Horse Racing 10-18-16

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Post: 7:05 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 61 - Purse:$5750 - FILLIES AND MARES NON WINNERS OF 1 EXT PM RACE OR $5,000 LT TO BE CLAIMED FOR $9,000
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 5 GRAN SAN 3/1
# 8 ALLABOUT THAT RACE 10/1
# 6 ELEGANT EILEENA 7/2

We've got a feeling GRAN SAN is going to get the trip to the winner's circle. This harness racer may wake up with a medication change (with second time Lasix) today. Her 63 average has this filly among the top speed ratings in here. A competitive class horse should not be be glossed over. With an average class figure of 65 all signs look good for this one. ALLABOUT THAT RACE - When Beard sends this standardbred out you can bet they'll be in the top three, statistics show them there 39 percent of the time. ELEGANT EILEENA - This selection will feel the medication change - with second time Lasix today. The panel of smart guys gives this fine animal a very nice chance to take this race, class ratings are tops in the group of horses.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Post: 1:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 87 - Purse:$8500 - NON-WINNERS OF $5,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS WINNERS OVER $30,000 IN 2016 NOT ELIGIBLE. HORSES WITH LESS THAN $3,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS NE.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES

# 3 CLASSIESISTAR N 3/1
# 5 V I P BAYAMA 9/2
# 8 IDEAL WILLIE 5/2

CLASSIESISTAR N is the most solid bet in this race. This race may be controlled by this gelding. Just one look at the avgerage speed rating will prove that. Has a formidable shot this time, if he can race to his back class. Achieved a 84 TrackMaster SR last out. A duplicate affair here should get the ultimate prize in this race. V I P BAYAMA - Overall figures appear nice. Can't throw out at this point. IDEAL WILLIE - Could very well provide us a top prize based on great recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an average of 89. It's sometimes tricky to consider on class alone, but this gelding has among the strongest class ratings of the pack.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Meadowlands

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 84

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE APRIL 21, 2016 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 8 SO COZZY 3/1

# 4 TENS WILD 9/2

# 13 STATUS OF FORCES 9/2

I favor SO COZZY here. Sound average Speed Figures in turf route races make this equine a key contender. He has been moving very well as of late while recording solid Equibase Speed Figures. TENS WILD - Has put up reliable speed figures in turf route races in the past. His 75 average has this gelding with among the most competitive speed figures in this competition. STATUS OF FORCES - This gelding looks like a longshot play. Has formidable Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,100 Class Rating: 57

Rating:

#6 CAGEY BABY (ML=3/1)
#3 CREATIVE ELEMENT (ML=5/1)
#2 SHEWUZALMOSTGONE (ML=9/2)


CAGEY BABY - Lone speed horses can be tough to run down. Here's a lone speedy sort facing sluggish sorts today. Trainer Baird moves this horse down the class ladder to face a weaker level today. Look for a sharp performance this time out. When this rider and handler partner up you have to take a look. Ramirez and Baird have been fantastic together. Have to make this filly a solid contender; she comes off a strong race on October 3rd. CREATIVE ELEMENT - This horse could be tough in today's race, especially since Fadlovich rode last time out and now should be acquainted with this one. Took a big class drop last out, and I think she may have needed it. Wilkinson enters her at a similar class today. I'd expect an improved performance. SHEWUZALMOSTGONE - Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is meeting an easier field than last time around the track at Laurel. Last time out, finished tenth on a sloppy track at Laurel. Should do better right here. This animal brings in a lot of cash per start. Uppermost in this contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LA VERSALLES (ML=4/1), #5 SKY BLUE LADY (ML=6/1),

LA VERSALLES - Tough for this closer horse to get up today. Without a hot pace to stir things up, the lone pace is going to make it awfully hard to get the job done. This filly garnered a speed rating in her last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event. SKY BLUE LADY - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in short distance races in order to wager on her. Never really did much at all last race out on October 8th. Hard to bet on in today's race.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - CREATIVE ELEMENT - Performance last out was strong, even though it was only good for a runner-up position. Was well clear of the third place finisher. My historical calculations say only a slight improvement is needed today to move up one and into the winner's circle.
**


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#6 CAGEY BABY is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
 
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Mohawk: Tuesday 10/18 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 6,7,8,9/2,8/6/7/6,7,9 = $4.80

EARLY PICK 4: 7/6,7,9/2,5,6/2,4 = $18

LATE PICK 4: 2,4/4,5/1,5,9/2,6,7,10 = $48

MEET STATS: 428 - 1260 / $2238.80 BEST BETS: 69 - 115 / $215.70

SPOT PLAYS: 27 - 115 / $175.20

Best Bet: ER QUINN (4th)

Spot Play: AMERICAN ROCK (2nd)


Race 1

(7) FIRE WATCH had a tightener vs. better at Flamboro after shipping east now he comes up tagged and returns in 7 days this time; slight nod. (6) TIGRA SEELSTER was on too much cover last week and she couldn't get involved late. She's worth a look at a price here. (8) COUGAR GAL has a good record and raced tough first-over last week; using. (9) LADY JEN set solid splits and was picked off only late last week. This looks like a Pick 5 spread leg.

Race 2

(8) AMERICAN ROCK chased home a strong victor that was winning for the second time in a row driving away from his rivals first up. He looks best here with that foe gone. (2) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER tried a big winner first up but he was no match in an extremely quick mile for the class. He figures here. (1) GOLIATH REIGNS should get a good trip near the front and take a share here. (3) CURATOR is another that rates a glance for the bottom exotics rungs.

Race 3

(6) POWERFUL MISSION put it all together for a new lifetime-best score last week. He will be very tough to beat with anything close to a repeat of that mile here. (2) GAELIC LASS made a very good recovery from an early miscue last time. She could threaten if she stays flat. (10) LADY EAGLE looked good winning last week when she made a quick and decisive brush around the final turn. She will need to be much faster to threaten for the win here, though. (4) JILONA will be heard from early, but a minor award is likely her ceiling here.

Race 4

(7) ER QUINN has faced much better in claiming handicaps. The switch to a conditioned claimer is significant; top call. (1) THINK AGAIN should be on or near the lead early here leaving from a much better post. He's likely the main threat to the choice. (5) MR IRRESISTIBLE woke up with a much better effort racing out of Moreau's barn. He will be a factor here. (2) LYONS GEOFF JR can be closer here if he can avoid another first up journey.

Race 5

(6) UTOPIA has been facing better and was solid in this class for several weeks straight earlier in the meet. Expect a return to form here. (7) DUH BUBBEES can be right there again this week if Saftic sends him again, which I think is likely. (9) SHOOT THE THRILL can improve in his second start for Auciello; using. (5) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL is always logical to fill one of the bottom rungs of Tri or Super bets.

Race 6

(2) EAST END should be much closer to the front early here, which gives him a good chance in this field. (6) SURE FIRED BET is coming around with each start. He would be extra-dangerous if he landed in the pocket early here, which could happen. (5) TANGO STAR will likely get a lot of play here based on his recent company lines. He certainly isn't out of this. (7) KING OF SPORTS is worth a look for exotic bets based on his good qualifier on October 11.

Race 7

(2) P L JERICO - the Grassroots champion - gets top call here from a good post racing against horses that he has handled recently. (4) GEORGIES POCKETS had an impossible trip in the Grassroots final vs. the choice, now he gets a better post and adds Lasix; using. (7) HOLIDAY PARTY comes off his best race ever and is also worthy of consideration here. (3) GONNA FLY is one of the better closers in here. He should be passing horses late for a share.

Race 8

(5) SOAKING UP THE SUN has been super winning his last two starts. Stick with him until he goes off form. (4) NICHOLAS RYAN wasn't far back off the choice last time and he should be a threat again from close range here. (8) TEA WITH MS MCGILL fired a 26 4/5 kicker in his October 11th qualifier. He could wake up here if he behaves. (10) LUMIERE is likely for a smaller share here leaving from the outermost post.

Race 9

(5) MAXIMUSCLE is fast enough to beat these if he can overcome his gait issues here; slightest of nods. (1) STORMONT WIZARD faces easier and he should wake up with a better effort here. (9) ZEUS LIGHTNING drops to the bottom level and he too should race better here. (2) CLASS ME NICE keeps taking smaller shares at big prices. He's a good one to use on the bottom.

Race 10

(10) ST LADS LOTTO has a mark of 1:50 flat taken here this year. If he can stay flat this time, he can be a big threat despite his post. (2) SCHOCK N ROCK almost held on vs. similar last time. He should be a speed threat here, too. (6) FRANKIE BOY merits a look shipping in and changing barns but he probably needs one after missing more than a month. (7) LEAFS AND WINGS is always competitive in these classes, but his racing style often dooms him. (9) ZINGERS LAUGH can close for a slice same as he did in his last start.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $36000 Class Rating: 92

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 18 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED*CHOICES


# 7 CONSCIENCE 5/2

# 5 MINI COSMO 8/1

# 11 OVERCONTROL 15/1

CONSCIENCE looks very strong to best this field. Is a sharp contender based on numbers earned lately under today's conditions. Weaver has him trained solidly to break quickly out of the starting gate. Has competitive Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this contest. MINI COSMO - In this field, this horse is ranked high in earnings per start in dirt sprint races. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this group in his last competition. OVERCONTROL - His chances to prove victorious are much better this time around facing this softer lot. Has longshot potential and could prove victorious at high odds.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Zia Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:05pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#7 LADY SHAZZAM (ML=4/1)
#3 TEAPARTYSUCCESS (ML=9/2)


LADY SHAZZAM - Lots of positive 'vibes' connected with this thoroughbred and her brain trust. TEAPARTYSUCCESS - Patrick comes to race after getting to know the mare in the last contest. Faced tougher in the last race at Zia Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this one on my list of strong contenders. I am keen on that last race on October 10th at Zia Park where she ended up third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MYROSAPOZZI (ML=5/2), #6 ALPHA DOLL (ML=7/2), #1 PREMEDITATED GOD (ML=6/1),

MYROSAPOZZI - When looking at today's class rating, she will have to garner a better speed rating than last out to compete in this dirt route. ALPHA DOLL - 7/2 is just too low of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back efforts. PREMEDITATED GOD - Will probably be left with too much to do down the stretch. When scrutinizing today's class rating, she will have to register a better speed figure than last out to be competitive in this dirt route.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #7 LADY SHAZZAM to win if you can get at least 9/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip
 
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Yonkers: Tuesday 10/18 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF

MEET STATS: 261 - 1087 / $1,716.80

BEST BETS: 30 - 102 / $144.40

Best Bet: BENTLEY SPUR (10th)

Spot Play: FOX VALLEY STEFFEN (3rd)


Race 1

(5) V I P BAYAMA showed good speed in his last try and this gelding appears to be heading in the right direction; gets the call. (8) IDEAL WILLIE was sharp for second money at Pocono last out but will have to overcome the 8-hole to best these; we shall see. (3) CLASSIESISTAR N did not get the job done at odds on last week but must be considered in all the exotic slots.

Race 2

(1) BROADWAY ROCKS was sent down the road last time out for all the glory at Freehold. Trotter seems to be in excellent form so two straight is not out of the question. (3) GREY ICE 10-year-old now moves to the half-mile oval and gets post relief; threat. (7) CASSAS IMAGE is knocking at the door based on her last two trips to the post.

Race 3

(6) FOX VALLEY STEFFEN showed good speed for 3/4's but tried in the stretch drive last time out. Trotting gelding needs to revert to his 9/20 start and if that's the case the rest will have to settle for minor awards. (1) SURFACE TENSION gets serious post relief and that should help his cause; maybe. (2) WESTERN CREDIT was sent down the road in his last try for the victory.

Race 4

(1) HIDDEN IDENTITY has put in two sharp efforts at Pocono and this trotter is very capable of getting the job done with Bartlett at the helm. (7) MOVEMENT has scored in her last four starts and she must overcome the 7-hole to make it five straight; capable. (2) MAMA MADE ME BLUE has won 18 of 29 starts this year so he clearly is not out of this.

Race 5

(3) ALL NIGHT CREDIT is back in door number three where this trotter was a very game second three trips ago; with a favorable trip he can greet the cameraman for pictures. (4) DICE MAN put in a sharp qualifier at the Meadowlands for his return to the races; main danger. (1) SCREAMING CONWAY took the pocket route home to victory in his Plainridge finale; watch out.

Race 6

(2) HIGH JOLTAGE scored wire to window last week and this gelding appears to be back to winning form; can repeat. (3) KANARIS moves back to the NW7500 ranks where he got the job done three starts back; big threat. (1) STOMPIN TOM CREEK should fare much better from the fence.

Race 7

(2) MADHATTER BLUECHIP seems to be in a perfect spot to boss these trotters and with his tactical speed he can pick them up and lay them down for all the glory. (4) CLEMENTINE DREAM beat Preferred foes at Freehold last time out; can make some noise again. (1) GABE THE BEAR DEAN put in a mild rally for the show spot last out and the rail post should move him forward today.

Race 8

(4) SPIRIT SQUAD opened up a big lead and never looked back for the victory in her most recent outing. Trotting filly is versatile and figures to get a favorable trip to grab her second straight score. (3) GLOBAL REVOLUTION rallied strongly for an easy victory last week; main danger. (2) MASTER CLASS gets post relief and that should help his cause against these.

Race 9

(5) DYNAMIC EDGE is back to a flat mile where this trotting gelding just missed the victory by 3/4 length; can boss these with a well-judged drive from MacDonald. (8) CLOUD NINE HANOVER put in a mild rally for the show spot last time out; post hurts by he is very capable. (1) RIDGEWAY SPRINGS has some early trot and moves to the fence; don't overlook.

Race 10

(5) BENTLEY SPUR Philly invader is on fire scoring his third straight by open lengths. Trotter has 6 out of 8 victories this year and should keep on his winning ways against these. (1) OMAHA SET HUT showed life in his latest and should contend from the rail. (7) WILDFLOWER moves down the ladder but will have to get it done from the 7-hole; quite possible.

Race 11

(5) CRESCENT FASHION seems to have a fondness for the Hilltop and clearly is the class of this group; the pick. (2) JAYPORT ALL MUSCLE got the job done last out via the pocket route; main danger. (4) MADMAN HALL was on the lead most of the way but was nailed for win honors by Jayport All Muscle last time out.

Race 12

(4) STATION THREEOHSIX moves down in class off a good third against tougher last out. The last time this pacer got the job done was at this level on 8/16; gets the call. (1) WESTERN ALUMNI moves to the fence and that should put him right in the mix. (2) TWIN B FAMOUS is another with post relief and he could have a say in the outcome.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Tuesday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Finger Lakes (1st) Silver Notes, 5-1
(4th) Antikythera Prince, 3-1


Fort Erie (5th) Gluten Free, 4-1
(8th) Philm Noir, 4-1


Indiana Grand (3rd) Eddington's Star, 5-1
(7th) Sham's Shoes, 6-1


Meadowlands (1st) Histrionic, 7-2
(5th) Zabeta, 6-1


Mountaineer (1st) Creative Element, 5-1
(7th) A Lucky Dream, 4-1


Parx Racing (7th) Lemon Strudel, 10-1
(10th) Blackbirdhasspoken, 6-1
 

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