At the Gate - Friday
By Mike Dempsey
The shape of the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) continues to change and lost a major contender as the connections of Cavorting announced the mare would be retired.
The mare won the Personal Ensign (G1) at Saratoga in her last outing on Aug. 27, her third win in four starts this year. She developed cannon bone bruising following a workout on Sept. 26 and will head to the breeding shed.
Among the top 12 in early betting, she became the second to retire. Last year’s Distaff winner Stopchargingmaria was retired last month.
In addition, Carina Mia and Curalina are likely headed to the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1).
The top three are still being pointed toward one of the most anticipated showdowns of the year. Songbird is likely going to go off as the betting favorite as she puts her perfect record at risk.
She has won all 11 of her career starts including the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) last fall at Keeneland.
Beholder already has a pair of Breeders’ Cup wins, taking the Juvenile Fillies in 2012 and the Distaff (G1) in 2013.
Stellar Wind was the champion three-year-old filly last year and has beaten Beholder in her last two starts.
Top Contenders for Breeders’ Cup Distaff:
Songbird -125
Beholder +280
Stellar Wind +450
Cavorting +750 (retired)
Carina Mia +850 (likely going to BC Filly & Mare Sprint)
Cathryn Sophia +1300 (likely going to BC Filly & Mare Sprint)
Forever Unbridled +1300
Curalina +1800 (might go to BC Filly & Mare Sprint)
Land Over Sea +2000
Stopchargingmaria +2000 (retired)
Paid Up Subscriber +2400
Sheer Drama +2800
Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Md $50,000 (12:55 ET)
#10 Summer of Joy 6-1
#5 Tiz Rae Anna 6-5
#9 Tiz All Behind Us 12-1
#4 Hostilebutawesome 12-1
Analysis: Summer of Joy made her debut on the bull ring at the Md. State Fair, stalking the early pace and weakening to finish fifth. The winner Sommer Something came back to beat $16,000 starter optional claimers in her next outing on Sept. 22 at Delaware Park. She adds blinkers and drops in for a tag here for the RRod barn that is 20% winners with second out maidens. She is out of the stakes winner La Princesse Jolie ($185,460) who has dropped four winners, top earner stakes winner Spectacular Sky ($288,985).
Tiz Rae Anna drops in for a tag for her third career start here for the Englehart barn. Last out she tracked the early pace and weakened to finish seventh in her first trip over the main track here. The winner Yellow Agate came back to win the Frizette (G1) in her next outing on Oct. 8. She catches a softer group here for a barn that is 22% winners dropping runners from maiden special weight to maiden claiming.
Wagering
WIN: #10 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 5,10 / 4,5,9,10
TRI: 5,10 / 4,5,9,10 / 4,5,7,9,10
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 7 Alw $77,000N1X (4:13 ET)
#4 Mastic 6-1
#2 Delicate Lady 8-1
#1 Smartly Agree 3-1
#7 Tale for Ruby 9-5
Analysis: Mastic tracked the early pace from the rail and could not get to the loose on the lead gate to wire winner late in a runner up finish at this level here. The winner was Kelsocait, who came back to beat Alw-2 optional claimers in her next outing on Oct. 10. She was claimed for just $12,500 back in June and has shown steady improvement since landing with Arriaga.
Delicate Lady bobbled coming out of the gate and was off next to last and finished evenly in a third place finish last out at the Spa in her first start since last October. As a juvenile she broke her maiden in her debut and then was third in the Adirondack (G2) before not taking to the turf in the Jessamine (G3) at Keeneland. She returns here off a 2 1/2 month break for Pletcher and worth another look here in her second start this year. Decent value if she goes off near her 8-1 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 2,4 / 1,2,4,7
TRI: 2,4 / 1,2,4,7 / 1,2,4,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R1: #9 Tiz All Behind Us 12-1
R1: #4 Hostilebutawesome 12-1
R5: #4 Pegasus Red 8-1
R7: #2 Delicate Lady 8-1
R8: #5 Snowday 15-1
R9: #5 Benny Big Boy 15-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
The shape of the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1) continues to change and lost a major contender as the connections of Cavorting announced the mare would be retired.
The mare won the Personal Ensign (G1) at Saratoga in her last outing on Aug. 27, her third win in four starts this year. She developed cannon bone bruising following a workout on Sept. 26 and will head to the breeding shed.
Among the top 12 in early betting, she became the second to retire. Last year’s Distaff winner Stopchargingmaria was retired last month.
In addition, Carina Mia and Curalina are likely headed to the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1).
The top three are still being pointed toward one of the most anticipated showdowns of the year. Songbird is likely going to go off as the betting favorite as she puts her perfect record at risk.
She has won all 11 of her career starts including the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) last fall at Keeneland.
Beholder already has a pair of Breeders’ Cup wins, taking the Juvenile Fillies in 2012 and the Distaff (G1) in 2013.
Stellar Wind was the champion three-year-old filly last year and has beaten Beholder in her last two starts.
Top Contenders for Breeders’ Cup Distaff:
Songbird -125
Beholder +280
Stellar Wind +450
Cavorting +750 (retired)
Carina Mia +850 (likely going to BC Filly & Mare Sprint)
Cathryn Sophia +1300 (likely going to BC Filly & Mare Sprint)
Forever Unbridled +1300
Curalina +1800 (might go to BC Filly & Mare Sprint)
Land Over Sea +2000
Stopchargingmaria +2000 (retired)
Paid Up Subscriber +2400
Sheer Drama +2800
Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
BEL Race 1 Md $50,000 (12:55 ET)
#10 Summer of Joy 6-1
#5 Tiz Rae Anna 6-5
#9 Tiz All Behind Us 12-1
#4 Hostilebutawesome 12-1
Analysis: Summer of Joy made her debut on the bull ring at the Md. State Fair, stalking the early pace and weakening to finish fifth. The winner Sommer Something came back to beat $16,000 starter optional claimers in her next outing on Sept. 22 at Delaware Park. She adds blinkers and drops in for a tag here for the RRod barn that is 20% winners with second out maidens. She is out of the stakes winner La Princesse Jolie ($185,460) who has dropped four winners, top earner stakes winner Spectacular Sky ($288,985).
Tiz Rae Anna drops in for a tag for her third career start here for the Englehart barn. Last out she tracked the early pace and weakened to finish seventh in her first trip over the main track here. The winner Yellow Agate came back to win the Frizette (G1) in her next outing on Oct. 8. She catches a softer group here for a barn that is 22% winners dropping runners from maiden special weight to maiden claiming.
Wagering
WIN: #10 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 5,10 / 4,5,9,10
TRI: 5,10 / 4,5,9,10 / 4,5,7,9,10
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
BEL Race 7 Alw $77,000N1X (4:13 ET)
#4 Mastic 6-1
#2 Delicate Lady 8-1
#1 Smartly Agree 3-1
#7 Tale for Ruby 9-5
Analysis: Mastic tracked the early pace from the rail and could not get to the loose on the lead gate to wire winner late in a runner up finish at this level here. The winner was Kelsocait, who came back to beat Alw-2 optional claimers in her next outing on Oct. 10. She was claimed for just $12,500 back in June and has shown steady improvement since landing with Arriaga.
Delicate Lady bobbled coming out of the gate and was off next to last and finished evenly in a third place finish last out at the Spa in her first start since last October. As a juvenile she broke her maiden in her debut and then was third in the Adirondack (G2) before not taking to the turf in the Jessamine (G3) at Keeneland. She returns here off a 2 1/2 month break for Pletcher and worth another look here in her second start this year. Decent value if she goes off near her 8-1 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 2,4 / 1,2,4,7
TRI: 2,4 / 1,2,4,7 / 1,2,4,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R1: #9 Tiz All Behind Us 12-1
R1: #4 Hostilebutawesome 12-1
R5: #4 Pegasus Red 8-1
R7: #2 Delicate Lady 8-1
R8: #5 Snowday 15-1
R9: #5 Benny Big Boy 15-1
Good luck today!
Mohawk: Friday 10/14 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 1,3,10/2,4,8/2,3/2,9/2,3,7,8,9 = $36
EARLY PICK 4: 2,9/2,3,7,8,9/3,4,9/1,5 = $60
LATE PICK 4: 5,9/6,7,8/2,3/1,4 = $24
MEET STATS: 420 - 1238 / $2180.20 BEST BETS: 69 - 114 / $215.70
SPOT PLAYS: 26 - 113 / $171.60
Best Bet: REGALLY READY (8th)
Spot Play: SELLING THE DREAM (11th)
Race 1
(10) WORLDCLASS HANOVER thrived last week with the class drop, powering by her rivals late. She can repeat here despite the post, which should help her price. (1) RENEGADE MAGIC shows two wins on her card already in the non-winners of three class that she took in August; using. (3) MERCHANDISER bottomed out the field last week using blistering speed to the 3/4 pole. He may need more careful rating this time, but, he is a contender again. (8) PRESQUILLE capitalized on a slowing pace last time. These are tougher but he can close for a smaller share this time.
Race 2
(8) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU was visibly motoring late in the mile last week. She can win here if she gets rolling earlier. (4) DOCS SAUSILITO draws inside and faces easier. She will rightfully take plenty of action here and she's the one to beat. (2) TOP ROYAL is another that will benefit from post relief and she has shown in the past that she can take lots of air and keep coming; using. (5) HEX should be heard from early; late is debatable.
Race 3
(3) DELIGHTFUL HILL stands a decent chance of being situated in the pocket turning home here and that's when she is most dangerous; slight nod. (2) WAASMULA comes off two good tries vs. some of the best on the continent. She's the one to beat but she'll be odds-on. (1) WRANGLER MAGIC should get a good trip starting from the pole and make the ticket. (4) STORM POINT is worth a look for the exotics based on the recent company she has kept.
Race 4
(9) LEAVING A LEGACY was a strong winner while taking a new life's mark last week; call to repeat. (2) MATTJESTIC TEMPO was a victim of interference and knocked out of the race before the start last week. She has proven that she fits this class. (6) TOTAL KNOCKOUT takes a check almost every week but she will need a perfect trip to beat the top two choices. (8) CHARMING HILL was 2nd to the choice last week and she can grab another share here.
Race 5
(7) WINDSONG LIGHTNING raced well considering the brutal trip he got last week. He should be tough here from an improved post. (3) HOPIESDRAGNINTHEDO retains Filion and leaves from a much better post here; using. (2) IM THE PIED PIPER comes off two failed efforts as the chalk at Flamboro but he could get sent early this time which would make him a player here. (8) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE will be winding up and passing many of these down the lane for a share.
Race 6
(3) RAMAS LAST SON comes off an even effort vs. better when he had missed a month. Saftic has driven him aggressively in similar spots in the past and he should be a good price; top call. (4) ELEGANT SERENITY should go better here but she might be an underlay on the board. (9) YOURE MAJESTIC is worth a look dropping in class with a 26 4/5 kicker in tow from last week's mile. (7) LADY PING has been racing great when she has been flat, but she has a history of chronic gait issues; your call.
Race 7
(1) VELOCITY DRIVEN moves in nine posts and he should get a good pace to stalk from midpack this time; slight nod. (5) ERLE DALE N takes a big drop and he will no doubt get put into the race early here by McNair. (9) HEZA THRILL N has been impressive in both starts since shipping overseas. Don't dismiss him despite the class rise. (4) SINGLE WHITE SOCK looks logical for a smaller share here.
Race 8
(9) REGALLY READY should blast right to the front here in the class drop. She is a good bet to drop-and-pop. (5) RIDE AWAY SHARK has been racing well at this class and she will likely pop soon at this level. (2) NINETTE B is likely to make the Tri or Super ticket off a good following trip here. (4) SOUTHWIND GEISHA raced tough last week at the bottom level but she has beaten better in the past.
Race 9
(7) WHISKEY TAX eludes the very hot Windsun Revenge this week and he should have a great shot here with that rival missing in action. (6) NAHAR took a new life's mark last week when cruising vs. easier. Count this 11-year old as a contender here. (8) CATCH THE DREAM is always a danger to pass them all if he gets the right pace setup; using. (5) RUBBER DUCK figures for a slice here.
Race 10
(3) STACIA HANOVER paced her back 1/2 in 54 flat last week and she can take this group if she's kept in close enough range. (2) OUR HOT MAJORETTE was just beaten in a gritty effort last time. She's the one to haul down. (1) DAZZLING ROCKETTE has been racing well in the top class at Hoosier. She can take a slice here with her typical closing brush. (5) WITCH DALI should be part of the early pace and she could go a long way if she is left alone for too long.
Race 11
(1) SELLING THE DREAM is one of the sharpest racehorses on the grounds. I'll stick with her again this week despite her facing tougher. (4) LIGHTS GO OUT steps up off a sharp win and she gets a good post; using. (8) SHES LIGHTS OUT went a big trip on the rim to record a new life's mark last week. She can share here. (3) GRACIES PARADE has woke up in her last few starts and can use different racing styles effectively; consider for exotics.
Race 12
(3) JACK RACKHAM had no shot of passing them all last time but he did well to beat more than 1/2 of the field. Moving inside should precipitate a more aggressive approach; top call. (9) DREAMY FELLA is sharp, dangerous and might be a great price from out there; using. (5) DREAMFAIR MESA looked good striding out down the lane to victory last week. Toss him on Pick 4 tickets, too. (7) MACH POWER figures for a smaller share closing off cover. (4) ALL THE COOKIES was sharp in victory last week but these are a lot tougher; minor share predicted.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
20-CENT PICK 5: 1,3,10/2,4,8/2,3/2,9/2,3,7,8,9 = $36
EARLY PICK 4: 2,9/2,3,7,8,9/3,4,9/1,5 = $60
LATE PICK 4: 5,9/6,7,8/2,3/1,4 = $24
MEET STATS: 420 - 1238 / $2180.20 BEST BETS: 69 - 114 / $215.70
SPOT PLAYS: 26 - 113 / $171.60
Best Bet: REGALLY READY (8th)
Spot Play: SELLING THE DREAM (11th)
Race 1
(10) WORLDCLASS HANOVER thrived last week with the class drop, powering by her rivals late. She can repeat here despite the post, which should help her price. (1) RENEGADE MAGIC shows two wins on her card already in the non-winners of three class that she took in August; using. (3) MERCHANDISER bottomed out the field last week using blistering speed to the 3/4 pole. He may need more careful rating this time, but, he is a contender again. (8) PRESQUILLE capitalized on a slowing pace last time. These are tougher but he can close for a smaller share this time.
Race 2
(8) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU was visibly motoring late in the mile last week. She can win here if she gets rolling earlier. (4) DOCS SAUSILITO draws inside and faces easier. She will rightfully take plenty of action here and she's the one to beat. (2) TOP ROYAL is another that will benefit from post relief and she has shown in the past that she can take lots of air and keep coming; using. (5) HEX should be heard from early; late is debatable.
Race 3
(3) DELIGHTFUL HILL stands a decent chance of being situated in the pocket turning home here and that's when she is most dangerous; slight nod. (2) WAASMULA comes off two good tries vs. some of the best on the continent. She's the one to beat but she'll be odds-on. (1) WRANGLER MAGIC should get a good trip starting from the pole and make the ticket. (4) STORM POINT is worth a look for the exotics based on the recent company she has kept.
Race 4
(9) LEAVING A LEGACY was a strong winner while taking a new life's mark last week; call to repeat. (2) MATTJESTIC TEMPO was a victim of interference and knocked out of the race before the start last week. She has proven that she fits this class. (6) TOTAL KNOCKOUT takes a check almost every week but she will need a perfect trip to beat the top two choices. (8) CHARMING HILL was 2nd to the choice last week and she can grab another share here.
Race 5
(7) WINDSONG LIGHTNING raced well considering the brutal trip he got last week. He should be tough here from an improved post. (3) HOPIESDRAGNINTHEDO retains Filion and leaves from a much better post here; using. (2) IM THE PIED PIPER comes off two failed efforts as the chalk at Flamboro but he could get sent early this time which would make him a player here. (8) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE will be winding up and passing many of these down the lane for a share.
Race 6
(3) RAMAS LAST SON comes off an even effort vs. better when he had missed a month. Saftic has driven him aggressively in similar spots in the past and he should be a good price; top call. (4) ELEGANT SERENITY should go better here but she might be an underlay on the board. (9) YOURE MAJESTIC is worth a look dropping in class with a 26 4/5 kicker in tow from last week's mile. (7) LADY PING has been racing great when she has been flat, but she has a history of chronic gait issues; your call.
Race 7
(1) VELOCITY DRIVEN moves in nine posts and he should get a good pace to stalk from midpack this time; slight nod. (5) ERLE DALE N takes a big drop and he will no doubt get put into the race early here by McNair. (9) HEZA THRILL N has been impressive in both starts since shipping overseas. Don't dismiss him despite the class rise. (4) SINGLE WHITE SOCK looks logical for a smaller share here.
Race 8
(9) REGALLY READY should blast right to the front here in the class drop. She is a good bet to drop-and-pop. (5) RIDE AWAY SHARK has been racing well at this class and she will likely pop soon at this level. (2) NINETTE B is likely to make the Tri or Super ticket off a good following trip here. (4) SOUTHWIND GEISHA raced tough last week at the bottom level but she has beaten better in the past.
Race 9
(7) WHISKEY TAX eludes the very hot Windsun Revenge this week and he should have a great shot here with that rival missing in action. (6) NAHAR took a new life's mark last week when cruising vs. easier. Count this 11-year old as a contender here. (8) CATCH THE DREAM is always a danger to pass them all if he gets the right pace setup; using. (5) RUBBER DUCK figures for a slice here.
Race 10
(3) STACIA HANOVER paced her back 1/2 in 54 flat last week and she can take this group if she's kept in close enough range. (2) OUR HOT MAJORETTE was just beaten in a gritty effort last time. She's the one to haul down. (1) DAZZLING ROCKETTE has been racing well in the top class at Hoosier. She can take a slice here with her typical closing brush. (5) WITCH DALI should be part of the early pace and she could go a long way if she is left alone for too long.
Race 11
(1) SELLING THE DREAM is one of the sharpest racehorses on the grounds. I'll stick with her again this week despite her facing tougher. (4) LIGHTS GO OUT steps up off a sharp win and she gets a good post; using. (8) SHES LIGHTS OUT went a big trip on the rim to record a new life's mark last week. She can share here. (3) GRACIES PARADE has woke up in her last few starts and can use different racing styles effectively; consider for exotics.
Race 12
(3) JACK RACKHAM had no shot of passing them all last time but he did well to beat more than 1/2 of the field. Moving inside should precipitate a more aggressive approach; top call. (9) DREAMY FELLA is sharp, dangerous and might be a great price from out there; using. (5) DREAMFAIR MESA looked good striding out down the lane to victory last week. Toss him on Pick 4 tickets, too. (7) MACH POWER figures for a smaller share closing off cover. (4) ALL THE COOKIES was sharp in victory last week but these are a lot tougher; minor share predicted.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Post: 7:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$15000 - FILLIES & MARES OPEN DAYTON RACEWAY P. WRENN - LISTED - 2,5
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 MY TWEED HEART 8/1
# 1 SHE'S SHOCKING 3/1
# 4 BROOKLETSSUPRSONIC 5/1
MY TWEED HEART sure does look ready to end up in the winner's circle and the morning line makes this a dynamite value wager. Can't pass over this fine animal, especially in exotics. Pace ratings put her in the mix for this race. Sutton and Dailey have a nice working relationship. Top notch results from their races. This fine animal will be greatly helped with Sutton steering. 26 percent winners this last month. SHE'S SHOCKING - This outing could very well be controlled by this mare. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will prove that. Seems to have a nice class edge based on the standardbreds she has raced against. BROOKLETSSUPRSONIC - Overall stats appear very nice. Can't throw out at this point. Chances are greatly increased for interesting entrants starting from the 4 post at Dayton Raceway.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Post: 7:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$15000 - FILLIES & MARES OPEN DAYTON RACEWAY P. WRENN - LISTED - 2,5
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 MY TWEED HEART 8/1
# 1 SHE'S SHOCKING 3/1
# 4 BROOKLETSSUPRSONIC 5/1
MY TWEED HEART sure does look ready to end up in the winner's circle and the morning line makes this a dynamite value wager. Can't pass over this fine animal, especially in exotics. Pace ratings put her in the mix for this race. Sutton and Dailey have a nice working relationship. Top notch results from their races. This fine animal will be greatly helped with Sutton steering. 26 percent winners this last month. SHE'S SHOCKING - This outing could very well be controlled by this mare. One look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will prove that. Seems to have a nice class edge based on the standardbreds she has raced against. BROOKLETSSUPRSONIC - Overall stats appear very nice. Can't throw out at this point. Chances are greatly increased for interesting entrants starting from the 4 post at Dayton Raceway.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Retama Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $5500 Class Rating: 53
FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 8 THIS IS NOT SONATA 3/1
# 4 ADIOS SIERRA 12/1
# 6 IMA RARE BIRD 2/1
THIS IS NOT SONATA looks decent to best this field. Earning some nice paychecks in dirt sprint contests. IMA RARE BIRD - Will almost certainly go to the front end and may never look back. Will make a strong performance versus this bunch.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $5500 Class Rating: 53
FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 8 THIS IS NOT SONATA 3/1
# 4 ADIOS SIERRA 12/1
# 6 IMA RARE BIRD 2/1
THIS IS NOT SONATA looks decent to best this field. Earning some nice paychecks in dirt sprint contests. IMA RARE BIRD - Will almost certainly go to the front end and may never look back. Will make a strong performance versus this bunch.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 68
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 HICLASS MAN 3/1
# 1 TICKLE ME IVORYS 7/2
# 2 ALL THAT GLITTERS 4/1
I think HICLASS MAN is a respectable choice. Ought to be considered - I like the numbers from the last race. Players ought to take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field. TICKLE ME IVORYS - Vaunts reliable Speed Figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group of horses in this race. With a quite good 62 Equibase speed fig last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this race. ALL THAT GLITTERS - Moreland has this filly racing well and is a very strong selection based on the solid Equibase speed figs recorded in short races recently. Quite good jock and handler combo winning 22 percent of their races working together.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 68
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 HICLASS MAN 3/1
# 1 TICKLE ME IVORYS 7/2
# 2 ALL THAT GLITTERS 4/1
I think HICLASS MAN is a respectable choice. Ought to be considered - I like the numbers from the last race. Players ought to take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field. TICKLE ME IVORYS - Vaunts reliable Speed Figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group of horses in this race. With a quite good 62 Equibase speed fig last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this race. ALL THAT GLITTERS - Moreland has this filly racing well and is a very strong selection based on the solid Equibase speed figs recorded in short races recently. Quite good jock and handler combo winning 22 percent of their races working together.
Yonkers: Friday 10/14 Analysis
By Brewster Smith
DRF
MEET STATS: 258 - 1075 / $1,697.80
BEST BETS: 30 - 101 / $144.40
Best Bet: CHANGE THE RULZ (10th)
Spot Play: ALL ARTIST (2nd)
Race 1
(1) THISGUYSAROCKSTAR Gelding moves back inside and he might carry his speed home to victory. (4) SKYFUL OF LIGHTERS was sent down the road in his latest for all the glory. (3) MCARDLE ROYALE N is back in the $12.5K ranks where he got the job done two trips ago.
Race 2
(2) ALL ARTIST flashed early pace in his last try. With a favorable trip this guy can boss these with Brennan at the helm. (1) WILD AGAIN was on the engine most of the way but tried in the stretch drive last out. (5) THE SPY Gelding was sharp last out at Plainridge; must be considered.
Race 3
(1) A PLUS HANOVER could not get to the winner from the pocket last out; can be ready to move forward against these. (4) P L HELLCAT drops a notch and gets post relief; threat. (2) KING ROYALTY is knocking at the door based on his last four starts.
Race 4
(3) MYSHARONA BLUECHIP 4-year-old scored easily in his Philly finale; two straight is not out of the question. (4) NATIONAL SEELSTER blasted out of the 7-hole but could not hold off the winner recently. (5) SANTANNA STAR comes off a sharp victory at Plainridge last out; don't overlook.
Race 5
(3) POWDER KEG Gelding is very consistent and was sharp in the pocket for the score last time out; can repeat. (2) PAN STREET USA has put in two game efforts in a row and has every right to contend with these. (6) PRINCE ASTON had a mild rally for the show spot in his last start.
Race 6
(6) KRISPY APPLE Pacing mare seems to be much better when she is close to the pace and we shall see if Bartlett will be on the engine with this 8-year-old miss; gets the call. (7) DEVIL CHILD took the pocket route on her way to glory last out. (5) MACH IT A PAR was late on the scene to grab the place spot in her latest.
Race 7
(7) SELL A BIT N takes a class drop and this should help this mare to get back to the winner's circle. (5) SECRETS OUT N She's another that gets class relief; main danger. (2) MOMAS GOT A GUN got the job done against lesser last out and she could have a say in the outcome.
Race 8
(3) P H KENNY was very game against tougher in his last two trips to the post and this seems to be a perfect spot for this gelding to greet the cameraman for pictures. (2) FORT KNOX has good speed and should be considered in all the exotic slots. (1) RAINBOW ROMANCE N should fare better from the fence.
Race 9
(2) SHEEZA SHARK N Mare put in two fine starts in a row at this level and if she reverts to her 9/30 start the rest will have to settle for minor awards. (1) SWEETNSINFUL has wheeled off two straight victories and she now moves to the rail; the one to beat. (6) ANALYZE showed life in her latest and could make some noise late; maybe.
Race 10
(1) CHANGE THE RULZ N gets serious post relief and good to see Brennan keeps the faith with this pacing mare; can pick them up and lay them down for all the glory. (4) GLENFERRIE BRONTE N moves down the scale and gets a cozy post to work with; big threat. (3) DO YOUR JOB also moves inside and that might help her cause.
Race 11
Will take a shot with (8) DOJEA SOLO to put it all together against this well select group of pacers and the 8-hole should not be a problem with a favorable trip. (7) MASTERSON Gelding is back to his winning self and figures to be right in the mix. (1) RAMPAGE JACKSON now the gelding moves to the fence and he will try to score against these down the road; we shall see.
Race 12
(1) BETTOR N BETTER was quite good finishing third last out and this mare seems to be heading in the right direction; primed to return to the winner's circle. (6) DILLY DALI took charge right from the start but did not have enough gas in the tank to hold off Mamas Got A Gun last week; main danger. (3) MOTU MOONBEAM N came very wide and mowed them down for the victory against lesser last out.
By Brewster Smith
DRF
MEET STATS: 258 - 1075 / $1,697.80
BEST BETS: 30 - 101 / $144.40
Best Bet: CHANGE THE RULZ (10th)
Spot Play: ALL ARTIST (2nd)
Race 1
(1) THISGUYSAROCKSTAR Gelding moves back inside and he might carry his speed home to victory. (4) SKYFUL OF LIGHTERS was sent down the road in his latest for all the glory. (3) MCARDLE ROYALE N is back in the $12.5K ranks where he got the job done two trips ago.
Race 2
(2) ALL ARTIST flashed early pace in his last try. With a favorable trip this guy can boss these with Brennan at the helm. (1) WILD AGAIN was on the engine most of the way but tried in the stretch drive last out. (5) THE SPY Gelding was sharp last out at Plainridge; must be considered.
Race 3
(1) A PLUS HANOVER could not get to the winner from the pocket last out; can be ready to move forward against these. (4) P L HELLCAT drops a notch and gets post relief; threat. (2) KING ROYALTY is knocking at the door based on his last four starts.
Race 4
(3) MYSHARONA BLUECHIP 4-year-old scored easily in his Philly finale; two straight is not out of the question. (4) NATIONAL SEELSTER blasted out of the 7-hole but could not hold off the winner recently. (5) SANTANNA STAR comes off a sharp victory at Plainridge last out; don't overlook.
Race 5
(3) POWDER KEG Gelding is very consistent and was sharp in the pocket for the score last time out; can repeat. (2) PAN STREET USA has put in two game efforts in a row and has every right to contend with these. (6) PRINCE ASTON had a mild rally for the show spot in his last start.
Race 6
(6) KRISPY APPLE Pacing mare seems to be much better when she is close to the pace and we shall see if Bartlett will be on the engine with this 8-year-old miss; gets the call. (7) DEVIL CHILD took the pocket route on her way to glory last out. (5) MACH IT A PAR was late on the scene to grab the place spot in her latest.
Race 7
(7) SELL A BIT N takes a class drop and this should help this mare to get back to the winner's circle. (5) SECRETS OUT N She's another that gets class relief; main danger. (2) MOMAS GOT A GUN got the job done against lesser last out and she could have a say in the outcome.
Race 8
(3) P H KENNY was very game against tougher in his last two trips to the post and this seems to be a perfect spot for this gelding to greet the cameraman for pictures. (2) FORT KNOX has good speed and should be considered in all the exotic slots. (1) RAINBOW ROMANCE N should fare better from the fence.
Race 9
(2) SHEEZA SHARK N Mare put in two fine starts in a row at this level and if she reverts to her 9/30 start the rest will have to settle for minor awards. (1) SWEETNSINFUL has wheeled off two straight victories and she now moves to the rail; the one to beat. (6) ANALYZE showed life in her latest and could make some noise late; maybe.
Race 10
(1) CHANGE THE RULZ N gets serious post relief and good to see Brennan keeps the faith with this pacing mare; can pick them up and lay them down for all the glory. (4) GLENFERRIE BRONTE N moves down the scale and gets a cozy post to work with; big threat. (3) DO YOUR JOB also moves inside and that might help her cause.
Race 11
Will take a shot with (8) DOJEA SOLO to put it all together against this well select group of pacers and the 8-hole should not be a problem with a favorable trip. (7) MASTERSON Gelding is back to his winning self and figures to be right in the mix. (1) RAMPAGE JACKSON now the gelding moves to the fence and he will try to score against these down the road; we shall see.
Race 12
(1) BETTOR N BETTER was quite good finishing third last out and this mare seems to be heading in the right direction; primed to return to the winner's circle. (6) DILLY DALI took charge right from the start but did not have enough gas in the tank to hold off Mamas Got A Gun last week; main danger. (3) MOTU MOONBEAM N came very wide and mowed them down for the victory against lesser last out.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 1:00pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 84
Rating:
#7 FLEETWOOD STAR (ML=9/2)
#6 CUE (ML=8/1)
#8 DON AVE (ML=10/1)
FLEETWOOD STAR - This one could be an overlay today at odds of 9/2. Finished fourth in last race at Delaware Park but was close at the end. CUE - Although it's been awhile, this gelding won at a higher class level and at today's distance. I think he could run back to that old form today. Forgive the out of the top three finish on the off track last time around the track. On a fast track, has a shot in this race. DON AVE - Winless in his last three starts, this colt did win on Apr 20th at Tampa Bay Downs versus tougher competition. Faced tougher last out at Delaware Park. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this one on my list of probable winners in this race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ROYAL ALMIGHTY (ML=4/5),
ROYAL ALMIGHTY - Should have at least finished in the money in the last two months in a short distance event to be worth a shot at minimal odds in a sprint.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 FLEETWOOD STAR to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,7,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [6,7,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 1:00pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 84
Rating:
#7 FLEETWOOD STAR (ML=9/2)
#6 CUE (ML=8/1)
#8 DON AVE (ML=10/1)
FLEETWOOD STAR - This one could be an overlay today at odds of 9/2. Finished fourth in last race at Delaware Park but was close at the end. CUE - Although it's been awhile, this gelding won at a higher class level and at today's distance. I think he could run back to that old form today. Forgive the out of the top three finish on the off track last time around the track. On a fast track, has a shot in this race. DON AVE - Winless in his last three starts, this colt did win on Apr 20th at Tampa Bay Downs versus tougher competition. Faced tougher last out at Delaware Park. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this one on my list of probable winners in this race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ROYAL ALMIGHTY (ML=4/5),
ROYAL ALMIGHTY - Should have at least finished in the money in the last two months in a short distance event to be worth a shot at minimal odds in a sprint.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 FLEETWOOD STAR to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,7,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [6,7,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Post: 1:40 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 85 - Purse:$40000 - JOHN SIMPSON MEMORIAL THE ELMA 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES ALL HORSES RACE UNCOUPLED BY PERMISSION OF THE STATE HORSE RACING COMMISSION
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 GOOSEBUMP HANOVER 8/5
# 4 TURN THE PAIGE 9/2
# 3 LOOKIN SHARP 3/1
Look no further than GOOSEBUMP HANOVER as the wager in here. This standardbred looks dangerous. Look at the 88 average TrackMaster Speed Rating. Had one of the top speed ratings of the field of starters in her last gathering. Must use in your bets. One of the most compelling win percents with this driver-trainer make this filly dangerous. TURN THE PAIGE - The panel of smart guys noted a sharp race out of this standardbred last time. Hoping for a duplicate of that to dominate. More wins than normal have been recorded by interesting entrants lining up behind the 4 post at Harrah's Philadelphia. LOOKIN SHARP - She's racing in good form, recording bang-up TrackMaster SRs. An excellent play. This nice horse has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 84 average class number. Should play well in this event.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Post: 1:40 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 85 - Purse:$40000 - JOHN SIMPSON MEMORIAL THE ELMA 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES ALL HORSES RACE UNCOUPLED BY PERMISSION OF THE STATE HORSE RACING COMMISSION
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 GOOSEBUMP HANOVER 8/5
# 4 TURN THE PAIGE 9/2
# 3 LOOKIN SHARP 3/1
Look no further than GOOSEBUMP HANOVER as the wager in here. This standardbred looks dangerous. Look at the 88 average TrackMaster Speed Rating. Had one of the top speed ratings of the field of starters in her last gathering. Must use in your bets. One of the most compelling win percents with this driver-trainer make this filly dangerous. TURN THE PAIGE - The panel of smart guys noted a sharp race out of this standardbred last time. Hoping for a duplicate of that to dominate. More wins than normal have been recorded by interesting entrants lining up behind the 4 post at Harrah's Philadelphia. LOOKIN SHARP - She's racing in good form, recording bang-up TrackMaster SRs. An excellent play. This nice horse has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 84 average class number. Should play well in this event.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Meadowlands - Race #4 - Post: 8:38pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 76
Rating:
#8 SHADES OF GREY (FR) (ML=2/1)
#4 IN A FLURY (ML=7/2)
SHADES OF GREY (FR) - We have lots of early speed with this mount. She could wire this field. I seem to always make money betting Thompson horses on the turf. That barn has a solid win pct for this distance/surface. In this race here, this pony has clearly shown signs that she likes the grass. Her speed figures are the highest in the field for this dist-surf. Looking at today's class figure, this campaigner is up against an easier group than last time out at Monmouth Park. When I handicap a turf race, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This race horse has the highest average class in the entire bunch. IN A FLURY - When this jockey and conditioner partner up you have to take a look. Bocachica and Lyster have been fantastic together. Atop this mount on Sep 28th and Bocachica is right back in the irons in today's contest. This filly is in good condition, having run a good race on Sep 28th, finishing first. This filly has the top turf figure in her last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here thoroughbred has a good chance. This horse wins a lot of cash per start. I believe she can augment that total in this race. The recent fig of 76 is the highest last race speed rating in the group.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 AFLEET'S DIVIDEND (ML=3/1), #9 ROYAL STAGE (ML=5/1), #2 CYNTHIA'S FURY (ML=6/1),
AFLEET'S DIVIDEND - A thoroughbred that breaks her maiden in a Maiden Claimer is usually recognized as a poor risk next out. Hard to put any money on this mare on the win end. Likes to hit the board though. ROYAL STAGE - This animal doesn't have a champion's character. Very often finishes in the place and show hole. Registered a most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race in a $7,500 Claiming race on October 3rd. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig. CYNTHIA'S FURY - Awfully hard to wager on this mount when she hasn't been showing any signs of readiness recently.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - IN A FLURY - Racing on the turf in a route makes this thoroughbred extremely dangerous today. Lyster has an excellent win percentage with horses at today's distance/surface.
*
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#8 SHADES OF GREY (FR) is going to be the play if we are getting 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
8 with 4 with [1,2,7] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Meadowlands - Race #4 - Post: 8:38pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 76
Rating:
#8 SHADES OF GREY (FR) (ML=2/1)
#4 IN A FLURY (ML=7/2)
SHADES OF GREY (FR) - We have lots of early speed with this mount. She could wire this field. I seem to always make money betting Thompson horses on the turf. That barn has a solid win pct for this distance/surface. In this race here, this pony has clearly shown signs that she likes the grass. Her speed figures are the highest in the field for this dist-surf. Looking at today's class figure, this campaigner is up against an easier group than last time out at Monmouth Park. When I handicap a turf race, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This race horse has the highest average class in the entire bunch. IN A FLURY - When this jockey and conditioner partner up you have to take a look. Bocachica and Lyster have been fantastic together. Atop this mount on Sep 28th and Bocachica is right back in the irons in today's contest. This filly is in good condition, having run a good race on Sep 28th, finishing first. This filly has the top turf figure in her last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here thoroughbred has a good chance. This horse wins a lot of cash per start. I believe she can augment that total in this race. The recent fig of 76 is the highest last race speed rating in the group.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 AFLEET'S DIVIDEND (ML=3/1), #9 ROYAL STAGE (ML=5/1), #2 CYNTHIA'S FURY (ML=6/1),
AFLEET'S DIVIDEND - A thoroughbred that breaks her maiden in a Maiden Claimer is usually recognized as a poor risk next out. Hard to put any money on this mare on the win end. Likes to hit the board though. ROYAL STAGE - This animal doesn't have a champion's character. Very often finishes in the place and show hole. Registered a most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race in a $7,500 Claiming race on October 3rd. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig. CYNTHIA'S FURY - Awfully hard to wager on this mount when she hasn't been showing any signs of readiness recently.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - IN A FLURY - Racing on the turf in a route makes this thoroughbred extremely dangerous today. Lyster has an excellent win percentage with horses at today's distance/surface.
*
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#8 SHADES OF GREY (FR) is going to be the play if we are getting 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
8 with 4 with [1,2,7] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park
RACE #7 - BELMONT PARK - 4:13 PM EASTERN POST
7.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $77,000.00 PURSE
#7 TALE FOR RUBY
#1 SMARTLY AGREE
#4 MASTIC
#6 TAURINE
#7 TALE FOR RUBY is the only entry in this allowance field not taking a step-up in class this afternoon, is the overall speed and pace profile leader, and has hit the board in each of her last three starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 2nd race back. Jockey John Velazquez has been in her irons on two previous occasions, hitting the board in each, with the win leading to a +63% return on investment in the process, and is back today here in Elmont for his 3rd ride, gunning for another "Circle Trip." #1 SMARTLY AGREE has hit the board in four straight, including a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in her last start, missing a win in that race by less than a length.
RACE #7 - BELMONT PARK - 4:13 PM EASTERN POST
7.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $77,000.00 PURSE
#7 TALE FOR RUBY
#1 SMARTLY AGREE
#4 MASTIC
#6 TAURINE
#7 TALE FOR RUBY is the only entry in this allowance field not taking a step-up in class this afternoon, is the overall speed and pace profile leader, and has hit the board in each of her last three starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 2nd race back. Jockey John Velazquez has been in her irons on two previous occasions, hitting the board in each, with the win leading to a +63% return on investment in the process, and is back today here in Elmont for his 3rd ride, gunning for another "Circle Trip." #1 SMARTLY AGREE has hit the board in four straight, including a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in her last start, missing a win in that race by less than a length.
SPOT PLAYS
For Friday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (2nd) Lord of Love, 6-1
(3rd) Ducasa, 6-1
Charles Town (1st) Austa, 5-1
(2nd) Eternal Bull, 8-1
Gulfstream Park West (2nd) Gemologister, 9-2
(3rd) Daddy's Teller, 3-1
Hawthorne (5th) Hal's Mischief, 3-1
(8th) Pilatus, 6-1
Indiana Grand (1st) Espresso to Go, 8-1
(9th) Sunday Prohibition, 10-1
Keeneland (9th) Miss Ella, 4-1
(10th) Desert Duchess, 6-1
Laurel Park (3rd) Grecian Prince, 6-1
(7th) Seventy Niner, 8-1
Meadowlands (2nd) Mizzen Lynx, 7-2
(6th) Ageless Tales, 3-1
Penn National (7th) Sweet Honesty, 3-1
(8th) Wickedly Beautiful, 8-1
Remington Park (1st) Silver Reina, 4-1
(9th) Cash King, 3-1
Retama Park (4th) Atlantico Norte, 3-1
(7th) Alamo City, 3-1
Santa Anita (1st) Summertimemischief, 7-2
(8th) Nazareth, 6-1
Thistledown (5th) Makossa, 5-1
(8th) Proper Impulse, 4-1
Woodbine (8th) Kingsport, 4-1
(9th) Gracious Geisha, 3-1
For Friday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Belmont Park (2nd) Lord of Love, 6-1
(3rd) Ducasa, 6-1
Charles Town (1st) Austa, 5-1
(2nd) Eternal Bull, 8-1
Gulfstream Park West (2nd) Gemologister, 9-2
(3rd) Daddy's Teller, 3-1
Hawthorne (5th) Hal's Mischief, 3-1
(8th) Pilatus, 6-1
Indiana Grand (1st) Espresso to Go, 8-1
(9th) Sunday Prohibition, 10-1
Keeneland (9th) Miss Ella, 4-1
(10th) Desert Duchess, 6-1
Laurel Park (3rd) Grecian Prince, 6-1
(7th) Seventy Niner, 8-1
Meadowlands (2nd) Mizzen Lynx, 7-2
(6th) Ageless Tales, 3-1
Penn National (7th) Sweet Honesty, 3-1
(8th) Wickedly Beautiful, 8-1
Remington Park (1st) Silver Reina, 4-1
(9th) Cash King, 3-1
Retama Park (4th) Atlantico Norte, 3-1
(7th) Alamo City, 3-1
Santa Anita (1st) Summertimemischief, 7-2
(8th) Nazareth, 6-1
Thistledown (5th) Makossa, 5-1
(8th) Proper Impulse, 4-1
Woodbine (8th) Kingsport, 4-1
(9th) Gracious Geisha, 3-1
