Horse Racing 10-29-16

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Freehold Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Post: 2:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 88 - Purse:$7000 - PREFERRED HANDICAP PACE PP 1 - 2 DRAWN PP 3 - 7 DRAWN PP 8 ASSIGNED NO. 1 & NO. 5 FUSCO JR TRAINED ENTRY UNCOUPLED PER NJRC
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 4 DIAL OR NODIAL 7/1
# 6 TRACK MASTER D 7/1
# 8 ALLSTAR PARTNER 8/5

DIAL OR NODIAL will have you running to the cashier's window here especially at a long price. Unquestionably the class of the grouping with an average rating of 90. A nice choice. Earned a 86 speed figure last time out. A duplicate affair here should get the top prize in this race. Considered a solid bet based solely on his high win figure. TRACK MASTER D - Not many knocks against this fine animal, let's give him a shot. ALLSTAR PARTNER - Take a look at this race horse's avg speed figure of 95 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a very nice wager. With a 91 average class number, this standardbred has one of the most compelling class advantages in the group of horses.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $20900 Class Rating: 99

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE AUGUST 29 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 1 TINTO MESA 5/2

# 7 NEBIKON 12/1

# 2 HAULER 6/1

TINTO MESA looks strong to best this field. Could provide positive profits based on formidable recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 89. Going in a dirt route race gives this gelding a solid shot. He has put up respectable figs under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this field. NEBIKON - Must be carefully examined in this contest if only for the formidable Equibase speed fig earned in the last outing. HAULER - He has quite good class ratings, averaging 99, and has to be given a shot for this event. Will most likely compete soundly in the early speed clash which bodes well with this group.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 60

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 8 MISCHIEVOUS BELLE 8/1

# 6 CROWN EXPRESS 10/1

# 10 WITT SEVEN 20/1

I think MISCHIEVOUS BELLE is a strong selection especially at 8/1. Will more than likely be one of the front-runners of the group going into the halfway point of the outing. This pony should be played at the expected high odds. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint races in this group. CROWN EXPRESS - A solid 51 avg class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge against this group of animals. WITT SEVEN - The average class fig of 36 makes this horse hard to beat.
 
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At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey

We say goodbye to Belmont Park and Keeneland this weekend, but next Friday Aqueduct opens for its fall/winter meeting and of course we have the Breeders’ Cup next Friday and Saturday from Santa Anita.

Closing day at Keeneland is this afternoon, with a good 10-race card highlighted by the $200,000 Fayette (G2) at nine furlongs on the main track.

A field of eight line up led by 6-5 morning line favorite Noble Bird, who took the field gate to wire to win the Lukas Classic in his last outing at Churchill Downs.

Earlier this spring the Mark Casse trainee earned a 110 Beyer Speed Figure winning the Pimlico Special (G3) by 11 ¼ lengths.

Belmont Park features three stakes on Saturday’s card. The fall championship meeting concludes on Sunday.

I whine plenty about short fields in stakes at Belmont Park but that is not the case for today’s $200,000 Bold Ruler (G3) which drew a solid field of 13 runners that will go seven furlongs on the main track.

The Chad Brown duo of Economic Model (3-1) and Threefiveindia (6-1) look formidable.

The $100,000 Awad drew a field of nine juveniles that will travel one mile on turf. Again, Brown could be the one to beat. He saddles Heaven Is Waiting, who was sixth in the Bourbon (G3) at Keeneland in his last start.

Harlan’s Harmony (5-1) looks like a player if he gets a better trip today than in his fifth-place finish in the Summer (G2) last out at Woodbine.

The stakes action on Saturday at Belmont Park starts in the fourth race with the $200,000 Turnback the Alarm Handicap (G3) which drew a field of seven fillies and mares that go 1 1/16 miles on the main track.

Lewis Bay is the 6-5 morning line favorite for Brown. The filly makes her first start since running fourth in the Test (G1) at Saratoga on Aug. 6.


Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Md Sp Wt (12:55 ET)
#1 Now in a Drive 6-1
#5 Oiseau de Guerre 2-1
#8 Concomitant 8-1
#9 Kahramani 5-1

Analysis: Now in a Drive put in a good effort in a third place finish in his debut at the Spa going long on turf. The winner J.S. Choice came back to run second in the Pilgrim (G3) in his next outing here on Oct. 1. The $150,000 Keeneland purchase is by Tiznow out of the stakes winner Ocean Drive ($803,986) who has dropped five winners and four have won on turf, with a pair of stakes winners, top earner West Ocean ($355,840).

Oiseau de Guerre had a clear lead heading for home in his debut but got run down late, settling for the runner up spot. Brown thought enough of that effort to step him up last out where he ran sixth in the Pilgrim. He is back in the maiden ranks here and the logical one to beat. He is by War Front out of a stakes placed Arch mare that has dropped two dirt winners but no turf winners to date.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 1,5 / 1,5,8,9
TRI: 1,5 / 1,5,8,9 / 1,5,8,9,12

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 9 The Bold Ruler G3 (5:08 ET)
#4 Economic Model 3-1
#2 Threefiveindia 6-1
#6 Stallwalkin' Dude 7-2
#8 Ami's Flatter 5-1

Analysis: Economic Model tracked thee early pace and finished up well for the runner up spot last out in the King's Bishop (G1), catching a racing strip that was kind to inside speed. The winner Defrong took the field gate to wire for the Baffert barn and will be one of the favorites for the Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1) next Saturday. Our top pick has landed in the exacta in 6 of his 7 career starts and while his stakes win came in the Easy Goer going 1 1/16 miles he did run second in the seven furlong Swale (G2) at Gulfstream Park back in January in his second career start.

Threefiveindia stumbled coming out of the gate, tracked the early pace form the inside (often not the place to be at Philly) and rallied for third in the Gallant Bob behind a couple of runners being pointed toward the Sprint. The Brown trainee has earned solid numbers in his last two starts and still looks as if he has some upside. Castellano sticks as he makes his third start of his current form cycle and should be a fair price.

Stallwalkin' Dude was a good second behind Joking and two back third behind A.P. Indian, a couple of solid sprinters that are Sprint bound. He earned a career top speed fig last out in his runner up finish in the Vosburgh (G1). He was only beaten 4 3/4 lengths when eighth in last year's Sprint. The Jacobson trainee has earned nearly $1 million without a graded stakes win.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 2,4 / 2,4,6,8
TRI: 2,4 / 2,4,6,8 / 2,4,6,8,13

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Keeneland:

KEE Race 9 The Fayette G2 (5:30 ET)
#8 Divining Rod 5-1
#2 Noble Bird 6-5
#3 Kasaqui 6-1
#7 Iron Fist 5-1

Analysis: Divining Rod came back off a year layoff with back to back wins at Philly, beating Alw-2 and Alw-3 company, last out by just a neck. The colt won the Lexington (G3) over the main track here last spring and was third in the Preakness (G1) and beaten just a head when third in the Ohio Derby. He needs to run back to those numbers here, but I'll take a positive view with the sharp Delacour barn calling the shots and Geroux picks up the call.

Noble Bird took the field gate to wire to win the Lukas Classic last out over a wet track at Churchill Downs. He bounced back after getting beaten double digit lengths two and three back in Grade 1 company. He ran huge winning the Pimlico Special (G1) four back earning a 110 Beyer. He looks back on track and Casse finds a great spot for him here but his price is going to be on the light side.

Wagering
WIN: #8 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 2,8 / 2,3,7,8
TRI: 2,8 / 2,3,7,8 / 2,3,6,7,8

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R1: #8 Concomitant 8-1
R2: #9 Prime Time Man 10-1
R5: #7 Altar Boy 10-1
R5: #6 Grey Fox 15-1
R7: #3 Takaful 8-1
R8: #3 No Texting 10-1
R8: #5 Lead by Example 10-1
R10: #5 Full Sum Prisum 15-1

Good luck today!
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Hawthorne - Race #5 - Post: 4:20pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $8,200 Class Rating: 97

Rating:

#7 PILATUS (ML=5/1)
#10 ICE CLIMBER (ML=8/1)
#5 FRONTIER FORCE (ML=7/2)
#2 AWAY WESTWARD (ML=6/1)


PILATUS - Don't throw this horse out due to his last race at Hawthorne where he ended up eighth on the soft turf. Expect better today. ICE CLIMBER - This horse didn't run well on the soft turf in his last start at Arlington. You probably want to disregard that effort. FRONTIER FORCE - This thoroughbred coming off a good effort in the last thirty days is a strong challenger in my humble opinion. Running 1 mile on the turf, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This animal has the tops in the bunch. I like the fact that this gelding's last speed fig, 97, is tops in this field. AWAY WESTWARD - Rivelli is solid in turf routes. This animal should have no rationalizations if he doesn't win. This gelding hasn't won in his last three starts, but he did win on July 1st against better at 1 mile. In the last race, finished sixth in the slop at Hawthorne. Have to do better in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CRUACHAN (ML=9/2),

CRUACHAN - Don't believe this racer will do much running in today's event. That last speed figure was mediocre when compared with today's class rating.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #7 PILATUS to win. Have to have odds of at least 6/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [7,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #4 - BELMONT PARK - 2:34 PM EASTERN POST

The Turnback the Alarm Handicap

8½ FURLONGS DIRT GRADE III FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE

#2 LEWIS BAY
#6 ESKENFORMONEY
#4 INNOVATIVE IDEA
#5 RACHAEL'S TEMPER

Here in the 21st running of the Turnback the Alarm, traditionally conducted near the end of daylight saving time, was held at Aqueduct 1995-2009 and in 2011 and was run at at Belmont in 2010, #2 LEWIS BAY takes a class drop (-4), is the pace profile leader, and has hit the board in four of her last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 4th race back. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Chad Brown send her to the post for the first of 3 stakes events on today's card ... they've hit the board with 59% of more than 225 entries saddled as a team to date. #6 ESKENFORMONEY is 4-1 in the morning line, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and has hit the board in three of her last four starts, winning in her 4th race back.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 12 - Post: 9:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$5000 - FILLIES & MARES CLAIMING $5000
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 5 CUTIE PALONE 2/1
# 6 STONE OF MAGIC 15/1
# 3 LOTSA JUICE 5/1

After thorough analysis by the brain trust, CUTIE PALONE comes out as the top selection. Might be there at a good price tag. Quite possibly one to keep in your exotics. The handicapping team gives this entrant a very nice chance to win this one, class figures are tops in the group. Is a sharp win contender given the 68 speed rating from her most recent race. STONE OF MAGIC - Has the perfect running style to beat this grouping, according to the pace figures. LOTSA JUICE - The trainer Sloan has a knack with this mare, regularly cashing in their races.
 
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Meadowlands: Saturday 10/29 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 8 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 14 - 27 / $68.40 (+$14.40)

BEST BETS: 1 - 2 / $2.40 (-1.60)

Best Bet: WALNER (6th)

Spot Play: ROARING TO GO (5th)


Race 1

(3) AIR STRIKE was racing very well at Hoosier and qualified here in good order. These Indiana-bred horses have proven they can make it on the east coast. (6) CHIP WALTHER has come around in recent weeks and rates as the horse to beat. (1) MAC’S JACKPOT has been in some tough spots in recent weeks but I wouldn’t discount his chances. (11) HYPOTHETICAL should save ground early from the second tier and get into the exotics.

Race 2

(2) STAY UP LATE comes off a game try where multi-millionaire Clear Vision proved too tough for him. This looks like a good spot to make amends for the defeat. (1) ITRUSTYOU picks up Gingras, who gunned this guy down the road at Tioga the last time he was in the bike. (6) DEMOCRACY N ships in from Yonkers in decent form; longshot player.

Race 3

(5) BOSTON RED ROCKS swung wide but really wasn’t going very far after chasing through a slow 56 2/5 opening half last time. I’m not sure this is an easy spot, but it is easier than last week and there seems to be plenty of early speed to set him up if driven conservatively. (4) IN THE ARSENAL has been hot and cold in recent starts; mixed feelings. (2) GHOST PINE finished close in a pretty quick mile last time and merits a look in here at a price.

Race 4

The 2-year-old filly trot really comes down to what you think of (4) ARIANA G. If you believe as I do that she is by far the fastest filly in the race, the potential for off-time odds around even money are very appealing. (10) PRINCESS AURORA is the one filly in the race which may have gotten me off #4. She came into her elimination on a roll and stormed home from an impossible spot after a very conservative drive. If there is any driver who can figure out a way to overcome post 10, it is new pilot Brian Sears. (3) CHEZATTER defeated the top pick off a perfect pocket trip last time; clearly dangerous. (1) THAT’S ALL MONI has never missed the board in 2016.

Race 5

(5) ROARING TO GO has impressed me over the last month with strong early speed and more importantly, a big finishing kick. I think she would have won by five lengths if the race was a sixteenth of a mile longer last Saturday. (9) IDYLLIC BEACH seems likely to drift well above the odds-on mark she has been going off week after week. Takter/Gingras filly raced against the bias and held well last time; very dangerous. (10) AGENT Q has never been worse than second in her career but could get lost in the wagering shuffle from post 10. (6) SOMEOMENSOMEWHERE is another who raced gamely against the off-the-pace bias; very playable.

Race 6

(2) WALNER jumps off the page against this otherwise evenly-matched group of rookie trotters. Unless he makes an unexpected mistake, there is no way he loses. (7) MOONSHINER HANOVER comes away from the gate well and that could make him the last of the early speed to get the front. He is clearly adept at chasing and the pocket behind Walner, who seems destined to make a quick backside brush to the front, is a good place to be. (1) GIVEITGASANDGO has plenty of form, a great record and an inside post to work with. (4) SORTIE looked good last time but needs to knock a couple of seconds off his lifetime mark to compete.

Race 7

(3) HUNTSVILLE & (2) DOWNBYTHESEASIDE are extremely fast freshman pacing colts that have separated themselves from the rest of this division. I’m going to give the slight edge to the former because he is simply more manageable and will allow driver Tim Tetrick more options than David Miller will have behind ‘Seaside’. (5) BOOGIE SHUFFLE has only missed the board twice in his career. He got stuck in a bad spot last week and closed willingly. (1) FILIBUSTER HANOVER has more ability than we have seen and could offer some value in the trifecta.

Race 8

On any given evening three or maybe four of these trotters can step up and take a photo. That said, for my money, (3) BAR HOPPING has the most dynamic turn of speed in the group. I’m looking for him to unleash a bold backstretch burst and hold on for the score. (2) MARION MARAUDER has won the Triple Crown and never throws in a dull effort; must use. (4) SUTTON has dangerous early speed but seems more one dimensional than the others. (9) SOUTHWIND FRANK was just OK last time and now is saddled with an outside post.

Race 9

With all due respect to the rest of these fillies, (5) BROADWAY DONNA has simply looked tremendous in recent weeks. With some outside speed signed on and two solid foes in posts 1 and 2, Miller should be able to bide his time and follow one of those foes for a sweet cover trip. (2) ALL THE TIME has done everything right since returning from surgery and displayed a quick stretch burst winning her elimination last out; one to fear. (8) FAD FINANCE challenged hard and held well in last week’s elimination and now adds Brian Sears. (1) CAPRICE HILL has missed the board once in 23 career starts. I respect her chances but will likely steer clear on the win end.

Race 10

(6) DARLINONTHEBEACH was used to the front, set the fastest half and three quarter times of the night and only lost by 1-1/4 lengths on a track that wasn’t overly kind to speed. I see no reason not to expect a strong effort at what could be 2-1. (3) PURE COUNTRY is racing as well now as she has all year. Jimmy Takter trainee will not go down without a fight. (4) NEWBORN SASSY has picked up her game in recent weeks but still rates as a bit slower than the top pair.

Race 11

(3) LYONS SNYDER responded nicely to the soft hands of Sears in last week’s elimination. In a field lacking a clear standout, I’ll take a stab here. (6) KATIES ROCKER got stuck in a bad spot a week ago and lost any chance. Gelding hinted at talent earlier in his career and doesn’t face an impossible task tonight. (1) WESTERN FAME is arguably the sharpest horse in the field but he’ll have to work very hard to go the distance. (5) RACING HILL wasn’t awful last time but clearly isn’t the horse he was earlier in the year; mixed feelings.

Race 12

(1) I’M SOME GRADUATE got nailed by the ground-saving (3) SPICEBOMB last week. I’m going to stick with him as he should be able to control the action if desired in this spot. The latter has a solid record in limited starts and remains a huge threat. (2) MISTY ON THE BEACH tired in the stretch after quick fractions a week ago; using underneath.

Race 13

(1) GURL BAND K comes in off a monster mile at Pocono and seems worth a shot. (4) NO CHASER wasn’t very good in the slop last time. She probably deserves a second chance. (10) V STRING & (9) CAVIART ALLY look good on paper but are saddled with outside posts. If either gets a decent trip they will be big players.
 
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Meadowlands: Saturday 10/29 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 8 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 14 - 27 / $68.40 (+$14.40)

BEST BETS: 1 - 2 / $2.40 (-1.60)

Best Bet: WALNER (6th)

Spot Play: ROARING TO GO (5th)


Race 1

(3) AIR STRIKE was racing very well at Hoosier and qualified here in good order. These Indiana-bred horses have proven they can make it on the east coast. (6) CHIP WALTHER has come around in recent weeks and rates as the horse to beat. (1) MAC’S JACKPOT has been in some tough spots in recent weeks but I wouldn’t discount his chances. (11) HYPOTHETICAL should save ground early from the second tier and get into the exotics.

Race 2

(2) STAY UP LATE comes off a game try where multi-millionaire Clear Vision proved too tough for him. This looks like a good spot to make amends for the defeat. (1) ITRUSTYOU picks up Gingras, who gunned this guy down the road at Tioga the last time he was in the bike. (6) DEMOCRACY N ships in from Yonkers in decent form; longshot player.

Race 3

(5) BOSTON RED ROCKS swung wide but really wasn’t going very far after chasing through a slow 56 2/5 opening half last time. I’m not sure this is an easy spot, but it is easier than last week and there seems to be plenty of early speed to set him up if driven conservatively. (4) IN THE ARSENAL has been hot and cold in recent starts; mixed feelings. (2) GHOST PINE finished close in a pretty quick mile last time and merits a look in here at a price.

Race 4

The 2-year-old filly trot really comes down to what you think of (4) ARIANA G. If you believe as I do that she is by far the fastest filly in the race, the potential for off-time odds around even money are very appealing. (10) PRINCESS AURORA is the one filly in the race which may have gotten me off #4. She came into her elimination on a roll and stormed home from an impossible spot after a very conservative drive. If there is any driver who can figure out a way to overcome post 10, it is new pilot Brian Sears. (3) CHEZATTER defeated the top pick off a perfect pocket trip last time; clearly dangerous. (1) THAT’S ALL MONI has never missed the board in 2016.

Race 5

(5) ROARING TO GO has impressed me over the last month with strong early speed and more importantly, a big finishing kick. I think she would have won by five lengths if the race was a sixteenth of a mile longer last Saturday. (9) IDYLLIC BEACH seems likely to drift well above the odds-on mark she has been going off week after week. Takter/Gingras filly raced against the bias and held well last time; very dangerous. (10) AGENT Q has never been worse than second in her career but could get lost in the wagering shuffle from post 10. (6) SOMEOMENSOMEWHERE is another who raced gamely against the off-the-pace bias; very playable.

Race 6

(2) WALNER jumps off the page against this otherwise evenly-matched group of rookie trotters. Unless he makes an unexpected mistake, there is no way he loses. (7) MOONSHINER HANOVER comes away from the gate well and that could make him the last of the early speed to get the front. He is clearly adept at chasing and the pocket behind Walner, who seems destined to make a quick backside brush to the front, is a good place to be. (1) GIVEITGASANDGO has plenty of form, a great record and an inside post to work with. (4) SORTIE looked good last time but needs to knock a couple of seconds off his lifetime mark to compete.

Race 7

(3) HUNTSVILLE & (2) DOWNBYTHESEASIDE are extremely fast freshman pacing colts that have separated themselves from the rest of this division. I’m going to give the slight edge to the former because he is simply more manageable and will allow driver Tim Tetrick more options than David Miller will have behind ‘Seaside’. (5) BOOGIE SHUFFLE has only missed the board twice in his career. He got stuck in a bad spot last week and closed willingly. (1) FILIBUSTER HANOVER has more ability than we have seen and could offer some value in the trifecta.

Race 8

On any given evening three or maybe four of these trotters can step up and take a photo. That said, for my money, (3) BAR HOPPING has the most dynamic turn of speed in the group. I’m looking for him to unleash a bold backstretch burst and hold on for the score. (2) MARION MARAUDER has won the Triple Crown and never throws in a dull effort; must use. (4) SUTTON has dangerous early speed but seems more one dimensional than the others. (9) SOUTHWIND FRANK was just OK last time and now is saddled with an outside post.

Race 9

With all due respect to the rest of these fillies, (5) BROADWAY DONNA has simply looked tremendous in recent weeks. With some outside speed signed on and two solid foes in posts 1 and 2, Miller should be able to bide his time and follow one of those foes for a sweet cover trip. (2) ALL THE TIME has done everything right since returning from surgery and displayed a quick stretch burst winning her elimination last out; one to fear. (8) FAD FINANCE challenged hard and held well in last week’s elimination and now adds Brian Sears. (1) CAPRICE HILL has missed the board once in 23 career starts. I respect her chances but will likely steer clear on the win end.

Race 10

(6) DARLINONTHEBEACH was used to the front, set the fastest half and three quarter times of the night and only lost by 1-1/4 lengths on a track that wasn’t overly kind to speed. I see no reason not to expect a strong effort at what could be 2-1. (3) PURE COUNTRY is racing as well now as she has all year. Jimmy Takter trainee will not go down without a fight. (4) NEWBORN SASSY has picked up her game in recent weeks but still rates as a bit slower than the top pair.

Race 11

(3) LYONS SNYDER responded nicely to the soft hands of Sears in last week’s elimination. In a field lacking a clear standout, I’ll take a stab here. (6) KATIES ROCKER got stuck in a bad spot a week ago and lost any chance. Gelding hinted at talent earlier in his career and doesn’t face an impossible task tonight. (1) WESTERN FAME is arguably the sharpest horse in the field but he’ll have to work very hard to go the distance. (5) RACING HILL wasn’t awful last time but clearly isn’t the horse he was earlier in the year; mixed feelings.

Race 12

(1) I’M SOME GRADUATE got nailed by the ground-saving (3) SPICEBOMB last week. I’m going to stick with him as he should be able to control the action if desired in this spot. The latter has a solid record in limited starts and remains a huge threat. (2) MISTY ON THE BEACH tired in the stretch after quick fractions a week ago; using underneath.

Race 13

(1) GURL BAND K comes in off a monster mile at Pocono and seems worth a shot. (4) NO CHASER wasn’t very good in the slop last time. She probably deserves a second chance. (10) V STRING & (9) CAVIART ALLY look good on paper but are saddled with outside posts. If either gets a decent trip they will be big players.
 
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Yonkers: Saturday 10/29 Analysis
By Matt Rose

DRF

MEET STATS: 378 - 1100 / $2,070.00

BEST BETS: 50 - 90 / $164.90

Best Bet: IDEAL COWBOY (11th)

Spot Play: SANTANNA ONE (3rd)


Race 1

(3) GRIN FOR MONEY ships in sharp from Canada and joins the Milici barn; Bartlett's choice of three live ones in here. (1) SO BAD IM GOOD gets much-needed post relief and is a logical player. (5) ITSONLYROCKNROLL A was overmatched last week versus 40K claimers; gelding has ability but needs to find the right level.

Race 2

(7) WHAT I BELIEVE has to contend with the outside post but he's been razor-sharp. (6) P L HELLCAT did flash early speed then did little else on a night that the Milici horses weren't firing; he will be on the move early. (2) MAGIC MANNY qualified willingly.

Race 3

(4) SANTANNA ONE is reunited with Bartlett and finds a pretty soft spot here off a decent closing effort last out; lots to like. (1) DRUNKEN DESIRE A was second best in his last two at this level from inside posts. (5) SHADY CITY is capable but needs a good setup.

Race 4

(1) STARSKY'S DREAM N could not fire off cover last out but two back he jogged at this level in his debut for Milici. (3) MOONWRITER ships from Mohawk for the capable Andrew Harris barn and he looks like a good fit here. (2) TYLER was used too hard in the early stages last week; prior efforts were good.

Race 5

(1) SOHO JACKMAN A was a sharp winner four back at this level and he should be in line for a live trip from the best post. (4) SNAP TO IT A was going nowhere last week up in class and from the outside post but he was a winner two back from a similar post. (6) MACHS BEACH BOY has shown flashes of his former self recently; Dube drives tonight.

Race 6

(5) P H SUPERCAM appears to be the class of this contest and the veteran should find a way to get the job done. (3) BIG N BAD had no realistic chance in his last three; class and post relief helps. (1) SOMEWHERE FANCY bumps up to face tougher off a win and the Allard trainee has been sharp.

Race 7

(1) BLOOD BROTHER has been begging for an inside post and he finally gets it tonight; down the road. (3) BORDER CONTROL A has made his way up the class ladder for the Milici barn and he could be in line for a live trip. (8) ROCK N ROLL WORLD has been razor sharp winning his last two but he's assigned outside tonight in a race with plenty of early speed signed on.

Race 8

(5) BIT OF A LEGEND N was second best to Wiggle It Jiggleit last out in that 250K invite after chasing from the pocket; assuming he's put in play early he's got a huge chance versus these. (2) KEYSTONE VELOCITY was nailed in a tough beat last week after airing it out on the front end in his second start for the Allard barn. (7) TAKE IT BACK TERRY has been super in his last two with Lasix added but he will likely have too far to come tonight.

Race 9

(3) TENDTOWIN has had his moments and appears overdue; gelding draws well enough in a very shaky field. (2) KEYSTONE HONOR is usually live from inside posts. (1) SOMETIMES SAID could show more in his second start off the brief vacation.

Race 10

(5) MASTERSON raced pretty well to be second best to the front-running (1) DOJEA SOLO last week; perhaps he reaches tonight. The latter has been a solid speed commodity all season and he draws best here; one to catch. (4) SPORTSKEEPER has raced well in all recent starts off less-than-ideal trips.

Race 11

(5) IDEAL COWBOY returns from a sharp off-the-pace score at Philly and the Bamond trainee has always raced well here; Bartlett's choice. (4) ST LADS MOONWALK has raced well in his last three upstate. (6) MCERLEAN rallied for a small share last out and he's more than capable when in the mood.

Race 12

(1) WESTERN ROCKSTAR A was rebuffed by the sharp winner last out but he can rebound given the post relief. (5) TWIN B IMPRESSIVE has been just that taking his last two local efforts by open lengths. (3) SECOND WIND N has been close up in all recent.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Woodbine - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $42,800 Class Rating: 99

Rating:

#6 PATRIOTICANDPROUD (ML=3/1)
#5 ULTIMATE DESTINY (ML=5/2)


PATRIOTICANDPROUD - Husbands should have him moving solid on the turn. This horse didn't run well on the soft turf in his last start at Woodbine. You may want to discount that effort. ULTIMATE DESTINY - A winning percent like 50 is fantastic for any jockey/handler tandem. This gelding's last race was better than looked. He showed good speed, dropped back a bit but held even through to the finish. This horse picks up a lot of dough per start. Tops in this event. This gelding's last speed rating notched on Oct 22nd is in the top spot in last race speed ratings.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BORN IN A BREEZE (ML=4/1), #7 NIIGON'S GLORY (ML=6/1), #3 MOONSHINE MARTINI (ML=8/1),

BORN IN A BREEZE - Difficult to bet on at 4/1 odds after the two most recent efforts. This colt registered a speed figure in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event. NIIGON'S GLORY - I can't play this continual non-winner. Gets the job finished from time to time. This horse ran a most unsatisfactory speed fig last out. He shouldn't run better and will probably lose in today's race running that figure. MOONSHINE MARTINI - There may be a set back this time, after the good effort last out.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #6 PATRIOTICANDPROUD on top if we're getting at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip
 
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Mohawk: Saturday 10/29 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 3,4/3,4,5/3,4,6,7/2,6,7/3,6 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,6,7/3,6/2,6,7,8/4,8 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 4,5,7/4,7/3,4,6/4,5,9 = $54

MEET STATS: 446 - 1322 / $2325.70 BEST BETS: 70 - 121 / $218.40

SPOT PLAYS: 29 - 121 / $182.30

Best Bet: WHISKEY TAX (8th)

Spot Play: MACH CODE (3rd)


Race 1

(4) RENEGADE MAGIC is on a roll and she seems to be able to win from anywhere right now; call for a three-peat. (3) CLASSIC VENTURE should find these easier and he returns much quicker this time. Toss him on your Pick 5 ticket. (7) MARQUIS VOLO was a good 2nd to the choice last time and he should share racing from off the pace again here. (5) ZAGSTER is another that will be passing horses late here; for a share.

Race 2

(3) EVENIN OF PLEASURE had two strikes against him last week - racing near the lead and on the inside, both of which were impossible spots that night - and he can rebound here. (4) ELLIS PARK continues to race tough every week and he is a main player here again. (5) NICKLE BAG was too far back last time. Expect him to get into action earlier here. (1) ALEXAS JACKPOT predictably was picked off late last week on a night where leaders just couldn't win. He can hang around for a slice here.

Race 3

(6) MACH CODE had a tightener racing near the lead on a speed-killing track last week. He could do much better at a price here. (3) WINDSONG LIGHTNING made two moves to win and he is streaking right now; using. (7) ARSENIC should show speed here from a better post and he is in with an upset chance. (4) FLAHERTY comes off a lifetime-best score and he is another to consider in a race full of possibilities.

Race 4

(2) COOL ROCK was 2nd in a rapid qualifier to a horse that set some big splits and won when entered for a purse. He is worth a try here, possibly at a very good price. (6) ERLE DALE N fell victim to the closer bias last Saturday. He should rebound with a better effort here. (7) HALF A BILLION keeps coming close and he will get there one of these weeks. (1) AUDREYS DREAM should lay closer and pass some of these for a share here.

Race 5

(3) COUNTER STRIKE is as consistent as they come and he should be tough in here racing from close range. (6) VELOCITY DRIVEN gets some class relief here. He should be heard from late. (10) IDOLE DUHARAS had a decent return race but he races best near the lead. He could blast off the gate here, even from this post. (2) REEL figures to sit an inside trip and parlay that into a share here.

Race 6

(2) ITS HUW YOU KNOW should go better this week if the track is kinder to early speed types; call to upset. (8) YOURE MAJESTIC is sharp and has been racing effectively using various styles. Put her on your Pick 4 tickets. (7) GRANA PADANNO made a big move then stopped last week. He can do much better here if he can find some cover. (6) WANAKA can close for a smaller share here.

Race 7

(8) SOUTHWIND GEISHA could upset this group if put into action earlier in a race that screams 'upset' when you look at the past performance page. (4) MAPLELEA drops again and figures on paper, but, she keeps burning money. (3) GRACIES PARADE drops to a class where she fits better and she is another in with a decent chance here. (1) BAROCKEY has been racing great but it's hard to say how she will bounce back from the vet scratch-sick here.

Race 8

(7) WHISKEY TAX looks formidable again here in a somewhat watered down Preferred class. (4) ETRUSCAN HANOVER exploded late last week in an impressive performance, but it was aided by a bias that favored outside closers all night. He is sharp but I wouldn't take a short price here. (5) INTIMIDATE is more likely to take a slice than win here. (6) NAHAR didn't show much last week. A smaller share seems to be his ceiling here.

Race 9

(4) CRUISE PATROL may have been on his way to victory when he broke last week. He can make amends if he stays pacing here. (7) BEYOND DELIGHT - Metro Pace winner - shows up in a strange spot, taking on three and four-year-olds. He is obviously capable, but you have to wonder about intent here. (6) MAYFIELD DUKE had equipment issues last week when distanced. He figures here and should rebound with a better performance. (9) DREAMY FELLA will be passing horses in the back 1/2; toss him on your exotic wagers.

Race 10

(6) EASY LOVER HANOVER could get his preferred trip in the pocket again here and pounce late; come again. (3) WAZZUP WAZZUP drops in class and is sure to be a major factor here. (4) VEGAS ROCKS moves back up after an aggressive win but he figures here, too. (5) HEZA THRILL should be closing for a minor award this time.

Race 11

(5) REGAL SON was one of few horses to race near the front and stick around at the finish last Saturday. He could carve out a winning pocket trip if he leaves here. (9) SPORTSMANSHIP was full value for his win last time as all but the pocket sitter finished far back. He will have to be caught here. (4) WEATHERLEY made an early wide move on the turn and it paid off last week, but the bias also helped him. He's in with a shot here, but this assignment looks tougher. (2) ELECTRIC WESTERN showed some uncharacteristic early foot last week and hung around. He is sharp and can take a share here. (1) SINGLE WHITE SOCK should take advantage of his good post and grab a slice.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Saturday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Belmont Park (1st) Panama Papers, 4-1
(2nd) Canarsie Kid, 4-1


Charles Town (5th) George Jet, 3-1
(8th) Deer Dog, 3-1


Delta Downs (1st) Wild Bandit, 4-1
(4th) Hero's Divide, 7-2


Finger Lakes (3rd) Outrun Em All, 6-1
(6th) Lorimer Street, 4-1


Golden Gate Fields (1st) Belle de France, 7-2
(2nd) Flicker of Luck, 5-1


Gulfstream Park West (4th) Loving Valentina, 4-1
(8th) Express Jet, 6-1


Hawthorne (5th) Ice Climber, 8-1
(6th) Patricia's Image, 5-1


Indiana Grand (1st) Mizumi, 3-1
(6th) Gifted Justice, 7-2


Keeneland (2nd) Ore Pass, 7-2
(6th) Silent Drifter, 8-1


Laurel Park (1st) Silly Face, 9-2
(2nd) Cold Spice, 9-2


Mahoning Valley (1st) Speedy Mobile, 3-1
(2nd) Cut Rates, 6-1


Mountaineer (5th) Baltic Coast, 8-1
(9th) Fiery Dream, 8-1


Parx Racing (4th) Bennie Luke, 8-1
(7th) Diamond Play, 3-1


Penn National (3rd) Van Persie, 9-2
(6th) Haunted Vision, 4-1


Remington Park (7th) Doc Radke, 4-1
(8th) Code West, 3-1


Retama Park (4th) Lodi Street, 6-1
(7th) Expect Royalty, 7-2


Santa Anita (7th) Lyrical Passage, 5-1
(9th) Iron Curtain, 5-1


Turf Paradise (7th) Hawkeye Gold, 7-2
(8th) Keepin It Lucky, 8-1


Woodbine (3rd) Wind N Waves, 5-1
(4th) Harbour Grace, 4-1
 

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