At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey
Three-year-old fillies take center stage in the feature races at both Belmont Park and Keeneland on Saturday.
At Keeneland Catch a Glimpse will look to get back to her winning ways in the $500,000 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1).
She won her first eight career starts on turf but was upset by Time and Motion last out in the Lake Placid (G2) at Saratoga. The two will meet up again and a strong performance would send the duo to the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1).
At Belmont Park a field of 12 along with a pair of also-eligibles were entered in the $200,000 Pebbles. The race likely will not have an impact on the Filly & Mare Turf but sure is a good betting race.
Trainer Chad Brown sends out a pair of contenders including my top pick Ancient Secret, who lost for the first time last out when she was shipped to Woodbine for the Ontario Cotillion (G3) where she faded to finish a well beaten seventh.
She won her first four career starts including taking the Lake George (G2) at the Spa on July 22.
Here is the opening race from Keeneland to get the day off to a good start:
KEE Race 1 Md $50,000 (1:05 ET)
#4 Uncle James 7-2
#6 Marine Pilot 3-1
#5 Singleton 8-5
#3 Pressing Luck 3-1
Analysis: Uncle James stalked the early pace and came with a good five wide run to rally for third last out going six furlongs on the main track at Churchill Downs for this tag. He makes his third start of his current form cycle and the extra furlong here should suit him. He is out of a Fly So Free mare that has dropped four other foals to race, all winners. Looks like a good spot here for the Catalano barn that went 0 for 13 at the spring meeting here.
Marine Pilot stalked the early pace, made a good middle move to get to the front and did not have enough punch left late, weakening to finish third when dropping back in for a tag. He cuts back to seven furlongs here and ran well at Ellis Park three back at the distance, beaten just a neck against maiden special weight foes. A repeat of that effort makes him a threat in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 4,5,6
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 8 The Pebbles (4:46 ET)
#4 Ancient Secret 3-1
#5 Ultra Brat 12-1
#2 Believe in Bertie 10-1
#9 Stella Rose 5-1
Analysis: Ancient Secret is one of two in here sent out by the Brown barn. The filly started her career winning her first starts including a sharp win in the Lake George (G2) at the Spa in July. She shipped to Canada for the Ontario Cotillion where she was sent off as the chalk but was never a threat in a seventh place finish. She comes back here fairly quick which looks like a good sign. Brown won this race last year with Partisan Politics.
Ultra Brat made her turf debut a winning one last out taking the Christiecat at six furlongs over the turf here. She stretches out to a mile here for the Motion barn and has enough pedigree to handle the extra ground. She is by Uncle Mo out of a Storm Cat mare that has dropped five other winners including three turf winners, top earner stakes winner It’s Tea Time ($470,226).
Believe in Bertie prompted the early pace, took over the lead and could not match strides with the winner in the stretch in a runner up finish in the Indiana Grand last out. She broke her maiden at the Spa last summer in her debut going long on turf and has a stakes win against Louisiana breds two back at a mile. She looks headed in the right direction for the Cox barn that has been sending out live runners at the meeting, winning with five of his first 11 starters with 10 of the 11 landing in the money.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 2,4,5,9
TRI: 4,5 / 2,4,5,9 / 2,4,5,9,12
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Keeneland:
KEE Race 9 The QEII Challenge Cup G1 (5:30 ET)
#2 On Leave 5-1
#1 Catch a Glimpse 2-1
#5 Hawksmoor 6-1
#7 Time and Motion 5-2
Analysis: On Leave took the field gate to wire to win the Sands Point (G2) last out at Belmont Park for her fourth win in a row and she showed a new dimension as her three previous wins were coming from off the pace. She is getting really good right now and may end up getting overlooked on the tote here. She likely will return to a tracking role here and another move forward and she can pull off the upset in this spot.
Catch a Glimpse suffered her first career loss on turf last out when she got run down late by Time and Motion in the lake Placid (G2) at the Spa. She is perfect in two starts over the turf here, winning the Breeders' Cup Fillies Turf (G1) here last fall and won the Appalachian (G3) here at the spring meeting. She comes in here off back to back career tops and was giving up four pounds to the filly that beat her last out and they are even weights here. She will be tough but seems likely to be less than her 2-1 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,7
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,7 / 1,2,5,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R4: #8 Gait to Heaven 12-1
R5: #2 Zartax 8-1
R6: #2 Plainview 10-1
R7: #4 Easy Way Out 8-1
R8: #5 Ultra Brat 12-1
R8: #2 Believe in Bertie 10-1
R9: #4 Crafty Colonel 12-1
R9: #5 Gear Jammer 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
Three-year-old fillies take center stage in the feature races at both Belmont Park and Keeneland on Saturday.
At Keeneland Catch a Glimpse will look to get back to her winning ways in the $500,000 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1).
She won her first eight career starts on turf but was upset by Time and Motion last out in the Lake Placid (G2) at Saratoga. The two will meet up again and a strong performance would send the duo to the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1).
At Belmont Park a field of 12 along with a pair of also-eligibles were entered in the $200,000 Pebbles. The race likely will not have an impact on the Filly & Mare Turf but sure is a good betting race.
Trainer Chad Brown sends out a pair of contenders including my top pick Ancient Secret, who lost for the first time last out when she was shipped to Woodbine for the Ontario Cotillion (G3) where she faded to finish a well beaten seventh.
She won her first four career starts including taking the Lake George (G2) at the Spa on July 22.
Here is the opening race from Keeneland to get the day off to a good start:
KEE Race 1 Md $50,000 (1:05 ET)
#4 Uncle James 7-2
#6 Marine Pilot 3-1
#5 Singleton 8-5
#3 Pressing Luck 3-1
Analysis: Uncle James stalked the early pace and came with a good five wide run to rally for third last out going six furlongs on the main track at Churchill Downs for this tag. He makes his third start of his current form cycle and the extra furlong here should suit him. He is out of a Fly So Free mare that has dropped four other foals to race, all winners. Looks like a good spot here for the Catalano barn that went 0 for 13 at the spring meeting here.
Marine Pilot stalked the early pace, made a good middle move to get to the front and did not have enough punch left late, weakening to finish third when dropping back in for a tag. He cuts back to seven furlongs here and ran well at Ellis Park three back at the distance, beaten just a neck against maiden special weight foes. A repeat of that effort makes him a threat in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 4,5,6
TRI: no play
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 8 The Pebbles (4:46 ET)
#4 Ancient Secret 3-1
#5 Ultra Brat 12-1
#2 Believe in Bertie 10-1
#9 Stella Rose 5-1
Analysis: Ancient Secret is one of two in here sent out by the Brown barn. The filly started her career winning her first starts including a sharp win in the Lake George (G2) at the Spa in July. She shipped to Canada for the Ontario Cotillion where she was sent off as the chalk but was never a threat in a seventh place finish. She comes back here fairly quick which looks like a good sign. Brown won this race last year with Partisan Politics.
Ultra Brat made her turf debut a winning one last out taking the Christiecat at six furlongs over the turf here. She stretches out to a mile here for the Motion barn and has enough pedigree to handle the extra ground. She is by Uncle Mo out of a Storm Cat mare that has dropped five other winners including three turf winners, top earner stakes winner It’s Tea Time ($470,226).
Believe in Bertie prompted the early pace, took over the lead and could not match strides with the winner in the stretch in a runner up finish in the Indiana Grand last out. She broke her maiden at the Spa last summer in her debut going long on turf and has a stakes win against Louisiana breds two back at a mile. She looks headed in the right direction for the Cox barn that has been sending out live runners at the meeting, winning with five of his first 11 starters with 10 of the 11 landing in the money.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 2,4,5,9
TRI: 4,5 / 2,4,5,9 / 2,4,5,9,12
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Keeneland:
KEE Race 9 The QEII Challenge Cup G1 (5:30 ET)
#2 On Leave 5-1
#1 Catch a Glimpse 2-1
#5 Hawksmoor 6-1
#7 Time and Motion 5-2
Analysis: On Leave took the field gate to wire to win the Sands Point (G2) last out at Belmont Park for her fourth win in a row and she showed a new dimension as her three previous wins were coming from off the pace. She is getting really good right now and may end up getting overlooked on the tote here. She likely will return to a tracking role here and another move forward and she can pull off the upset in this spot.
Catch a Glimpse suffered her first career loss on turf last out when she got run down late by Time and Motion in the lake Placid (G2) at the Spa. She is perfect in two starts over the turf here, winning the Breeders' Cup Fillies Turf (G1) here last fall and won the Appalachian (G3) here at the spring meeting. She comes in here off back to back career tops and was giving up four pounds to the filly that beat her last out and they are even weights here. She will be tough but seems likely to be less than her 2-1 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,7
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,7 / 1,2,5,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R4: #8 Gait to Heaven 12-1
R5: #2 Zartax 8-1
R6: #2 Plainview 10-1
R7: #4 Easy Way Out 8-1
R8: #5 Ultra Brat 12-1
R8: #2 Believe in Bertie 10-1
R9: #4 Crafty Colonel 12-1
R9: #5 Gear Jammer 8-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pocono Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Post: 7:24 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 91 - Purse:$18000 - CLAIMING $25,000 MOHEGAN SUN POCONO DRIVER`S CHOICES: GEORGE NAPOLITANO #3 OVER #2 & #5 ERIC CARLSON #8 OVER #1
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 EMERITUS MAXIMUS 8/1
# 3 ROCKIN RAMBARAN 2/1
# 2 GIANT SCULPTURE 5/1
Hard not to back EMERITUS MAXIMUS as the top choice here and the payoff could be huge based on that 8/1 morning line. Cannot put a finger on it, but lean toward this horse for a wager. The handicapping team gives this fine animal a respectable chance to come home a winner, class numbers are tops in the field of starters. The group happens to know that when you put McCarthy and Hall together competitive results happen frequently. ROCKIN RAMBARAN - Well above average winning rate makes this harness racer an excellent selection to take home the dough. He has been racing competitively and the speed ratings are among the most favorable in the pack. GIANT SCULPTURE - Is a formidable choice given the 96 speed rating from his most recent outing.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Post: 7:24 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 91 - Purse:$18000 - CLAIMING $25,000 MOHEGAN SUN POCONO DRIVER`S CHOICES: GEORGE NAPOLITANO #3 OVER #2 & #5 ERIC CARLSON #8 OVER #1
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 EMERITUS MAXIMUS 8/1
# 3 ROCKIN RAMBARAN 2/1
# 2 GIANT SCULPTURE 5/1
Hard not to back EMERITUS MAXIMUS as the top choice here and the payoff could be huge based on that 8/1 morning line. Cannot put a finger on it, but lean toward this horse for a wager. The handicapping team gives this fine animal a respectable chance to come home a winner, class numbers are tops in the field of starters. The group happens to know that when you put McCarthy and Hall together competitive results happen frequently. ROCKIN RAMBARAN - Well above average winning rate makes this harness racer an excellent selection to take home the dough. He has been racing competitively and the speed ratings are among the most favorable in the pack. GIANT SCULPTURE - Is a formidable choice given the 96 speed rating from his most recent outing.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11050 Class Rating: 77
FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 117 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 NOBLE QUEST 1/1
# 2 REMEMBER WILLY 3/1
# 3 SIDNEY'S PROSPECT 15/1
I have to consider NOBLE QUEST here. This colt is a contender based on his earnings per start in dirt sprint events. He has strong class ratings, averaging 80, and has to be considered for this event. Tough to pass on this colt with Hernandezsanch in the saddle. REMEMBER WILLY - Looks respectable to be up near the front end at the first call. Ought to be used in the exotic wagers.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11050 Class Rating: 77
FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 117 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 NOBLE QUEST 1/1
# 2 REMEMBER WILLY 3/1
# 3 SIDNEY'S PROSPECT 15/1
I have to consider NOBLE QUEST here. This colt is a contender based on his earnings per start in dirt sprint events. He has strong class ratings, averaging 80, and has to be considered for this event. Tough to pass on this colt with Hernandezsanch in the saddle. REMEMBER WILLY - Looks respectable to be up near the front end at the first call. Ought to be used in the exotic wagers.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 67
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 2 REQUESTED KISS 5/2
# 9 PARKER'S BEHR CAT 7/2
# 4 RED RORY 3/1
REQUESTED KISS is the top wager in this race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look respectable in this outing. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this field in his last outing. Is a strong contender based on figs garnered recently under today's conditions. PARKER'S BEHR CAT - Put up a strong speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. Is tough not to look at given the company run in recently. RED RORY - Burningham will probably be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this race. The speed figure of 56 from his last affair looks competitive in here.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 67
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 2 REQUESTED KISS 5/2
# 9 PARKER'S BEHR CAT 7/2
# 4 RED RORY 3/1
REQUESTED KISS is the top wager in this race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look respectable in this outing. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this field in his last outing. Is a strong contender based on figs garnered recently under today's conditions. PARKER'S BEHR CAT - Put up a strong speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. Is tough not to look at given the company run in recently. RED RORY - Burningham will probably be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this race. The speed figure of 56 from his last affair looks competitive in here.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Keeneland - Race #9 - Post: 5:30pm - Stakes - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $500,000 Class Rating: 112 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup S. Presented by Lane's End (Grade 1)
Rating:
#1 CATCH A GLIMPSE (ML=2/1)
#9 MOKAT (ML=12/1)
#4 HARMONIZE (ML=8/1)
#2 ON LEAVE (ML=5/1)
CATCH A GLIMPSE - This filly is almost always in the money. This jock and handler have a lucrative ROI when they combine forces. This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Geroux gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. MOKAT - Lets try to beat the probable favorites with this filly. Just missed last out, but ran a decent race. Baltas has a very solid win pct in grass routes. This filly should be ready to win. This animal has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 67 to 107 to 110 in succession. HARMONIZE - This filly has the top turf number in her last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here horse has a good chance. I like a pony that manages to be on the board as often as this filly. Almost always in the money so don't leave her out of your exotic bets. The latest rating of 111 is the top last race speed fig in the group. This filly is most obviously on the improve with speed figures of 101, 103, 111 last 3 out. ON LEAVE - I like this filly a lot here. She shows a lot of consistency, finishing in the money frequently. McGaughey is solid in grass routes. This horse should have no excuses if she doesn't win. Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a good effort on Sep 17th. PP data show this thoroughbred with 3 improving speed ratings. Ortiz should be on a horse ready to go in this event.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TIME AND MOTION (ML=5/2), #5 HAWKSMOOR (IRE) (ML=6/1),
TIME AND MOTION - This sustainer should have a rough go of it to get there in time with an absence of speed in this race. HAWKSMOOR (IRE) - Not likely that this horse will finish better than she did last time when ending up fifth.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 MOKAT is going to be the play if we are getting 8/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Keeneland - Race #9 - Post: 5:30pm - Stakes - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $500,000 Class Rating: 112 Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup S. Presented by Lane's End (Grade 1)
Rating:
#1 CATCH A GLIMPSE (ML=2/1)
#9 MOKAT (ML=12/1)
#4 HARMONIZE (ML=8/1)
#2 ON LEAVE (ML=5/1)
CATCH A GLIMPSE - This filly is almost always in the money. This jock and handler have a lucrative ROI when they combine forces. This is a classic 'Lone Front-runner' scenario. If Geroux gets him out of the gate cleanly it'll likely be smooth sailing. MOKAT - Lets try to beat the probable favorites with this filly. Just missed last out, but ran a decent race. Baltas has a very solid win pct in grass routes. This filly should be ready to win. This animal has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 67 to 107 to 110 in succession. HARMONIZE - This filly has the top turf number in her last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here horse has a good chance. I like a pony that manages to be on the board as often as this filly. Almost always in the money so don't leave her out of your exotic bets. The latest rating of 111 is the top last race speed fig in the group. This filly is most obviously on the improve with speed figures of 101, 103, 111 last 3 out. ON LEAVE - I like this filly a lot here. She shows a lot of consistency, finishing in the money frequently. McGaughey is solid in grass routes. This horse should have no excuses if she doesn't win. Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a good effort on Sep 17th. PP data show this thoroughbred with 3 improving speed ratings. Ortiz should be on a horse ready to go in this event.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TIME AND MOTION (ML=5/2), #5 HAWKSMOOR (IRE) (ML=6/1),
TIME AND MOTION - This sustainer should have a rough go of it to get there in time with an absence of speed in this race. HAWKSMOOR (IRE) - Not likely that this horse will finish better than she did last time when ending up fifth.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 MOKAT is going to be the play if we are getting 8/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Turf Paradise - Race #7 - Post: 3:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 92
Rating:
#9 DEPUTY'S COMMAND (ML=6/1)
#3 KEEP ME POSTED (ML=3/1)
DEPUTY'S COMMAND - This jock/trainer duo has been producing a high win percent, right around 32. Ortiz drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more knowledge to figure that this horse is in a good spot at this level. Lower weight assigned of -5. In my opinion, a movement of 5 is important, so this gelding falls into this category. KEEP ME POSTED - After a pair of sprints, he's routing today, which is probably what this gelding wants to do. A thoroughbred coming back this quickly after a good race is a good sign. I like the fact that this gelding's last speed fig, 91, is tops in this bunch. Searching through the data for this race, I noted right away this animal's last effort was more than meets the eye. Showed good speed, fell back, and then ran evenly.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 VIBRATO JAZZ (ML=5/2), #12 DYNAMITE WIND (ML=8/1), #6 CALLINGAHARDTEN (ML=8/1),
VIBRATO JAZZ - The probable favorite is shaky here with the lack of works. DYNAMITE WIND - Finished sixth last out. Would have to improve to be on the board in today's event. Not probable that the speed rating he earned on Sep 18th will be good enough in this event.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - DEPUTY'S COMMAND - In today's affair this steed owns the best average class number. He is one of the top contenders against these thoroughbreds.
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 DEPUTY'S COMMAND is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Turf Paradise - Race #7 - Post: 3:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 92
Rating:
#9 DEPUTY'S COMMAND (ML=6/1)
#3 KEEP ME POSTED (ML=3/1)
DEPUTY'S COMMAND - This jock/trainer duo has been producing a high win percent, right around 32. Ortiz drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more knowledge to figure that this horse is in a good spot at this level. Lower weight assigned of -5. In my opinion, a movement of 5 is important, so this gelding falls into this category. KEEP ME POSTED - After a pair of sprints, he's routing today, which is probably what this gelding wants to do. A thoroughbred coming back this quickly after a good race is a good sign. I like the fact that this gelding's last speed fig, 91, is tops in this bunch. Searching through the data for this race, I noted right away this animal's last effort was more than meets the eye. Showed good speed, fell back, and then ran evenly.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 VIBRATO JAZZ (ML=5/2), #12 DYNAMITE WIND (ML=8/1), #6 CALLINGAHARDTEN (ML=8/1),
VIBRATO JAZZ - The probable favorite is shaky here with the lack of works. DYNAMITE WIND - Finished sixth last out. Would have to improve to be on the board in today's event. Not probable that the speed rating he earned on Sep 18th will be good enough in this event.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - DEPUTY'S COMMAND - In today's affair this steed owns the best average class number. He is one of the top contenders against these thoroughbreds.
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 DEPUTY'S COMMAND is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #3 - BELMONT PARK - 2:01 PM EASTERN POST
The Futurity Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE III TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE
#2 THEORY
#1 MOVE LIKE ALI
#4 RECKLING
#5 STAR EMPIRE
Here in the 127th running of The Futurity, which is one of the oldest races for juveniles in North America, #2 THEORY qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and comes off a more than 5-length, "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his "first asking." He's out of the Gemologist lineage, whose progeny have hit the board in 51% of their starts to date. #1 MOVES LIKE ALI demonstrated nice early speed in his respective "first asking," resulting in a maiden-breaking, "POWER RUN WIN."
RACE #3 - BELMONT PARK - 2:01 PM EASTERN POST
The Futurity Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE III TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE
#2 THEORY
#1 MOVE LIKE ALI
#4 RECKLING
#5 STAR EMPIRE
Here in the 127th running of The Futurity, which is one of the oldest races for juveniles in North America, #2 THEORY qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and comes off a more than 5-length, "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his "first asking." He's out of the Gemologist lineage, whose progeny have hit the board in 51% of their starts to date. #1 MOVES LIKE ALI demonstrated nice early speed in his respective "first asking," resulting in a maiden-breaking, "POWER RUN WIN."
SPOT PLAYS
For Saturday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (3rd) Reckling, 4-1
(4th) Irish Filibuster, 3-1
Charles Town (1st) Arrest in Pieces, 6-1
(8th) Mader Bythe Minute, 5-1
Delaware Park (6th) Miss Emily's Smile, 8-1
(9th) Fire Moon, 9-2
Finger Lakes (5th) Fox Rox, 9-2
(6th) Andromeda's Child, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (1st) Spring Me, 10-1
(3rd) Real Steel, 6-1
Hastings Park (8th) Blue Storm Cloud, 6-1
(9th) Master Ewen, 4-1
Hawthorne (2nd) Indygo Breeze, 6-1
(8th) Reap, 3-1
Indiana Grand (3rd) Hawk Eye Justice, 9-2
(4th) Driven by Desire, 5-1
Keeneland (3rd) Speightsong, 3-1
(5th) Miss Gossip, 6-1
Laurel Park (1st) Stormin Babe, 4-1
(10th) Fleeting Hope, 6-1
Meadowlands (2nd) Treasury Devil, 3-1
(3rd) Orzo, 3-1
Mountaineer (1st) Don't Defy Me, 9-2
(5th) Quick Reward, 5-1
Parx Racing (8th) Conquest Harlequin, 5-1
(9th) Fast Runner, 9-2
Penn National (1st) Justcrazyenuff, 6-1
(3rd) Max's Warrior, 4-1
Remington Park (3rd) Super Romance, 3-1
(7th) Gladditude, 9-2
Retama Park (4th) Break Free, 3-1
(9th) Sir Smart Alex, 5-1
Santa Anita (1st) Monterey Shale, 3-1
(6th) Wrightwood, 4-1
Thistledown (5th) Luckysdream, 4-1
(7th) Leona's Reward, 6-1
Turf Paradise (3rd) Roi Soleil, 3-1
(6th) Surrealistic, 10-1
Woodbine (3rd) Turn to Reality, 7-2
(9th) Luna d'Avril, 6-1
For Saturday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (3rd) Reckling, 4-1
(4th) Irish Filibuster, 3-1
Charles Town (1st) Arrest in Pieces, 6-1
(8th) Mader Bythe Minute, 5-1
Delaware Park (6th) Miss Emily's Smile, 8-1
(9th) Fire Moon, 9-2
Finger Lakes (5th) Fox Rox, 9-2
(6th) Andromeda's Child, 7-2
Gulfstream Park West (1st) Spring Me, 10-1
(3rd) Real Steel, 6-1
Hastings Park (8th) Blue Storm Cloud, 6-1
(9th) Master Ewen, 4-1
Hawthorne (2nd) Indygo Breeze, 6-1
(8th) Reap, 3-1
Indiana Grand (3rd) Hawk Eye Justice, 9-2
(4th) Driven by Desire, 5-1
Keeneland (3rd) Speightsong, 3-1
(5th) Miss Gossip, 6-1
Laurel Park (1st) Stormin Babe, 4-1
(10th) Fleeting Hope, 6-1
Meadowlands (2nd) Treasury Devil, 3-1
(3rd) Orzo, 3-1
Mountaineer (1st) Don't Defy Me, 9-2
(5th) Quick Reward, 5-1
Parx Racing (8th) Conquest Harlequin, 5-1
(9th) Fast Runner, 9-2
Penn National (1st) Justcrazyenuff, 6-1
(3rd) Max's Warrior, 4-1
Remington Park (3rd) Super Romance, 3-1
(7th) Gladditude, 9-2
Retama Park (4th) Break Free, 3-1
(9th) Sir Smart Alex, 5-1
Santa Anita (1st) Monterey Shale, 3-1
(6th) Wrightwood, 4-1
Thistledown (5th) Luckysdream, 4-1
(7th) Leona's Reward, 6-1
Turf Paradise (3rd) Roi Soleil, 3-1
(6th) Surrealistic, 10-1
Woodbine (3rd) Turn to Reality, 7-2
(9th) Luna d'Avril, 6-1
Mohawk: Saturday 10/15 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 2,4/3,4,8/4/1/5,6,8,9,10 = $6
EARLY PICK 4: 1/5,6,8,9,10/4/1,5,6,7,8 = $25
LATE PICK 4: 3,5/1,4/10/2 = $4
MEET STATS: 420 - 1238 / $2180.20 BEST BETS: 69 - 114 / $215.70
SPOT PLAYS: 26 - 113 / $171.60
Best Bet: ALWAYS A HOTSHOT (11th)
Spot Play: AINT THREE OK (5th)
Race 1
(4) NICKLE BAG gets Henry back and he can get back on track here with an aggressive steer. (2) ELLIS PARK was an easy and powerful winner last week and he is a big threat to repeat here. (5) EVENIN OF PLEASURE seems to have lost a step the past few starts but he should make the ticket anyway. (6) NEXT THING SMOKEN has some good lines from Hoosier, but these are tougher; minor share predicted.
Race 2
(3) MASS PRODUCTION comes off a lifetime-best performance which if duplicated would make him very tough to beat here; top call. (4) TYCOON SEELSTER is capable of leaving much better and the inside post here gives him a shot at the upset. (8) MISTER MUSCLE fires home quickly every start; consider for exotics. (1) LIFE WELL LIVED had a useful tightener for this lucrative Superfinal. He can sit a good trip near the front here and take a share.
Race 3
(4) L A DELIGHT is the class of this group and she should make it look easy here at a very short price. (1) PARTY IN ROME was nailed late by a very sharp rival last week. She should take a big slice here. (2) BAD AS LEADER beat some Preferred type older mares last time which is no easy feat for a sophomore filly. Give her a long look for exacta and trifecta bets. (3) BOURBON SEELSTER can sit a good trip on cover and pass a few late for a share.
Race 4
(1) ON A SUNNY DAY holds a major post advantage over her main rival (10) MAGIC PRESTO. I would expect the former to force the latter to take a seat early here and that could turn out to be the difference. (9) WINTER SWEET FROST rarely misses the board and her good tactical speed should enable her to get a good stalking spot early. (6) HOLIDAY PROMISE is one of the best closers in here. She will be passing rivals late in the mile. (Note: MAGIC PRESTO is scratched)
Race 5
(5) AINT THREE OK keeps grinding out first-over wins. If she can find a live helmet to follow here, she could be even tougher. (9) BLAMEITONTHENIGHT is in sharp form and she picks up Tetrick here; using. (10) ACTION MAJESTY is one of the best fillies in here, but the 10-hole could lead to her undoing. (6) FADE figures to sit a nice trip near the front. She has some upset possibilities.
Race 6
(4) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN gets to race in a much easier spot this week and he can wake up with a big effort here. (6) ASAP HANOVER is better racing with a closing style. He can spring an upset here with the right trip. (5) EASY LOVER HANOVER is in sharp form and is another to consider for Pick 4 bets racing from close range likely. (2) ANDREIOS KARDIA shows some big trips south of the border. He isn't out of this but he may need a race over the track.
Race 7
(5) TONY SOPRANO may be getting good again at the perfect time and he picks up Campbell here; call to upset. (1) DIA MONDE made two moves when beating the choice last time and taking a new life's mark. He's a top contender here along with (7) MUSCLE HUSTLE, who only three starts back set a Canadian record at Georgian. (8) BEE IN CHARGE could be much better here returning to a 7-day cycle. Keep him in mind, especially if he is ignored in the wagering.
Race 8
(3) CAPRICE HILL was freshened after suffering a disastrous trip in the Elegant Image final. She picks up Tetrick for this and she can get back on track. (6) FLOWERS N SONGS is incredibly consistent and she should be the choice's main rival here. (4) ROYAL CHARM will be poised to strike at the head of the lane if the pace is slowing at all; consider. (5) EMOTICON HANOVER can race near the front and stick around for a smaller share here.
Race 9
(4) STREAKAVANA is sure to be rolled early here by Filion and he will be tough to overhaul. (1) MACHIN A TRICK comes off an impressive score and he continues to improve; using. (8) SOUTHWIND GENERAL will likely be an early threat but is unlikely to stick around for more than a minor share. (2) CALVIN K can get a much better trip here and can crack the exotics at a price.
Race 10
(10) BETTING LINE shouldn't have much trouble here despite leaving from the outermost post. (1) MAGNUM J can use the rail to sit a great trip and complete the exacta. (8) SINTRA was sharp last week chasing his elders. He should make the ticket in what could be a Tri that pays less than $10. (6) GERRIES SPORT has raced against older three straight times which has darkened his form a bit. Consider an exacta bet with him second if it is paying decently.
Race 11
(2) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT continues to roll through his conditions impressively and he should take another here. (7) BLAYDE HANOVER was tough in defeat to the choice last time. He can complete the exacta again here. (6) FLAHERTY could threaten if he can get a slightly easier trip than last time when he was on the rim for a long time. (5) POISONOUS will likely employ a closing style here and pass a few late.
Race 12
(4) CONTINUAL HANOVER has been razor-sharp for weeks and it seems he wins from anywhere. I'll give him the nod again. (5) DARCEE N closed off excess over into a slowing pace to win last week. He could have further improvement coming here in his third start over the track. (3) AUDREYS DREAM figures in this class and he may get motivated earlier from the improved post. (7) SHADOW PLACE gets his regular driver back here. Expect improvement. (9) VEGAS ROCKS steps up off a big win but these are much tougher. He can close for a smaller slice.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 2,4/3,4,8/4/1/5,6,8,9,10 = $6
EARLY PICK 4: 1/5,6,8,9,10/4/1,5,6,7,8 = $25
LATE PICK 4: 3,5/1,4/10/2 = $4
MEET STATS: 420 - 1238 / $2180.20 BEST BETS: 69 - 114 / $215.70
SPOT PLAYS: 26 - 113 / $171.60
Best Bet: ALWAYS A HOTSHOT (11th)
Spot Play: AINT THREE OK (5th)
Race 1
(4) NICKLE BAG gets Henry back and he can get back on track here with an aggressive steer. (2) ELLIS PARK was an easy and powerful winner last week and he is a big threat to repeat here. (5) EVENIN OF PLEASURE seems to have lost a step the past few starts but he should make the ticket anyway. (6) NEXT THING SMOKEN has some good lines from Hoosier, but these are tougher; minor share predicted.
Race 2
(3) MASS PRODUCTION comes off a lifetime-best performance which if duplicated would make him very tough to beat here; top call. (4) TYCOON SEELSTER is capable of leaving much better and the inside post here gives him a shot at the upset. (8) MISTER MUSCLE fires home quickly every start; consider for exotics. (1) LIFE WELL LIVED had a useful tightener for this lucrative Superfinal. He can sit a good trip near the front here and take a share.
Race 3
(4) L A DELIGHT is the class of this group and she should make it look easy here at a very short price. (1) PARTY IN ROME was nailed late by a very sharp rival last week. She should take a big slice here. (2) BAD AS LEADER beat some Preferred type older mares last time which is no easy feat for a sophomore filly. Give her a long look for exacta and trifecta bets. (3) BOURBON SEELSTER can sit a good trip on cover and pass a few late for a share.
Race 4
(1) ON A SUNNY DAY holds a major post advantage over her main rival (10) MAGIC PRESTO. I would expect the former to force the latter to take a seat early here and that could turn out to be the difference. (9) WINTER SWEET FROST rarely misses the board and her good tactical speed should enable her to get a good stalking spot early. (6) HOLIDAY PROMISE is one of the best closers in here. She will be passing rivals late in the mile. (Note: MAGIC PRESTO is scratched)
Race 5
(5) AINT THREE OK keeps grinding out first-over wins. If she can find a live helmet to follow here, she could be even tougher. (9) BLAMEITONTHENIGHT is in sharp form and she picks up Tetrick here; using. (10) ACTION MAJESTY is one of the best fillies in here, but the 10-hole could lead to her undoing. (6) FADE figures to sit a nice trip near the front. She has some upset possibilities.
Race 6
(4) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN gets to race in a much easier spot this week and he can wake up with a big effort here. (6) ASAP HANOVER is better racing with a closing style. He can spring an upset here with the right trip. (5) EASY LOVER HANOVER is in sharp form and is another to consider for Pick 4 bets racing from close range likely. (2) ANDREIOS KARDIA shows some big trips south of the border. He isn't out of this but he may need a race over the track.
Race 7
(5) TONY SOPRANO may be getting good again at the perfect time and he picks up Campbell here; call to upset. (1) DIA MONDE made two moves when beating the choice last time and taking a new life's mark. He's a top contender here along with (7) MUSCLE HUSTLE, who only three starts back set a Canadian record at Georgian. (8) BEE IN CHARGE could be much better here returning to a 7-day cycle. Keep him in mind, especially if he is ignored in the wagering.
Race 8
(3) CAPRICE HILL was freshened after suffering a disastrous trip in the Elegant Image final. She picks up Tetrick for this and she can get back on track. (6) FLOWERS N SONGS is incredibly consistent and she should be the choice's main rival here. (4) ROYAL CHARM will be poised to strike at the head of the lane if the pace is slowing at all; consider. (5) EMOTICON HANOVER can race near the front and stick around for a smaller share here.
Race 9
(4) STREAKAVANA is sure to be rolled early here by Filion and he will be tough to overhaul. (1) MACHIN A TRICK comes off an impressive score and he continues to improve; using. (8) SOUTHWIND GENERAL will likely be an early threat but is unlikely to stick around for more than a minor share. (2) CALVIN K can get a much better trip here and can crack the exotics at a price.
Race 10
(10) BETTING LINE shouldn't have much trouble here despite leaving from the outermost post. (1) MAGNUM J can use the rail to sit a great trip and complete the exacta. (8) SINTRA was sharp last week chasing his elders. He should make the ticket in what could be a Tri that pays less than $10. (6) GERRIES SPORT has raced against older three straight times which has darkened his form a bit. Consider an exacta bet with him second if it is paying decently.
Race 11
(2) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT continues to roll through his conditions impressively and he should take another here. (7) BLAYDE HANOVER was tough in defeat to the choice last time. He can complete the exacta again here. (6) FLAHERTY could threaten if he can get a slightly easier trip than last time when he was on the rim for a long time. (5) POISONOUS will likely employ a closing style here and pass a few late.
Race 12
(4) CONTINUAL HANOVER has been razor-sharp for weeks and it seems he wins from anywhere. I'll give him the nod again. (5) DARCEE N closed off excess over into a slowing pace to win last week. He could have further improvement coming here in his third start over the track. (3) AUDREYS DREAM figures in this class and he may get motivated earlier from the improved post. (7) SHADOW PLACE gets his regular driver back here. Expect improvement. (9) VEGAS ROCKS steps up off a big win but these are much tougher. He can close for a smaller slice.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at North Side Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 1:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 54 - Purse:$725 - NON WINNERS 1, 2 AND 3 PARI-MUTUEL RACES LIFE HDCP.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 LAST LAUGH 5/2
# 8 CAMCO TYLER 5/1
# 2 WOODMERE INTREPID 7/2
If you want a really strong play this time, feast your eyes on LAST LAUGH. The handicapping group knows that speed is the key in harness racing. This solid standardbred will unlock our way to a nice win. With a really strong 58 TrackMaster SR last time out, will surely be a factor in this affair. CAMCO TYLER - Can't ignore based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been outstanding (56 avg) these days. WOODMERE INTREPID - Could beat this group of animals, just look at the speed figure - 59 - from his most recent effort. Tough to pass on this gelding with cagey Kelly in the sulky. Major player for the ultimate prize.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Post: 1:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 54 - Purse:$725 - NON WINNERS 1, 2 AND 3 PARI-MUTUEL RACES LIFE HDCP.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 LAST LAUGH 5/2
# 8 CAMCO TYLER 5/1
# 2 WOODMERE INTREPID 7/2
If you want a really strong play this time, feast your eyes on LAST LAUGH. The handicapping group knows that speed is the key in harness racing. This solid standardbred will unlock our way to a nice win. With a really strong 58 TrackMaster SR last time out, will surely be a factor in this affair. CAMCO TYLER - Can't ignore based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been outstanding (56 avg) these days. WOODMERE INTREPID - Could beat this group of animals, just look at the speed figure - 59 - from his most recent effort. Tough to pass on this gelding with cagey Kelly in the sulky. Major player for the ultimate prize.
Yonkers: Saturday 10/15 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 352 - 1039 / $1,906.60
BEST BETS: 46 - 86 / $152.80
Best Bet: CRAZSHANA (2nd)
Spot Play: SANTA FE BEACHBOY (3rd)
Race 1
(1) STOLEN CAR has very quietly had a solid season with over $100,000 banked. He's a proven fit at this level and looks enticing at 12/1 morning line. (5) CYCLONE KIWI N returns locally off a very sharp score versus lesser at Philly. (3) SOHO LENNON A finally put it together last week with a solid effort and Stratton sticks with him.
Race 2
(6) CRAZSHANA has missed time between his recent starts but he's back now on a week's rest getting needed class relief; Bamond trainee looks like the one to beat. (2) ZOOMING has been much better in his last two after a few dull efforts. (4) SOMEBODY AS always lands a share but he sometimes lacks the winning habit, especially at Yonkers.
Race 3
(6) SANTA FE BEACHBOY has always been an erratic sort but he's really fast when on his game; Banca trainee looks for two straight. (1) SAPPHIRE CITY gets needed post relief and he'll be on the lead or stalking close up. (2) TEXICAN N finally broke into the win column last week and he's certainly classy enough to repeat.
Race 4
(8) FIRST CLASS HORSE broke leaving last week ending his insane string of races after moving to the Milici barn but he made up a ton of ground to be a solid third. Obviously with no mishaps Bartlett can make it to the front and control these. (4) ROCK N ROLL WORLD seems like he should be better than he's showing; Burke trainee can be a threat from this spot. (7) BLOOD BROTHER has obvious ability but can't come from last; can he float early for a seat?
Race 5
(1) DREAM OUT LOUD N probably should have won last week but it certainly wasn't a bad effort; Cassar trainee can trip out from this spot. (8) FEEL THE NEED A was a decent and unextended third last week in the Open; we've seen flashes of brilliance from this import and he can be considered even from this outside spot; watch the board for clues. (7) TAKE IT BACK TERRY is also stuck with a tough outside post but we know he fits with these.
Race 6 – International Trot
(5) OASIS BI is one of three European horses who raced in last year's International Trot, and he had plenty finishing after escaping traffic. He's had just as stellar of a campaign this year overseas and from this nice midpack post he should be in the clear throughout. Riding live cover can get it done. (1) HANNELORE HANOVER has been super for the Burke stable and lands the inside post. I'm sure the strategy will be for the mare to take these down the road, but it should be a pressured pace throughout. (7) BBS SUGARLIGHT also had a trip over the Yonkers oval last year and didn't race badly. He's another that seems capable with a live flow. (2) RESOLVE is arguably the best trotter here for Svanstedt but from this starting spot it's possible he gets buried early and never escapes, especially with the European style of drivers living on the rim.
Race 7 – Invitational Trot
(10) WIND OF THE NORTH has been much improved in his last three after moving to the Dylan Davis barn, hitting the ticket on all three occasions. Callahan's here to drive and seems worth a play if the price is right. (2) BEE A MAGICIAN returns to the racing wars off two nice qualifiers and should be ready to roll; clearly the one to beat. (8) SHAKE IT CERRY wasn't at her best last out and is stuck in post eight today, but we know the Takter trainee is more than capable.
Race 8
(7) DOT DOT DOT DASH has proven herself in the past versus this type with some solid efforts and the added distance can help her cause in this wide-open affair. (3) BINGO QUEEN has been feeling good lately and minding her manners; consider. (4) SUPER MANNING was used very hard last week and proved very stubborn before giving way; he can be a big price here.
Race 9
(1) SUMATRA gets some needed post relief and should be close up throughout. (9) WORLD CUP has hit the board in his last few efforts at this level with a win sprinkled in; Gingras drives today and he can be considered the one to beat despite starting from the second tier. (7) LUCK O THE IRISH recovered very nicely from a break last out versus lesser; could be a late threat.
Race 10 – Invitational Pace
(8) WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT certainly isn't a cinch from this outside starting spot but how can you go against or root against him? No doubt Montrell Teague will have him firing early. (4) ALL BETS OFF has had a very nice season chasing the top ones, banking over $500K in the process. Note last week's 1:46 2/5 effort chasing Always B Miki. Burke trainee is way overdue. (1) BIT OF A LEGEND is the Levy champ and has clearly accomplished the most of the locals; impossible to ignore him from this spot. This should be a great race.
Race 11
(2) WINDS OF CHANGE brushed aggressively last out, cut a rated pace and gave way late. Takter trainee seems better from off the pace, which is where he should be today. (1) THE REAL ONE is back up in class after jogging versus lesser and he draws best. (5) FOILED AGAIN is back locally after bouncing back from some adversity for seemingly the 100th time. Note the champ is reunited with Gingras.
Race 12
(4) WINGS OF ROYALTY was a sharp pocket-sitting winner last out and now he gets Sears back in the bike; repeat trip is possible. (8) MAJOR ATHENS qualified effortlessly and he can be a threat despite the outside post. (3) CRAZY ABOUT PAT saved ground and closed well last week in his local return.
Race 13
(3) WESTERN ROCKSTAR A was outbattled late by a speedy rival last week upon dropping to this level and he can make amends today. (1) THESEYESRCRYING has loads of speed and a much better post. (2) MOONLITEONTHEBEACH keeps Bartlett after getting nailed on the wire last out but he hasn't beaten this type in a while.
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 352 - 1039 / $1,906.60
BEST BETS: 46 - 86 / $152.80
Best Bet: CRAZSHANA (2nd)
Spot Play: SANTA FE BEACHBOY (3rd)
Race 1
(1) STOLEN CAR has very quietly had a solid season with over $100,000 banked. He's a proven fit at this level and looks enticing at 12/1 morning line. (5) CYCLONE KIWI N returns locally off a very sharp score versus lesser at Philly. (3) SOHO LENNON A finally put it together last week with a solid effort and Stratton sticks with him.
Race 2
(6) CRAZSHANA has missed time between his recent starts but he's back now on a week's rest getting needed class relief; Bamond trainee looks like the one to beat. (2) ZOOMING has been much better in his last two after a few dull efforts. (4) SOMEBODY AS always lands a share but he sometimes lacks the winning habit, especially at Yonkers.
Race 3
(6) SANTA FE BEACHBOY has always been an erratic sort but he's really fast when on his game; Banca trainee looks for two straight. (1) SAPPHIRE CITY gets needed post relief and he'll be on the lead or stalking close up. (2) TEXICAN N finally broke into the win column last week and he's certainly classy enough to repeat.
Race 4
(8) FIRST CLASS HORSE broke leaving last week ending his insane string of races after moving to the Milici barn but he made up a ton of ground to be a solid third. Obviously with no mishaps Bartlett can make it to the front and control these. (4) ROCK N ROLL WORLD seems like he should be better than he's showing; Burke trainee can be a threat from this spot. (7) BLOOD BROTHER has obvious ability but can't come from last; can he float early for a seat?
Race 5
(1) DREAM OUT LOUD N probably should have won last week but it certainly wasn't a bad effort; Cassar trainee can trip out from this spot. (8) FEEL THE NEED A was a decent and unextended third last week in the Open; we've seen flashes of brilliance from this import and he can be considered even from this outside spot; watch the board for clues. (7) TAKE IT BACK TERRY is also stuck with a tough outside post but we know he fits with these.
Race 6 – International Trot
(5) OASIS BI is one of three European horses who raced in last year's International Trot, and he had plenty finishing after escaping traffic. He's had just as stellar of a campaign this year overseas and from this nice midpack post he should be in the clear throughout. Riding live cover can get it done. (1) HANNELORE HANOVER has been super for the Burke stable and lands the inside post. I'm sure the strategy will be for the mare to take these down the road, but it should be a pressured pace throughout. (7) BBS SUGARLIGHT also had a trip over the Yonkers oval last year and didn't race badly. He's another that seems capable with a live flow. (2) RESOLVE is arguably the best trotter here for Svanstedt but from this starting spot it's possible he gets buried early and never escapes, especially with the European style of drivers living on the rim.
Race 7 – Invitational Trot
(10) WIND OF THE NORTH has been much improved in his last three after moving to the Dylan Davis barn, hitting the ticket on all three occasions. Callahan's here to drive and seems worth a play if the price is right. (2) BEE A MAGICIAN returns to the racing wars off two nice qualifiers and should be ready to roll; clearly the one to beat. (8) SHAKE IT CERRY wasn't at her best last out and is stuck in post eight today, but we know the Takter trainee is more than capable.
Race 8
(7) DOT DOT DOT DASH has proven herself in the past versus this type with some solid efforts and the added distance can help her cause in this wide-open affair. (3) BINGO QUEEN has been feeling good lately and minding her manners; consider. (4) SUPER MANNING was used very hard last week and proved very stubborn before giving way; he can be a big price here.
Race 9
(1) SUMATRA gets some needed post relief and should be close up throughout. (9) WORLD CUP has hit the board in his last few efforts at this level with a win sprinkled in; Gingras drives today and he can be considered the one to beat despite starting from the second tier. (7) LUCK O THE IRISH recovered very nicely from a break last out versus lesser; could be a late threat.
Race 10 – Invitational Pace
(8) WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT certainly isn't a cinch from this outside starting spot but how can you go against or root against him? No doubt Montrell Teague will have him firing early. (4) ALL BETS OFF has had a very nice season chasing the top ones, banking over $500K in the process. Note last week's 1:46 2/5 effort chasing Always B Miki. Burke trainee is way overdue. (1) BIT OF A LEGEND is the Levy champ and has clearly accomplished the most of the locals; impossible to ignore him from this spot. This should be a great race.
Race 11
(2) WINDS OF CHANGE brushed aggressively last out, cut a rated pace and gave way late. Takter trainee seems better from off the pace, which is where he should be today. (1) THE REAL ONE is back up in class after jogging versus lesser and he draws best. (5) FOILED AGAIN is back locally after bouncing back from some adversity for seemingly the 100th time. Note the champ is reunited with Gingras.
Race 12
(4) WINGS OF ROYALTY was a sharp pocket-sitting winner last out and now he gets Sears back in the bike; repeat trip is possible. (8) MAJOR ATHENS qualified effortlessly and he can be a threat despite the outside post. (3) CRAZY ABOUT PAT saved ground and closed well last week in his local return.
Race 13
(3) WESTERN ROCKSTAR A was outbattled late by a speedy rival last week upon dropping to this level and he can make amends today. (1) THESEYESRCRYING has loads of speed and a much better post. (2) MOONLITEONTHEBEACH keeps Bartlett after getting nailed on the wire last out but he hasn't beaten this type in a while.
