At the Gate - Sunday
By Mike Dempsey
We had a tough day at the Big A on Saturday, with Wake Forest coming up short as the beaten favorite in the Red Smith (G3), unable to get a clean trip in a third-place finish.
In the Discovery (G3) I went with longshot Neolithic, who was 15-1 on the morning line and drifted up to 22-1. The fact that he was dead on the board had me a bit worried.
Under jockey Jose Lezcano, the colt got a perfect trip, prompting the early pacesetter and heading for home it looked as if her would run down the pacesetter Sticksstatelydude in deep stretch.
It was not to be, the colt coming up 1 ¼ lengths short, returning $17.20 to place and completing a $2 exacta that returned $210.00.
We rallied at Del Mar knocking down exactas that paid $45.60, $132.40 and $33.80. Boxing my top picks would have produced three others paying $11.00, $50.00, and $60.40.
The prices at Del Mar led to no winning tickets in the Pick 6, leading to a carryover of $203,197 going into Sunday’s card.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:20 ET)
#7 Mo Maverick 6-1
#8 Cespedes 7-2
#3 Set Me Up 3-1
#1 Can You Digit 8-1
Analysis: Mo Maverick showed some promise in his debut on the main track at the Spa, setting the early fractions and holding on for the runner up spot, six lengths clear of the rest of the field, He came back at Belmont Park and failed to fire, weakening to finish sixth. He comes back with lasix added and his first go on turf here for the Weaver barn that is 14% winners moving runners from dirt to turf. The $200,000 Keeneland purchase is by Uncle Mo out of the stakes winner Lemon Splendor ($134,300), he first foal to race.
Cespedes was a decent third last out in his turf debut going a mile in a third place finish. The colt is out of an A.P. Jet mare that has dropped four turf winners. The cot was sixth in his debut in a highly graded race on the main track at the Spa where he was 12-1. The top pair and the fifth place finisher all came out of that race to win next out. The RRod barn has been on a roll the past few months, cooling off slightly here currently at 3 for 17.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 7,8 / 1,3,7,8
TRI: 7,8 / 1,3,7,8 / 1,3,4,7,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 The New York Stallions (3:47 ET)
#1 Wonderment 4-1
#2 Super Surprise 6-5
#9 Frosty Margarita 10-1
#3 Highway Star 5-1
Analysis: Wonderment stalked the early pace, came with a wide run and finished up well for the runner up spot while unable to get to the winner in the slop in the state bred Iroquois last out. The filly was a game second two back in the Dogwood at Churchill Downs at today's seven furlong distance. She makes her third start of her current form cycle and catches an easier group here in a NY Stallion Series race. She is a Grade 3 winner on polytrack.
Super Surprise has won three in a row, taking the state bred Fleet Indian last out at nine furlongs. The third place finisher Highway Star came back to beat state bred Alw-2 optional claimers in her next outing on Sept. 28. She won at six furlongs two back against state bred Alw-1 foes and a one turn mile winning the state bred Maid of the Mist, so the cut back to seven furlongs will not pose a problem.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,3,9
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,3,9 / 1,2,3,5,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Del Mar:
DMR Race 8 The Betty Grable (3:59 PT)
#1 Barbara Beatrice 6-1
#2 Enola Gray 3-5
#3 My Fiona 4-1
#5 Chao Chom 6-1
Analysis: Barbara Beatrice has the best shot of beating the imposing chalk in here. The D'Amato trainee is coming off a game neck win against Alw-2 optional claimers and is back in with state breds here while switching back to the main track. three back at Santa Anita in his last outing on dirt he beat $25,000 optional claimers. The barn is 19% winners moving runners from turf to dirt.
Enola Gray also goes turf to dirt, winning the Cal Distaff last out going 6 1/2 on the downhill against state breds. He won the state bred Fleet Treat over the main track here three back with a 100 Beyer. She is going to be real tough in this spot but the price is going to be very much on the light side.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,3
TRI: no play
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R1: #1 Can You Digit 8-1
R2: #9 Cee No More 15-1
R5: #9 Barton Holt 10-1
R5: #2 Lead by Example 10-1
R6: #5 Somekindasexy 12-1
R7: #3 Not Taken 8-1
R7: #1 Game Girl 8-1
R8: #9 Frosty Margarita 10-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
We had a tough day at the Big A on Saturday, with Wake Forest coming up short as the beaten favorite in the Red Smith (G3), unable to get a clean trip in a third-place finish.
In the Discovery (G3) I went with longshot Neolithic, who was 15-1 on the morning line and drifted up to 22-1. The fact that he was dead on the board had me a bit worried.
Under jockey Jose Lezcano, the colt got a perfect trip, prompting the early pacesetter and heading for home it looked as if her would run down the pacesetter Sticksstatelydude in deep stretch.
It was not to be, the colt coming up 1 ¼ lengths short, returning $17.20 to place and completing a $2 exacta that returned $210.00.
We rallied at Del Mar knocking down exactas that paid $45.60, $132.40 and $33.80. Boxing my top picks would have produced three others paying $11.00, $50.00, and $60.40.
The prices at Del Mar led to no winning tickets in the Pick 6, leading to a carryover of $203,197 going into Sunday’s card.
Here is the opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:
AQU Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:20 ET)
#7 Mo Maverick 6-1
#8 Cespedes 7-2
#3 Set Me Up 3-1
#1 Can You Digit 8-1
Analysis: Mo Maverick showed some promise in his debut on the main track at the Spa, setting the early fractions and holding on for the runner up spot, six lengths clear of the rest of the field, He came back at Belmont Park and failed to fire, weakening to finish sixth. He comes back with lasix added and his first go on turf here for the Weaver barn that is 14% winners moving runners from dirt to turf. The $200,000 Keeneland purchase is by Uncle Mo out of the stakes winner Lemon Splendor ($134,300), he first foal to race.
Cespedes was a decent third last out in his turf debut going a mile in a third place finish. The colt is out of an A.P. Jet mare that has dropped four turf winners. The cot was sixth in his debut in a highly graded race on the main track at the Spa where he was 12-1. The top pair and the fifth place finisher all came out of that race to win next out. The RRod barn has been on a roll the past few months, cooling off slightly here currently at 3 for 17.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 7,8 / 1,3,7,8
TRI: 7,8 / 1,3,7,8 / 1,3,4,7,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 The New York Stallions (3:47 ET)
#1 Wonderment 4-1
#2 Super Surprise 6-5
#9 Frosty Margarita 10-1
#3 Highway Star 5-1
Analysis: Wonderment stalked the early pace, came with a wide run and finished up well for the runner up spot while unable to get to the winner in the slop in the state bred Iroquois last out. The filly was a game second two back in the Dogwood at Churchill Downs at today's seven furlong distance. She makes her third start of her current form cycle and catches an easier group here in a NY Stallion Series race. She is a Grade 3 winner on polytrack.
Super Surprise has won three in a row, taking the state bred Fleet Indian last out at nine furlongs. The third place finisher Highway Star came back to beat state bred Alw-2 optional claimers in her next outing on Sept. 28. She won at six furlongs two back against state bred Alw-1 foes and a one turn mile winning the state bred Maid of the Mist, so the cut back to seven furlongs will not pose a problem.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,3,9
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,3,9 / 1,2,3,5,9
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Del Mar:
DMR Race 8 The Betty Grable (3:59 PT)
#1 Barbara Beatrice 6-1
#2 Enola Gray 3-5
#3 My Fiona 4-1
#5 Chao Chom 6-1
Analysis: Barbara Beatrice has the best shot of beating the imposing chalk in here. The D'Amato trainee is coming off a game neck win against Alw-2 optional claimers and is back in with state breds here while switching back to the main track. three back at Santa Anita in his last outing on dirt he beat $25,000 optional claimers. The barn is 19% winners moving runners from turf to dirt.
Enola Gray also goes turf to dirt, winning the Cal Distaff last out going 6 1/2 on the downhill against state breds. He won the state bred Fleet Treat over the main track here three back with a 100 Beyer. She is going to be real tough in this spot but the price is going to be very much on the light side.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,3
TRI: no play
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R1: #1 Can You Digit 8-1
R2: #9 Cee No More 15-1
R5: #9 Barton Holt 10-1
R5: #2 Lead by Example 10-1
R6: #5 Somekindasexy 12-1
R7: #3 Not Taken 8-1
R7: #1 Game Girl 8-1
R8: #9 Frosty Margarita 10-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Post: 3:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 88 - Purse:$12000 - 3, 4 & 5 YEAR OLDS CLAIMING $15,000 WINNERS 2 RACES LAST 4 STARTS AT THIS CLAIMING LEVEL OR HIGHER INELIGBLE
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 LEGION OF BOOM 5/2
# 7 B R FLYING DALI 2/1
# 1 BABY KITTY 10/1
Look no further than LEGION OF BOOM as the bet here. Should be considered in here if only for the formidable speed fig achieved in the last competition. Excellent winning percent makes this horse an excellent selection to take home the dough. The number crunching team will always throw in a solid standardbred from the 5 position here at Harrah's Philadelphia, keep in mind for your exotics. B R FLYING DALI - Could be considered for this one if only for the formidable TrackMaster speed fig achieved in the most recent race. With superior win percentages, Napolitano should have this horse in excellent position to win the contest. BABY KITTY - Gingras has been tough as nails the past month, winning at a really strong 21 percent. Most definitely the class of the field of starters with an average rating of 85. A nice selection.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Post: 3:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 88 - Purse:$12000 - 3, 4 & 5 YEAR OLDS CLAIMING $15,000 WINNERS 2 RACES LAST 4 STARTS AT THIS CLAIMING LEVEL OR HIGHER INELIGBLE
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 LEGION OF BOOM 5/2
# 7 B R FLYING DALI 2/1
# 1 BABY KITTY 10/1
Look no further than LEGION OF BOOM as the bet here. Should be considered in here if only for the formidable speed fig achieved in the last competition. Excellent winning percent makes this horse an excellent selection to take home the dough. The number crunching team will always throw in a solid standardbred from the 5 position here at Harrah's Philadelphia, keep in mind for your exotics. B R FLYING DALI - Could be considered for this one if only for the formidable TrackMaster speed fig achieved in the most recent race. With superior win percentages, Napolitano should have this horse in excellent position to win the contest. BABY KITTY - Gingras has been tough as nails the past month, winning at a really strong 21 percent. Most definitely the class of the field of starters with an average rating of 85. A nice selection.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 1:25 - 1 1/4 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 87 - Purse:$14600 - NON-WINNERS OF $7,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS WINNERS OVER $53,000 IN 2016 NOT ELIGIBLE. AE. OPTIONAL CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $15,000 NOS. 9,10 START FROM 2ND TIER #9 JUSTICE JET & #10 WENDY`S GIRL WILL START FROM THE 2ND TIER.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 AIRMAN BATTEN 9/2
# 9 JUSTICE JET 8/1
# 6 SOUL TRAIN 6/1
Look no further than AIRMAN BATTEN as the play today. Should be in the hunt again in here, looking to improve that already high lifetime winning pct. JUSTICE JET - Don't let a harness racer with such a bang-up winning percentage like this be glossed over. A competitive class horse can't be overlooked. With an avg class statistic of 90 all signs point to this one being the winner. SOUL TRAIN - Can't pass over based on speed ratings which have been excellent (91 avg) within the recent past. Been competing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 89).
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 1:25 - 1 1/4 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 87 - Purse:$14600 - NON-WINNERS OF $7,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS WINNERS OVER $53,000 IN 2016 NOT ELIGIBLE. AE. OPTIONAL CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $15,000 NOS. 9,10 START FROM 2ND TIER #9 JUSTICE JET & #10 WENDY`S GIRL WILL START FROM THE 2ND TIER.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 AIRMAN BATTEN 9/2
# 9 JUSTICE JET 8/1
# 6 SOUL TRAIN 6/1
Look no further than AIRMAN BATTEN as the play today. Should be in the hunt again in here, looking to improve that already high lifetime winning pct. JUSTICE JET - Don't let a harness racer with such a bang-up winning percentage like this be glossed over. A competitive class horse can't be overlooked. With an avg class statistic of 90 all signs point to this one being the winner. SOUL TRAIN - Can't pass over based on speed ratings which have been excellent (91 avg) within the recent past. Been competing with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 89).
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 71
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 RENO HEAT 7/5
# 2 HIGHLAND LAD 2/1
# 1 PAPA PAGOSA 10/1
RENO HEAT has a very strong shot to take this race. Has performed quite well as of late in route races, posting a nifty 77 avg speed figure. Ought to be carefully examined - I like the numbers from the last race. Appears to have a very good class edge based on the recent company kept. HIGHLAND LAD - Has been running well lately and will most likely be up near the front end early on. Looks competitive for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in dirt route races as of late. PAPA PAGOSA - He has been running very well and the speed figures are among the best in this group of horses. Could beat this field given the 64 Equibase Speed Figure earned in his last outing.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 71
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 RENO HEAT 7/5
# 2 HIGHLAND LAD 2/1
# 1 PAPA PAGOSA 10/1
RENO HEAT has a very strong shot to take this race. Has performed quite well as of late in route races, posting a nifty 77 avg speed figure. Ought to be carefully examined - I like the numbers from the last race. Appears to have a very good class edge based on the recent company kept. HIGHLAND LAD - Has been running well lately and will most likely be up near the front end early on. Looks competitive for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in dirt route races as of late. PAPA PAGOSA - He has been running very well and the speed figures are among the best in this group of horses. Could beat this field given the 64 Equibase Speed Figure earned in his last outing.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $4300 Class Rating: 65
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR CERTIFIED ARIZONA BREDS) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 13, 2016 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 1 SILVER FLASH (T) 2/1
# 5 HAIL KNOW 10/1
# 8 HYPER QUICK 9/2
SILVER FLASH (T) looks quite good to best this field. The speed fig of 62 from his last contest looks respectable in here. Is tough not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been very good - 54 avg - of late. Must be in good condition if the conditioner is bringing him back so quickly. HAIL KNOW - He should be given a shot given the very good speed figs. With Shehorn in the saddle guiding him, this gelding ought to be able to break out quickly for this event. HYPER QUICK - Will almost certainly go to the front end and could never look back. Must be given a shot - I like the figures from the last contest.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $4300 Class Rating: 65
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR CERTIFIED ARIZONA BREDS) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 13, 2016 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 1 SILVER FLASH (T) 2/1
# 5 HAIL KNOW 10/1
# 8 HYPER QUICK 9/2
SILVER FLASH (T) looks quite good to best this field. The speed fig of 62 from his last contest looks respectable in here. Is tough not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figs which have been very good - 54 avg - of late. Must be in good condition if the conditioner is bringing him back so quickly. HAIL KNOW - He should be given a shot given the very good speed figs. With Shehorn in the saddle guiding him, this gelding ought to be able to break out quickly for this event. HYPER QUICK - Will almost certainly go to the front end and could never look back. Must be given a shot - I like the figures from the last contest.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Churchill Downs - Race #8 - Post: 4:30pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $58,000 Class Rating: 91
Rating:
#1A HENCE (ML=4/1)
#11 GREELEY AND BEN (ML=4/1)
#5 TAKEOFF (ML=3/1)
HENCE - It looks like Santana had to be in the know about this colt on Oct 8th when riding him for the first time. Back on board again today. The most recent speed rating of 84 is the top last race speed fig in the field. GREELEY AND BEN - This colt is in nice form, having run a nice race on October 15th, finishing second. Colt ran well at big odds when he made his bow October 15th. Came home in fast time last time around the track. A positive sign. Another way to identify class is earnings per race entered. This horse has the uppermost in the group. I think he'll be close at the finish line. TAKEOFF - Rider jumped on this colt's back for the first ride on Oct 15th. Should be acquainted with the equine even better in this race. This colt is in fine form, having run a strong race on Oct 15th, finishing third. Colt made a nice late run going 6 furlongs on Oct 15th. I have to like his chances stretching out today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SPEEDY A. P. (ML=4/1), #8 ALPHA BOY (ML=6/1), #7 FIREBALL SHOT (ML=6/1),
SPEEDY A. P. - This colt probably needs a better pace scenario to make his closing move. Tough to wager on at 4/1 odds after the last two efforts. This colt earned a speed rating in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's race. ALPHA BOY - I usually bet against a grass horse trying the dirt for the first time. In this type of situation, this pony's inability to close any ground in the last clash is a matter of concern. Don't think this mount will make an impact in today's event. That last speed rating was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's class figure. FIREBALL SHOT - This equine hasn't been in the money in either of his last two races. Could be tough for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the questionable challengers list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 Entry is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,11] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,5,11] with [1,5,11] with [1,5,7,9,11] with [1,5,7,9,11] Total Cost: $36
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
Churchill Downs - Race #8 - Post: 4:30pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $58,000 Class Rating: 91
Rating:
#1A HENCE (ML=4/1)
#11 GREELEY AND BEN (ML=4/1)
#5 TAKEOFF (ML=3/1)
HENCE - It looks like Santana had to be in the know about this colt on Oct 8th when riding him for the first time. Back on board again today. The most recent speed rating of 84 is the top last race speed fig in the field. GREELEY AND BEN - This colt is in nice form, having run a nice race on October 15th, finishing second. Colt ran well at big odds when he made his bow October 15th. Came home in fast time last time around the track. A positive sign. Another way to identify class is earnings per race entered. This horse has the uppermost in the group. I think he'll be close at the finish line. TAKEOFF - Rider jumped on this colt's back for the first ride on Oct 15th. Should be acquainted with the equine even better in this race. This colt is in fine form, having run a strong race on Oct 15th, finishing third. Colt made a nice late run going 6 furlongs on Oct 15th. I have to like his chances stretching out today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SPEEDY A. P. (ML=4/1), #8 ALPHA BOY (ML=6/1), #7 FIREBALL SHOT (ML=6/1),
SPEEDY A. P. - This colt probably needs a better pace scenario to make his closing move. Tough to wager on at 4/1 odds after the last two efforts. This colt earned a speed rating in his last event which probably isn't good enough in today's race. ALPHA BOY - I usually bet against a grass horse trying the dirt for the first time. In this type of situation, this pony's inability to close any ground in the last clash is a matter of concern. Don't think this mount will make an impact in today's event. That last speed rating was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's class figure. FIREBALL SHOT - This equine hasn't been in the money in either of his last two races. Could be tough for this horse to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the questionable challengers list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 Entry is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,11] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,5,11] with [1,5,11] with [1,5,7,9,11] with [1,5,7,9,11] Total Cost: $36
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Woodbine - Race #9 - Post: 5:12pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $55,900 Class Rating: 87
Rating:
#1 UNSPOILED MOMENTS (ML=8/1)
#7 GAMBLE'S CITIZEN (ML=3/1)
#2 GILDED WARRIOR (ML=9/2)
UNSPOILED MOMENTS - This colt is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Carroll. Last race at Woodbine, he broke from the far outside. I don't need an advanced degree like The Brain to tell me his inside post position today should help. GAMBLE'S CITIZEN - This colt notched a strong speed fig of 77 in his last race. That speed fig should be good enough to score this time. Carroll, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix in today's race. A positive sign. This horse wins a lot of money per start. At the top in this event. GILDED WARRIOR - Have to give this colt a shot. Ran a nice race last race out within the last 30 days. While the finish was disappointing, this race horse made a good stretch move last time around the track at Woodbine. Has to do better in today's race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #10 FLOWMOTION (ML=4/1), #8 EVERGLOW (ML=6/1),
FLOWMOTION - This colt garnered a speed rating in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event. EVERGLOW - If he goes off anywhere close to the morning line odds of 6/1, I'll have to pass.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 UNSPOILED MOMENTS is the play if we get odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,2,7] with [1,2,7] with [1,2,7,9,11] with [1,2,7,9,11] Total Cost: $36
Woodbine - Race #9 - Post: 5:12pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $55,900 Class Rating: 87
Rating:
#1 UNSPOILED MOMENTS (ML=8/1)
#7 GAMBLE'S CITIZEN (ML=3/1)
#2 GILDED WARRIOR (ML=9/2)
UNSPOILED MOMENTS - This colt is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Carroll. Last race at Woodbine, he broke from the far outside. I don't need an advanced degree like The Brain to tell me his inside post position today should help. GAMBLE'S CITIZEN - This colt notched a strong speed fig of 77 in his last race. That speed fig should be good enough to score this time. Carroll, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix in today's race. A positive sign. This horse wins a lot of money per start. At the top in this event. GILDED WARRIOR - Have to give this colt a shot. Ran a nice race last race out within the last 30 days. While the finish was disappointing, this race horse made a good stretch move last time around the track at Woodbine. Has to do better in today's race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #10 FLOWMOTION (ML=4/1), #8 EVERGLOW (ML=6/1),
FLOWMOTION - This colt garnered a speed rating in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event. EVERGLOW - If he goes off anywhere close to the morning line odds of 6/1, I'll have to pass.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 UNSPOILED MOMENTS is the play if we get odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,2,7] with [1,2,7] with [1,2,7,9,11] with [1,2,7,9,11] Total Cost: $36
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #8 -AQUEDUCT - 3:47 PM EASTERN POST
New York Stallion Series Stakes - Staten Island Division
7.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $125,000.00 PURSE
#2 SUPER SURPRISE
#3 HIGHWAY STAR
#6 UNCLE SOUTHERN
#10 LADY KREESA
For your information folks ... The New York Stallion Series was created by the New York Thoroughbred Breeders, Inc. The Staten Island Division is named for the island separated from New Jersey by the Arthur Kill and the Kill Van Kull, and from the rest of New York by New York Bay. Staten Island is the least populous of the five boroughs of New York City. Here in the 10th running of this stakes event for New York breds, #2 SUPER SURPRISE has hit the board in four of her last five outings, winning three times in this recent streak of racing consistency, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her last two starts. #3 HIGHWAY STAR, a 5-1 shot, is both the overall speed and pace profile leader, and like my top pick has won three times in her last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start.
RACE #8 -AQUEDUCT - 3:47 PM EASTERN POST
New York Stallion Series Stakes - Staten Island Division
7.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $125,000.00 PURSE
#2 SUPER SURPRISE
#3 HIGHWAY STAR
#6 UNCLE SOUTHERN
#10 LADY KREESA
For your information folks ... The New York Stallion Series was created by the New York Thoroughbred Breeders, Inc. The Staten Island Division is named for the island separated from New Jersey by the Arthur Kill and the Kill Van Kull, and from the rest of New York by New York Bay. Staten Island is the least populous of the five boroughs of New York City. Here in the 10th running of this stakes event for New York breds, #2 SUPER SURPRISE has hit the board in four of her last five outings, winning three times in this recent streak of racing consistency, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her last two starts. #3 HIGHWAY STAR, a 5-1 shot, is both the overall speed and pace profile leader, and like my top pick has won three times in her last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start.
Yonkers: Sunday 11/13 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 400 - 1152 / $2,182.10
BEST BETS: 52 - 93 / $172.00
Best Bet: MACINTOSH N (10th)
Spot Play: LUMINOSITY (1st)
Race 1
(3) LUMINOSITY catches three breaks today: he gets the best possible draw, he faces a field of only seven rivals going the added distance and he meets a pretty weak Open field. This looks like his race to lose. (5) HEMI SEELSTER has been an absolute terror since joining the Milici barn but does face better today. (6) TORNADO TIM has proven he can be a big closing threat and the added distance can help his cause.
Race 2
(9) NOT AFRAID oozes class for Takter and he shows up for work week after week; veteran can top these given a smooth second-tier trip. (3) RED HOT HERBIE was a solid winner from the pocket two back at this distance beating the top choice. (1) LADY'S DUDE returns locally off two solid scores out of town and the Burke trainee has had his moments here.
Race 3
(3) ZORGWIJK NOVA was very impressive on the front end last out, her second start off the Banca reclaim; she's capable of repeating. (10) PIERCEWAVE HANOVER will offer up good late trot if in striking position turning for home. (9) XTATIC HANOVER was empty last week but he was a solid second two back versus similar.
Race 4
(2) WING FLASH dug in gamely last week holding off a decent rival in the process; Julie Miller trainee has looked great in her two local starts and deserves top billing off those efforts. (3) CLEMENTINE DREAM just missed in a good speed try last out at this distance. (8) SUMATRA gets class relief and would possibly be my top choice if not for the poor post.
Race 5
(2) CI'S BUCKEYE has shown nice versatility since shipping in for Milici, including a win last out at this level, this distance; Bartlett drives again. (6) SOUL TRAIN has looked much, much better in his last two. (7) CALL ME RICHARD ships from Canada, where he has been racing well on the 'B' circuit, and he joins the Harris barn. (4) SIM BROWN goes for a new barn and merits following, possibly for future weeks.
Race 6
(2) WALLTOCOUSINS drops to the basement off a series of even efforts and he deserves top billing in this competitive event. (10) LO RAIL CROSSING debuts for Banca via claim and lures leading driver Bartlett off the morning-line favorite (6) GEORGINA CORNER, who did have late trot last week but too far to come.
Race 7
(4) WESTERN CREDIT was absolutely awful at this distance last out but that was against better; his prior two efforts versus this type resulted in sharp wins. Let's hope he reverts to that form. (1) DREAMSTEELER qualified very effectively for Banca with Stratton driving and he's in the bike again. (10) FOX VALLEY STEFFEN has hit the ticket in four of five versus similar.
Race 8
(3) SHORTSTACKED returns locally off a decent win at Philly and the veteran fits well with these. (1) MEETYOUATMIDNIGHT is reunited with Bartlett, who drove him to a sharp eight-hole win two back. (4) DRUNKEN DESIRE A was overmatched last week but he was second best at this level a few times recently.
Race 9
(7) ONE THROUGH TEN returns from vacation now in the Milici barn and he qualified effectively up at Monticello; Bartlett's driving and he'll likely be sending him to the front. (2) STEVENSVILLE doesn't win as often as he should but he'll be in line for a good trip from this spot. (1) ROCK TO GLORY draws best in his local return and should be heard from.
Race 10
(3) MACINTOSH N drops in class, where he's proven to be a very live fit, and he gets the services of Sears in the sulky. (7) MOONWRITER has been live in his two starts for the Harris barn. (1) COWBOY TERRIER has been too inconsistent recently to endorse at a short price.
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 400 - 1152 / $2,182.10
BEST BETS: 52 - 93 / $172.00
Best Bet: MACINTOSH N (10th)
Spot Play: LUMINOSITY (1st)
Race 1
(3) LUMINOSITY catches three breaks today: he gets the best possible draw, he faces a field of only seven rivals going the added distance and he meets a pretty weak Open field. This looks like his race to lose. (5) HEMI SEELSTER has been an absolute terror since joining the Milici barn but does face better today. (6) TORNADO TIM has proven he can be a big closing threat and the added distance can help his cause.
Race 2
(9) NOT AFRAID oozes class for Takter and he shows up for work week after week; veteran can top these given a smooth second-tier trip. (3) RED HOT HERBIE was a solid winner from the pocket two back at this distance beating the top choice. (1) LADY'S DUDE returns locally off two solid scores out of town and the Burke trainee has had his moments here.
Race 3
(3) ZORGWIJK NOVA was very impressive on the front end last out, her second start off the Banca reclaim; she's capable of repeating. (10) PIERCEWAVE HANOVER will offer up good late trot if in striking position turning for home. (9) XTATIC HANOVER was empty last week but he was a solid second two back versus similar.
Race 4
(2) WING FLASH dug in gamely last week holding off a decent rival in the process; Julie Miller trainee has looked great in her two local starts and deserves top billing off those efforts. (3) CLEMENTINE DREAM just missed in a good speed try last out at this distance. (8) SUMATRA gets class relief and would possibly be my top choice if not for the poor post.
Race 5
(2) CI'S BUCKEYE has shown nice versatility since shipping in for Milici, including a win last out at this level, this distance; Bartlett drives again. (6) SOUL TRAIN has looked much, much better in his last two. (7) CALL ME RICHARD ships from Canada, where he has been racing well on the 'B' circuit, and he joins the Harris barn. (4) SIM BROWN goes for a new barn and merits following, possibly for future weeks.
Race 6
(2) WALLTOCOUSINS drops to the basement off a series of even efforts and he deserves top billing in this competitive event. (10) LO RAIL CROSSING debuts for Banca via claim and lures leading driver Bartlett off the morning-line favorite (6) GEORGINA CORNER, who did have late trot last week but too far to come.
Race 7
(4) WESTERN CREDIT was absolutely awful at this distance last out but that was against better; his prior two efforts versus this type resulted in sharp wins. Let's hope he reverts to that form. (1) DREAMSTEELER qualified very effectively for Banca with Stratton driving and he's in the bike again. (10) FOX VALLEY STEFFEN has hit the ticket in four of five versus similar.
Race 8
(3) SHORTSTACKED returns locally off a decent win at Philly and the veteran fits well with these. (1) MEETYOUATMIDNIGHT is reunited with Bartlett, who drove him to a sharp eight-hole win two back. (4) DRUNKEN DESIRE A was overmatched last week but he was second best at this level a few times recently.
Race 9
(7) ONE THROUGH TEN returns from vacation now in the Milici barn and he qualified effectively up at Monticello; Bartlett's driving and he'll likely be sending him to the front. (2) STEVENSVILLE doesn't win as often as he should but he'll be in line for a good trip from this spot. (1) ROCK TO GLORY draws best in his local return and should be heard from.
Race 10
(3) MACINTOSH N drops in class, where he's proven to be a very live fit, and he gets the services of Sears in the sulky. (7) MOONWRITER has been live in his two starts for the Harris barn. (1) COWBOY TERRIER has been too inconsistent recently to endorse at a short price.
SPOT PLAYS
For Sunday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (1st) Mo Maverick, 6-1
(7th) First Charmer, 10-1
Churchill Downs (4th) Sardinia, 3-1
(10th) Shoni, 8-1
Del Mar (2nd Plastered, 4-1
(5th) Zuri Chop, 8-1
Golden Gate Fields (5th) Khalaya, 7-2
(7th) Highland Rose, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (1st) Randy Sr, 3-1
(9th) Niche, 10-1
Laurel (3rd) Smart N Smokin, 5-1
(9th) Arrogant Officer, 7-2
Mountaineer (3rd) Troubled Charlie, 8-1
(8th) Ballado's Queen, 7-2
Parx Racing (1st) Bohemian Bliss, 9-2
(9th) Brooklyn Gal, 5-1
Turf Paradise (4th) Scorceress Warning, 3-1
(7th) Secret Echo, 6-1
Woodbine (2nd) Audacious Bear, 6-1
(9th) Gamble's Citizen, 3-1
For Sunday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (1st) Mo Maverick, 6-1
(7th) First Charmer, 10-1
Churchill Downs (4th) Sardinia, 3-1
(10th) Shoni, 8-1
Del Mar (2nd Plastered, 4-1
(5th) Zuri Chop, 8-1
Golden Gate Fields (5th) Khalaya, 7-2
(7th) Highland Rose, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (1st) Randy Sr, 3-1
(9th) Niche, 10-1
Laurel (3rd) Smart N Smokin, 5-1
(9th) Arrogant Officer, 7-2
Mountaineer (3rd) Troubled Charlie, 8-1
(8th) Ballado's Queen, 7-2
Parx Racing (1st) Bohemian Bliss, 9-2
(9th) Brooklyn Gal, 5-1
Turf Paradise (4th) Scorceress Warning, 3-1
(7th) Secret Echo, 6-1
Woodbine (2nd) Audacious Bear, 6-1
(9th) Gamble's Citizen, 3-1
