Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 9:06 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$6500 - HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $8000 W/ALLOWANCES DAYTON RACEWAY J. SUTTON - LISTED 3-9
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 ROCK OF LUCK 15/1
# 8 HERLIN 3/1
# 5 ROSSRIDGE HANDSOME 5/2
ROCK OF LUCK will have you running to the cashier's window in this contest and is a really good value-based bet given the 15/1 line. He has been doing work strongly and the TrackMaster Speed Ratings are among the most respectable in the pack. Drawing the 4 slot at this track has lead to a better than expected win percentage. The handicapping group keenly points out that when Stiltner drives this horse, the odds of finishing top 3 go way up. HERLIN - With a 82 average class rating, this contender has one of the top class edges in the field of horses. Could most likely beat this race given the 78 TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in his most recent race. ROSSRIDGE HANDSOME - Really liked this gelding's last race. Ran a strong 79 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Major contender. Driver/conditioner are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this gelding breaking away from the grouping.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 9:06 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79 - Purse:$6500 - HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $8000 W/ALLOWANCES DAYTON RACEWAY J. SUTTON - LISTED 3-9
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 ROCK OF LUCK 15/1
# 8 HERLIN 3/1
# 5 ROSSRIDGE HANDSOME 5/2
ROCK OF LUCK will have you running to the cashier's window in this contest and is a really good value-based bet given the 15/1 line. He has been doing work strongly and the TrackMaster Speed Ratings are among the most respectable in the pack. Drawing the 4 slot at this track has lead to a better than expected win percentage. The handicapping group keenly points out that when Stiltner drives this horse, the odds of finishing top 3 go way up. HERLIN - With a 82 average class rating, this contender has one of the top class edges in the field of horses. Could most likely beat this race given the 78 TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in his most recent race. ROSSRIDGE HANDSOME - Really liked this gelding's last race. Ran a strong 79 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Major contender. Driver/conditioner are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this gelding breaking away from the grouping.
At the Gate - Friday
By Mike Dempsey
We are just a week away from the Breeders’ Cup, with four of the races slated for Friday and the remaining nine on Saturday.
If you must work next Friday start working on a plan now to call in sick. The $2 million Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) is not to be missed.
For the first time in Breeders’ Cup history, three champions will square off in the same race—Songbird, Beholder and Stellar Wind.
The undefeated Songbird will be taking on older for the first time in her career, which has started with 11 consecutive victories including last fall’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1).
She is the current favorite in early Distaff betting at -120. She has won her races by a combined 60 lengths and really has not been tested.
However, she has only earned a triple digit Beyer Speed Figure once in her career, the 101 earned in the Coaching Club American Oaks (G1) victory at Saratoga in July.
By comparison, Beholder has hit the triple digit mark nine times including her last four. Some say now at the age of six she may have lost a step, but I’m not buying it.
Beholder has lost three in a row, one to California Chrome and the other two she could not match strides late with Stellar Wind, last year’s champion three-year-old.
Stellar Wind is the second choice at +400 while Beholder is +500. Beholder has gone off at even money or less in 16 of her 25 career starts.
I am not tossing Curalina, Forever Unbridled and I’m a Chatterbox, all Grade 1 winners that are going to offer good value as the trio of champs are going to get all the attention.
I’m just glad I have a few more days to come up with the winner.
Current Betting Odds for the Breeders’ Cup Distaff:
Songbird -120
Stellar Wind +400
Beholder +500
I’m A Chatterbox +1400
Forever Unbridled +1800
Carina Mia +2000
Curalina +2500
Corona Del Inca +6000
Land Over Sea +6000
Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Md $62,500 (12:55 ET)
#6 Fast Eddie E 3-1
#4 Cause of the Royal 5-2
#3 Always a Suspect 4-1
#8 Magic Holiday 7-2
Analysis: Fast Eddie E makes his debut for the Clement barn that is 17% winners (with a +ROI) with first time starters. This colt is by Wildcat Heir out of a Sky Mesa mare that has dropped two foals to race, both dirt winners, top earner stakes winner April Gaze ($130,020).
Cause of the Royal drops in for a tag here for his third career start. The colt showed some early interest in his debut before tiring to finish eighth and was not a threat last out in a distant eighth place finish. he adds blinkers here while catching a softer group. He is out of a Royal Academy mare that has dropped two winners, top earner stakes winner Cowboy Cool ($107,390).
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 3,4,6,8
TRI: 4,6 / 3,4,6,8 / 3,4,5,6,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 8 Alw $50,000 (4:46 ET)
#1 Grey Stark 8-5
#2 Jet Majesty 6-1
#3 Joyful Hope 3-1
#6 Sympathy 5-1
Analysis: Grey Stark was the beaten favorite last out in her first try at this condition, stalking the early pace and making a mild late rally to finish fourth, beaten just a length. The third place finisher Daring Duchess came back to beat Alw-2 optional claimers in her next outing on here on Oct. 5 and then ran fifth in the Dowager (G3) at Keeneland. Our top pick passed her first allowance condition at nine furlongs and the cut back here from 1 1/2 miles should suit her. She was a $485,000 Keeneland purchase and has two sibs that are also grass winners.
Jet Majesty took the field gate to wire to win at this level last out at Laurel Park off a 2 1/2 month break. The third place finisher Moon Virginia came back to win at this level in her next start at Laurel Park on Oct. 8. There are a couple of foes in here that look quicker early but still worth tossing in the mix here if she goes off near her 6-1 morning line for the Tony D. barn.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,3,6
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,3,6 / 1,2,3,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R2: #2 Glare Ice 12-1
R4: #8 Exulting 10-1
R5: #12 Saratoga Smoke 8-1
R7: #9 Sir Bond 8-1
R9: #13 The Eagle is Gone 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
We are just a week away from the Breeders’ Cup, with four of the races slated for Friday and the remaining nine on Saturday.
If you must work next Friday start working on a plan now to call in sick. The $2 million Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) is not to be missed.
For the first time in Breeders’ Cup history, three champions will square off in the same race—Songbird, Beholder and Stellar Wind.
The undefeated Songbird will be taking on older for the first time in her career, which has started with 11 consecutive victories including last fall’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1).
She is the current favorite in early Distaff betting at -120. She has won her races by a combined 60 lengths and really has not been tested.
However, she has only earned a triple digit Beyer Speed Figure once in her career, the 101 earned in the Coaching Club American Oaks (G1) victory at Saratoga in July.
By comparison, Beholder has hit the triple digit mark nine times including her last four. Some say now at the age of six she may have lost a step, but I’m not buying it.
Beholder has lost three in a row, one to California Chrome and the other two she could not match strides late with Stellar Wind, last year’s champion three-year-old.
Stellar Wind is the second choice at +400 while Beholder is +500. Beholder has gone off at even money or less in 16 of her 25 career starts.
I am not tossing Curalina, Forever Unbridled and I’m a Chatterbox, all Grade 1 winners that are going to offer good value as the trio of champs are going to get all the attention.
I’m just glad I have a few more days to come up with the winner.
Current Betting Odds for the Breeders’ Cup Distaff:
Songbird -120
Stellar Wind +400
Beholder +500
I’m A Chatterbox +1400
Forever Unbridled +1800
Carina Mia +2000
Curalina +2500
Corona Del Inca +6000
Land Over Sea +6000
Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Md $62,500 (12:55 ET)
#6 Fast Eddie E 3-1
#4 Cause of the Royal 5-2
#3 Always a Suspect 4-1
#8 Magic Holiday 7-2
Analysis: Fast Eddie E makes his debut for the Clement barn that is 17% winners (with a +ROI) with first time starters. This colt is by Wildcat Heir out of a Sky Mesa mare that has dropped two foals to race, both dirt winners, top earner stakes winner April Gaze ($130,020).
Cause of the Royal drops in for a tag here for his third career start. The colt showed some early interest in his debut before tiring to finish eighth and was not a threat last out in a distant eighth place finish. he adds blinkers here while catching a softer group. He is out of a Royal Academy mare that has dropped two winners, top earner stakes winner Cowboy Cool ($107,390).
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 3,4,6,8
TRI: 4,6 / 3,4,6,8 / 3,4,5,6,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 8 Alw $50,000 (4:46 ET)
#1 Grey Stark 8-5
#2 Jet Majesty 6-1
#3 Joyful Hope 3-1
#6 Sympathy 5-1
Analysis: Grey Stark was the beaten favorite last out in her first try at this condition, stalking the early pace and making a mild late rally to finish fourth, beaten just a length. The third place finisher Daring Duchess came back to beat Alw-2 optional claimers in her next outing on here on Oct. 5 and then ran fifth in the Dowager (G3) at Keeneland. Our top pick passed her first allowance condition at nine furlongs and the cut back here from 1 1/2 miles should suit her. She was a $485,000 Keeneland purchase and has two sibs that are also grass winners.
Jet Majesty took the field gate to wire to win at this level last out at Laurel Park off a 2 1/2 month break. The third place finisher Moon Virginia came back to win at this level in her next start at Laurel Park on Oct. 8. There are a couple of foes in here that look quicker early but still worth tossing in the mix here if she goes off near her 6-1 morning line for the Tony D. barn.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,3,6
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,3,6 / 1,2,3,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R2: #2 Glare Ice 12-1
R4: #8 Exulting 10-1
R5: #12 Saratoga Smoke 8-1
R7: #9 Sir Bond 8-1
R9: #13 The Eagle is Gone 8-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Post: 7:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$5030 - FILLIES & MARES NON-WINNERS $2,500 LAST 5 STARTS
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 1 MADEMOISELLE PARIS 5/2
# 9 CLEAR WINNER 5/1
# 2 FLYING MOCHA 6/1
MADEMOISELLE PARIS sure does look ready to score. Take a look at this nice horse's avg speed stat of 79 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a competitive wager. Had one of the best TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the group in her last race. I'd recommend using in your bets. Chances are greatly enhanced for harness racers beginning from the 1 post at Saratoga Harness. CLEAR WINNER - Looks like a strong choice in this race and her better than average winning percentage says she has the ability to take the whole enchilada for this race. Analyzers love to play the driver of this mare - really good win percent recently. FLYING MOCHA - The 2 position is on fire here at Saratoga Harness. More wins than the expected average.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Post: 7:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$5030 - FILLIES & MARES NON-WINNERS $2,500 LAST 5 STARTS
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 1 MADEMOISELLE PARIS 5/2
# 9 CLEAR WINNER 5/1
# 2 FLYING MOCHA 6/1
MADEMOISELLE PARIS sure does look ready to score. Take a look at this nice horse's avg speed stat of 79 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a competitive wager. Had one of the best TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the group in her last race. I'd recommend using in your bets. Chances are greatly enhanced for harness racers beginning from the 1 post at Saratoga Harness. CLEAR WINNER - Looks like a strong choice in this race and her better than average winning percentage says she has the ability to take the whole enchilada for this race. Analyzers love to play the driver of this mare - really good win percent recently. FLYING MOCHA - The 2 position is on fire here at Saratoga Harness. More wins than the expected average.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6020 Class Rating: 70
FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 14 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 2 CONCIERTO ACUSTICO 2/1
# 3 EL CODIGO C 5/2
# 1 RAFAELILLO 3/1
My choice here is CONCIERTO ACUSTICO. Respectable choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint. Will probably come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved swiftly to the lead recently. Must be carefully examined in this competition if only for the decent speed figure posted in the last contest. EL CODIGO C - Is a strong contender based on numbers posted as of late under today's conditions. Has a solid shot here if you like back class. RAFAELILLO - Is hard not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been formidable - 63 avg - of late. Could beat this field given the 65 Equibase Speed Figure put up in his last outing.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6020 Class Rating: 70
FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 14 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 2 CONCIERTO ACUSTICO 2/1
# 3 EL CODIGO C 5/2
# 1 RAFAELILLO 3/1
My choice here is CONCIERTO ACUSTICO. Respectable choice to take this race going in a dirt sprint. Will probably come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved swiftly to the lead recently. Must be carefully examined in this competition if only for the decent speed figure posted in the last contest. EL CODIGO C - Is a strong contender based on numbers posted as of late under today's conditions. Has a solid shot here if you like back class. RAFAELILLO - Is hard not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been formidable - 63 avg - of late. Could beat this field given the 65 Equibase Speed Figure put up in his last outing.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park West
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 78
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 2 VENOM GIRL 3/1
# 1 KICKN IN 2/1
# 6 JILL'S COMPRISE 4/1
VENOM GIRL looks to be a competitive contender. Must be given consideration as she drops to compete against this less demanding group. Will most likely come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the lead recently. KICKN IN - Is hard not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been solid - 71 avg - of late. Levy has her trained solidly to break quickly out of the gate. JILL'S COMPRISE - Ran a very solid last race. Looks respectable for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races as of late.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 78
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 2 VENOM GIRL 3/1
# 1 KICKN IN 2/1
# 6 JILL'S COMPRISE 4/1
VENOM GIRL looks to be a competitive contender. Must be given consideration as she drops to compete against this less demanding group. Will most likely come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the lead recently. KICKN IN - Is hard not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been solid - 71 avg - of late. Levy has her trained solidly to break quickly out of the gate. JILL'S COMPRISE - Ran a very solid last race. Looks respectable for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races as of late.
Mohawk: Friday 10/28 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 4,5/6,7,8/3,5,6/7,8,9/6 = $10.80
EARLY PICK 4: 7,8,9/6/2,3,8/1,3,4,8 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 3,4/1,4/3,4,9,10/1,3,7 = $48
MEET STATS: 446 - 1322 / $2325.70 BEST BETS: 70 - 121 / $218.40
SPOT PLAYS: 29 - 121 / $182.30
Best Bet: KILLEAN FINALE (5th)
Spot Play: RAMAS LAST SON (10th)
Race 1
(5) LEAVING A LEGACY almost took her third straight win last week and she was claimed by the leading trainer. She should be tough in here and she could get claimed again. (4) REGAL ROXY fired a career-best effort off the claim last week. Although it's hard to predict if she can replicate that effort, she is a Pick 5 must-use. (6) CHARMING HILL faces easier and moves inside; consider for exotic wagers. (8) TOTAL KNOCKOUT should be along for another minor share here.
Race 2
(8) MISTY DE VIE has found the right formula to maximize her late kick by getting within striking range by the 3/4 pole. She could take another here and she might be an overlay again. (7) HOT SPOT HANOVER races best for Macdonald and he sticks here; using. (6) JUMP JIVE AND JAM was part of a collapsing late pace last time. She can rebound with a better trip here. (3) THATGIRLISONFIRE can sit a trip and take a slice here.
Race 3
(5) DOTTIE takes a big drop in class here and she should get put into the race early; top call. (6) BATOUTAHILL continues to race tough and she has shown that she can take plenty of air and keep advancing; using. (3) SMASH HIT will be passing horses late as is typical with her. She could swoop them all if there is some battling in front of her. (9) MIAMI MAGIC can hit one of the bottom exotic rungs at a price.
Race 4
(7) SHOW SOME LEG had a tightener now drops to the lowest conditioned level here. She should get a more aggressive steer; slight nod. (9) LADY JEN is racing well and this class isn't much tougher; toss her on your Pick 4 tickets. (8) WHISTYS PARADISE had a very good qualifier on October 20th and she is dangerous here coming off a break. (2) WILDCAT MAGIC drops to a class where she almost always shares.
Race 5
(6) KILLEAN FINALE lacked room while full of pace in the lane last week despite having missed a week. She may get overbet off that trip, but, she is a top contender here. (3) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU tracked some swift splits last time and tired late in a race where closers took all the top spots. She has a decent chance of controlling much of this race. (8) BLUEBERRY HILL finished ahead of the choice after vaulting off her cover but she was caught late. She probably won't be held off much longer. (1) STYLISH BEACHWHERE was the beneficiary of a slowing late pace last week. She likely takes a smaller share this time.
Race 6
(2) HUBBY NUMBER ONE went a huge trip on the rim last time and almost lasted in a rapid mile. A repeat of that effort combined with a slightly better trip gets it done here. (8) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL looks as good as any at this level and Jamieson should put her into play early; using. (3) MAXIMUSCLE can contend here if he can overcome his breaking problems - which seems to be a big 'if'. (5) CLASS ME NICE is always a good one to use on the bottom of vertical wagers.
Race 7
(3) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE moves inside, drops slightly and likely pops here. (8) D GS PESQUERO couldn't collar a stubborn leader last week, but she fits well here and should be heard from again. (1) REGALLY READY steps up off a gutsy win; don't discount. (4) DONTBRUISECARRIE can take a smaller slice again off a following trip.
Race 8
(3) WORLDCLASS HANOVER just failed to make the Breeders Crown final. These are much easier; top call. (4) GEORGIES POCKETS trotted a big mile, closing off excess cover despite missing 24 days. He should be a big threat here. (2) HONOR ABOVE ALL rarely trots a bad mile. He will be passing several late again here. (6) MANOFMANYIMAGES comes off a sharp win and he is another to consider here in a contentious field.
Race 9
(4) WRANGLER MAGIC showed some grit last time winning in this class; call to repeat. (1) SANDBETWEENURTOES is obviously one of the best mares in here, but it's hard to gauge how missing four weeks since her Ellamony win will affect her. (8) BAD AS LEADER almost knocked off the top sophomore pacing filly in the country last time. She couldn't be sharper; consider. (7) SAYITALL BB has raced well for Cullen since shipping in. She can share here again.
Race 10
(3) RAMAS LAST SON drops again and gets another good post. Perhaps Saftic sends him for good early position this time, which could make a big difference for him. (9) SHOOT THE THRILL makes his 3rd start for Auciello and he is another that may get sent harder early this time. (4) BAGS FOR ALL was game in victory last time and is another to toss on Pick 4 tickets. (10) LEXUS ROCKY can be dangerous here if he doesn't get hung out a long way from this post.
Race 11
(3) LAY LADY LAY fell victim to a serious speed-killing bias last Saturday. She should be a solid play here on a fair track. (7) DELIGHTFUL HILL was near the front early in the same race. These two could make a nice exacta box here. (1) SELLING THE DREAM is one of the sharpest racehorses on the grounds; don't discount. (2) LYONS RIVER PRIDE beat much easier in her last start. A minor share seems likely here. (6) POP GOES THEWEASEL looks well prepped for her return and she could better this placing.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 4,5/6,7,8/3,5,6/7,8,9/6 = $10.80
EARLY PICK 4: 7,8,9/6/2,3,8/1,3,4,8 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 3,4/1,4/3,4,9,10/1,3,7 = $48
MEET STATS: 446 - 1322 / $2325.70 BEST BETS: 70 - 121 / $218.40
SPOT PLAYS: 29 - 121 / $182.30
Best Bet: KILLEAN FINALE (5th)
Spot Play: RAMAS LAST SON (10th)
Race 1
(5) LEAVING A LEGACY almost took her third straight win last week and she was claimed by the leading trainer. She should be tough in here and she could get claimed again. (4) REGAL ROXY fired a career-best effort off the claim last week. Although it's hard to predict if she can replicate that effort, she is a Pick 5 must-use. (6) CHARMING HILL faces easier and moves inside; consider for exotic wagers. (8) TOTAL KNOCKOUT should be along for another minor share here.
Race 2
(8) MISTY DE VIE has found the right formula to maximize her late kick by getting within striking range by the 3/4 pole. She could take another here and she might be an overlay again. (7) HOT SPOT HANOVER races best for Macdonald and he sticks here; using. (6) JUMP JIVE AND JAM was part of a collapsing late pace last time. She can rebound with a better trip here. (3) THATGIRLISONFIRE can sit a trip and take a slice here.
Race 3
(5) DOTTIE takes a big drop in class here and she should get put into the race early; top call. (6) BATOUTAHILL continues to race tough and she has shown that she can take plenty of air and keep advancing; using. (3) SMASH HIT will be passing horses late as is typical with her. She could swoop them all if there is some battling in front of her. (9) MIAMI MAGIC can hit one of the bottom exotic rungs at a price.
Race 4
(7) SHOW SOME LEG had a tightener now drops to the lowest conditioned level here. She should get a more aggressive steer; slight nod. (9) LADY JEN is racing well and this class isn't much tougher; toss her on your Pick 4 tickets. (8) WHISTYS PARADISE had a very good qualifier on October 20th and she is dangerous here coming off a break. (2) WILDCAT MAGIC drops to a class where she almost always shares.
Race 5
(6) KILLEAN FINALE lacked room while full of pace in the lane last week despite having missed a week. She may get overbet off that trip, but, she is a top contender here. (3) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU tracked some swift splits last time and tired late in a race where closers took all the top spots. She has a decent chance of controlling much of this race. (8) BLUEBERRY HILL finished ahead of the choice after vaulting off her cover but she was caught late. She probably won't be held off much longer. (1) STYLISH BEACHWHERE was the beneficiary of a slowing late pace last week. She likely takes a smaller share this time.
Race 6
(2) HUBBY NUMBER ONE went a huge trip on the rim last time and almost lasted in a rapid mile. A repeat of that effort combined with a slightly better trip gets it done here. (8) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL looks as good as any at this level and Jamieson should put her into play early; using. (3) MAXIMUSCLE can contend here if he can overcome his breaking problems - which seems to be a big 'if'. (5) CLASS ME NICE is always a good one to use on the bottom of vertical wagers.
Race 7
(3) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE moves inside, drops slightly and likely pops here. (8) D GS PESQUERO couldn't collar a stubborn leader last week, but she fits well here and should be heard from again. (1) REGALLY READY steps up off a gutsy win; don't discount. (4) DONTBRUISECARRIE can take a smaller slice again off a following trip.
Race 8
(3) WORLDCLASS HANOVER just failed to make the Breeders Crown final. These are much easier; top call. (4) GEORGIES POCKETS trotted a big mile, closing off excess cover despite missing 24 days. He should be a big threat here. (2) HONOR ABOVE ALL rarely trots a bad mile. He will be passing several late again here. (6) MANOFMANYIMAGES comes off a sharp win and he is another to consider here in a contentious field.
Race 9
(4) WRANGLER MAGIC showed some grit last time winning in this class; call to repeat. (1) SANDBETWEENURTOES is obviously one of the best mares in here, but it's hard to gauge how missing four weeks since her Ellamony win will affect her. (8) BAD AS LEADER almost knocked off the top sophomore pacing filly in the country last time. She couldn't be sharper; consider. (7) SAYITALL BB has raced well for Cullen since shipping in. She can share here again.
Race 10
(3) RAMAS LAST SON drops again and gets another good post. Perhaps Saftic sends him for good early position this time, which could make a big difference for him. (9) SHOOT THE THRILL makes his 3rd start for Auciello and he is another that may get sent harder early this time. (4) BAGS FOR ALL was game in victory last time and is another to toss on Pick 4 tickets. (10) LEXUS ROCKY can be dangerous here if he doesn't get hung out a long way from this post.
Race 11
(3) LAY LADY LAY fell victim to a serious speed-killing bias last Saturday. She should be a solid play here on a fair track. (7) DELIGHTFUL HILL was near the front early in the same race. These two could make a nice exacta box here. (1) SELLING THE DREAM is one of the sharpest racehorses on the grounds; don't discount. (2) LYONS RIVER PRIDE beat much easier in her last start. A minor share seems likely here. (6) POP GOES THEWEASEL looks well prepped for her return and she could better this placing.
Meadowlands: Friday 10/28 Analysis
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 6 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 10 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 14 - 27 / $68.40 (+$14.40)
BEST BETS: 1 - 2 / $2.40 (-1.60)
Best Bet: VEGAS DREAM (2nd)
Spot Play: NEW JERSEY VIKING (3rd)
Race 1
(6) CAVIART WONDER has turned a corner in recent weeks and it is no surprise that a Noel Daley trainee is peaking in the Fall. I’ll take a shot with this speedy Muscle Massive filly in a race with plenty of contenders. (4) OVERDRAFT VOLO is ultra consistent but not a favorite of mine in the top spot. (2) CRANN TARA has won half of her career starts but gets tested for class to some extent this week. (3) ONDA SU is capable of stepping up if she behaves.
Race 2
(8) VEGAS DREAM flashed good speed in his debut for trainer Ron Burke but wound up locked in the three-hole with no room to stretch his legs in the stretch. He could provide a bit of value off of that line. (3) HEAVEN’S GAIT has won two straight and picks up Brian Sears this week; likely an underlay. (5) CHILLN MATISSE comes off a big mile in 1:53 1/5 at Harrah’s Philly.
Race 3
(7) NEW JERSEY VIKING closed well from a tough spot two starts back and wasn’t going anywhere with the trip in last week’s Breeders Crown elimination. I liked him with Svanstedt driving so I’m all-in with McCarthy in the bike. (1) INTERNATIONAL MONI comes off a nice win at the Red Mile and ranks as a clear player. (5) MOUNTAIN OF LOVE added hobbles last time and didn’t improve. This spot is easier, though. (3) SHAKE IT OFF LINDY seems to hit the ticket every week.
Race 4
(7) FOUR HOUR NAP seems to be rounding into form in the last couple of weeks and faces a blank field tonight. (1) ROYAL KNOCKOUT has dead aim and could not pass a week ago. This is another easy spot. (5) LET HER ROCK finds a field without a plethora of early zip and might be worth a stab as a potential leaver.
Race 5
(3) JJ SHARK got caught in brutal fractions while first-over last time and picked up a win in his prior start; narrow edge here. (6) BEST SAID has dangerous early speed and picks up a driver who likes to go down the road. (1) CITY PIE gets a nice driver change. Eight-year-old doesn’t win often but has wins here each of the last two years.
Race 6
(2) HANNELORE HANOVER & (5) BEE A MAGICIAN are tough to separate on paper. I’m giving the narrow edge to the former since her price could be a bit higher on the basis of the break last time. It seems clear that she hated the turns over the small oval and should rebound. Bee A Magician hasn’t lost this year and certainly looked good in her comeback race at Yonkers. (1) CHARMED LIFE is capable of saving ground along the cones and getting into the tri or super.
Race 7
(4) ALWAYS B MIKI showed no signs of fatigue last week after his world record 1:46 win at the Red Mile. Unless he drops down below 4-5 in the wagering, I can’t pick against the fastest horse in the race from a perfect post. (7) WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT couldn’t have won the Yonkers Invitational last time any easier. You have to expect Montrell Teague will be gunning him to the front and a win would be no surprise. (1) SPLIT THE HOUSE raced okay from off the pace last Friday. This guy has some serious speed in his arsenal and I’d expect him to be tighter on Friday. (2) SHAMBALLA has bested the top two here in the past; not impossible.
Race 8
This race is (2) LADY SHADOW’s to lose. If she brings anything close to her best game, the rest of these mares have no shot. If she comes up empty (which has happened), the race turns into a crapshoot. (3) KATIE SAID looked to be on the verge of a big year at the start of the stakes season, but never quite got in gear through the summer months. I’m willing to roll the dice on her one more time on the switch to Tim Tetrick in the bike. (4) FROST DAMAGE BLUES will garner plenty of attention after charging home in 25 2/5 last time. She’s a nice filly that will offer poor value. (7) SASSA HANOVER has been better in recent starts; using at least underneath.
Race 9
(2) RESOLVE jumps off the page as much the best in this field. He hasn’t thrown in a bad race all year and seems to be in a very soft spot. (6) CENTURION ATM falls into the same category as Katie Said, an underachiever who has shown flashes of speed at points and is picking up a new driver (Tetrick). (7) FLANAGAN MEMORY is the clear and obvious second choice. He’ll likely finish second but I’m not thrilled with the probable $6 exacta price. (8) CRAZY WOW put in his best race in some time at the Red Mile and qualified in good order last week. I wouldn’t be shocked if he won.
Race 10
(5) MARKET SHARE has been closing nicely at Philly, which isn’t the ideal trip over that five-eighths surface. Former Hambo champ seems to be finding himself and should be able to handle this group. (8) CROSBYS CLAM BAKE was in fine form before getting sick. He knows how to win here. (1) WAITING ON A WOMAN has proven himself here in the past and hails from a barn that knows how to get them ready.
Race 11
(8) DUPREE couldn’t get his act together for trainer Ake Svanstedt and was just moved to the Marcus Melander barn. His qualifier was okay while chasing Crown starter Crazy Wow and you have to like that the connections reach out to Tetrick to drive. (1) LABATT HANOVER was never put in play last time; worth a second chance. (2) JIMMY WILLIAM hasn’t panned out but really doesn’t face much tonight.
Race 12
(4) DETROIT RAPPER was having trouble getting out of his own way in qualifying action but came up with a credible mile at Vernon last time. Five-year-old has proven himself time and again here and gets the narrow call in a close-knit affair. (1) BATTLE MAGE comes off two efforts at Yonkers from bad posts and might be capable of surprising. (9) KEYSTONE THOMAS has the early zip to gun to the front and may not look back. (6) HILL I AM could have been a bit sharper in his qualifier. If he improves a win is possible.
Race 13
(3) MAJOR BUBBLES N came up with a strong mile from an outside post the last time Brett Miller was in the bike. Gelding hasn’t been winning often, but this isn’t exactly a field of winners. (1) VILLAGE BEAT comes in with decent form and hails from a barn that knows how to classify horses. (2) RELENTLESS DREAMER finds one of those spots tonight where he can do some damage with his late rally. (4) JK PATRIOT can’t be as bad as his most recent outing.
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 6 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 10 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 14 - 27 / $68.40 (+$14.40)
BEST BETS: 1 - 2 / $2.40 (-1.60)
Best Bet: VEGAS DREAM (2nd)
Spot Play: NEW JERSEY VIKING (3rd)
Race 1
(6) CAVIART WONDER has turned a corner in recent weeks and it is no surprise that a Noel Daley trainee is peaking in the Fall. I’ll take a shot with this speedy Muscle Massive filly in a race with plenty of contenders. (4) OVERDRAFT VOLO is ultra consistent but not a favorite of mine in the top spot. (2) CRANN TARA has won half of her career starts but gets tested for class to some extent this week. (3) ONDA SU is capable of stepping up if she behaves.
Race 2
(8) VEGAS DREAM flashed good speed in his debut for trainer Ron Burke but wound up locked in the three-hole with no room to stretch his legs in the stretch. He could provide a bit of value off of that line. (3) HEAVEN’S GAIT has won two straight and picks up Brian Sears this week; likely an underlay. (5) CHILLN MATISSE comes off a big mile in 1:53 1/5 at Harrah’s Philly.
Race 3
(7) NEW JERSEY VIKING closed well from a tough spot two starts back and wasn’t going anywhere with the trip in last week’s Breeders Crown elimination. I liked him with Svanstedt driving so I’m all-in with McCarthy in the bike. (1) INTERNATIONAL MONI comes off a nice win at the Red Mile and ranks as a clear player. (5) MOUNTAIN OF LOVE added hobbles last time and didn’t improve. This spot is easier, though. (3) SHAKE IT OFF LINDY seems to hit the ticket every week.
Race 4
(7) FOUR HOUR NAP seems to be rounding into form in the last couple of weeks and faces a blank field tonight. (1) ROYAL KNOCKOUT has dead aim and could not pass a week ago. This is another easy spot. (5) LET HER ROCK finds a field without a plethora of early zip and might be worth a stab as a potential leaver.
Race 5
(3) JJ SHARK got caught in brutal fractions while first-over last time and picked up a win in his prior start; narrow edge here. (6) BEST SAID has dangerous early speed and picks up a driver who likes to go down the road. (1) CITY PIE gets a nice driver change. Eight-year-old doesn’t win often but has wins here each of the last two years.
Race 6
(2) HANNELORE HANOVER & (5) BEE A MAGICIAN are tough to separate on paper. I’m giving the narrow edge to the former since her price could be a bit higher on the basis of the break last time. It seems clear that she hated the turns over the small oval and should rebound. Bee A Magician hasn’t lost this year and certainly looked good in her comeback race at Yonkers. (1) CHARMED LIFE is capable of saving ground along the cones and getting into the tri or super.
Race 7
(4) ALWAYS B MIKI showed no signs of fatigue last week after his world record 1:46 win at the Red Mile. Unless he drops down below 4-5 in the wagering, I can’t pick against the fastest horse in the race from a perfect post. (7) WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT couldn’t have won the Yonkers Invitational last time any easier. You have to expect Montrell Teague will be gunning him to the front and a win would be no surprise. (1) SPLIT THE HOUSE raced okay from off the pace last Friday. This guy has some serious speed in his arsenal and I’d expect him to be tighter on Friday. (2) SHAMBALLA has bested the top two here in the past; not impossible.
Race 8
This race is (2) LADY SHADOW’s to lose. If she brings anything close to her best game, the rest of these mares have no shot. If she comes up empty (which has happened), the race turns into a crapshoot. (3) KATIE SAID looked to be on the verge of a big year at the start of the stakes season, but never quite got in gear through the summer months. I’m willing to roll the dice on her one more time on the switch to Tim Tetrick in the bike. (4) FROST DAMAGE BLUES will garner plenty of attention after charging home in 25 2/5 last time. She’s a nice filly that will offer poor value. (7) SASSA HANOVER has been better in recent starts; using at least underneath.
Race 9
(2) RESOLVE jumps off the page as much the best in this field. He hasn’t thrown in a bad race all year and seems to be in a very soft spot. (6) CENTURION ATM falls into the same category as Katie Said, an underachiever who has shown flashes of speed at points and is picking up a new driver (Tetrick). (7) FLANAGAN MEMORY is the clear and obvious second choice. He’ll likely finish second but I’m not thrilled with the probable $6 exacta price. (8) CRAZY WOW put in his best race in some time at the Red Mile and qualified in good order last week. I wouldn’t be shocked if he won.
Race 10
(5) MARKET SHARE has been closing nicely at Philly, which isn’t the ideal trip over that five-eighths surface. Former Hambo champ seems to be finding himself and should be able to handle this group. (8) CROSBYS CLAM BAKE was in fine form before getting sick. He knows how to win here. (1) WAITING ON A WOMAN has proven himself here in the past and hails from a barn that knows how to get them ready.
Race 11
(8) DUPREE couldn’t get his act together for trainer Ake Svanstedt and was just moved to the Marcus Melander barn. His qualifier was okay while chasing Crown starter Crazy Wow and you have to like that the connections reach out to Tetrick to drive. (1) LABATT HANOVER was never put in play last time; worth a second chance. (2) JIMMY WILLIAM hasn’t panned out but really doesn’t face much tonight.
Race 12
(4) DETROIT RAPPER was having trouble getting out of his own way in qualifying action but came up with a credible mile at Vernon last time. Five-year-old has proven himself time and again here and gets the narrow call in a close-knit affair. (1) BATTLE MAGE comes off two efforts at Yonkers from bad posts and might be capable of surprising. (9) KEYSTONE THOMAS has the early zip to gun to the front and may not look back. (6) HILL I AM could have been a bit sharper in his qualifier. If he improves a win is possible.
Race 13
(3) MAJOR BUBBLES N came up with a strong mile from an outside post the last time Brett Miller was in the bike. Gelding hasn’t been winning often, but this isn’t exactly a field of winners. (1) VILLAGE BEAT comes in with decent form and hails from a barn that knows how to classify horses. (2) RELENTLESS DREAMER finds one of those spots tonight where he can do some damage with his late rally. (4) JK PATRIOT can’t be as bad as his most recent outing.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Charles Town - Race #4 - Post: 8:21pm - Allowance - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,500 Class Rating: 84
Rating:
#3 THIS IS ME NOW (ML=6/1)
#6 NEW WINDSOR (ML=3/1)
#4 INDY BOY (ML=5/1)
THIS IS ME NOW - I figure Pickett is making a good move here. This gelding can only benefit from the shorter trip. Sophisticated analyzers will tell you that this mount has strong speed. This magnificent animal is at the top of my list of strong contenders. His speed, along with a favorable post on this bullring, should take him far in this one. NEW WINDSOR - This gelding is put right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. He has the highest earnings per race entered. Check out this thoroughbred. INDY BOY - Rode this entrant on December 3rd and Montano is yet again in the irons today. Based on this gelding's recent efforts, he should benefit from this race's shorter trip. This pace horse could take the lead quickly. My guess is he'll take a shot at getting the early lead and taking it home.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 LINDY'S PAL (ML=7/2), #1A ALLEN'S CASTLE (ML=7/2), #5 TECHNICALLYSPEAKIN (ML=4/1),
LINDY'S PAL - A strong thoroughbred that's been running well, but he's been off the track in the mornings of late. ALLEN'S CASTLE - Ran well to finish second on October 8th, but hasn't had even a morning drill since then. TECHNICALLYSPEAKIN - Trying to beat this participant today at the price of 4/1.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #3 THIS IS ME NOW on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,4,6] with [3,4,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
Charles Town - Race #4 - Post: 8:21pm - Allowance - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,500 Class Rating: 84
Rating:
#3 THIS IS ME NOW (ML=6/1)
#6 NEW WINDSOR (ML=3/1)
#4 INDY BOY (ML=5/1)
THIS IS ME NOW - I figure Pickett is making a good move here. This gelding can only benefit from the shorter trip. Sophisticated analyzers will tell you that this mount has strong speed. This magnificent animal is at the top of my list of strong contenders. His speed, along with a favorable post on this bullring, should take him far in this one. NEW WINDSOR - This gelding is put right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. He has the highest earnings per race entered. Check out this thoroughbred. INDY BOY - Rode this entrant on December 3rd and Montano is yet again in the irons today. Based on this gelding's recent efforts, he should benefit from this race's shorter trip. This pace horse could take the lead quickly. My guess is he'll take a shot at getting the early lead and taking it home.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 LINDY'S PAL (ML=7/2), #1A ALLEN'S CASTLE (ML=7/2), #5 TECHNICALLYSPEAKIN (ML=4/1),
LINDY'S PAL - A strong thoroughbred that's been running well, but he's been off the track in the mornings of late. ALLEN'S CASTLE - Ran well to finish second on October 8th, but hasn't had even a morning drill since then. TECHNICALLYSPEAKIN - Trying to beat this participant today at the price of 4/1.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #3 THIS IS ME NOW on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,4,6] with [3,4,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] with [1,3,4,5,6] Total Cost: $36
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
Yonkers: Friday 10/28 Analysis
By Brewster Smith
DRF
MEET STATS: 269 - 1135 / $1,756.00
BEST BETS: 31 - 106 / $148.40
Best Bet: WRAPPED TO GO (2nd)
Spot Play: AMERICAN ROCK (6th)
Race 1
(3) DELICIOUSLYNAUGHTY is sharp at this level and she should get a good trip; threat at her best. (5) NIPPY W HANOVER rallied quite well to nail down the show spot last time out. (2) SUMMER SNOW made a break coming home on the front-end last time out so maybe the drop in class can help her cause.
Race 2
(1) WRAPPED TO GO seems to be heading in the right direction and this pacing mare has every opportunity to move forward. (3) GOTTA BE ME was in the pocket most of the way and lost the victory by a nose; main danger. (2) FRESH SQUEEZED could grab a share of the purse.
Race 3
(3) I DO IT MYSELF flashed good speed against tougher last out so now she moves down the ladder; can boss these down the road. (2) DAUT FULL Philly invader can be a player in here. (5) RD IOU will be closing in the final strides.
Race 4
(2) LUCKY MAN Veteran is very consistent and leaves the 8-hole for a cozy post; ready to take these to task. (7) SOUTHWIND TERROR was on the engine but was nailed for win honors last time around. (5) GREYSTONE CASH did show some speed in his Philly finale and could be right in the mix.
Race 5
(4) NOBLES FINESSE Gelding tired in the stretch run last out but he fits well in this event and could turn things around with a well judged drive. (1) POWDER KEG has been on the board in his last five trips; big threat from the rail. (2) WILD AGAIN could make some serious noise if he reverts to his 10/14 start.
Race 6
(3) AMERICAN ROCK Canadian shipper went down the road in his last try at Mohawk for all the glory and the gelding proves he can handle the half-mile oval; gets the call to repeat. (1) ULTIMATE G has put in two sharp efforts in a row and appears to be the main danger. (4) WINTER BLAST came up the passing lane to grab the victory last time out upstate; not out of this.
Race 7
(1) BABY REMIND ME took the pocket route on her way to glory last week and this mare retains door number one; ready for the hat trick. (3) DELIGHTFUL DRAGON was sharp in victory last out at Philly; big threat. (6) CARIBBEAN ROSE N closed well to nail down the score in her Philly finale.
Race 8
Will give (7) TESSA SEELSTER a shot to put it all together. Pacing mare knows how to get the job done at this level and hey she has 9 scores this year. (8) MACH IT A PAR had a strong late rally last out to grab the victory in her recent outing; the one to fear. (5) KRISPY APPLE was very wide at the 3/4 pole and lost all chance last out; don't overlook.
Race 9
(7) DEUCES FOR CHARITY might have been used up in the early stages last time out but this mare is quite capable of greeting the cameraman for pictures just like she did two trips ago. (1) CINAMONY finally gets post relief and drops in class for team Brennan/Burke; big threat. (2) VILLAGE JESSICA was sharp on the front-end but was nailed for the score recently.
Race 10
(7) SECRETS OUT N was on the engine most of the way but did not have enough gas in the tank at odds on last out; that was her first start at this level and Bartlett has got a feel for this mare so maybe she will do much better tonight. (2) CAROLSIDEAL got the job done via the pocket trip last time out. (3) AL RAZA N raced evenly in her most recent outing.
Race 11
(1) GLENFERRIE BRONTE N was facing Open foes at Pocono last time out and this mare got the job done at this level two starts back; all systems go to return to the winner's circle. (2) TOTALLY RUSTY gets post relief and that should make this gal a true contender in here. (3) SNOW CONE A was in the pocket but could not get past the top two in her latest.
Race 12
(1) MOSQUITO BLUE CHIP gets class relief and draws the fence. Pacing miss can top these if given a favorable trip. (8) PURRFECT BAGS takes the plunge in class but most overcome door number eight; quite possible. (3) SELL A BIT N was sharp for the placing last time around and she could make some noise against these.
By Brewster Smith
DRF
MEET STATS: 269 - 1135 / $1,756.00
BEST BETS: 31 - 106 / $148.40
Best Bet: WRAPPED TO GO (2nd)
Spot Play: AMERICAN ROCK (6th)
Race 1
(3) DELICIOUSLYNAUGHTY is sharp at this level and she should get a good trip; threat at her best. (5) NIPPY W HANOVER rallied quite well to nail down the show spot last time out. (2) SUMMER SNOW made a break coming home on the front-end last time out so maybe the drop in class can help her cause.
Race 2
(1) WRAPPED TO GO seems to be heading in the right direction and this pacing mare has every opportunity to move forward. (3) GOTTA BE ME was in the pocket most of the way and lost the victory by a nose; main danger. (2) FRESH SQUEEZED could grab a share of the purse.
Race 3
(3) I DO IT MYSELF flashed good speed against tougher last out so now she moves down the ladder; can boss these down the road. (2) DAUT FULL Philly invader can be a player in here. (5) RD IOU will be closing in the final strides.
Race 4
(2) LUCKY MAN Veteran is very consistent and leaves the 8-hole for a cozy post; ready to take these to task. (7) SOUTHWIND TERROR was on the engine but was nailed for win honors last time around. (5) GREYSTONE CASH did show some speed in his Philly finale and could be right in the mix.
Race 5
(4) NOBLES FINESSE Gelding tired in the stretch run last out but he fits well in this event and could turn things around with a well judged drive. (1) POWDER KEG has been on the board in his last five trips; big threat from the rail. (2) WILD AGAIN could make some serious noise if he reverts to his 10/14 start.
Race 6
(3) AMERICAN ROCK Canadian shipper went down the road in his last try at Mohawk for all the glory and the gelding proves he can handle the half-mile oval; gets the call to repeat. (1) ULTIMATE G has put in two sharp efforts in a row and appears to be the main danger. (4) WINTER BLAST came up the passing lane to grab the victory last time out upstate; not out of this.
Race 7
(1) BABY REMIND ME took the pocket route on her way to glory last week and this mare retains door number one; ready for the hat trick. (3) DELIGHTFUL DRAGON was sharp in victory last out at Philly; big threat. (6) CARIBBEAN ROSE N closed well to nail down the score in her Philly finale.
Race 8
Will give (7) TESSA SEELSTER a shot to put it all together. Pacing mare knows how to get the job done at this level and hey she has 9 scores this year. (8) MACH IT A PAR had a strong late rally last out to grab the victory in her recent outing; the one to fear. (5) KRISPY APPLE was very wide at the 3/4 pole and lost all chance last out; don't overlook.
Race 9
(7) DEUCES FOR CHARITY might have been used up in the early stages last time out but this mare is quite capable of greeting the cameraman for pictures just like she did two trips ago. (1) CINAMONY finally gets post relief and drops in class for team Brennan/Burke; big threat. (2) VILLAGE JESSICA was sharp on the front-end but was nailed for the score recently.
Race 10
(7) SECRETS OUT N was on the engine most of the way but did not have enough gas in the tank at odds on last out; that was her first start at this level and Bartlett has got a feel for this mare so maybe she will do much better tonight. (2) CAROLSIDEAL got the job done via the pocket trip last time out. (3) AL RAZA N raced evenly in her most recent outing.
Race 11
(1) GLENFERRIE BRONTE N was facing Open foes at Pocono last time out and this mare got the job done at this level two starts back; all systems go to return to the winner's circle. (2) TOTALLY RUSTY gets post relief and that should make this gal a true contender in here. (3) SNOW CONE A was in the pocket but could not get past the top two in her latest.
Race 12
(1) MOSQUITO BLUE CHIP gets class relief and draws the fence. Pacing miss can top these if given a favorable trip. (8) PURRFECT BAGS takes the plunge in class but most overcome door number eight; quite possible. (3) SELL A BIT N was sharp for the placing last time around and she could make some noise against these.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Santa Anita - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 88
Rating:
#3 NAZARETH (ML=5/1)
#4 VEGAS BOUND (ML=6/1)
NAZARETH - Nehf has this mare signed up for the right event. VEGAS BOUND - I surely see good things for this mount right here.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MIDNIGHT CANDY (ML=6/5), #2 OLOTTA SHAKEN (ML=3/1), #1 TRINITYS TURN (ML=4/1),
MIDNIGHT CANDY - This questionable contender will most likely be pulling up the rear as this group crosses the wire. OLOTTA SHAKEN - Not likely that the fig she garnered on August 18th will be enough in this clash. TRINITYS TURN - You think this equine is going to finish first just because she's always close. Just doesn't win regularly.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 NAZARETH is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Santa Anita - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 88
Rating:
#3 NAZARETH (ML=5/1)
#4 VEGAS BOUND (ML=6/1)
NAZARETH - Nehf has this mare signed up for the right event. VEGAS BOUND - I surely see good things for this mount right here.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MIDNIGHT CANDY (ML=6/5), #2 OLOTTA SHAKEN (ML=3/1), #1 TRINITYS TURN (ML=4/1),
MIDNIGHT CANDY - This questionable contender will most likely be pulling up the rear as this group crosses the wire. OLOTTA SHAKEN - Not likely that the fig she garnered on August 18th will be enough in this clash. TRINITYS TURN - You think this equine is going to finish first just because she's always close. Just doesn't win regularly.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 NAZARETH is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SPOT PLAYS
For Friday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (7th) Monster Mash, 7-2
(9th) Beautiful Nite Sky, 3-1
Charles Town (1st) Lucky Eight, 5-1
(2nd) Unhinched, 5-1
Delta Downs (2nd) River Bobcat, 6-1
(9th) Sunny Oak, 6-1
Golden Gate Fields (6th) Over Achiever, 4-1
(8th) Silver Minx, 5-1
Gulfstream Park West (2nd) Feeling Awesome, 7-2
(4th) Indianaughty, 7-2
Hawthorne (8th) Romancin N Dancin, 5-1
(9th) Ask Simon, 9-2
Indiana Grand (3rd) Say Hey Kid, 3-1
(9th) Cash Bonus, 3-1
Keeneland (3rd) True Valor, 4-1
(4th) Purely a Dream, 3-1
Laurel Park (7th) Holiday Magician, 4-1
(10th) Sea Raven, 7-2
Mahoning Valley (1st) A Laugh an a Joke, 6-1
(3rd) Mount Eagle, 4-1
Penn National (3rd) Cruise Director, 6-1
(6th) Saint Bernadine, 3-1
Remington Park (1st) Kingsland Avenue, 8-1
(7th) Santorini Sky, 7-2
Retama Park (1st) Mepache Creek, 3-1
(5th) Sadler's Bern, 10-1
Santa Anita (6th) Cast and Blast, 6-1
(8th) Spooky Woods, 7-2
Woodbine (1st) Determined Dancer, 3-1
(4th) Supreme Commander, 6-1
For Friday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (7th) Monster Mash, 7-2
(9th) Beautiful Nite Sky, 3-1
Charles Town (1st) Lucky Eight, 5-1
(2nd) Unhinched, 5-1
Delta Downs (2nd) River Bobcat, 6-1
(9th) Sunny Oak, 6-1
Golden Gate Fields (6th) Over Achiever, 4-1
(8th) Silver Minx, 5-1
Gulfstream Park West (2nd) Feeling Awesome, 7-2
(4th) Indianaughty, 7-2
Hawthorne (8th) Romancin N Dancin, 5-1
(9th) Ask Simon, 9-2
Indiana Grand (3rd) Say Hey Kid, 3-1
(9th) Cash Bonus, 3-1
Keeneland (3rd) True Valor, 4-1
(4th) Purely a Dream, 3-1
Laurel Park (7th) Holiday Magician, 4-1
(10th) Sea Raven, 7-2
Mahoning Valley (1st) A Laugh an a Joke, 6-1
(3rd) Mount Eagle, 4-1
Penn National (3rd) Cruise Director, 6-1
(6th) Saint Bernadine, 3-1
Remington Park (1st) Kingsland Avenue, 8-1
(7th) Santorini Sky, 7-2
Retama Park (1st) Mepache Creek, 3-1
(5th) Sadler's Bern, 10-1
Santa Anita (6th) Cast and Blast, 6-1
(8th) Spooky Woods, 7-2
Woodbine (1st) Determined Dancer, 3-1
(4th) Supreme Commander, 6-1
Meadowlands: Friday 10/28 Analysis
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 6 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 10 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 14 - 27 / $68.40 (+$14.40)
BEST BETS: 1 - 2 / $2.40 (-1.60)
Best Bet: VEGAS DREAM (2nd)
Spot Play: NEW JERSEY VIKING (3rd)
Race 1
(6) CAVIART WONDER has turned a corner in recent weeks and it is no surprise that a Noel Daley trainee is peaking in the Fall. I’ll take a shot with this speedy Muscle Massive filly in a race with plenty of contenders. (4) OVERDRAFT VOLO is ultra consistent but not a favorite of mine in the top spot. (2) CRANN TARA has won half of her career starts but gets tested for class to some extent this week. (3) ONDA SU is capable of stepping up if she behaves.
Race 2
(8) VEGAS DREAM flashed good speed in his debut for trainer Ron Burke but wound up locked in the three-hole with no room to stretch his legs in the stretch. He could provide a bit of value off of that line. (3) HEAVEN’S GAIT has won two straight and picks up Brian Sears this week; likely an underlay. (5) CHILLN MATISSE comes off a big mile in 1:53 1/5 at Harrah’s Philly.
Race 3
(7) NEW JERSEY VIKING closed well from a tough spot two starts back and wasn’t going anywhere with the trip in last week’s Breeders Crown elimination. I liked him with Svanstedt driving so I’m all-in with McCarthy in the bike. (1) INTERNATIONAL MONI comes off a nice win at the Red Mile and ranks as a clear player. (5) MOUNTAIN OF LOVE added hobbles last time and didn’t improve. This spot is easier, though. (3) SHAKE IT OFF LINDY seems to hit the ticket every week.
Race 4
(7) FOUR HOUR NAP seems to be rounding into form in the last couple of weeks and faces a blank field tonight. (1) ROYAL KNOCKOUT has dead aim and could not pass a week ago. This is another easy spot. (5) LET HER ROCK finds a field without a plethora of early zip and might be worth a stab as a potential leaver.
Race 5
(3) JJ SHARK got caught in brutal fractions while first-over last time and picked up a win in his prior start; narrow edge here. (6) BEST SAID has dangerous early speed and picks up a driver who likes to go down the road. (1) CITY PIE gets a nice driver change. Eight-year-old doesn’t win often but has wins here each of the last two years.
Race 6
(2) HANNELORE HANOVER & (5) BEE A MAGICIAN are tough to separate on paper. I’m giving the narrow edge to the former since her price could be a bit higher on the basis of the break last time. It seems clear that she hated the turns over the small oval and should rebound. Bee A Magician hasn’t lost this year and certainly looked good in her comeback race at Yonkers. (1) CHARMED LIFE is capable of saving ground along the cones and getting into the tri or super.
Race 7
(4) ALWAYS B MIKI showed no signs of fatigue last week after his world record 1:46 win at the Red Mile. Unless he drops down below 4-5 in the wagering, I can’t pick against the fastest horse in the race from a perfect post. (7) WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT couldn’t have won the Yonkers Invitational last time any easier. You have to expect Montrell Teague will be gunning him to the front and a win would be no surprise. (1) SPLIT THE HOUSE raced okay from off the pace last Friday. This guy has some serious speed in his arsenal and I’d expect him to be tighter on Friday. (2) SHAMBALLA has bested the top two here in the past; not impossible.
Race 8
This race is (2) LADY SHADOW’s to lose. If she brings anything close to her best game, the rest of these mares have no shot. If she comes up empty (which has happened), the race turns into a crapshoot. (3) KATIE SAID looked to be on the verge of a big year at the start of the stakes season, but never quite got in gear through the summer months. I’m willing to roll the dice on her one more time on the switch to Tim Tetrick in the bike. (4) FROST DAMAGE BLUES will garner plenty of attention after charging home in 25 2/5 last time. She’s a nice filly that will offer poor value. (7) SASSA HANOVER has been better in recent starts; using at least underneath.
Race 9
(2) RESOLVE jumps off the page as much the best in this field. He hasn’t thrown in a bad race all year and seems to be in a very soft spot. (6) CENTURION ATM falls into the same category as Katie Said, an underachiever who has shown flashes of speed at points and is picking up a new driver (Tetrick). (7) FLANAGAN MEMORY is the clear and obvious second choice. He’ll likely finish second but I’m not thrilled with the probable $6 exacta price. (8) CRAZY WOW put in his best race in some time at the Red Mile and qualified in good order last week. I wouldn’t be shocked if he won.
Race 10
(5) MARKET SHARE has been closing nicely at Philly, which isn’t the ideal trip over that five-eighths surface. Former Hambo champ seems to be finding himself and should be able to handle this group. (8) CROSBYS CLAM BAKE was in fine form before getting sick. He knows how to win here. (1) WAITING ON A WOMAN has proven himself here in the past and hails from a barn that knows how to get them ready.
Race 11
(8) DUPREE couldn’t get his act together for trainer Ake Svanstedt and was just moved to the Marcus Melander barn. His qualifier was okay while chasing Crown starter Crazy Wow and you have to like that the connections reach out to Tetrick to drive. (1) LABATT HANOVER was never put in play last time; worth a second chance. (2) JIMMY WILLIAM hasn’t panned out but really doesn’t face much tonight.
Race 12
(4) DETROIT RAPPER was having trouble getting out of his own way in qualifying action but came up with a credible mile at Vernon last time. Five-year-old has proven himself time and again here and gets the narrow call in a close-knit affair. (1) BATTLE MAGE comes off two efforts at Yonkers from bad posts and might be capable of surprising. (9) KEYSTONE THOMAS has the early zip to gun to the front and may not look back. (6) HILL I AM could have been a bit sharper in his qualifier. If he improves a win is possible.
Race 13
(3) MAJOR BUBBLES N came up with a strong mile from an outside post the last time Brett Miller was in the bike. Gelding hasn’t been winning often, but this isn’t exactly a field of winners. (1) VILLAGE BEAT comes in with decent form and hails from a barn that knows how to classify horses. (2) RELENTLESS DREAMER finds one of those spots tonight where he can do some damage with his late rally. (4) JK PATRIOT can’t be as bad as his most recent outing.
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 6 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 10 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 14 - 27 / $68.40 (+$14.40)
BEST BETS: 1 - 2 / $2.40 (-1.60)
Best Bet: VEGAS DREAM (2nd)
Spot Play: NEW JERSEY VIKING (3rd)
Race 1
(6) CAVIART WONDER has turned a corner in recent weeks and it is no surprise that a Noel Daley trainee is peaking in the Fall. I’ll take a shot with this speedy Muscle Massive filly in a race with plenty of contenders. (4) OVERDRAFT VOLO is ultra consistent but not a favorite of mine in the top spot. (2) CRANN TARA has won half of her career starts but gets tested for class to some extent this week. (3) ONDA SU is capable of stepping up if she behaves.
Race 2
(8) VEGAS DREAM flashed good speed in his debut for trainer Ron Burke but wound up locked in the three-hole with no room to stretch his legs in the stretch. He could provide a bit of value off of that line. (3) HEAVEN’S GAIT has won two straight and picks up Brian Sears this week; likely an underlay. (5) CHILLN MATISSE comes off a big mile in 1:53 1/5 at Harrah’s Philly.
Race 3
(7) NEW JERSEY VIKING closed well from a tough spot two starts back and wasn’t going anywhere with the trip in last week’s Breeders Crown elimination. I liked him with Svanstedt driving so I’m all-in with McCarthy in the bike. (1) INTERNATIONAL MONI comes off a nice win at the Red Mile and ranks as a clear player. (5) MOUNTAIN OF LOVE added hobbles last time and didn’t improve. This spot is easier, though. (3) SHAKE IT OFF LINDY seems to hit the ticket every week.
Race 4
(7) FOUR HOUR NAP seems to be rounding into form in the last couple of weeks and faces a blank field tonight. (1) ROYAL KNOCKOUT has dead aim and could not pass a week ago. This is another easy spot. (5) LET HER ROCK finds a field without a plethora of early zip and might be worth a stab as a potential leaver.
Race 5
(3) JJ SHARK got caught in brutal fractions while first-over last time and picked up a win in his prior start; narrow edge here. (6) BEST SAID has dangerous early speed and picks up a driver who likes to go down the road. (1) CITY PIE gets a nice driver change. Eight-year-old doesn’t win often but has wins here each of the last two years.
Race 6
(2) HANNELORE HANOVER & (5) BEE A MAGICIAN are tough to separate on paper. I’m giving the narrow edge to the former since her price could be a bit higher on the basis of the break last time. It seems clear that she hated the turns over the small oval and should rebound. Bee A Magician hasn’t lost this year and certainly looked good in her comeback race at Yonkers. (1) CHARMED LIFE is capable of saving ground along the cones and getting into the tri or super.
Race 7
(4) ALWAYS B MIKI showed no signs of fatigue last week after his world record 1:46 win at the Red Mile. Unless he drops down below 4-5 in the wagering, I can’t pick against the fastest horse in the race from a perfect post. (7) WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT couldn’t have won the Yonkers Invitational last time any easier. You have to expect Montrell Teague will be gunning him to the front and a win would be no surprise. (1) SPLIT THE HOUSE raced okay from off the pace last Friday. This guy has some serious speed in his arsenal and I’d expect him to be tighter on Friday. (2) SHAMBALLA has bested the top two here in the past; not impossible.
Race 8
This race is (2) LADY SHADOW’s to lose. If she brings anything close to her best game, the rest of these mares have no shot. If she comes up empty (which has happened), the race turns into a crapshoot. (3) KATIE SAID looked to be on the verge of a big year at the start of the stakes season, but never quite got in gear through the summer months. I’m willing to roll the dice on her one more time on the switch to Tim Tetrick in the bike. (4) FROST DAMAGE BLUES will garner plenty of attention after charging home in 25 2/5 last time. She’s a nice filly that will offer poor value. (7) SASSA HANOVER has been better in recent starts; using at least underneath.
Race 9
(2) RESOLVE jumps off the page as much the best in this field. He hasn’t thrown in a bad race all year and seems to be in a very soft spot. (6) CENTURION ATM falls into the same category as Katie Said, an underachiever who has shown flashes of speed at points and is picking up a new driver (Tetrick). (7) FLANAGAN MEMORY is the clear and obvious second choice. He’ll likely finish second but I’m not thrilled with the probable $6 exacta price. (8) CRAZY WOW put in his best race in some time at the Red Mile and qualified in good order last week. I wouldn’t be shocked if he won.
Race 10
(5) MARKET SHARE has been closing nicely at Philly, which isn’t the ideal trip over that five-eighths surface. Former Hambo champ seems to be finding himself and should be able to handle this group. (8) CROSBYS CLAM BAKE was in fine form before getting sick. He knows how to win here. (1) WAITING ON A WOMAN has proven himself here in the past and hails from a barn that knows how to get them ready.
Race 11
(8) DUPREE couldn’t get his act together for trainer Ake Svanstedt and was just moved to the Marcus Melander barn. His qualifier was okay while chasing Crown starter Crazy Wow and you have to like that the connections reach out to Tetrick to drive. (1) LABATT HANOVER was never put in play last time; worth a second chance. (2) JIMMY WILLIAM hasn’t panned out but really doesn’t face much tonight.
Race 12
(4) DETROIT RAPPER was having trouble getting out of his own way in qualifying action but came up with a credible mile at Vernon last time. Five-year-old has proven himself time and again here and gets the narrow call in a close-knit affair. (1) BATTLE MAGE comes off two efforts at Yonkers from bad posts and might be capable of surprising. (9) KEYSTONE THOMAS has the early zip to gun to the front and may not look back. (6) HILL I AM could have been a bit sharper in his qualifier. If he improves a win is possible.
Race 13
(3) MAJOR BUBBLES N came up with a strong mile from an outside post the last time Brett Miller was in the bike. Gelding hasn’t been winning often, but this isn’t exactly a field of winners. (1) VILLAGE BEAT comes in with decent form and hails from a barn that knows how to classify horses. (2) RELENTLESS DREAMER finds one of those spots tonight where he can do some damage with his late rally. (4) JK PATRIOT can’t be as bad as his most recent outing.
