At the Gate - Sunday
By Mike Dempsey
It is closing day at Belmont Park on Sunday, with the racing action shifting to Aqueduct next Friday, which is also the first of the two-day Breeders’ Cup from Santa Anita.
The training title at the fall championship meeting at Belmont Park will come down to the final day. Rudy Rodriguez leads all trainers with 30 wins, but Chad Brown is just one behind going into Sunday.
Rodriguez has won his 30 races from his 108 starters, hitting at a 28% clip. His horses have earned $1,828,748. He has horses running in the fourth, sixth and seventh races on the card.
Brown’s 29 winners have come from 115 starters, winning at a 25% rate at the meeting. His purses total $3,321,881, easily tops at the meeting.
Brown has horses in Sunday’s fourth and eighth races.
Todd Pletcher and David Jacobson are next in line with 13 winners each.
The jockey title at the meeting will also come down to the final day of the meeting, with Irad Ortiz. Jr. and Javier Castellano each with 47 winners going into Sunday’s card.
Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez and Luis Saez are tied for third in the jockey standings with 30 winners apiece.
The final stake of the meeting is the $100,000 Chelsey Flower for two-year-old fillies going one mile on the turf. A field of 12 along with two also-elgibles were entered.
Brown has a strong one-two punch with Beat the Benchmark, who was third in the Natalma (G1) at Woodbine in her last outing and Create a Dream, who was fourth in the Miss Grillo (G3) in her U.S. debut.
With no racing in New York until Friday that gives me a couple of extra days to work on the Breeders’ Cup. My reports will be posted by Thursday morning.
Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Clm $25,000N3L (12:55 ET)
#2 Formal Summation 5-2
#1 Kenyan 5-1
#3 Two Weeks Off 9-5
#6 Steve's Image 5-1
Analysis: Formal Summation dueled for the early lead and weakened to finish seventh last out against $50,000 non-winners of three, a key race in which the top three all won next out, the winner Great Stuff beating Alw-2 optional claimers on Oct. 19. he drops into a softer spot here for his second start off the claim by the Englehart barn.
Kenyan was a good looking winner last out against $16,000 non-winners of two in his first start against winners. She broke his maiden two back against $25,000 state breds. He was claimed out of his win last out by the Jacobson barn that is 19% winners first off the claim. Castellano sticks and this gelding looks capable of moving forward off his last effort which puts him in the mix here and the 5-1 morning line looks fair enough.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,3
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 8 The Chelsey Flower (4:46 ET)
#8 Noble Ready 6-1
#4 Beat the Benchmark 3-1
#12 Create a Dream 7-2
#3 Warrior Hall 5-1
Analysis: Noble Ready prompted the early pace, grabbed the lead heading for home and could not hold off Coasted late in a runner up finish in the P.G. Johnson in her first start against winners. Coasted came back to run third in the Miss Grillo (G3) in her next outing on Oct. 2. The Clement trainee has shown improvement with each outing and is bred to be a nice one. She has three sis that have also won on turf with a pair of turf winners, top earner Zindaya ($441,240).
Beat the Benchmark was bumped coming out of the gate and finished up well getting bumped in the stretch in a third place finish in the Natalma (G1), beaten four lengths for the top spot. It was her first go against winners after breaking herb maiden going 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf at the Spa. She figures to move forward off that effort for the Brown barn that won this race last year.
Create a Dream is also sent out by the Brown. The filly as fourth in the Miss Grillo (G3) last out in her U.S. debut. She stumbled coming out of the gate, stalked the early pace and finished evenly over yielding turf. She was only beaten a length when fourth behind Brave Anna in the Albany Stakes (G3) two back at Ascot. The outside draw is her main knock.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 4,8 / 3,4,8,12
TRI: 4,8 / 3,4,8,12 / 3,4,6,8,12
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Santa Anita:
SA Race 8 The Lure (4:00 PT)
#4 Twentytwentyvision 9-5
#5 Drummer 6-1
#2 A Red Tie Day 3-1
#3 Express Himself 12-1
Analysis: Twentytwentyvision was a game third last out in the John Henry (G2) and had he won that race this gelding would likely be waiting around for next Saturday's Breeders' Cup Turf (G1). Instead he drops into an easier spot here and cuts back to a mile. He won the Rolling Green two back at Golden Gate Fields going 1 1/16 miles and was a decent third three back in the Shoemaker Mile (G1). He will be real tough in this spot as the chalk.
Drummer invades from Germany and lands with the Drysdale barn. The colt was a good second last out in a Group 3 going a mile and was third three back in Group 2 company back in July. He makes his U.S. debut with lasix added to the mix.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 2,3,4,5
TRI: 4,5 / 2,3,4,5 / 2,3,4,5,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R2: #8 E J’s Legacy 12-1
R4: #11 Untouch 8-1
R5: #4 Fusaichi Red 12-1
R6: #5 Tempter 8-1
R6: #9 Chenal 8-1
R7: #11 Excluded 10-1
R7: #3 Fearthefalcon 10-1
R9: #9 Celtic Serenade 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
It is closing day at Belmont Park on Sunday, with the racing action shifting to Aqueduct next Friday, which is also the first of the two-day Breeders’ Cup from Santa Anita.
The training title at the fall championship meeting at Belmont Park will come down to the final day. Rudy Rodriguez leads all trainers with 30 wins, but Chad Brown is just one behind going into Sunday.
Rodriguez has won his 30 races from his 108 starters, hitting at a 28% clip. His horses have earned $1,828,748. He has horses running in the fourth, sixth and seventh races on the card.
Brown’s 29 winners have come from 115 starters, winning at a 25% rate at the meeting. His purses total $3,321,881, easily tops at the meeting.
Brown has horses in Sunday’s fourth and eighth races.
Todd Pletcher and David Jacobson are next in line with 13 winners each.
The jockey title at the meeting will also come down to the final day of the meeting, with Irad Ortiz. Jr. and Javier Castellano each with 47 winners going into Sunday’s card.
Hall of Fame rider John Velazquez and Luis Saez are tied for third in the jockey standings with 30 winners apiece.
The final stake of the meeting is the $100,000 Chelsey Flower for two-year-old fillies going one mile on the turf. A field of 12 along with two also-elgibles were entered.
Brown has a strong one-two punch with Beat the Benchmark, who was third in the Natalma (G1) at Woodbine in her last outing and Create a Dream, who was fourth in the Miss Grillo (G3) in her U.S. debut.
With no racing in New York until Friday that gives me a couple of extra days to work on the Breeders’ Cup. My reports will be posted by Thursday morning.
Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Clm $25,000N3L (12:55 ET)
#2 Formal Summation 5-2
#1 Kenyan 5-1
#3 Two Weeks Off 9-5
#6 Steve's Image 5-1
Analysis: Formal Summation dueled for the early lead and weakened to finish seventh last out against $50,000 non-winners of three, a key race in which the top three all won next out, the winner Great Stuff beating Alw-2 optional claimers on Oct. 19. he drops into a softer spot here for his second start off the claim by the Englehart barn.
Kenyan was a good looking winner last out against $16,000 non-winners of two in his first start against winners. She broke his maiden two back against $25,000 state breds. He was claimed out of his win last out by the Jacobson barn that is 19% winners first off the claim. Castellano sticks and this gelding looks capable of moving forward off his last effort which puts him in the mix here and the 5-1 morning line looks fair enough.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,3
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 8 The Chelsey Flower (4:46 ET)
#8 Noble Ready 6-1
#4 Beat the Benchmark 3-1
#12 Create a Dream 7-2
#3 Warrior Hall 5-1
Analysis: Noble Ready prompted the early pace, grabbed the lead heading for home and could not hold off Coasted late in a runner up finish in the P.G. Johnson in her first start against winners. Coasted came back to run third in the Miss Grillo (G3) in her next outing on Oct. 2. The Clement trainee has shown improvement with each outing and is bred to be a nice one. She has three sis that have also won on turf with a pair of turf winners, top earner Zindaya ($441,240).
Beat the Benchmark was bumped coming out of the gate and finished up well getting bumped in the stretch in a third place finish in the Natalma (G1), beaten four lengths for the top spot. It was her first go against winners after breaking herb maiden going 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf at the Spa. She figures to move forward off that effort for the Brown barn that won this race last year.
Create a Dream is also sent out by the Brown. The filly as fourth in the Miss Grillo (G3) last out in her U.S. debut. She stumbled coming out of the gate, stalked the early pace and finished evenly over yielding turf. She was only beaten a length when fourth behind Brave Anna in the Albany Stakes (G3) two back at Ascot. The outside draw is her main knock.
Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 4,8 / 3,4,8,12
TRI: 4,8 / 3,4,8,12 / 3,4,6,8,12
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Santa Anita:
SA Race 8 The Lure (4:00 PT)
#4 Twentytwentyvision 9-5
#5 Drummer 6-1
#2 A Red Tie Day 3-1
#3 Express Himself 12-1
Analysis: Twentytwentyvision was a game third last out in the John Henry (G2) and had he won that race this gelding would likely be waiting around for next Saturday's Breeders' Cup Turf (G1). Instead he drops into an easier spot here and cuts back to a mile. He won the Rolling Green two back at Golden Gate Fields going 1 1/16 miles and was a decent third three back in the Shoemaker Mile (G1). He will be real tough in this spot as the chalk.
Drummer invades from Germany and lands with the Drysdale barn. The colt was a good second last out in a Group 3 going a mile and was third three back in Group 2 company back in July. He makes his U.S. debut with lasix added to the mix.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 2,3,4,5
TRI: 4,5 / 2,3,4,5 / 2,3,4,5,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R2: #8 E J’s Legacy 12-1
R4: #11 Untouch 8-1
R5: #4 Fusaichi Red 12-1
R6: #5 Tempter 8-1
R6: #9 Chenal 8-1
R7: #11 Excluded 10-1
R7: #3 Fearthefalcon 10-1
R9: #9 Celtic Serenade 8-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Post: 7:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$5200 - HORSES & GELDINGS - CLAIMING $8500.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 1 RAGING FINGERS 7/5
# 6 HIGH FLIER 7/2
# 4 STIR AND SERVE 9/2
All signs point to RAGING FINGERS for the choice. Could surprise us at a nice price. Don't leave out. Earned a 77 TrackMaster Speed Rating last out. A duplicate effort here should get the triumph in this one. Should be in the hunt again here, looking to improve that already high lifetime winning figure. HIGH FLIER - This outing could very well be controlled by this horse. A single look at the avgerage TrackMaster speed fig will verify that. The 85 average class ranking may give this horse a distinct edge in the group. STIR AND SERVE - Look for Sheppard and this nice horse to end up in the winner's circle in this event. Superb in the money percentage for the trainer/horse pair. McClure is racking up the wins of late. Top notch win rate makes this harness racer our selection.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Post: 7:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$5200 - HORSES & GELDINGS - CLAIMING $8500.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 1 RAGING FINGERS 7/5
# 6 HIGH FLIER 7/2
# 4 STIR AND SERVE 9/2
All signs point to RAGING FINGERS for the choice. Could surprise us at a nice price. Don't leave out. Earned a 77 TrackMaster Speed Rating last out. A duplicate effort here should get the triumph in this one. Should be in the hunt again here, looking to improve that already high lifetime winning figure. HIGH FLIER - This outing could very well be controlled by this horse. A single look at the avgerage TrackMaster speed fig will verify that. The 85 average class ranking may give this horse a distinct edge in the group. STIR AND SERVE - Look for Sheppard and this nice horse to end up in the winner's circle in this event. Superb in the money percentage for the trainer/horse pair. McClure is racking up the wins of late. Top notch win rate makes this harness racer our selection.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Post: 3:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 92 - Purse:$15000 - NW $15,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS AE: NW 7 EXT. PM RACES OR $70,000 LIFETIME STARTERS IN A CLASS HIGHER THAN NW22500 OR A WINNER THIS CLASS IN LAST START INELIGIBLE NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 1 BETTORS GLASS 7/2
# 3 MOJO TERROR 4/1
# 4 BELIEVEINTHESPIRIT 15/1
BETTORS GLASS more than likely appears to be the fine animal to beat in this one. Sometimes you just have to go with a feeling, think about this one's chances. Has a strong shot in this event, if he can perform to his back class. Driver/trainer are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this gelding breaking away from the group of horses. MOJO TERROR - Cannot put a finger on it, but strongly consider this gelding for a wager. BELIEVEINTHESPIRIT - Getting a good instinct about this gelding. Could surprise for this race.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Post: 3:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 92 - Purse:$15000 - NW $15,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS AE: NW 7 EXT. PM RACES OR $70,000 LIFETIME STARTERS IN A CLASS HIGHER THAN NW22500 OR A WINNER THIS CLASS IN LAST START INELIGIBLE NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 1 BETTORS GLASS 7/2
# 3 MOJO TERROR 4/1
# 4 BELIEVEINTHESPIRIT 15/1
BETTORS GLASS more than likely appears to be the fine animal to beat in this one. Sometimes you just have to go with a feeling, think about this one's chances. Has a strong shot in this event, if he can perform to his back class. Driver/trainer are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this gelding breaking away from the group of horses. MOJO TERROR - Cannot put a finger on it, but strongly consider this gelding for a wager. BELIEVEINTHESPIRIT - Getting a good instinct about this gelding. Could surprise for this race.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 79
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR OKLAHOMA-BRED TWO-YEAR-OLDS WHICH WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THESE TRIALS. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 BELLS BIG HERO 2/1
# 3 FLINTY 7/2
# 2 GYPSYS LAST HERO 4/1
BELLS BIG HERO is my choice. He has earned decent numbers under today's conditions and will most likely fare well versus this field. Put up a strong speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. Has formidable Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. FLINTY - Should compete very well in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group. Recorded a solid Equibase Speed Fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. GYPSYS LAST HERO - Has been running admirably lately and will most likely be up near the lead early on. Should keep the good string of finish positions intact this time around.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Trial - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 79
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR OKLAHOMA-BRED TWO-YEAR-OLDS WHICH WERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE FOR THESE TRIALS. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 BELLS BIG HERO 2/1
# 3 FLINTY 7/2
# 2 GYPSYS LAST HERO 4/1
BELLS BIG HERO is my choice. He has earned decent numbers under today's conditions and will most likely fare well versus this field. Put up a strong speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. Has formidable Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. FLINTY - Should compete very well in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group. Recorded a solid Equibase Speed Fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. GYPSYS LAST HERO - Has been running admirably lately and will most likely be up near the lead early on. Should keep the good string of finish positions intact this time around.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Stakes - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $300000 Class Rating: 85
SPENDTHRIFT STALLION S. - FOR TWO YEAR OLDS, SIRED BY ANY SPENDTHRIFT OWNED STALLION THAT STOOD AT SPENDTHRIFT FARM IN KENTUCKY, OR ANY OTHER LOCATION, INCLUDING LOUISIANA, MARYLAND, NEW YORK OR CANADA FROM 2013 TO PRESENT.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 6 ALL RIGHT 6/1
# 9 HUNKA BURNING LOVE 12/1
# 7 SISTER NATION 20/1
ALL RIGHT looks to be a formidable contender. Will probably come out strong - I have liked the way this colt has moved sharply to the front end recently. This colt has to be carefully examined just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone. With a +103 ROI, this jock and conditioner duo has produced very strong gains recently for wagerers. HUNKA BURNING LOVE - Solid returns over time for this jockey and trainer duo. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Maker have shown strong results lately. SISTER NATION - Blinkers off may be the difference maker here.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Stakes - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $300000 Class Rating: 85
SPENDTHRIFT STALLION S. - FOR TWO YEAR OLDS, SIRED BY ANY SPENDTHRIFT OWNED STALLION THAT STOOD AT SPENDTHRIFT FARM IN KENTUCKY, OR ANY OTHER LOCATION, INCLUDING LOUISIANA, MARYLAND, NEW YORK OR CANADA FROM 2013 TO PRESENT.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 6 ALL RIGHT 6/1
# 9 HUNKA BURNING LOVE 12/1
# 7 SISTER NATION 20/1
ALL RIGHT looks to be a formidable contender. Will probably come out strong - I have liked the way this colt has moved sharply to the front end recently. This colt has to be carefully examined just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone. With a +103 ROI, this jock and conditioner duo has produced very strong gains recently for wagerers. HUNKA BURNING LOVE - Solid returns over time for this jockey and trainer duo. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Maker have shown strong results lately. SISTER NATION - Blinkers off may be the difference maker here.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Woodbine - Race #8 - Post: 4:55pm - Stakes - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $125,000 Class Rating: 91 Victorian Queen S.
Rating:
#2 RAGLAN ROAD (ML=5/1)
#5 SILVER PRINCESS (ML=3/1)
#1 BRAVE AUTUMN ROSE (ML=10/1)
RAGLAN ROAD - A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a strong effort is a good signal. This filly is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money. SILVER PRINCESS - Filly's last workout was second fastest of the day for the distance. Don't often see a positive ROI like +53. This jock/handler tandem has done well together over the last year. BRAVE AUTUMN ROSE - The ROI when Dasilva and Day Phillips get together is good.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CONQUEST VIVI (ML=1/1), #6 PRINCESS MACY (ML=8/1),
CONQUEST VIVI - Can't play this favorite off the extended layoff. She's in all probability going to get cooked at the front. PRINCESS MACY - Difficult to put your dough on this early speedball. Too much zip in the race. The clash on September 3rd was versus maiden claimers. Pass on this one this time out versus the tougher group.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 RAGLAN ROAD to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,2,5] with [1,2,5] with [1,2,4,5,6] with [1,2,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36
Woodbine - Race #8 - Post: 4:55pm - Stakes - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $125,000 Class Rating: 91 Victorian Queen S.
Rating:
#2 RAGLAN ROAD (ML=5/1)
#5 SILVER PRINCESS (ML=3/1)
#1 BRAVE AUTUMN ROSE (ML=10/1)
RAGLAN ROAD - A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a strong effort is a good signal. This filly is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money. SILVER PRINCESS - Filly's last workout was second fastest of the day for the distance. Don't often see a positive ROI like +53. This jock/handler tandem has done well together over the last year. BRAVE AUTUMN ROSE - The ROI when Dasilva and Day Phillips get together is good.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CONQUEST VIVI (ML=1/1), #6 PRINCESS MACY (ML=8/1),
CONQUEST VIVI - Can't play this favorite off the extended layoff. She's in all probability going to get cooked at the front. PRINCESS MACY - Difficult to put your dough on this early speedball. Too much zip in the race. The clash on September 3rd was versus maiden claimers. Pass on this one this time out versus the tougher group.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 RAGLAN ROAD to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,2,5] with [1,2,5] with [1,2,4,5,6] with [1,2,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Gulfstream Park West - Race #10 - Post: 6:02pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 73
Rating:
#1 SHEZAWAVE (ML=6/1)
#8 BALLYHOO MOON (ML=8/1)
#7 SWEET ABDICATION (ML=9/2)
SHEZAWAVE - The jockey/conditioner duo of Panici and Zavash has a strong return on investment together. BALLYHOO MOON - The October 1st race at Gulfstream Park was at a class level of (81). Dropping down in class ranks considerably, so she should be in a good position to win. A definite class advantage goes to this horse. That indicates to me she will be very competitive in this turf race. This animal didn't run well on the soft turf in her last race at Gulfstream Park. You probably should toss that performance. SWEET ABDICATION - The jock and trainer combination have a lucrative return on investment when they join forces. This filly is in good form, having run a strong race on Oct 12th, finishing fourth. Based on this filly's recent efforts, she should benefit from today's shorter trip. Just missed hitting the board on Oct 12th at Gulfstream Park West. With pretty good morning line odds in this event, she has my interest. This filly is clearly on the improve with Equibase speed figures of 57, 60, 67 last three out.
Vulnerable Contenders: #11 LATER (ML=5/1), #10 PACHAMANCA (ML=6/1), #5 LITTLE QUEEN (ML=8/1),
LATER - Not the best 'spot' in this race. PACHAMANCA - Earned a common speed figure in the last race in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on Oct 15th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number. LITTLE QUEEN - Will be tough for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed fig. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 SHEZAWAVE to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [7,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Skip
Gulfstream Park West - Race #10 - Post: 6:02pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 73
Rating:
#1 SHEZAWAVE (ML=6/1)
#8 BALLYHOO MOON (ML=8/1)
#7 SWEET ABDICATION (ML=9/2)
SHEZAWAVE - The jockey/conditioner duo of Panici and Zavash has a strong return on investment together. BALLYHOO MOON - The October 1st race at Gulfstream Park was at a class level of (81). Dropping down in class ranks considerably, so she should be in a good position to win. A definite class advantage goes to this horse. That indicates to me she will be very competitive in this turf race. This animal didn't run well on the soft turf in her last race at Gulfstream Park. You probably should toss that performance. SWEET ABDICATION - The jock and trainer combination have a lucrative return on investment when they join forces. This filly is in good form, having run a strong race on Oct 12th, finishing fourth. Based on this filly's recent efforts, she should benefit from today's shorter trip. Just missed hitting the board on Oct 12th at Gulfstream Park West. With pretty good morning line odds in this event, she has my interest. This filly is clearly on the improve with Equibase speed figures of 57, 60, 67 last three out.
Vulnerable Contenders: #11 LATER (ML=5/1), #10 PACHAMANCA (ML=6/1), #5 LITTLE QUEEN (ML=8/1),
LATER - Not the best 'spot' in this race. PACHAMANCA - Earned a common speed figure in the last race in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on Oct 15th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number. LITTLE QUEEN - Will be tough for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed fig. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 SHEZAWAVE to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [7,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Skip
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #5 - BELMONT PARK - 3:07 PM EASTERN POST
The Pumpkin Pie Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#6 STONETASTIC
#1 MOMAMEMARIA
#9 KELSOCAIT
#8 LET'S PARLAY
Here in just the 3rd running of this stake race, #6 STONETASTIC has won 6 of 9 starts in her career to date sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, is the overall speed and pace profile leader and has exceptional early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint. She's hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her respective last five outings, including a pair of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Paco Lopex and Trainer Kelly Breen send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 52% of nearly 50 entries saddled as a team to date. #1 MOMAMEMARIA takes a class drop, and has posted "POWER RUNS" in each of her last three starts, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd race back.
RACE #5 - BELMONT PARK - 3:07 PM EASTERN POST
The Pumpkin Pie Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#6 STONETASTIC
#1 MOMAMEMARIA
#9 KELSOCAIT
#8 LET'S PARLAY
Here in just the 3rd running of this stake race, #6 STONETASTIC has won 6 of 9 starts in her career to date sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, is the overall speed and pace profile leader and has exceptional early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint. She's hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her respective last five outings, including a pair of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Paco Lopex and Trainer Kelly Breen send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 52% of nearly 50 entries saddled as a team to date. #1 MOMAMEMARIA takes a class drop, and has posted "POWER RUNS" in each of her last three starts, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd race back.
SPOT PLAYS
For Sunday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (3rd) Summer Bourbon, 3-1
(9th) Out of Nowhere, 7-2
Churchill Downs (2nd) Dawn the Destroyer, 4-1
(10th) Clearly Claire, 4-1
Golden Gate Fields (7th) Mended, 5-1
(8th) Top Pirana, 6-1
Gulfstream Park West (5th) Epic Drama, 6-1
(6th) Keep Your Distance, 4-1
Laurel Park (3rd) Convoyarie, 9-2
(6th) Salsamatic, 4-1
Mountaineer (2nd) Roaring Seas, 6-1
(5th) Golfin' De An, 9-2
Parx (8th) Sweet Henrietta, 8-1
(9th) Casino Diva, 6-1
Santa Anita (1st) Ice Kat, 4-1
(4th) Summer Lady, 4-1
Turf Paradise (6th) Yes It's Snowing, 3-1
(8th) Cozy Bar, 8-1
Woodbine (3rd) Abby Grace, 6-1
(10th) Coppersmith, 6-1
For Sunday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (3rd) Summer Bourbon, 3-1
(9th) Out of Nowhere, 7-2
Churchill Downs (2nd) Dawn the Destroyer, 4-1
(10th) Clearly Claire, 4-1
Golden Gate Fields (7th) Mended, 5-1
(8th) Top Pirana, 6-1
Gulfstream Park West (5th) Epic Drama, 6-1
(6th) Keep Your Distance, 4-1
Laurel Park (3rd) Convoyarie, 9-2
(6th) Salsamatic, 4-1
Mountaineer (2nd) Roaring Seas, 6-1
(5th) Golfin' De An, 9-2
Parx (8th) Sweet Henrietta, 8-1
(9th) Casino Diva, 6-1
Santa Anita (1st) Ice Kat, 4-1
(4th) Summer Lady, 4-1
Turf Paradise (6th) Yes It's Snowing, 3-1
(8th) Cozy Bar, 8-1
Woodbine (3rd) Abby Grace, 6-1
(10th) Coppersmith, 6-1
Yonkers: Sunday 10/30 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 378 - 1100 / $2,070.00
BEST BETS: 50 - 90 / $164.90
Best Bet: PRETTY BOY HILL (11th)
Spot Play: WIND OF THE NORTH (1st)
Race 1
(8) WIND OF THE NORTH raced respectably in the Invitational last out, picking up a nice 4th place check. He looks best here despite the outside post. (5) LUMINOSITY has made a very nice living this year racing primarily at the Open level and he wasn't bad last week after getting shuffled. (7) TORNADO TIM was an upset winner last out for Allard and he should be a closing threat.
Race 2
(1) NOT AFRAID was never close enough to threaten last week despite the short field. Takter's classy veteran should be able to control things from this spot. (9) CAULFIELD didn't fire on the rim when last seen here but he followed that up with a sharp score at Pocono; Sears is back driving. (3) LUCK O THE IRISH beat up lesser last out and Bartlett sticks with him over a Banca trainee.
Race 3
(6) HEMI SEELSTER absolutely jogged up at Saratoga in his debut for the Milici barn. He steps way up here but seems more than capable. (10) XTATIC HANOVER ships in riding a three race win streak and note two back at Philly he was a winner at this added distance. (1) PIERCEWAVE HANOVER has obvious ability but has been erratic; use caution.
Race 4
(3) GAELIC AND GARLIC hasn't won since returning locally but he should be forwardly placed from this spot and could trip out in this tough-to-figure event. (8) CLEMENTINE DREAM is arguably best here but is coming off a break and now has to overcome the eight hole. (9) JUSTICE JET gets needed class relief but hasn't looked all that sharp.
Race 5
(5) ON THE PODIUM returns locally off a couple of sharp wins versus lesser out of town; veteran was an easy winner at this distance a few months ago. (2) LAUDERDALE has missed some time coming off a break but he's capable if ready. (6) CI'S BUCKEYE has jogged in two of his last three for Milici but he goes the longer distance today.
Race 6
(9) MOVEMENT has been sharp for quite some time now and she returns to the Allard barn via claim; she looks like the one to beat in here. (7) WARRAWEE ONYX gets needed class relief and he's shown live moves here in the past. (2) SIGNAL HILL OK exits the Amateur ranks and gets a driver upgrade.
Race 7
(1) VEGLIANTINO has been better in her two starts since moving to the Andrew Harris barn and this trotter could show further improvement today. (6) MASSIVE TALENT has beaten better than these in the past. (3) FOX VALLEY STEFFEN has hit the ticket in three of four at this level including two wins.
Race 8
(1) MUSTANG MACH N should win this race rather easily but won't offer any value. (3) AUTOMATIC SLIMS keeps Bartlett and will likely be looking for the pocket trip. (2) SPORTING THE LOOK returns from Monticello and was a close second when last seen here.
Race 9
(1) ALBERTO CONTADOR N dropped to the bottom and got the job done; he works his way back up the class ladder now and is more than capable of repeating. (7) BETTOREVER never got involved last week but he may try firing from the gate today. (2) ROCK TO GLORY drops, draws well and promises to be close up throughout.
Race 10
(5) BALLERAT BOOMERANG charged home in his last two starts, the most recent with Lasix added. 3-year-old may have more to offer. (2) WAR DADDY was uncovered into a quick back half and certainly didn't disgrace himself. (1) ROLL WITH FRED rode the former's live cover and kicked home nicely but he may be overbet in this spot.
Race 11
(1) PRETTY BOY HILL has put in six nice efforts after a dull local debut and the Alagna trainee looks mighty tough from this spot. (4) BRED TO RACE gets needed post relief after some no-chance efforts and the Burke trainee has hinted at ability. (5) SENATOR CHARLIE ships from Pennsylvania and merits a look.
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 378 - 1100 / $2,070.00
BEST BETS: 50 - 90 / $164.90
Best Bet: PRETTY BOY HILL (11th)
Spot Play: WIND OF THE NORTH (1st)
Race 1
(8) WIND OF THE NORTH raced respectably in the Invitational last out, picking up a nice 4th place check. He looks best here despite the outside post. (5) LUMINOSITY has made a very nice living this year racing primarily at the Open level and he wasn't bad last week after getting shuffled. (7) TORNADO TIM was an upset winner last out for Allard and he should be a closing threat.
Race 2
(1) NOT AFRAID was never close enough to threaten last week despite the short field. Takter's classy veteran should be able to control things from this spot. (9) CAULFIELD didn't fire on the rim when last seen here but he followed that up with a sharp score at Pocono; Sears is back driving. (3) LUCK O THE IRISH beat up lesser last out and Bartlett sticks with him over a Banca trainee.
Race 3
(6) HEMI SEELSTER absolutely jogged up at Saratoga in his debut for the Milici barn. He steps way up here but seems more than capable. (10) XTATIC HANOVER ships in riding a three race win streak and note two back at Philly he was a winner at this added distance. (1) PIERCEWAVE HANOVER has obvious ability but has been erratic; use caution.
Race 4
(3) GAELIC AND GARLIC hasn't won since returning locally but he should be forwardly placed from this spot and could trip out in this tough-to-figure event. (8) CLEMENTINE DREAM is arguably best here but is coming off a break and now has to overcome the eight hole. (9) JUSTICE JET gets needed class relief but hasn't looked all that sharp.
Race 5
(5) ON THE PODIUM returns locally off a couple of sharp wins versus lesser out of town; veteran was an easy winner at this distance a few months ago. (2) LAUDERDALE has missed some time coming off a break but he's capable if ready. (6) CI'S BUCKEYE has jogged in two of his last three for Milici but he goes the longer distance today.
Race 6
(9) MOVEMENT has been sharp for quite some time now and she returns to the Allard barn via claim; she looks like the one to beat in here. (7) WARRAWEE ONYX gets needed class relief and he's shown live moves here in the past. (2) SIGNAL HILL OK exits the Amateur ranks and gets a driver upgrade.
Race 7
(1) VEGLIANTINO has been better in her two starts since moving to the Andrew Harris barn and this trotter could show further improvement today. (6) MASSIVE TALENT has beaten better than these in the past. (3) FOX VALLEY STEFFEN has hit the ticket in three of four at this level including two wins.
Race 8
(1) MUSTANG MACH N should win this race rather easily but won't offer any value. (3) AUTOMATIC SLIMS keeps Bartlett and will likely be looking for the pocket trip. (2) SPORTING THE LOOK returns from Monticello and was a close second when last seen here.
Race 9
(1) ALBERTO CONTADOR N dropped to the bottom and got the job done; he works his way back up the class ladder now and is more than capable of repeating. (7) BETTOREVER never got involved last week but he may try firing from the gate today. (2) ROCK TO GLORY drops, draws well and promises to be close up throughout.
Race 10
(5) BALLERAT BOOMERANG charged home in his last two starts, the most recent with Lasix added. 3-year-old may have more to offer. (2) WAR DADDY was uncovered into a quick back half and certainly didn't disgrace himself. (1) ROLL WITH FRED rode the former's live cover and kicked home nicely but he may be overbet in this spot.
Race 11
(1) PRETTY BOY HILL has put in six nice efforts after a dull local debut and the Alagna trainee looks mighty tough from this spot. (4) BRED TO RACE gets needed post relief after some no-chance efforts and the Burke trainee has hinted at ability. (5) SENATOR CHARLIE ships from Pennsylvania and merits a look.
