CAMARO moves into a new barn and I'm basically sticking with horses that have shown some big track success in the last year. (1) WORKANDPLAYHARD doesn't win often but owns a win this year that is faster than most of these have ever gone. (6) SEA HARRIER has been closing OK at Vernon and seems like a fit here.
Race 4
I have to admit I'm not thrilled with the idea of wagering on any of these horses. (5) CHEROKEE RANGER wasn't going anywhere from post eight last time. Switch to the big track could help. (4) TWINCREEKS JACK has been racing well at Freehold for trainer Nick Surick. (10) EVERY INTENTION has some early speed and picks up Zeron. (1) NUBBLE LIGHT looks like a clear exotics player.
Race 5
(5) LAST DRAGON needed the start last time as expected. He should take this field a long way and perhaps into the winner's circle. (1) DRUNKEN TERROR loomed but couldn't sustain last time; another chance. (2) ONEDIN MACH N is a fairly steady performer that could step up given the right trip.
Race 6
(1) INSPIRATION VIEW moves into the Burke barn and often times that switch alone will perk a horse up. This looks like a decent spot. (5) JACKSRLUCKYTOO has a start under his belt now and should show more either tonight or next week. (4) STAY UP LATE reunites with Brett Miller. They hooked up for consecutive victories two and three starts back.
Race 7
(4) CARD SHOCK has a bit of back class to him and showed it last week. He's actually been sharp for a few weeks now and deserves the call, especially with the Hall of Fame Miller taking over the lines. (7) STIMULUS PLAN turned his form around in a hurry for new connections; dangerous again. (3) RETURN TO SENDER N saw his claiming price drop in half and rallied impressively to win last Saturday. Gelding is another threat in a competitive race. (9) BULLVILLE KYLE will need some pace help but could be closing nicely for a decent share.
Race 8
(5) CITY HALL has done plenty of good work here in the past and seems to have been the victim of circumstance in recent races at Pocono from outside posts. (3) TRUE BLUE HALL comes off a confidence building win at Freehold and is certainly capable of a big mile. (2) WESTERN DYNASTY joins the select club as a free-legged pacer. His qualifier was solid and he does have talent.
Race 9
(5) PARNU HANOVER qualified back sharply and certainly has the raw speed to go with this group if ready off the bench. (7) BETTING EXCHANGE drops down the condition ladder and has the early speed to take charge. (4) IAM BONASERA ships in sharp from Hoosier and has plenty of class. (2) HOBOKEN HANOVER won in 1:52 4/5 at Monticello when last seen. Can he drop the nine seconds needed off his qualifier to compete?
Race 10
(6) THE SPY can race well from on or off the pace. Four-year-old doesn't win often but seems to be in a good spot to compete; narrow call. (3) SAVAGE SEELSTER has been relatively sharp over the last few weeks. Despite an 0 for 16 record this year, he has a shot. (7) NESH CRUISER is clearly down in class. (8) FLIGHT DECK N missed a start due to sickness but is as good as any in here; mixed feelings.
Race 11
(6) ASHLEY'S HUSBAND isn't the lock he was last time, but the short field means he be in striking position and ready to blow by the field late. (2) MATRIX OF LUCK has been facing top competition at Hoosier for Burke; dangerous. (1) RICIMER A gets his first shot at the big track since coming over from Down Under. If he offers decent value, I'll play him.
Race 12
(4) ESPIRIT DE KAYJAY A has been racing well out of town and should only be helped by the addition of David Miller. (10) ITALIAN REBEL has big speed and like the top pick has been racing pretty well. (2) MR BIG LOAD moves into a new barn and sometimes any change is a good one; maybe.
Race 13
(3) ROCK STAR reunites with Zeron and drops down the class ladder. There seems to be plenty of outside speed to set up his late rally. (5) WILD SHOT HANOVER is clearly fast enough to win given a smooth trip. (7) Q ROCK is one of the outside speedster. If he isn't used too hard a victory isn't impossible. (2) SIR JAKE'S Z TAM stopped last time but his prior efforts were fine.
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 44 - 123 / $201.60 (-$44.40)
BEST BETS: 5 - 10 / $11.80 (-$8.20)
Best Bet: ROCK STAR (13th)
Spot Play: BLUE MUSE (2nd)
Race 1
(1) CARIBOU BEACH raced much better with Lasix added last time and really does face a blank field this week. (5) SANTANNA SAM put up some decent miles at Charlottetown and had no shot from post eight at Yonkers. (9) ST MATTYS DAY moves into a new barn; wakes up? (6) BORN OF FIRE lured Ginsburg off #5.
Race 2
(7) BLUE MUSE picks up David Miller this week and has proven a strong contender when he picks up a catch-driver. (3) LOU MAN ships in from Hoosier where he was racing in the top classes and moves into a hot barn. (2) ROCK OF CASHEL came up short again last time and this field isn't any easier. (4) FLYING ISA N is certainly sharp but not the best gaited horse in the world.
Race 3
This is a strange race seeing as #s 3,4,5 & 9 automatically get to race for more than twice as much against similar next week. (3) KEYSTONE CAMARO moves into a new barn and I'm basically sticking with horses that have shown some big track success in the last year. (1) WORKANDPLAYHARD doesn't win often but owns a win this year that is faster than most of these have ever gone. (6) SEA HARRIER has been closing OK at Vernon and seems like a fit here.
Race 4
I have to admit I'm not thrilled with the idea of wagering on any of these horses. (5) CHEROKEE RANGER wasn't going anywhere from post eight last time. Switch to the big track could help. (4) TWINCREEKS JACK has been racing well at Freehold for trainer Nick Surick. (10) EVERY INTENTION has some early speed and picks up Zeron. (1) NUBBLE LIGHT looks like a clear exotics player.
Race 5
(5) LAST DRAGON needed the start last time as expected. He should take this field a long way and perhaps into the winner's circle. (1) DRUNKEN TERROR loomed but couldn't sustain last time; another chance. (2) ONEDIN MACH N is a fairly steady performer that could step up given the right trip.
Race 6
(1) INSPIRATION VIEW moves into the Burke barn and often times that switch alone will perk a horse up. This looks like a decent spot. (5) JACKSRLUCKYTOO has a start under his belt now and should show more either tonight or next week. (4) STAY UP LATE reunites with Brett Miller. They hooked up for consecutive victories two and three starts back.
Race 7
(4) CARD SHOCK has a bit of back class to him and showed it last week. He's actually been sharp for a few weeks now and deserves the call, especially with the Hall of Fame Miller taking over the lines. (7) STIMULUS PLAN turned his form around in a hurry for new connections; dangerous again. (3) RETURN TO SENDER N saw his claiming price drop in half and rallied impressively to win last Saturday. Gelding is another threat in a competitive race. (9) BULLVILLE KYLE will need some pace help but could be closing nicely for a decent share.
Race 8
(5) CITY HALL has done plenty of good work here in the past and seems to have been the victim of circumstance in recent races at Pocono from outside posts. (3) TRUE BLUE HALL comes off a confidence building win at Freehold and is certainly capable of a big mile. (2) WESTERN DYNASTY joins the select club as a free-legged pacer. His qualifier was solid and he does have talent.
Race 9
(5) PARNU HANOVER qualified back sharply and certainly has the raw speed to go with this group if ready off the bench. (7) BETTING EXCHANGE drops down the condition ladder and has the early speed to take charge. (4) IAM BONASERA ships in sharp from Hoosier and has plenty of class. (2) HOBOKEN HANOVER won in 1:52 4/5 at Monticello when last seen. Can he drop the nine seconds needed off his qualifier to compete?
Race 10
(6) THE SPY can race well from on or off the pace. Four-year-old doesn't win often but seems to be in a good spot to compete; narrow call. (3) SAVAGE SEELSTER has been relatively sharp over the last few weeks. Despite an 0 for 16 record this year, he has a shot. (7) NESH CRUISER is clearly down in class. (8) FLIGHT DECK N missed a start due to sickness but is as good as any in here; mixed feelings.
Race 11
(6) ASHLEY'S HUSBAND isn't the lock he was last time, but the short field means he be in striking position and ready to blow by the field late. (2) MATRIX OF LUCK has been facing top competition at Hoosier for Burke; dangerous. (1) RICIMER A gets his first shot at the big track since coming over from Down Under. If he offers decent value, I'll play him.
Race 12
(4) ESPIRIT DE KAYJAY A has been racing well out of town and should only be helped by the addition of David Miller. (10) ITALIAN REBEL has big speed and like the top pick has been racing pretty well. (2) MR BIG LOAD moves into a new barn and sometimes any change is a good one; maybe.
Race 13
(3) ROCK STAR reunites with Zeron and drops down the class ladder. There seems to be plenty of outside speed to set up his late rally. (5) WILD SHOT HANOVER is clearly fast enough to win given a smooth trip. (7) Q ROCK is one of the outside speedster. If he isn't used too hard a victory isn't impossible. (2) SIR JAKE'S Z TAM stopped last time but his prior efforts were fine.
SPOT PLAYS
For Saturday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (7th) Aragonite, 6-1
(9th) Manitoulin, 3-1
Charles Town (4th) Cashton Peak, 4-1
(6th) Northern Luck, 7-2
Churchill Downs (3rd) Pure Heart, 7-2
(5th) Dreamcall, 9-2
Del Mar (4th) Horse Laugh, 6-1
(5th) Goseecal, 7-2
Delta Downs (4th) Doodee, 7-2
(9th) Sports Book, 3-1
Fair Grounds (3rd) Johnny Hurricane, 9-2
(5th) Reimburse, 7-2
Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Hunters Vow, 5-1
(8th) He's a Pepper, 4-1
Gulfstream Park West (2nd) Solfatara, 4-1
(9th) Starship Mars, 3-1
Hawthorne (3rd) Marching in Front, 9-2
(5th) Red Butte, 7-2
Laurel Park (6th) Artic North, 7-2
(9th) Gagaoveryou, 5-1
Mahoning Valley (2nd) Coblentz, 7-2
(5th) Wilsperfectsuccess, 8-1
Mountaineer (2nd) Blame Bryan, 8-1
(5th) Chase the Weasel, 3-1
Parx (2nd) Ice Blue Vision, 7-2
(3rd) Discreet Duke, 5-1
Penn National (3rd) Sweet Honesty, 4-1
(5th) Bamboo Stick, 4-1
Remington Park (7th) Okie Spats, 6-1
(8th) Stolen Glory, 3-1
Retama Park (3rd) Tiz Cherry Wine, 7-2
(4th) Silver Planet, 4-1
Tampa Bay Downs (2nd) Melody Pomeroy, 7-2
(6th) Huntstown, 8-1
Turf Paradise (2nd) Miss Chatt, 7-2
(4th) French Alps, 4-1
Woodbine (6th) Veaisha, 7-2
(8th) Where's the Widget, 3-1
For Saturday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (7th) Aragonite, 6-1
(9th) Manitoulin, 3-1
Charles Town (4th) Cashton Peak, 4-1
(6th) Northern Luck, 7-2
Churchill Downs (3rd) Pure Heart, 7-2
(5th) Dreamcall, 9-2
Del Mar (4th) Horse Laugh, 6-1
(5th) Goseecal, 7-2
Delta Downs (4th) Doodee, 7-2
(9th) Sports Book, 3-1
Fair Grounds (3rd) Johnny Hurricane, 9-2
(5th) Reimburse, 7-2
Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Hunters Vow, 5-1
(8th) He's a Pepper, 4-1
Gulfstream Park West (2nd) Solfatara, 4-1
(9th) Starship Mars, 3-1
Hawthorne (3rd) Marching in Front, 9-2
(5th) Red Butte, 7-2
Laurel Park (6th) Artic North, 7-2
(9th) Gagaoveryou, 5-1
Mahoning Valley (2nd) Coblentz, 7-2
(5th) Wilsperfectsuccess, 8-1
Mountaineer (2nd) Blame Bryan, 8-1
(5th) Chase the Weasel, 3-1
Parx (2nd) Ice Blue Vision, 7-2
(3rd) Discreet Duke, 5-1
Penn National (3rd) Sweet Honesty, 4-1
(5th) Bamboo Stick, 4-1
Remington Park (7th) Okie Spats, 6-1
(8th) Stolen Glory, 3-1
Retama Park (3rd) Tiz Cherry Wine, 7-2
(4th) Silver Planet, 4-1
Tampa Bay Downs (2nd) Melody Pomeroy, 7-2
(6th) Huntstown, 8-1
Turf Paradise (2nd) Miss Chatt, 7-2
(4th) French Alps, 4-1
Woodbine (6th) Veaisha, 7-2
(8th) Where's the Widget, 3-1
