At the Gate - Wednesday
By Mike Dempsey
Pool 1 of the 2017 Kentucky Derby Future Wager opens on Thursday, with Classic Empire, the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) winner the shortest price among the 22 separate betting interests at 8-1 on the morning line.
“All Others” is expected to be favored in Pool 1 and is 5-2 on the morning line. The field was reduced by one with the announcement that Juvenile runner up Not This Time suffered a right front foreleg injury and has been retired.
Wagering closes on Sunday, and it probably is a wise idea to wait for the outcome of two graded stakes for three-year-olds coming up on Saturday—the $300,000 Remsen (G2) at Aqueduct and the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) at Churchill Downs.
Both races offer up 10-4-2-1 points as part of the Road to the Kentucky Derby points series of races.
You can lock in your odds now for the Run for the Roses. They are offering 6-1 on Classic Empire and 12-1 on Mastery, Gunnevera, and Beach Bum.
Mastery was a good looking winner of the Bob Hope Stakes (G3) at Del Mar last Saturday for trainer Bob Baffert.
Gunnevera won the Delta Downs Jackpot (G3) on Saturday while Beach Bum is a Baffert trainee who was an impressive maiden winner in his debut at Santa Anita on Nov. 6.
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1
Number Name Trainer ML Odds
1 Beach Bum Bob Baffert 15-1
2 Classic Empire Mark Casse 8-1
3 Fact Finding Todd Pletcher 20-1
4 Gormley John Shirreffs 20-1
5 Gunnevera Antonio Sano 15-1
6 Hemsworth Tom Albertrani 30-1
7 Hookup David Cannizo 50-1
8 Irish War Cry Graham Motion 50-1
9 Just Move On Patrick Byrne/td> 20-1
10 Klimt Bob Baffert 15-1
11 Lookin at Lee Steve Asmussen 30-1
12 Mastery Bob Baffert 12-1
13 McCraken Ian Wilkes 15-1
14 Mo Town Anthony Dutrow 30-1
15 No Dozing Arnaud Delacour 50-1
16 Not This Time Dale Romans SCR
17 Practical Joke Chad Brown 15-1
18 Running Mate Larry Jones 50-1
19 Saint's Fan Dallas Stewart 50-1
20 Syndergaard Todd Pletcher 15-1
21 Takaful Kiaran McLaughlin 30-1
22 Uncontested Wayne Catalano 30-1
23 Wild Shot Rusty Arnold 50-1
24 Mutuel Field -- 5-2
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Alw $---s (12:20 ET)
#3 Tiz Rae Anna 8-5
#1 Toni Tools 2-1
#4 Woundwithhereyes 3-1
#5 The Eagle Is Gone 6-1
Analysis: Tiz Race Anna dropped in for a tag last out for her third career start and picked up her diploma in a sharp effort, drawing away to win by 3 1/4 lengths. The runner up Summer of Joy came back to graduate in her next outing on Nov. 17 for a $62,500 tag. Our top pick was claimed out of her maiden score by the Toscano barn that is 28% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. She catches a good spot here for her first start against winners.
Toni Tools drew off to break her maiden by 7 3/4 lengths against $40,000 state breds last out in her third career start and first for a tag. She was making her first start for Pletcher after being with Schettino for her first two career starts. She has worked well since her last outing and figures to move forward off that effort.
Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 7-5 or better.
EX: 3 / 1,4
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 OClm $40,000N2X (3:47 ET)
#6 Brimstone 2-1
#3 Thirst for Glory 8-1
#2 Testoterstone 6-1
#5 Taoiseach 5-2
Analysis: Brimstone lunged at the break last out after stalking the pace came with a seven-wide run and could not make up any ground late in a sixth-place fish over a wet track at Belmont Park. The gelding passed his first state bred condition in the slop three back in gate to wire fashion and he broke his maiden over the main track here, also over an off track. I liked his effort on turf two back where he held on for third after setting the early fractions in his first start at this level. With a better break, he will be forwardly place and Castellano sticks for Terranova.
Thirst for Glory exits the same race and he also did not fire his best, weakening to finish fifth. He beat state bred Alw-1 foes over the main track here and he was a game second at this level at Belmont Park back in June. He makes his second start off a two-month break and is capable of better than his last effort.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 3,6 / 2,3,5,6
TRI: 3,6 / 2,3,5,6 / 2,3,4,5,6
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R5: 32 Great Stuff 8-1
R6: #6 Forest Boy 10-1
R6: #4 Who Is the Giant 12-1
R7: #1 Lucky Town 15-1
R8: #3 Thirst for Glory 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
Pool 1 of the 2017 Kentucky Derby Future Wager opens on Thursday, with Classic Empire, the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) winner the shortest price among the 22 separate betting interests at 8-1 on the morning line.
“All Others” is expected to be favored in Pool 1 and is 5-2 on the morning line. The field was reduced by one with the announcement that Juvenile runner up Not This Time suffered a right front foreleg injury and has been retired.
Wagering closes on Sunday, and it probably is a wise idea to wait for the outcome of two graded stakes for three-year-olds coming up on Saturday—the $300,000 Remsen (G2) at Aqueduct and the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2) at Churchill Downs.
Both races offer up 10-4-2-1 points as part of the Road to the Kentucky Derby points series of races.
You can lock in your odds now for the Run for the Roses. They are offering 6-1 on Classic Empire and 12-1 on Mastery, Gunnevera, and Beach Bum.
Mastery was a good looking winner of the Bob Hope Stakes (G3) at Del Mar last Saturday for trainer Bob Baffert.
Gunnevera won the Delta Downs Jackpot (G3) on Saturday while Beach Bum is a Baffert trainee who was an impressive maiden winner in his debut at Santa Anita on Nov. 6.
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1
Number Name Trainer ML Odds
1 Beach Bum Bob Baffert 15-1
2 Classic Empire Mark Casse 8-1
3 Fact Finding Todd Pletcher 20-1
4 Gormley John Shirreffs 20-1
5 Gunnevera Antonio Sano 15-1
6 Hemsworth Tom Albertrani 30-1
7 Hookup David Cannizo 50-1
8 Irish War Cry Graham Motion 50-1
9 Just Move On Patrick Byrne/td> 20-1
10 Klimt Bob Baffert 15-1
11 Lookin at Lee Steve Asmussen 30-1
12 Mastery Bob Baffert 12-1
13 McCraken Ian Wilkes 15-1
14 Mo Town Anthony Dutrow 30-1
15 No Dozing Arnaud Delacour 50-1
16 Not This Time Dale Romans SCR
17 Practical Joke Chad Brown 15-1
18 Running Mate Larry Jones 50-1
19 Saint's Fan Dallas Stewart 50-1
20 Syndergaard Todd Pletcher 15-1
21 Takaful Kiaran McLaughlin 30-1
22 Uncontested Wayne Catalano 30-1
23 Wild Shot Rusty Arnold 50-1
24 Mutuel Field -- 5-2
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Alw $---s (12:20 ET)
#3 Tiz Rae Anna 8-5
#1 Toni Tools 2-1
#4 Woundwithhereyes 3-1
#5 The Eagle Is Gone 6-1
Analysis: Tiz Race Anna dropped in for a tag last out for her third career start and picked up her diploma in a sharp effort, drawing away to win by 3 1/4 lengths. The runner up Summer of Joy came back to graduate in her next outing on Nov. 17 for a $62,500 tag. Our top pick was claimed out of her maiden score by the Toscano barn that is 28% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. She catches a good spot here for her first start against winners.
Toni Tools drew off to break her maiden by 7 3/4 lengths against $40,000 state breds last out in her third career start and first for a tag. She was making her first start for Pletcher after being with Schettino for her first two career starts. She has worked well since her last outing and figures to move forward off that effort.
Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 7-5 or better.
EX: 3 / 1,4
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 OClm $40,000N2X (3:47 ET)
#6 Brimstone 2-1
#3 Thirst for Glory 8-1
#2 Testoterstone 6-1
#5 Taoiseach 5-2
Analysis: Brimstone lunged at the break last out after stalking the pace came with a seven-wide run and could not make up any ground late in a sixth-place fish over a wet track at Belmont Park. The gelding passed his first state bred condition in the slop three back in gate to wire fashion and he broke his maiden over the main track here, also over an off track. I liked his effort on turf two back where he held on for third after setting the early fractions in his first start at this level. With a better break, he will be forwardly place and Castellano sticks for Terranova.
Thirst for Glory exits the same race and he also did not fire his best, weakening to finish fifth. He beat state bred Alw-1 foes over the main track here and he was a game second at this level at Belmont Park back in June. He makes his second start off a two-month break and is capable of better than his last effort.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 3,6 / 2,3,5,6
TRI: 3,6 / 2,3,5,6 / 2,3,4,5,6
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R5: 32 Great Stuff 8-1
R6: #6 Forest Boy 10-1
R6: #4 Who Is the Giant 12-1
R7: #1 Lucky Town 15-1
R8: #3 Thirst for Glory 8-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 15 - Post: 9:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$5000 - HORSES/COLTS/GELDINGS NON WINNERS $4,001 IN LAST 6 STARTS THAT ARE NON WINNERS $35,001 IN 2016 DELAWARE OWNED OR BRED NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 3 BOBBIES POWER PLAY 5/1
# 1 LETSMAKEAWISH 2/1
# 2 PROVENANCE 4/1
The selection in this event is BOBBIES POWER PLAY. Overall numbers appear very nice. Can't throw out at this point. LETSMAKEAWISH - Could very well provide us a triumph based on great recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an average of 84. It's dangerous to consider solely based on class, but this gelding has among the most favorable class stats of the field of starters. PROVENANCE - Has a very promising shot in this event, if he can perform to his back racing class. Achieved a 80 speed rating in last race. A duplicate affair here should get the win this time.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 15 - Post: 9:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$5000 - HORSES/COLTS/GELDINGS NON WINNERS $4,001 IN LAST 6 STARTS THAT ARE NON WINNERS $35,001 IN 2016 DELAWARE OWNED OR BRED NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 3 BOBBIES POWER PLAY 5/1
# 1 LETSMAKEAWISH 2/1
# 2 PROVENANCE 4/1
The selection in this event is BOBBIES POWER PLAY. Overall numbers appear very nice. Can't throw out at this point. LETSMAKEAWISH - Could very well provide us a triumph based on great recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an average of 84. It's dangerous to consider solely based on class, but this gelding has among the most favorable class stats of the field of starters. PROVENANCE - Has a very promising shot in this event, if he can perform to his back racing class. Achieved a 80 speed rating in last race. A duplicate affair here should get the win this time.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 9:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$6800 - FILLIES & MARES NON WINNERS $4200 IN LAST 5 STARTS THAT ARE N/W $45,000 IN 2016. AE: N/W $4000 IN 2016. NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER NORTHFIELD HN 3 SHELL BELL - ELIGIBLE AT TIME OF ENTRY
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 NUTMEGS YANKEE 2/1
# 3 SHELL BELL 9/5
# 2 SAVE MY DRAGON 7/1
The consensus in this race is that NUTMEGS YANKEE is the one to beat. Has the look of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 82 TrackMaster Speed Rating. This harness racer has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 83 average class ranking. Should play well here. Is a clear-cut choice given the 76 TrackMaster Speed Rating from her most recent contest. SHELL BELL - She's racing in fine form, recording clear-cut TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent choice. Could beat this group of animals, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 76 - from her last effort. SAVE MY DRAGON - A great win pct has been recorded by nice horses beginning from the 2 position. Running very well, achieved a sharp TrackMaster Speed Rating in her most recent affair (75).
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 9:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$6800 - FILLIES & MARES NON WINNERS $4200 IN LAST 5 STARTS THAT ARE N/W $45,000 IN 2016. AE: N/W $4000 IN 2016. NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER NORTHFIELD HN 3 SHELL BELL - ELIGIBLE AT TIME OF ENTRY
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 NUTMEGS YANKEE 2/1
# 3 SHELL BELL 9/5
# 2 SAVE MY DRAGON 7/1
The consensus in this race is that NUTMEGS YANKEE is the one to beat. Has the look of a profitable play, averaging a rather good 82 TrackMaster Speed Rating. This harness racer has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 83 average class ranking. Should play well here. Is a clear-cut choice given the 76 TrackMaster Speed Rating from her most recent contest. SHELL BELL - She's racing in fine form, recording clear-cut TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent choice. Could beat this group of animals, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 76 - from her last effort. SAVE MY DRAGON - A great win pct has been recorded by nice horses beginning from the 2 position. Running very well, achieved a sharp TrackMaster Speed Rating in her most recent affair (75).
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 66
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 11 GLISTENING STAR 12/1
# 2 DOMINANT CLASS 8/5
# 1 HARAMBE 10/1
GLISTENING STAR is my selection especially at 12/1. Should be given a shot as Denzik has been among the best trainers with two-year olds. She is out of a quite good stable. DOMINANT CLASS - This handler is sound with starters in two-year old races. Has strong sire profits and may be worth the precarious nature of a two-year old race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look respectable in this contest.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 66
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 11 GLISTENING STAR 12/1
# 2 DOMINANT CLASS 8/5
# 1 HARAMBE 10/1
GLISTENING STAR is my selection especially at 12/1. Should be given a shot as Denzik has been among the best trainers with two-year olds. She is out of a quite good stable. DOMINANT CLASS - This handler is sound with starters in two-year old races. Has strong sire profits and may be worth the precarious nature of a two-year old race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look respectable in this contest.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 74
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 6 MY FRIEND KEITH 6/5
# 3 LAUGH LOVE LIVE 7/2
# 5 HIGH NOON COCKTAIL 3/1
I think about MY FRIEND KEITH here. Demonstrates the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 71 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the most favorable in this group. Handler has sharp win rate (22 percent) at this distance and surface. Recorded a quite good speed figure last time out. LAUGH LOVE LIVE - Has strong early speed and ought to fare soundly against this group of horses in this race. Could best this group of horses here, showing quite good figs of late. HIGH NOON COCKTAIL - Profitable jockey and handler team, with a +66 return on investment. Put up a decent Equibase Speed Fig last time out.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 74
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 6 MY FRIEND KEITH 6/5
# 3 LAUGH LOVE LIVE 7/2
# 5 HIGH NOON COCKTAIL 3/1
I think about MY FRIEND KEITH here. Demonstrates the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 71 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the most favorable in this group. Handler has sharp win rate (22 percent) at this distance and surface. Recorded a quite good speed figure last time out. LAUGH LOVE LIVE - Has strong early speed and ought to fare soundly against this group of horses in this race. Could best this group of horses here, showing quite good figs of late. HIGH NOON COCKTAIL - Profitable jockey and handler team, with a +66 return on investment. Put up a decent Equibase Speed Fig last time out.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Woodbine - Race #4 - Post: 8:15pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 79
Rating:
#6 KAT'S GOOD SCOUT (ML=10/1)
#4 A BIT OF WHO DO (ML=3/1)
KAT'S GOOD SCOUT - This speedy sort should benefit from this shorter distance. A BIT OF WHO DO - I really like sprint horses that make a rapid turnaround. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a return to racing. Cruised home victorious as he wired the field just recently at Woodbine. Quickly back to the track to potentially do it again in this race. Three consecutive improved speed figures (56-63-71) make this thoroughbred a powerful contender.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 WAR EXECUTIVE (ML=4/1), #11 DAZZLING DEPUTY (ML=9/2), #1 HARDCASTLE (ML=6/1),
WAR EXECUTIVE - Difficult to keep stabbing at this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. This mount just hasn't looked fit of late. DAZZLING DEPUTY - On a downward spiraling cycle. Speed figures keep dropping. HARDCASTLE - The Brain always cautions me to keep away from ponies in short distance races that haven't finished in the money in short distance contests of late.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 KAT'S GOOD SCOUT is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Woodbine - Race #4 - Post: 8:15pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 79
Rating:
#6 KAT'S GOOD SCOUT (ML=10/1)
#4 A BIT OF WHO DO (ML=3/1)
KAT'S GOOD SCOUT - This speedy sort should benefit from this shorter distance. A BIT OF WHO DO - I really like sprint horses that make a rapid turnaround. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a return to racing. Cruised home victorious as he wired the field just recently at Woodbine. Quickly back to the track to potentially do it again in this race. Three consecutive improved speed figures (56-63-71) make this thoroughbred a powerful contender.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 WAR EXECUTIVE (ML=4/1), #11 DAZZLING DEPUTY (ML=9/2), #1 HARDCASTLE (ML=6/1),
WAR EXECUTIVE - Difficult to keep stabbing at this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. This mount just hasn't looked fit of late. DAZZLING DEPUTY - On a downward spiraling cycle. Speed figures keep dropping. HARDCASTLE - The Brain always cautions me to keep away from ponies in short distance races that haven't finished in the money in short distance contests of late.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 KAT'S GOOD SCOUT is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:29pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 57
Rating:
#1 AMAZING GRACE RVF (ML=3/1)
AMAZING GRACE RVF - Utilizing this jock/trainer combination is a good move. She finished in the place spot November 10th, but was well in front of the show horse. This horse coming off a sharp contest in the last 30 days is a serious competitor in my opinion.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SHOOTING DOVES (ML=5/2), #1A STORM APPROVAL RVF (ML=3/1), #8 MULTIFLORA (ML=9/2),
SHOOTING DOVES - This filly is always hitting the board, but just doesn't finish on top. Difficult to bet on her on the win end. STORM APPROVAL RVF - I find it hard to back any horse in a short distance event if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last 60 days. Hard to wager on any entrant to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the risk. MULTIFLORA - This horse just hasn't looked sharp of late.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #1 Entry on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:29pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 57
Rating:
#1 AMAZING GRACE RVF (ML=3/1)
AMAZING GRACE RVF - Utilizing this jock/trainer combination is a good move. She finished in the place spot November 10th, but was well in front of the show horse. This horse coming off a sharp contest in the last 30 days is a serious competitor in my opinion.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SHOOTING DOVES (ML=5/2), #1A STORM APPROVAL RVF (ML=3/1), #8 MULTIFLORA (ML=9/2),
SHOOTING DOVES - This filly is always hitting the board, but just doesn't finish on top. Difficult to bet on her on the win end. STORM APPROVAL RVF - I find it hard to back any horse in a short distance event if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last 60 days. Hard to wager on any entrant to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the risk. MULTIFLORA - This horse just hasn't looked sharp of late.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #1 Entry on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #8 -AQUEDUCT - 3:47 PM EASTERN POST
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $40,000.00 OPTIONAL CLAIMING $59,000.00 PURSE
#6 BRIMSTONE
#5 TAOISEACH
#2 TESTOSTERSTONE
#3 THIRST FOR GLORY
#6 BRIMSTONE has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five outings, hitting the board in three, including a "POWER RUN WIN" facing better company (+2) in his 3rd race back. #5 TAOISEACH comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN BOARD HITS" in his last two outings, and gets a return ride from Jockey Dylan Davis ... Davis has been in his irons on 10 previous occasions, hitting the board in 8 of those rides, winning three times, en route to a +645% return on investment in the process, and guns for a "Grand Slam Win" this afternoon here at "The Big-A!"
RACE #8 -AQUEDUCT - 3:47 PM EASTERN POST
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $40,000.00 OPTIONAL CLAIMING $59,000.00 PURSE
#6 BRIMSTONE
#5 TAOISEACH
#2 TESTOSTERSTONE
#3 THIRST FOR GLORY
#6 BRIMSTONE has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five outings, hitting the board in three, including a "POWER RUN WIN" facing better company (+2) in his 3rd race back. #5 TAOISEACH comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN BOARD HITS" in his last two outings, and gets a return ride from Jockey Dylan Davis ... Davis has been in his irons on 10 previous occasions, hitting the board in 8 of those rides, winning three times, en route to a +645% return on investment in the process, and guns for a "Grand Slam Win" this afternoon here at "The Big-A!"
Northfield: Wednesday 11/23 Analysis
By Jeremey Day
DRF
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: BUCKEYE BOB (7th)
Spot Play: RADIERS BOY (8th)
Race 1
(4) HOORAY KATIE has been competitive against better on the year. The mare comes off a break but is a threat with a smooth trip. (3) HIGH FINANCE should be much closer turning for home against weaker. (2) RED ROCKS veteran trotter comes off a win against weaker; driver's choice.
Race 2
(4) BELLAS QUIK was the driver's choice and faces a really weak field. (1) RIBBONS OF COLOR gets the best starting post and will offer value. (2) CAVEAT CREEK has just been racing evenly but drops down in class; threat.
Race 3
(5) OH PLEASE was parked out last week before fading badly. The trotting mare gets a better starting post this week and owns a win at this level. (7) ELMO BLATCH well bred trotter makes his career debut off a decent qualifier. (3) ECHO'S ANNIE filly has burned cash in two straight; command a price.
Race 4
(2) KALI'S DREAM three-year-old filly makes her career debut against a suspect bunch. (4) TONOLLI owns a second place finish at this level a few starts back. (6) GRANDS TRUE REPLY will offer a big price in a field full of question marks.
Race 5
(6) CHELSEA RAY trotting mare takes a huge dropdown in class. (9) HELLO CARLO veteran trotter isn't what he used to be but can step up with a good effort from time to time. (2) TYMAL BLING just missed against a better bunch a few starts ago.
Race 6
(3) P L ADDER is capable of beating this bunch with a trouble-free trip. (1) LYNYRD keeps the top driver with the best post. (6) NOAH'S SHARK is very inconsistent from week to week; command a price.
Race 7
(4) BUCKEYE BOB sophomore pacer broke his maiden in a big way last out winning at this level by open lengths. (3) MEGALODON might be one of few threats to the top choice shipping in from out east. (6) OVERDRIVE is one of the faster pacers in the race but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot; use underneath.
Race 8
(9) RAIDERS BOY raced big last week against better. (6) DOCTOR CARTER might be able to get the jump early on the top choice. The pacer was the top driver's choice. (1) BLUEBIRD IDEAL bumps up in class off a dominating win.
Race 9
(1) CRAZOLO gelding has an excellent pedigree and should be ready for a better effort after needing a few starts. (5) MUSCLE ON BROADWAY just missed at this level three back; threat. (3) FLYING MUSCLES comes into the race off a win down in class but needs more.
Race 10
(5) NUTMEGS YANKEE pacing mare had no excuse last week but looks to find an even weaker bunch. (8) JULIANA'S DIRECTOR will look to make it three straight wins, however the 5-year-old is up against it from the far outside post. (9) MONTANA REI will offer big value and can hit the ticket with a good setup.
Race 11
In a very tough race to gauge, (4) WELL DID impeccably bred pacer will offer a big price in a weak and inconsistent field. (1) RAY'S WESTERN owns a win at this level but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot. (2) SECOND THOUGHTS dominated weaker last start. If the pacer puts forth a similar effort he's in the mix.
Race 12
(6) SANTA'S SPECIAL drops down to the bottom level and owns some back class when right. (2) LIMA RITCH had no excuse last week off of easy fractions; command a price. (9) NATHAN might be in line for a ground saving trip putting him in the mix to hit the ticket.
Race 13
(3) SHHRAYRAY isn't the most reliable pacer but does have ability. The pacer gets sent out for the top barn. (1) TEST OF WILL has been competitive against better on the year and benefits from the best post. (2) LIGHTNINGINTHESKY doesn't win often but should be in the mix with a good setup.
Race 14
(4) MCNICKELS MCDIMES should be in a better spot this week with the improved post. (6) ALWAYS DEE ONE beat a similar bunch last out; threat. (1) STORMY NOVEL filly gets the best post but is probably best used underneath facing older.
Race 15
(9) HEARTLAND DESIRE takes a huge drop in class. The pacer was the betting favorite against a much tougher bunch two back. (7) RICKY TIDWELL gelding doesn't show a line on a half mile oval but if the pacer can get over the track he can threaten. (5) D J SUPREME owns only one win on the year; use underneath.
By Jeremey Day
DRF
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet: BUCKEYE BOB (7th)
Spot Play: RADIERS BOY (8th)
Race 1
(4) HOORAY KATIE has been competitive against better on the year. The mare comes off a break but is a threat with a smooth trip. (3) HIGH FINANCE should be much closer turning for home against weaker. (2) RED ROCKS veteran trotter comes off a win against weaker; driver's choice.
Race 2
(4) BELLAS QUIK was the driver's choice and faces a really weak field. (1) RIBBONS OF COLOR gets the best starting post and will offer value. (2) CAVEAT CREEK has just been racing evenly but drops down in class; threat.
Race 3
(5) OH PLEASE was parked out last week before fading badly. The trotting mare gets a better starting post this week and owns a win at this level. (7) ELMO BLATCH well bred trotter makes his career debut off a decent qualifier. (3) ECHO'S ANNIE filly has burned cash in two straight; command a price.
Race 4
(2) KALI'S DREAM three-year-old filly makes her career debut against a suspect bunch. (4) TONOLLI owns a second place finish at this level a few starts back. (6) GRANDS TRUE REPLY will offer a big price in a field full of question marks.
Race 5
(6) CHELSEA RAY trotting mare takes a huge dropdown in class. (9) HELLO CARLO veteran trotter isn't what he used to be but can step up with a good effort from time to time. (2) TYMAL BLING just missed against a better bunch a few starts ago.
Race 6
(3) P L ADDER is capable of beating this bunch with a trouble-free trip. (1) LYNYRD keeps the top driver with the best post. (6) NOAH'S SHARK is very inconsistent from week to week; command a price.
Race 7
(4) BUCKEYE BOB sophomore pacer broke his maiden in a big way last out winning at this level by open lengths. (3) MEGALODON might be one of few threats to the top choice shipping in from out east. (6) OVERDRIVE is one of the faster pacers in the race but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot; use underneath.
Race 8
(9) RAIDERS BOY raced big last week against better. (6) DOCTOR CARTER might be able to get the jump early on the top choice. The pacer was the top driver's choice. (1) BLUEBIRD IDEAL bumps up in class off a dominating win.
Race 9
(1) CRAZOLO gelding has an excellent pedigree and should be ready for a better effort after needing a few starts. (5) MUSCLE ON BROADWAY just missed at this level three back; threat. (3) FLYING MUSCLES comes into the race off a win down in class but needs more.
Race 10
(5) NUTMEGS YANKEE pacing mare had no excuse last week but looks to find an even weaker bunch. (8) JULIANA'S DIRECTOR will look to make it three straight wins, however the 5-year-old is up against it from the far outside post. (9) MONTANA REI will offer big value and can hit the ticket with a good setup.
Race 11
In a very tough race to gauge, (4) WELL DID impeccably bred pacer will offer a big price in a weak and inconsistent field. (1) RAY'S WESTERN owns a win at this level but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot. (2) SECOND THOUGHTS dominated weaker last start. If the pacer puts forth a similar effort he's in the mix.
Race 12
(6) SANTA'S SPECIAL drops down to the bottom level and owns some back class when right. (2) LIMA RITCH had no excuse last week off of easy fractions; command a price. (9) NATHAN might be in line for a ground saving trip putting him in the mix to hit the ticket.
Race 13
(3) SHHRAYRAY isn't the most reliable pacer but does have ability. The pacer gets sent out for the top barn. (1) TEST OF WILL has been competitive against better on the year and benefits from the best post. (2) LIGHTNINGINTHESKY doesn't win often but should be in the mix with a good setup.
Race 14
(4) MCNICKELS MCDIMES should be in a better spot this week with the improved post. (6) ALWAYS DEE ONE beat a similar bunch last out; threat. (1) STORMY NOVEL filly gets the best post but is probably best used underneath facing older.
Race 15
(9) HEARTLAND DESIRE takes a huge drop in class. The pacer was the betting favorite against a much tougher bunch two back. (7) RICKY TIDWELL gelding doesn't show a line on a half mile oval but if the pacer can get over the track he can threaten. (5) D J SUPREME owns only one win on the year; use underneath.
SPOT PLAYS
For Wednesday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (3rd) Story to Tell, 6-1
(5th) Eighty Three, 5-1
Charles Town (2nd) Home to Carrowkeel, 5-1
(5th) Sterlings Drama, 5-1
Churchill Downs (2nd) Venetian, 8-1
(10th) Ruby Osuhani, 4-1
Delta Downs (4th) Macandales, 7-2
(7th) My Girl Katherine, 7-2
Finger Lakes (2nd) Robert's Breach, 5-1
(9th) The Undersheriff, 5-1
Mahoning Valley (4th) El of a Cat, 3-1
(8th) Slammer, 4-1
Mountaineer (4th) Sunshine Valentino, 4-1
(6th) Liberty Fire, 7-2
Penn National (1st) Con Gee, 6-1
(8th) Winter, 4-1
Woodbine (5th) Shot for Shot, 4-1
(7th) Pugsley, 6-1
Zia Park (9th) Dalmore, 3-1
(10th) Ready to Confess, 9-2
For Wednesday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (3rd) Story to Tell, 6-1
(5th) Eighty Three, 5-1
Charles Town (2nd) Home to Carrowkeel, 5-1
(5th) Sterlings Drama, 5-1
Churchill Downs (2nd) Venetian, 8-1
(10th) Ruby Osuhani, 4-1
Delta Downs (4th) Macandales, 7-2
(7th) My Girl Katherine, 7-2
Finger Lakes (2nd) Robert's Breach, 5-1
(9th) The Undersheriff, 5-1
Mahoning Valley (4th) El of a Cat, 3-1
(8th) Slammer, 4-1
Mountaineer (4th) Sunshine Valentino, 4-1
(6th) Liberty Fire, 7-2
Penn National (1st) Con Gee, 6-1
(8th) Winter, 4-1
Woodbine (5th) Shot for Shot, 4-1
(7th) Pugsley, 6-1
Zia Park (9th) Dalmore, 3-1
(10th) Ready to Confess, 9-2
