At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey
Pre-entries for the Breeders’ Cup were announced on Wednesday and 185 horses were listed, with the big news being that defending Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) winner Found was indeed entered in both the Turf and Classic, with the latter first preference.
That sure sounds as if trainer Aiden O’Brien is going to send the filly in to do battle against the boys on dirt. She has raced 20 times in her career, all on turf.
It certainly adds some intrigue to the $6 million race, and it is no secret that O’Brien covets a win in the Classic where his record stands at 0 for 14. His best finishes have come with Giant’s Causeway, who ran second in 2000 and Henrythenavigator, the runner up over the Pro Ride surface at Santa Anita in 2008.
O’Brien also cross-entered Highland Reel in the Classic, but he seems much more likely to go in the Turf. The colt ran second to his stablemate Found in the Arc in his last outing.
O’Brien pre-entered 13 horses in the Breeders’ Cup and in total there are 38 making the trip across the pond to compete at Santa Anita on Nov. 4-5.
There are nine returning champs that are competing this year along with two others that have previous triumphs in the Breeders’ Cup. The star-studded lineup includes Nyquist, Songbird, Beholder, Found, Catch a Glimpse, Mongolian Saturday, Lady Eli, Tepin, Hit it a Bomb, Runhappy and Wavell Avenue.
This year’s Distaff will mark the first time three Eclipse Award winners will face off against each other in a Breeders’ Cup race. The showdown between Songbird, Stellar Wind and Beholder figures to be one of the most anticipated races of this year’s championship.
Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Clm $14,000N3L (12:55 ET)
#2 Rock N Bunny 5-1
#3 Northern Screamer 4-5
#4 Rahy's Bandit 6-1
#5 Lil Renegade 4-1
Analysis: Rock N Bunny tracked the early pace and weakened in the stretch to finish fifth last out at Los Al under a seven-pound bug facing $25,000 starter allowance foes. The mare was making her first start off a 10-month layoff. She drops into an easier spot here and gets a jock upgrade for a crafty barn. If she is ready look for her price to drift down. She has a solid off track pedigree if the rains come early.
Northern Screamer was off poorly last out and raced evenly in a fourth place finish against $50,000 non-winners of three. The winner Annie Rocks came back to beat $50,000 starter allowance foes in her next outing on Oct. 13 here. She drops into an easier spot here for the hot RRod barn but can't get too excited about backing her at the 4-5 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 2,3 / 2,3,4
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 8 OClm $100,000C (4:46 ET)
#7 Eye Luv Lulu 4-1
#1 All Star Red 7-2
#3 Easy to Say 3-1
#2 Life in Shambles 5-1
Analysis: Eye Luv Lulu prompted the early pace and drew away in the stretch to beat Alw-2 optional claimers by 7 1/4 lengths over a sloppy track here. The gelding is now 7 for 10 on off tracks and may catch another one today. He was claimed out of his last outing by the Toscano barn that is 29% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim but has gone a bit colt since the Spa. He steps into a tougher spot here while picking up Gallardo.
All Star Red stalked the early pace and did not have any punch left late in a fifth place finish last out in the Challendon at Laurel Park in the slop. The colt as beaten just a nose two back against Alw-3 optional claimers at the Spa, He has a win and a second on off tracks and hard to knock anything the RRod barn has been sending out recently. He is better than he showed last out in Maryland.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,7 / 1,2,3,7
TRI: 1,7 / 1,2,3,7 / 1,2,3,7,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R4: #3 Only You 8-1
R5: #7 Sister Sophia 8-1
R6: #5 Nobody Move 12-1
R7: #6 Smokey Brown 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
Pre-entries for the Breeders’ Cup were announced on Wednesday and 185 horses were listed, with the big news being that defending Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) winner Found was indeed entered in both the Turf and Classic, with the latter first preference.
That sure sounds as if trainer Aiden O’Brien is going to send the filly in to do battle against the boys on dirt. She has raced 20 times in her career, all on turf.
It certainly adds some intrigue to the $6 million race, and it is no secret that O’Brien covets a win in the Classic where his record stands at 0 for 14. His best finishes have come with Giant’s Causeway, who ran second in 2000 and Henrythenavigator, the runner up over the Pro Ride surface at Santa Anita in 2008.
O’Brien also cross-entered Highland Reel in the Classic, but he seems much more likely to go in the Turf. The colt ran second to his stablemate Found in the Arc in his last outing.
O’Brien pre-entered 13 horses in the Breeders’ Cup and in total there are 38 making the trip across the pond to compete at Santa Anita on Nov. 4-5.
There are nine returning champs that are competing this year along with two others that have previous triumphs in the Breeders’ Cup. The star-studded lineup includes Nyquist, Songbird, Beholder, Found, Catch a Glimpse, Mongolian Saturday, Lady Eli, Tepin, Hit it a Bomb, Runhappy and Wavell Avenue.
This year’s Distaff will mark the first time three Eclipse Award winners will face off against each other in a Breeders’ Cup race. The showdown between Songbird, Stellar Wind and Beholder figures to be one of the most anticipated races of this year’s championship.
Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Clm $14,000N3L (12:55 ET)
#2 Rock N Bunny 5-1
#3 Northern Screamer 4-5
#4 Rahy's Bandit 6-1
#5 Lil Renegade 4-1
Analysis: Rock N Bunny tracked the early pace and weakened in the stretch to finish fifth last out at Los Al under a seven-pound bug facing $25,000 starter allowance foes. The mare was making her first start off a 10-month layoff. She drops into an easier spot here and gets a jock upgrade for a crafty barn. If she is ready look for her price to drift down. She has a solid off track pedigree if the rains come early.
Northern Screamer was off poorly last out and raced evenly in a fourth place finish against $50,000 non-winners of three. The winner Annie Rocks came back to beat $50,000 starter allowance foes in her next outing on Oct. 13 here. She drops into an easier spot here for the hot RRod barn but can't get too excited about backing her at the 4-5 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 2,3 / 2,3,4
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 8 OClm $100,000C (4:46 ET)
#7 Eye Luv Lulu 4-1
#1 All Star Red 7-2
#3 Easy to Say 3-1
#2 Life in Shambles 5-1
Analysis: Eye Luv Lulu prompted the early pace and drew away in the stretch to beat Alw-2 optional claimers by 7 1/4 lengths over a sloppy track here. The gelding is now 7 for 10 on off tracks and may catch another one today. He was claimed out of his last outing by the Toscano barn that is 29% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim but has gone a bit colt since the Spa. He steps into a tougher spot here while picking up Gallardo.
All Star Red stalked the early pace and did not have any punch left late in a fifth place finish last out in the Challendon at Laurel Park in the slop. The colt as beaten just a nose two back against Alw-3 optional claimers at the Spa, He has a win and a second on off tracks and hard to knock anything the RRod barn has been sending out recently. He is better than he showed last out in Maryland.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,7 / 1,2,3,7
TRI: 1,7 / 1,2,3,7 / 1,2,3,7,8
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R4: #3 Only You 8-1
R5: #7 Sister Sophia 8-1
R6: #5 Nobody Move 12-1
R7: #6 Smokey Brown 8-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Post: 3:46 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$3800 - ALL AGES W/O 2 BUT NOT MORE THAN 4 PM
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 R'LENE JETTA 4/1
# 1 TREE WOOD 5/2
# 2 EXCELLENT VACATION 3/1
R'LENE JETTA will not be denied the trip to the winner's circle here. Worth considering for this one if only for the good TrackMaster Speed Rating earned in the last contest. TREE WOOD - Her 74 average has this mare among the most solid speed ratings in this event. Could best this group of horses, just look at the speed rating - 72 - from her most recent affair. EXCELLENT VACATION - A formidable class horse should not be be overlooked. With an avg class number of 73 all signs point to yes. Many analyzers will recognize the fantastic speed rating in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this race.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Post: 3:46 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$3800 - ALL AGES W/O 2 BUT NOT MORE THAN 4 PM
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 R'LENE JETTA 4/1
# 1 TREE WOOD 5/2
# 2 EXCELLENT VACATION 3/1
R'LENE JETTA will not be denied the trip to the winner's circle here. Worth considering for this one if only for the good TrackMaster Speed Rating earned in the last contest. TREE WOOD - Her 74 average has this mare among the most solid speed ratings in this event. Could best this group of horses, just look at the speed rating - 72 - from her most recent affair. EXCELLENT VACATION - A formidable class horse should not be be overlooked. With an avg class number of 73 all signs point to yes. Many analyzers will recognize the fantastic speed rating in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this race.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 81
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 14 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 28 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 5 LA GRUNY 2/1
# 3 BLACK FIRE 4/1
# 4 INDY WARRIOR 3/1
LA GRUNY has a very strong shot to take this race. She has a good opportunity in this contest as trainer, Velez, has strong win clip with horses going this distance. Her earnings per start in dirt route events alone makes you take a look at her. Could beat this field given the 88 Equibase Speed Figure put up in her last outing. BLACK FIRE - Must be carefully examined based on the strong Equibase speed fig earned in the last contest. She has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most favorable in this group of horses in this race. INDY WARRIOR - She has been running well and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group of animals. With a decent 62 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this competition.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 81
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 14 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 28 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 5 LA GRUNY 2/1
# 3 BLACK FIRE 4/1
# 4 INDY WARRIOR 3/1
LA GRUNY has a very strong shot to take this race. She has a good opportunity in this contest as trainer, Velez, has strong win clip with horses going this distance. Her earnings per start in dirt route events alone makes you take a look at her. Could beat this field given the 88 Equibase Speed Figure put up in her last outing. BLACK FIRE - Must be carefully examined based on the strong Equibase speed fig earned in the last contest. She has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most favorable in this group of horses in this race. INDY WARRIOR - She has been running well and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the best in this group of animals. With a decent 62 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this competition.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Gulfstream Park West - Race #3 - Post: 2:17pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 72
Rating:
#7 CONTORMAR (ML=7/2)
CONTORMAR - I do like the fact this colt is back in a race so quickly. Have to give this colt a good chance. Ran a strong effort last time around the track within the last month or so. A repeat of that last effort on October 16th where he garnered a figure of 63 looks lofty enough to win in this contest.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SIR SEBASTIAN (ML=5/2), #4 OHIO (ML=4/1), #9 HERE COMES TROUBLE (ML=5/1),
SIR SEBASTIAN - Can't play this less than sharp equine in today's sprint of 7 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race recently. OHIO - This gelding hasn't had any on the board results in short distance races in the last two months. Improbable that the speed figure he garnered on September 3rd will hold up in this clash. HERE COMES TROUBLE - Most likely won't make much of an impact this time.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #7 CONTORMAR to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Gulfstream Park West - Race #3 - Post: 2:17pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 72
Rating:
#7 CONTORMAR (ML=7/2)
CONTORMAR - I do like the fact this colt is back in a race so quickly. Have to give this colt a good chance. Ran a strong effort last time around the track within the last month or so. A repeat of that last effort on October 16th where he garnered a figure of 63 looks lofty enough to win in this contest.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SIR SEBASTIAN (ML=5/2), #4 OHIO (ML=4/1), #9 HERE COMES TROUBLE (ML=5/1),
SIR SEBASTIAN - Can't play this less than sharp equine in today's sprint of 7 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race recently. OHIO - This gelding hasn't had any on the board results in short distance races in the last two months. Improbable that the speed figure he garnered on September 3rd will hold up in this clash. HERE COMES TROUBLE - Most likely won't make much of an impact this time.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #7 CONTORMAR to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Mohawk: Thursday 10/27 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 4/1,2,3,5/2,4/1,3,4,6,9,10/1,3,8 = $28.80
EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,4,6,9,10/1,3,8/1,2/8 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 7,8,9/4,8/8/4,5,9,10 = $24
MEET STATS: 446 - 1322 / $2325.70 BEST BETS: 70 - 121 / $218.40
SPOT PLAYS: 29 - 121 / $182.30
Best Bet: DANCER HALL (10th)
Spot Play: RESITA (3rd)
Race 1
(4) POWERFUL MISSION has been a new filly over this track with trotting hopples on; she'll be very tough to beat here if she stays flat. (1) LADY EAGLE is worth a look for exacta bets here with the move to an inside post. (9) GAELIC LASS gave the choice something to think about to the 1/8th pole last time, then she tired. She can make the ticket here despite her post. (6) ANGORA SEELSTER should be passing some fillies late here for a smaller share.
Race 2
(5) THOR is the first foal to race from an impeccably-bred Bettor's Delight mare. There is likely more to this colt than meets the eye from his lone qualifier; top call. (2) ARDEEN raced okay vs. maidens in his debut then met some good ones in the non-winners of two class last time and he was well-beaten. He has a chance to wake up vs. maidens here. (1) LYONS WILLIAM should get put into the race here leaving from the inside; using. (3) REDHOT ROMEO can build off his decent debut at Flamboro. He is another to consider for Pick 5 tickets.
Race 3
(4) RESITA was too far back at the 3/4 last week, but he was finding his best stride late in the mile. Moving inside five posts improves his chances here; call to upset. (2) SCENE A MAGICIAN - unbeaten in the preliminary legs - is a deserving favorite and a must-use in the Pick 5. (8) RADICAL ROAD got pounded at the windows yet showed little last week. He may get more aggressive here with that clean line out of the way; consider for exotic wagers. (7) VESUVIO BI was hung out to dry last time and he paid the price for it. He can share here with an expected better trip.
Race 4
(4) BEACHES BE CRAZY showed some late interest last time after breaking early and losing all hope. I'll give her a slight nod in a completely wide-open race. (6) SUNSET FILLY should be right there with these if she can stay pacing this time. (9) THE CAMEL EXPRESS displayed good late kick in her October 20th qualifier. She is worth a look at what should be a big price. (3) SKITTLE HANOVER keeps getting closer to that initial win; using.
Race 5
(8) SHEER TALENT looked super winning the opening leg blasting off cover down the lane. She could revert to that style here and notch a minor upset. (3) MANHATTAN PLAY is the one to beat coming off a new life mark; using. (1) OUT OF SIGHT can work out a great trip here; don't discount. (10) DAENERYS HANOVER is another to consider for multi-race bets with her improving form.
Race 6
(2) MAJOR MUSCLE faces much easier here and she should improve dramatically. (1) GROUPIE DOLL is worthy of consideration adding Lasix and retaining Filion. (4) HURRICANE HAZEL races best when employing a closing style which is the approach she is likely to take here. (7) PENNIES FROM ABOVE is likely to fill one of the bottom exotics rungs here.
Race 7
(8) MR MATCH ON THE BEACH paced a 27 3/5 third 1/4 in his debut and continued on to finish 3rd. Expect a more aggressive approach from Filion here. (5) CENTURY CHURCHILL was beaten by a couple of decent ones in his past two starts. He could end his lengthy losing streak here. (1) D M REACHER could trip out and pounce late off a covered trip here; using. (7) TOY COP raced better in his past couple of starts and he has upset possibilities vs. this group.
Race 8
(8) LITTLE STUIE's race two back is good enough to beat these, but, with his obvious gait issues, it makes sense to also use others on Pick 4 tickets. (9) MAGIC MISSIONS was a good second in this class two back and the switch to Henry could result in a more aggressive steer here. (7) AGENT DINOZZO has some talent but is another that struggles to stay flat frequently. (6) GRAMSTER could wake up and make the ticket vs. this weak group.
Race 9
(4) MC MACH throttled many of these last week and is a deserving heavy favorite here. (8) DREAMFAIR B J can be closer this time if he is put into the race earlier - which is likely. (1) BILLS FELLA could split the top two for the exacta off a good trip. (7) BRAVE WORLD is a good one to toss on the bottom of the Super here.
Race 10
(8) DANCER HALL continues to impress and he will be tough to beat here off any reasonable trip. (5) MONOPOLY gets a much better post position scenario this time after finishing third to the choice last week; consider. (2) POLLAR HALL raced well when 2nd behind a heavy chalk last week. Respect his improving speed. (10) WICHITA JAZZ could be winging on the lead early, but he is unlikely to last for more than a small share.
Race 11
(9) NOTETOSELF HANOVER races well in this class and he should get another good trip near the front here; slight nod. (10) CAROLINA HURRICANE takes a massive class drop here, but his form fluctuates wildly and he has failed as a huge chalk before on the class drop. Be careful here. (5) JUST A THOUGHT is worth a look racing with a tag for the first time. (4) MY OLD MASTER looked good at the head of the lane last week but tired late in the wet going. That was a much improved effort and he can contend here, too. (1) EMPEROR will be passing horses late again for a slice.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 4/1,2,3,5/2,4/1,3,4,6,9,10/1,3,8 = $28.80
EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,4,6,9,10/1,3,8/1,2/8 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 7,8,9/4,8/8/4,5,9,10 = $24
MEET STATS: 446 - 1322 / $2325.70 BEST BETS: 70 - 121 / $218.40
SPOT PLAYS: 29 - 121 / $182.30
Best Bet: DANCER HALL (10th)
Spot Play: RESITA (3rd)
Race 1
(4) POWERFUL MISSION has been a new filly over this track with trotting hopples on; she'll be very tough to beat here if she stays flat. (1) LADY EAGLE is worth a look for exacta bets here with the move to an inside post. (9) GAELIC LASS gave the choice something to think about to the 1/8th pole last time, then she tired. She can make the ticket here despite her post. (6) ANGORA SEELSTER should be passing some fillies late here for a smaller share.
Race 2
(5) THOR is the first foal to race from an impeccably-bred Bettor's Delight mare. There is likely more to this colt than meets the eye from his lone qualifier; top call. (2) ARDEEN raced okay vs. maidens in his debut then met some good ones in the non-winners of two class last time and he was well-beaten. He has a chance to wake up vs. maidens here. (1) LYONS WILLIAM should get put into the race here leaving from the inside; using. (3) REDHOT ROMEO can build off his decent debut at Flamboro. He is another to consider for Pick 5 tickets.
Race 3
(4) RESITA was too far back at the 3/4 last week, but he was finding his best stride late in the mile. Moving inside five posts improves his chances here; call to upset. (2) SCENE A MAGICIAN - unbeaten in the preliminary legs - is a deserving favorite and a must-use in the Pick 5. (8) RADICAL ROAD got pounded at the windows yet showed little last week. He may get more aggressive here with that clean line out of the way; consider for exotic wagers. (7) VESUVIO BI was hung out to dry last time and he paid the price for it. He can share here with an expected better trip.
Race 4
(4) BEACHES BE CRAZY showed some late interest last time after breaking early and losing all hope. I'll give her a slight nod in a completely wide-open race. (6) SUNSET FILLY should be right there with these if she can stay pacing this time. (9) THE CAMEL EXPRESS displayed good late kick in her October 20th qualifier. She is worth a look at what should be a big price. (3) SKITTLE HANOVER keeps getting closer to that initial win; using.
Race 5
(8) SHEER TALENT looked super winning the opening leg blasting off cover down the lane. She could revert to that style here and notch a minor upset. (3) MANHATTAN PLAY is the one to beat coming off a new life mark; using. (1) OUT OF SIGHT can work out a great trip here; don't discount. (10) DAENERYS HANOVER is another to consider for multi-race bets with her improving form.
Race 6
(2) MAJOR MUSCLE faces much easier here and she should improve dramatically. (1) GROUPIE DOLL is worthy of consideration adding Lasix and retaining Filion. (4) HURRICANE HAZEL races best when employing a closing style which is the approach she is likely to take here. (7) PENNIES FROM ABOVE is likely to fill one of the bottom exotics rungs here.
Race 7
(8) MR MATCH ON THE BEACH paced a 27 3/5 third 1/4 in his debut and continued on to finish 3rd. Expect a more aggressive approach from Filion here. (5) CENTURY CHURCHILL was beaten by a couple of decent ones in his past two starts. He could end his lengthy losing streak here. (1) D M REACHER could trip out and pounce late off a covered trip here; using. (7) TOY COP raced better in his past couple of starts and he has upset possibilities vs. this group.
Race 8
(8) LITTLE STUIE's race two back is good enough to beat these, but, with his obvious gait issues, it makes sense to also use others on Pick 4 tickets. (9) MAGIC MISSIONS was a good second in this class two back and the switch to Henry could result in a more aggressive steer here. (7) AGENT DINOZZO has some talent but is another that struggles to stay flat frequently. (6) GRAMSTER could wake up and make the ticket vs. this weak group.
Race 9
(4) MC MACH throttled many of these last week and is a deserving heavy favorite here. (8) DREAMFAIR B J can be closer this time if he is put into the race earlier - which is likely. (1) BILLS FELLA could split the top two for the exacta off a good trip. (7) BRAVE WORLD is a good one to toss on the bottom of the Super here.
Race 10
(8) DANCER HALL continues to impress and he will be tough to beat here off any reasonable trip. (5) MONOPOLY gets a much better post position scenario this time after finishing third to the choice last week; consider. (2) POLLAR HALL raced well when 2nd behind a heavy chalk last week. Respect his improving speed. (10) WICHITA JAZZ could be winging on the lead early, but he is unlikely to last for more than a small share.
Race 11
(9) NOTETOSELF HANOVER races well in this class and he should get another good trip near the front here; slight nod. (10) CAROLINA HURRICANE takes a massive class drop here, but his form fluctuates wildly and he has failed as a huge chalk before on the class drop. Be careful here. (5) JUST A THOUGHT is worth a look racing with a tag for the first time. (4) MY OLD MASTER looked good at the head of the lane last week but tired late in the wet going. That was a much improved effort and he can contend here, too. (1) EMPEROR will be passing horses late again for a slice.
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #1 - 12:55 PM
6½ FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $14,000.00 CLAIMING $26,000.00 PURSE
#3 NORTHERN SCREAMER
#5 LIL RENEGADE
#6 BLIND DEVOTION
#2 ROCK N BUNNY
#3 NORTHERN SCREAMER takes a substantial class drop (-19) this afternoon, is the overall speed leader, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" facing better company in each of her last five outings, hitting the board in a pair. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Rudy Rodriguez send her to the post for the "Thursday Opener" ... they've hit the board with 59% of nearly 300 entries saddled as a team to date. #5 LIL RENEGADE, a 4-1 shot, is the pace profile leader, and has hit the board in four of her last five starts, winning in her 4th race back. She's coming off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in her last start.
RACE #1 - 12:55 PM
6½ FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $14,000.00 CLAIMING $26,000.00 PURSE
#3 NORTHERN SCREAMER
#5 LIL RENEGADE
#6 BLIND DEVOTION
#2 ROCK N BUNNY
#3 NORTHERN SCREAMER takes a substantial class drop (-19) this afternoon, is the overall speed leader, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" facing better company in each of her last five outings, hitting the board in a pair. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Rudy Rodriguez send her to the post for the "Thursday Opener" ... they've hit the board with 59% of nearly 300 entries saddled as a team to date. #5 LIL RENEGADE, a 4-1 shot, is the pace profile leader, and has hit the board in four of her last five starts, winning in her 4th race back. She's coming off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in her last start.
Yonkers: Thursday 10/27 Analysis
By Brewster Smith
DRF
MEET STATS: 266 - 1123 / $1,743.30
BEST BETS: 31 - 105 / $148.40
Best Bet: AMPED UP (1st)
Spot Play: KING ROYALTY (6th)
Race 1
(3) AMPED UP leaves Philly and the $15k claiming ranks and this seems to be a perfect spot for this 8-year-old gelding to get the job done. (7) BIG BAMBU was sent down the road in his last try for all the glory; threat again. (5) LISCLOON rallied strongly to nail down the victory in his latest.
Race 2
(4) UPFRONTWHOSURLADY Pacing mare is sharp based on her last two performances and if she gets the perfect trip it will be light's out for the rest of these. (2) OUR ELS DREAM N took the pocket route on her way to victory last out. (3) CLASSY LANE ROSE has hit the board in her last four tries; not out of this.
Race 3
(7) IDEAL NUGGETS Mare is knocking at the door based on her last three outings; primed to boss these at her best. (2) CANACO STAR gets post relief and that might help he cause. (8) CAROBBEAN PACETRY just missed glory by only a neck last time around and must be considered in here.
Race 4
(1) KIWI IDEAL N showed signs of life in his last start. Now the gelding draws the rail; all systems to greet the cameraman for pictures. (2) BET DEAL YET N moves to the 2-hole where he was an even third three trips ago. (6) NATURAL LEDA took charge right from the start and never looked back in his Philly finale.
Race 5
(2) WESTERN BAYAMA Gelding has good tactical speed and Brennan is giving this 4-year-old another shot for glory; gets the call. (3) SPINARAMA should appreciate the move to the inside post; player. (7) ADDWATER was nailed for win honors last his last trip to the post; watch out.
Race 6
(5) KING ROYALTY has been sharp in his last five starts and he is very capable of getting the job done given a favorable trip. (4) A PLUS HANOVER Game effort in the pocket for the victory last out. (2) MARTIAL BLISS gets post relief and should show speed against these; don't overlook.
Race 7
(2) KAMWOOD LAUGHTER N is back inside where she has done her best running. Mare can boss these at her best. (4) TRUTH AND LIBERTY rallied strongly down the lane to lose glory by a nose; big threat. (1) MACHO CHICK 9-year-old mare can get back into the swing of things from the fence; maybe.
Race 8
(1) SAMS ESCAPE put in a sharp effort for show money given the fact he was in the 8-hole last out; can make tonight a winning one with Brennan at the helm. (5) BETTOR REASON N Even finish against better in his most recent try; main danger. (4) SHADIOS was on the engine most of the way but did not have enough gas in the tank and held the second spot last week.
Race 9
(5) WE THINK ALIKE is better than in his last start and this gelding could top these if he gets the favorable trip and a fine-timed drive. (2) EMPEROR MONTANA N was in the pocket most of the way but could not get to the winner in his last trip. (3) ARTIST NIGHT came up the fence to grab the show spot last out and could have a say in the outcome.
Race 10
(7) IDEALBEACH HANOVER most likely was used up with the sharp early fractions last time around but these $25k claimers seem to be a better spot for him to get the job done; we shall see. (3) SMOOTH CRIMINAL did not fire in his last try but the gelding does have speed; threat. (1) BILLABONG BEACH keeps Brennan and now moves to the fence; beware.
Race 11
(4) SPORTS BETTOR Gelding seems to be heading in the right direction and has every right to pick them up and lay them down for win honors. (2) ROCK ABSORBER has wheeled off two straight victories; must be considered. (5) FASHION DELIGHT was on the lead most of the way but was nailed for the score by Ace Of Clubs last time out.
Race 12
(3) MILLWOOD FAITH N came close to glory last time around and this mare appears to be ready to put her best foot forward. (2) ALHAMBRA gets serious post relief and figures to be right in the mix. (1) FANTICIPATION was late on the scene to miss the victory by 3/4 length; by far not out of this.
By Brewster Smith
DRF
MEET STATS: 266 - 1123 / $1,743.30
BEST BETS: 31 - 105 / $148.40
Best Bet: AMPED UP (1st)
Spot Play: KING ROYALTY (6th)
Race 1
(3) AMPED UP leaves Philly and the $15k claiming ranks and this seems to be a perfect spot for this 8-year-old gelding to get the job done. (7) BIG BAMBU was sent down the road in his last try for all the glory; threat again. (5) LISCLOON rallied strongly to nail down the victory in his latest.
Race 2
(4) UPFRONTWHOSURLADY Pacing mare is sharp based on her last two performances and if she gets the perfect trip it will be light's out for the rest of these. (2) OUR ELS DREAM N took the pocket route on her way to victory last out. (3) CLASSY LANE ROSE has hit the board in her last four tries; not out of this.
Race 3
(7) IDEAL NUGGETS Mare is knocking at the door based on her last three outings; primed to boss these at her best. (2) CANACO STAR gets post relief and that might help he cause. (8) CAROBBEAN PACETRY just missed glory by only a neck last time around and must be considered in here.
Race 4
(1) KIWI IDEAL N showed signs of life in his last start. Now the gelding draws the rail; all systems to greet the cameraman for pictures. (2) BET DEAL YET N moves to the 2-hole where he was an even third three trips ago. (6) NATURAL LEDA took charge right from the start and never looked back in his Philly finale.
Race 5
(2) WESTERN BAYAMA Gelding has good tactical speed and Brennan is giving this 4-year-old another shot for glory; gets the call. (3) SPINARAMA should appreciate the move to the inside post; player. (7) ADDWATER was nailed for win honors last his last trip to the post; watch out.
Race 6
(5) KING ROYALTY has been sharp in his last five starts and he is very capable of getting the job done given a favorable trip. (4) A PLUS HANOVER Game effort in the pocket for the victory last out. (2) MARTIAL BLISS gets post relief and should show speed against these; don't overlook.
Race 7
(2) KAMWOOD LAUGHTER N is back inside where she has done her best running. Mare can boss these at her best. (4) TRUTH AND LIBERTY rallied strongly down the lane to lose glory by a nose; big threat. (1) MACHO CHICK 9-year-old mare can get back into the swing of things from the fence; maybe.
Race 8
(1) SAMS ESCAPE put in a sharp effort for show money given the fact he was in the 8-hole last out; can make tonight a winning one with Brennan at the helm. (5) BETTOR REASON N Even finish against better in his most recent try; main danger. (4) SHADIOS was on the engine most of the way but did not have enough gas in the tank and held the second spot last week.
Race 9
(5) WE THINK ALIKE is better than in his last start and this gelding could top these if he gets the favorable trip and a fine-timed drive. (2) EMPEROR MONTANA N was in the pocket most of the way but could not get to the winner in his last trip. (3) ARTIST NIGHT came up the fence to grab the show spot last out and could have a say in the outcome.
Race 10
(7) IDEALBEACH HANOVER most likely was used up with the sharp early fractions last time around but these $25k claimers seem to be a better spot for him to get the job done; we shall see. (3) SMOOTH CRIMINAL did not fire in his last try but the gelding does have speed; threat. (1) BILLABONG BEACH keeps Brennan and now moves to the fence; beware.
Race 11
(4) SPORTS BETTOR Gelding seems to be heading in the right direction and has every right to pick them up and lay them down for win honors. (2) ROCK ABSORBER has wheeled off two straight victories; must be considered. (5) FASHION DELIGHT was on the lead most of the way but was nailed for the score by Ace Of Clubs last time out.
Race 12
(3) MILLWOOD FAITH N came close to glory last time around and this mare appears to be ready to put her best foot forward. (2) ALHAMBRA gets serious post relief and figures to be right in the mix. (1) FANTICIPATION was late on the scene to miss the victory by 3/4 length; by far not out of this.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 78
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 1 DEREK FEVER 2/1
# 5 ETHAN'S LANDING 7/2
# 3 DRUMMER BOY 5/1
I think DEREK FEVER is a respectable choice. Could provide positive profits based on quite good recent speed figs with an average of 68. Has to be considered a definite contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. With a nice class figure average of 81, has one of the most respectable class advantages in this group. ETHAN'S LANDING - Garnered a quite good Equibase Speed Figure last time out. DRUMMER BOY - Will more than likely be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the midpoint of the contest. With a formidable 68 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this outing.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 78
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 1 DEREK FEVER 2/1
# 5 ETHAN'S LANDING 7/2
# 3 DRUMMER BOY 5/1
I think DEREK FEVER is a respectable choice. Could provide positive profits based on quite good recent speed figs with an average of 68. Has to be considered a definite contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. With a nice class figure average of 81, has one of the most respectable class advantages in this group. ETHAN'S LANDING - Garnered a quite good Equibase Speed Figure last time out. DRUMMER BOY - Will more than likely be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the midpoint of the contest. With a formidable 68 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this outing.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:29pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 70
Rating:
#4 OLYMPIC MISS (ML=5/1)
#5 MAGPIE MAGGIE (ML=12/1)
OLYMPIC MISS - This thoroughbred coming off a strong race in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my opinion. This jock/handler duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +104. Carrying 5 pounds less this race. Trainer has her in a good spot. MAGPIE MAGGIE - I like to invest in this handicapping angle, a horse coming back off a strong effort within the last month or so. This horse is tops in earnings per race. She looks strong in today's affair.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 STERLINGS AMERICA (ML=2/1), #2 PASSION FOR MONEY (ML=5/2), #7 GLADYS'S RING (ML=9/2),
STERLINGS AMERICA - You always think this horse has a shot to win, but she falters most every time. PASSION FOR MONEY - I can't play this frequent non-winner. Gets the assignment executed infrequently. This mare recorded a speed figure in her last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event. GLADYS'S RING - This mare is always around, but just doesn't finish first. Hard to wager on her on the front end.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - OLYMPIC MISS - After a freshening, has had a few races and today she enters a sprint race. Should be back in form, so I expect this horse to perform well right here.
**
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 OLYMPIC MISS to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:29pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 70
Rating:
#4 OLYMPIC MISS (ML=5/1)
#5 MAGPIE MAGGIE (ML=12/1)
OLYMPIC MISS - This thoroughbred coming off a strong race in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my opinion. This jock/handler duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +104. Carrying 5 pounds less this race. Trainer has her in a good spot. MAGPIE MAGGIE - I like to invest in this handicapping angle, a horse coming back off a strong effort within the last month or so. This horse is tops in earnings per race. She looks strong in today's affair.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 STERLINGS AMERICA (ML=2/1), #2 PASSION FOR MONEY (ML=5/2), #7 GLADYS'S RING (ML=9/2),
STERLINGS AMERICA - You always think this horse has a shot to win, but she falters most every time. PASSION FOR MONEY - I can't play this frequent non-winner. Gets the assignment executed infrequently. This mare recorded a speed figure in her last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event. GLADYS'S RING - This mare is always around, but just doesn't finish first. Hard to wager on her on the front end.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - OLYMPIC MISS - After a freshening, has had a few races and today she enters a sprint race. Should be back in form, so I expect this horse to perform well right here.
**
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 OLYMPIC MISS to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SPOT PLAYS
For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (2nd) Hoponthebusgus, 3-1
(8th) Eye Luv Lulu, 4-1
Charles Town (3rd) Royalty Fee, 3-1
(4th) Jeremy's Joker, 8-1
Delta Downs (7th) Down to Ashes, 3-1
(9th) Easy Roller, 7-2
Finger Lakes (5th) Unstoppable, 7-2
(6th) Playinwiththeboys, 3-1
Golden Gate Fields (1st) Dizzy Tizzy, 4-1
(6th) Kellianne Can Can, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (3rd) Ohio, 4-1
(7th) Fair Prospect, 3-1
Hawthorne (4th) Valid Commander, 3-1
(6th) Out in Front, 7-2
Keeneland (3rd) Collateral Kitten, 4-1
(6th) Big Bend, 6-1
Penn National (2nd) Quiet Canadian, 4-1
(6th) Cryptic Kate, 8-1
Remington Park (4th) Fessin Around, 7-2
(7th) K Kash, 3-1
Santa Anita (3rd) Resistanceisfutile, 3-1
(4th) Resky Business, 7-2
For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (2nd) Hoponthebusgus, 3-1
(8th) Eye Luv Lulu, 4-1
Charles Town (3rd) Royalty Fee, 3-1
(4th) Jeremy's Joker, 8-1
Delta Downs (7th) Down to Ashes, 3-1
(9th) Easy Roller, 7-2
Finger Lakes (5th) Unstoppable, 7-2
(6th) Playinwiththeboys, 3-1
Golden Gate Fields (1st) Dizzy Tizzy, 4-1
(6th) Kellianne Can Can, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (3rd) Ohio, 4-1
(7th) Fair Prospect, 3-1
Hawthorne (4th) Valid Commander, 3-1
(6th) Out in Front, 7-2
Keeneland (3rd) Collateral Kitten, 4-1
(6th) Big Bend, 6-1
Penn National (2nd) Quiet Canadian, 4-1
(6th) Cryptic Kate, 8-1
Remington Park (4th) Fessin Around, 7-2
(7th) K Kash, 3-1
Santa Anita (3rd) Resistanceisfutile, 3-1
(4th) Resky Business, 7-2
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Post: 9:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$14000 - F& M NON-WINNERS OF $10,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS WINNERS OVER $60,000 IN 2016 NOT ELIGIBLE. AE. OPTIONAL CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $20,000 AE. 2,3& 4 YEAR OLD F& M NON-WINNERS OF $100,000 LIFETIME. #4 TRUTH AND LIBERTY WAS ELIGIBLE AT TIME OF ENTRY.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 TRUTH AND LIBERTY 5/2
# 5 HER OWN LAND 6/1
# 2 KAMWOOD LAUGHTER N 3/1
TRUTH AND LIBERTY will not be denied the top prize in this race. Surely the class of the race with an average rating of 86. A nice choice. Deserves a shot given the successful win pct she sports. This entrant and Lounsbury have a very good relationship. In the money percent for this combination is high. HER OWN LAND - Very high winning percent makes this nice horse an excellent selection to take home the dough. KAMWOOD LAUGHTER N - Starters win from this position at Yonkers Raceway with better than average regularity, suggesting this tremendous bet. Take a look at this contender's avg speed ranking of 88 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a very nice wager.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Post: 9:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$14000 - F& M NON-WINNERS OF $10,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS WINNERS OVER $60,000 IN 2016 NOT ELIGIBLE. AE. OPTIONAL CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $20,000 AE. 2,3& 4 YEAR OLD F& M NON-WINNERS OF $100,000 LIFETIME. #4 TRUTH AND LIBERTY WAS ELIGIBLE AT TIME OF ENTRY.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 TRUTH AND LIBERTY 5/2
# 5 HER OWN LAND 6/1
# 2 KAMWOOD LAUGHTER N 3/1
TRUTH AND LIBERTY will not be denied the top prize in this race. Surely the class of the race with an average rating of 86. A nice choice. Deserves a shot given the successful win pct she sports. This entrant and Lounsbury have a very good relationship. In the money percent for this combination is high. HER OWN LAND - Very high winning percent makes this nice horse an excellent selection to take home the dough. KAMWOOD LAUGHTER N - Starters win from this position at Yonkers Raceway with better than average regularity, suggesting this tremendous bet. Take a look at this contender's avg speed ranking of 88 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a very nice wager.
