At the Gate - Saturday
By Mike Dempsey
The day has come for the richest horse race in history. A race many (including myself) scoffed at when the idea of a dozen stakeholders putting up $1 million apiece to run for $12 million was first announced.
The race is now a game changer in the industry and it has not even been run yet.
The addition of a $12 million race in January is going to change the breeding game and keep top class horses on the racetrack.
With the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) in November, the $12 million Pegasus World Cup (G1) in January and the $10 million (and soon to be higher I have a hunch) Dubai World Cup (G1) in March, it is no longer a no brainer for a horse to be swept away to the breeding shed.
California Chrome would already be retired if it was not for the Pegasus, and I was surprised to hear Frank Taylor of Taylor Made Farm not rule out the possibly that California Chrome could go back into training after the breeding season.
Could we see him back on the track this fall?
It is doubtful, but the brainchild of Frank Stronach has changed the game, and some of the stars of our sport may stick around a lot longer thanks to the addition of just one race on the calendar.
The inaugural running of the Pegasus may be just a two-horse affair, but it is the right two—Horse of the Year California Chrome and Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) winner Arrogate.
The duo were separated by just a half-length at Santa Anita and the potential is there for the margin to be closer this afternoon.
The race concludes an outstanding 12-race card that features six supporting stakes races and what else is there to do today but play the ponies?
My Best Plays Report for Saturday includes my 13 strongest plays from Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 OClm $25,000N1X (11:30 ET)
#1 Lookin for a Kiss 4-1
#2 Homespun Hero 3-1
#11 Day of Fury 8-1
#5 Visionary Ruler 5-1
Analysis: Lookin for a Kiss stalked the early pace and came with a good late rally to must miss by a neck last out at this level in his first start off a six-month layoff. The colt broke his maiden in his debut over the main track here last February and after a second against Alw-1 optional claimers mixed it up in graded stakes before hitting the bench. He figures to move forward second off the layoff for the Tomlinson barn.
Homespun Hero set the early fractions and could not hold off the winner late in a runner up finish at this level last out at seven furlongs. He set the early fractions and weakened to finish sixth two back in the Claiming Crown Jewel at nine furlongs. He earned a career top speed fig three back at this distance against Alw-1 foes at Churchill Downs in a game runner up finish. He does not look quick enough to grab the lead here, but his last win came for a $50,000 tag where he came from off the pace.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,11
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,11 / 1,2,5,6,11
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 OClm $40,000N2X (3:50 ET)
#2 Bass River Road 7-2
#12 Eye Luv Lulu 6-1
#4 Curious Cal 3-1
#8 Marriedtothemusic 5-1
Analysis: Bass River Road pressed the early pace and finished gamely to beat $25,000 state breds last out. He was claimed out of the race by the RRod barn that is 37% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. The gelding has won 3 of 9 on the inner track and steps into a tougher spot here but looks sharp enough to win right back.
Eye Luv Lulu faded to finish sixth last out against Alw-2 optional claimers and returns to the state bred ranks here. Three back this guy popped a 100 Beyer Speed Figure at this level in a sharp win where he drew away to win by 7 1/4 lengths. He looks capable of bouncing back here as he returns to the NY bred ranks here. The Toscano trainee has landed in the exacta in 4 of 7 trips on the inner track in his career including a runner up finish in a state bred stake last January.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 2,12 / 2,4,8,12
TRI: 2,12 / 2,4,8,12 / 2,4,8,10,12
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 11 The W.L. McKnight Hcp G3 (4:50 ET)
#10 Mr Maybe 6-1
#4 Danish Dynaformer 5-1
#6 Charming Kitten 9-2
#7 Twilight Eclipse 4-1
Analysis: Mr Maybe did not get much pace to run at in the Knickerbocker (G3) over yielding ground at nine furlongs, stalking the early pace while saving ground and making a mild late bid to finish fourth. The Chad Brown trainee stretches back out to 1 1/2 miles and he won the restricted John's Call at 1 5/8 miles two back at the Spa and the Red Smith 'Cap (G3) at 1 3/8 miles back in '15. He returns here off a three-month break for a barn that is 23% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. Castellano picks up the call and the 6-1 morning line looks fair enough. The barn has been sending out live runners at the meet, hitting at a 27% clip.
Danish Dynaformer came with a wide run and finished gamely in a runner up finish in the Red Smith 'Cap (G3) last out at 1 3/8 miles at the Big A. He won the Singspeil (G3) at Woodbine last July at today's 1 1/2 mile distance. His win over the turf here was his maiden breaker at nine furlongs back in '15. His best puts him in the mix here and he figures to be a fair price.
Wagering
WIN: #10 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 4,10 / 4,6,7,10
TRI: 4,10 / 4,6,7,10 / 1,4,6,7,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R1: #7 You Know I Know 12-1
R2: #3 Momma Giovanna 8-1
R3: #2 Caledonian 8-1
R6: #11 Side Tracks 10-1
R9: #12 Single Heist 8-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
The day has come for the richest horse race in history. A race many (including myself) scoffed at when the idea of a dozen stakeholders putting up $1 million apiece to run for $12 million was first announced.
The race is now a game changer in the industry and it has not even been run yet.
The addition of a $12 million race in January is going to change the breeding game and keep top class horses on the racetrack.
With the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) in November, the $12 million Pegasus World Cup (G1) in January and the $10 million (and soon to be higher I have a hunch) Dubai World Cup (G1) in March, it is no longer a no brainer for a horse to be swept away to the breeding shed.
California Chrome would already be retired if it was not for the Pegasus, and I was surprised to hear Frank Taylor of Taylor Made Farm not rule out the possibly that California Chrome could go back into training after the breeding season.
Could we see him back on the track this fall?
It is doubtful, but the brainchild of Frank Stronach has changed the game, and some of the stars of our sport may stick around a lot longer thanks to the addition of just one race on the calendar.
The inaugural running of the Pegasus may be just a two-horse affair, but it is the right two—Horse of the Year California Chrome and Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) winner Arrogate.
The duo were separated by just a half-length at Santa Anita and the potential is there for the margin to be closer this afternoon.
The race concludes an outstanding 12-race card that features six supporting stakes races and what else is there to do today but play the ponies?
My Best Plays Report for Saturday includes my 13 strongest plays from Aqueduct and Gulfstream Park.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 OClm $25,000N1X (11:30 ET)
#1 Lookin for a Kiss 4-1
#2 Homespun Hero 3-1
#11 Day of Fury 8-1
#5 Visionary Ruler 5-1
Analysis: Lookin for a Kiss stalked the early pace and came with a good late rally to must miss by a neck last out at this level in his first start off a six-month layoff. The colt broke his maiden in his debut over the main track here last February and after a second against Alw-1 optional claimers mixed it up in graded stakes before hitting the bench. He figures to move forward second off the layoff for the Tomlinson barn.
Homespun Hero set the early fractions and could not hold off the winner late in a runner up finish at this level last out at seven furlongs. He set the early fractions and weakened to finish sixth two back in the Claiming Crown Jewel at nine furlongs. He earned a career top speed fig three back at this distance against Alw-1 foes at Churchill Downs in a game runner up finish. He does not look quick enough to grab the lead here, but his last win came for a $50,000 tag where he came from off the pace.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,11
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,11 / 1,2,5,6,11
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:
AQU Race 8 OClm $40,000N2X (3:50 ET)
#2 Bass River Road 7-2
#12 Eye Luv Lulu 6-1
#4 Curious Cal 3-1
#8 Marriedtothemusic 5-1
Analysis: Bass River Road pressed the early pace and finished gamely to beat $25,000 state breds last out. He was claimed out of the race by the RRod barn that is 37% winners (with a +ROI) first off the claim. The gelding has won 3 of 9 on the inner track and steps into a tougher spot here but looks sharp enough to win right back.
Eye Luv Lulu faded to finish sixth last out against Alw-2 optional claimers and returns to the state bred ranks here. Three back this guy popped a 100 Beyer Speed Figure at this level in a sharp win where he drew away to win by 7 1/4 lengths. He looks capable of bouncing back here as he returns to the NY bred ranks here. The Toscano trainee has landed in the exacta in 4 of 7 trips on the inner track in his career including a runner up finish in a state bred stake last January.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 2,12 / 2,4,8,12
TRI: 2,12 / 2,4,8,12 / 2,4,8,10,12
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 11 The W.L. McKnight Hcp G3 (4:50 ET)
#10 Mr Maybe 6-1
#4 Danish Dynaformer 5-1
#6 Charming Kitten 9-2
#7 Twilight Eclipse 4-1
Analysis: Mr Maybe did not get much pace to run at in the Knickerbocker (G3) over yielding ground at nine furlongs, stalking the early pace while saving ground and making a mild late bid to finish fourth. The Chad Brown trainee stretches back out to 1 1/2 miles and he won the restricted John's Call at 1 5/8 miles two back at the Spa and the Red Smith 'Cap (G3) at 1 3/8 miles back in '15. He returns here off a three-month break for a barn that is 23% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. Castellano picks up the call and the 6-1 morning line looks fair enough. The barn has been sending out live runners at the meet, hitting at a 27% clip.
Danish Dynaformer came with a wide run and finished gamely in a runner up finish in the Red Smith 'Cap (G3) last out at 1 3/8 miles at the Big A. He won the Singspeil (G3) at Woodbine last July at today's 1 1/2 mile distance. His win over the turf here was his maiden breaker at nine furlongs back in '15. His best puts him in the mix here and he figures to be a fair price.
Wagering
WIN: #10 to win at 9-2 or better.
EX: 4,10 / 4,6,7,10
TRI: 4,10 / 4,6,7,10 / 1,4,6,7,10
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Aqueduct
R1: #7 You Know I Know 12-1
R2: #3 Momma Giovanna 8-1
R3: #2 Caledonian 8-1
R6: #11 Side Tracks 10-1
R9: #12 Single Heist 8-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Post: 8:15 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$6500 - N/W $3,500 LAST 5 STARTS DASH FOR THE G NOTES - 1ST LEG STARTERS IN A CLASS HIGHER THAN N/W $6,000 IN LAST START OR W/O $55,000 IN 2016/17 INELIGIBLE HIGHEST EARNERS FROM 2 WEEKS RACE FOR $15,000/$10,000 ON 2/11
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 RESTLESS 5/1
# 7 KEEP GOING 9/2
# 9 GIANT SLAYER 12/1
The pick this time is RESTLESS. With better than average win figures, Gingras should have this gelding in excellent position to win the affair. Deserves a shot given the successful win statistic he sports. When starting from the 6 slot, a better than expected win percentage has resulted. KEEP GOING - He's racing in good form, recording very strong speed figures. An excellent pick. GIANT SLAYER - The wagering panel saw this horse's name on a t-shirt. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Post: 8:15 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$6500 - N/W $3,500 LAST 5 STARTS DASH FOR THE G NOTES - 1ST LEG STARTERS IN A CLASS HIGHER THAN N/W $6,000 IN LAST START OR W/O $55,000 IN 2016/17 INELIGIBLE HIGHEST EARNERS FROM 2 WEEKS RACE FOR $15,000/$10,000 ON 2/11
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 6 RESTLESS 5/1
# 7 KEEP GOING 9/2
# 9 GIANT SLAYER 12/1
The pick this time is RESTLESS. With better than average win figures, Gingras should have this gelding in excellent position to win the affair. Deserves a shot given the successful win statistic he sports. When starting from the 6 slot, a better than expected win percentage has resulted. KEEP GOING - He's racing in good form, recording very strong speed figures. An excellent pick. GIANT SLAYER - The wagering panel saw this horse's name on a t-shirt. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Miami Valley
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Post: 8:25 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$34500 - CLAIM TO FAME SERIES LATE CLOSER - CHAMPIONSHIP HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $20,000 W/ALLOWANCES
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 MOSEE TERROR 10/1
# 8 SAVAGE SEELSTER 8/1
# 4 CINDERELLA GUY 5/1
If you want a great play today, feast your eyes on MOSEE TERROR especially at 10/1. When the starter calls, race horses coming out of the 5 hole have more wins than you would expect. SAVAGE SEELSTER - He's competing in fine form, recording strong TrackMaster SRs. An excellent selection. Loved this gelding's last race. Ran a strong 88 speed rating. Major contender. CINDERELLA GUY - Can't forget based on TrackMaster SRs which have been outstanding (89 avg) recently. This nice horse looks tough considering the high class numbers. Don't toss out of any exotics.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Post: 8:25 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 90 - Purse:$34500 - CLAIM TO FAME SERIES LATE CLOSER - CHAMPIONSHIP HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $20,000 W/ALLOWANCES
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 5 MOSEE TERROR 10/1
# 8 SAVAGE SEELSTER 8/1
# 4 CINDERELLA GUY 5/1
If you want a great play today, feast your eyes on MOSEE TERROR especially at 10/1. When the starter calls, race horses coming out of the 5 hole have more wins than you would expect. SAVAGE SEELSTER - He's competing in fine form, recording strong TrackMaster SRs. An excellent selection. Loved this gelding's last race. Ran a strong 88 speed rating. Major contender. CINDERELLA GUY - Can't forget based on TrackMaster SRs which have been outstanding (89 avg) recently. This nice horse looks tough considering the high class numbers. Don't toss out of any exotics.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 42
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 8 TIZBERRY WINE 7/2
# 11 CODAS LADY 8/1
# 10 INDIAN HONEY 5/2
TIZBERRY WINE has a strong shot to take this race. Ought to go to the front end and might never look back. The average Equibase class figure of 21 makes this one difficult to beat. CODAS LADY - This animal is highly ranked this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface. INDIAN HONEY - Should compete admirably in the pace battle which bodes well with this group.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 42
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 8 TIZBERRY WINE 7/2
# 11 CODAS LADY 8/1
# 10 INDIAN HONEY 5/2
TIZBERRY WINE has a strong shot to take this race. Ought to go to the front end and might never look back. The average Equibase class figure of 21 makes this one difficult to beat. CODAS LADY - This animal is highly ranked this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface. INDIAN HONEY - Should compete admirably in the pace battle which bodes well with this group.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Stakes - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $125000 Class Rating: 113
GULFSTREAM PARK TURF SPRINT S. - FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD . FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, JANUARY 15. $750 TO ENTER AND $500 TO START. $125,000 GUARANTEED. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 10 MONGOLIAN SATURDAY 7/2
# 11 POWER ALERT (AUS) 4/1
# 3 LONG ON VALUE 12/1
I give the nod to MONGOLIAN SATURDAY here. Overall the speed figures of this racer look respectable in this contest. In the upper half of earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. POWER ALERT (AUS) - This one has been consistently racing well lately. Should best this field here, showing decent numbers of late. LONG ON VALUE - Has been travelling solidly in races of this distance, going 2 - 4 under similar conditions. Should be given consideration here on the basis of the numbers in the speed realm alone.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 9 - Stakes - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $125000 Class Rating: 113
GULFSTREAM PARK TURF SPRINT S. - FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD . FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, JANUARY 15. $750 TO ENTER AND $500 TO START. $125,000 GUARANTEED. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 62% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 10 MONGOLIAN SATURDAY 7/2
# 11 POWER ALERT (AUS) 4/1
# 3 LONG ON VALUE 12/1
I give the nod to MONGOLIAN SATURDAY here. Overall the speed figures of this racer look respectable in this contest. In the upper half of earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. POWER ALERT (AUS) - This one has been consistently racing well lately. Should best this field here, showing decent numbers of late. LONG ON VALUE - Has been travelling solidly in races of this distance, going 2 - 4 under similar conditions. Should be given consideration here on the basis of the numbers in the speed realm alone.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Golden Gate Fields - Race #2 - Post: 1:02pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 70
Rating:
#3 DEANNS MOJAVE (ML=9/2)
#5 RON'S ANSWER (ML=7/5)
#6 REBECCAS IN CHARGE (ML=8/5)
DEANNS MOJAVE - I like the fact that this 1st timer's recent works have been over this track. This jock and trainer have a profitable return on investment when they join forces. This one's dam (Lady Deann) has a fantastic winning pct (100 percent) with first timers, so I expect a lot out of this animal. RON'S ANSWER - When this rider and conditioner team up you have to take a look. Bowen and Bonde have been terrific together. Sophisticated bettors will tell you that this horse has strong speed. Bowen comes to ride again after getting to know the filly in the last event. That 64 fig this filly registered in her last affair tells me she's a chief player this time around. REBECCAS IN CHARGE - Entered last at Golden Gate Fields in a race with an Equibase class figure of 81. Dropping drastically in class rating today puts her in a solid position right here in this race. A winning percent the likes of what Frey and Hess have achieved together is fantastic. Hess adds Lasix for the 2nd time today. This certainly could make the difference in this race. Horse's last race was at Golden Gate Fields. Finished sixth, but had a decent chunk of the win pool. Could be dangerous today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 KOLOCHA (ML=8/1), #2 AUSTRIA (ML=8/1),
KOLOCHA - This runner will in all probability be way back as this bunch crosses the finish. AUSTRIA - The Brain always cautions me to keep away from thoroughbreds in sprint affairs that haven't hit the board in short distance affairs of late.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 DEANNS MOJAVE to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Golden Gate Fields - Race #2 - Post: 1:02pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 70
Rating:
#3 DEANNS MOJAVE (ML=9/2)
#5 RON'S ANSWER (ML=7/5)
#6 REBECCAS IN CHARGE (ML=8/5)
DEANNS MOJAVE - I like the fact that this 1st timer's recent works have been over this track. This jock and trainer have a profitable return on investment when they join forces. This one's dam (Lady Deann) has a fantastic winning pct (100 percent) with first timers, so I expect a lot out of this animal. RON'S ANSWER - When this rider and conditioner team up you have to take a look. Bowen and Bonde have been terrific together. Sophisticated bettors will tell you that this horse has strong speed. Bowen comes to ride again after getting to know the filly in the last event. That 64 fig this filly registered in her last affair tells me she's a chief player this time around. REBECCAS IN CHARGE - Entered last at Golden Gate Fields in a race with an Equibase class figure of 81. Dropping drastically in class rating today puts her in a solid position right here in this race. A winning percent the likes of what Frey and Hess have achieved together is fantastic. Hess adds Lasix for the 2nd time today. This certainly could make the difference in this race. Horse's last race was at Golden Gate Fields. Finished sixth, but had a decent chunk of the win pool. Could be dangerous today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 KOLOCHA (ML=8/1), #2 AUSTRIA (ML=8/1),
KOLOCHA - This runner will in all probability be way back as this bunch crosses the finish. AUSTRIA - The Brain always cautions me to keep away from thoroughbreds in sprint affairs that haven't hit the board in short distance affairs of late.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 DEANNS MOJAVE to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Penn National - Race #8 - Post: 9:10pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,400 Class Rating: 72
Rating:
#3 GOLD CRESCENT (ML=4/1)
#11 TOASTEDMARSHMALLOW (ML=12/1)
#4 PICKY BITS (ML=3/1)
GOLD CRESCENT - I figure that this shorter trip should help this filly. This filly should be in fine form, this far into her form cycle. TOASTEDMARSHMALLOW - Trainer, Diaz, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Sub-par performance in the last race at Penn National was due to the off-going (she finished seventh). Expect better in this event without a sloppy track. PICKY BITS - This horse should be rocking and rolling in the lane.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 WHEREBLUEBIRDSFLY (ML=9/2), #8 SPARTAN'S BEAUTY (ML=5/1),
WHEREBLUEBIRDSFLY - I'd like to see more preferred recent showings with oddsmaker's morning line of 9/2. SPARTAN'S BEAUTY - You always believe this horse has a shot to cross the finish line in first, but she falls short most of the time.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #3 GOLD CRESCENT to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,11] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,4,11] with [3,4,11] with [2,3,4,11,12] with [2,3,4,11,12] Total Cost: $36
Penn National - Race #8 - Post: 9:10pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,400 Class Rating: 72
Rating:
#3 GOLD CRESCENT (ML=4/1)
#11 TOASTEDMARSHMALLOW (ML=12/1)
#4 PICKY BITS (ML=3/1)
GOLD CRESCENT - I figure that this shorter trip should help this filly. This filly should be in fine form, this far into her form cycle. TOASTEDMARSHMALLOW - Trainer, Diaz, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Sub-par performance in the last race at Penn National was due to the off-going (she finished seventh). Expect better in this event without a sloppy track. PICKY BITS - This horse should be rocking and rolling in the lane.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 WHEREBLUEBIRDSFLY (ML=9/2), #8 SPARTAN'S BEAUTY (ML=5/1),
WHEREBLUEBIRDSFLY - I'd like to see more preferred recent showings with oddsmaker's morning line of 9/2. SPARTAN'S BEAUTY - You always believe this horse has a shot to cross the finish line in first, but she falls short most of the time.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #3 GOLD CRESCENT to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,11] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,4,11] with [3,4,11] with [2,3,4,11,12] with [2,3,4,11,12] Total Cost: $36
Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:18 PM EASTERN POST
The Gander Stakes
8.3 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK THREE YEAR OLDS STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#5 BAVARO
#1 HAUL ANCHOR
#4 BOURBON EMPIRE
#3 CARRADINE
The race honors the career of Gander, a New York-bred, who spent almost his entire racing career of 60 starts in and around New York and New England. Bred by Angela Rugnetta, and owned by Gatsas Thoroughbreds, Gander was originally trained by Charlie Assimakopoulos, and then by John Terranova. In seven seasons, he made 60 starts hitting the board in 34 of those starts, earning $1,824,011. Here in just the 4th running of The Gander, #5 BAVARO is undefeated in a two race career to date, winning both in "POWER RUN FASHION." Jockey Manuel Franco was in his irons for that last win, 41 days ago here at "The Big-A," and is here in Ozone Park this afternoon for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." #1 HAUL ANCHOR has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of his last five outings, including "POWER RUN WINS" in both his last start, as well as in his 4th race back.
RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:18 PM EASTERN POST
The Gander Stakes
8.3 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK THREE YEAR OLDS STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#5 BAVARO
#1 HAUL ANCHOR
#4 BOURBON EMPIRE
#3 CARRADINE
The race honors the career of Gander, a New York-bred, who spent almost his entire racing career of 60 starts in and around New York and New England. Bred by Angela Rugnetta, and owned by Gatsas Thoroughbreds, Gander was originally trained by Charlie Assimakopoulos, and then by John Terranova. In seven seasons, he made 60 starts hitting the board in 34 of those starts, earning $1,824,011. Here in just the 4th running of The Gander, #5 BAVARO is undefeated in a two race career to date, winning both in "POWER RUN FASHION." Jockey Manuel Franco was in his irons for that last win, 41 days ago here at "The Big-A," and is here in Ozone Park this afternoon for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." #1 HAUL ANCHOR has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of his last five outings, including "POWER RUN WINS" in both his last start, as well as in his 4th race back.
Woodbine Harness: Saturday 1/28 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 8 / 2,3,9 / 1,4,6,7 / 1,3,5 / 1,3,7,8 = $28.80
EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,5 / 1,3,7,8 / 2,4,7 / 2,3 = $72
LATE PICK 4: 2,3 / 3,5,6 / 1,2 / 3,5,6,8 = $48
MEET STATS: 88 - 354 / $496.10
BEST BETS: 14 - 33 / $54.50
SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 32 / $56.60
Best Bet: D GS PESQUERO (1st)
Spot Play: DON MCWHITE (4th)
Race 1
(8) D GS PESQUERO won easily last time she dropped to this level. She should be formidable here. (4) KIWI FOCUS N scored a sharp win at a similar level last week. She is unlikely to get a comparable easy trip on the lead, but she is still dangerous. (6) HOT SPOT HANOVER gets along well with driver Macdonald and he returns here. (1) LOVETHEWAYYOULOOK should share off a following trip near the front.
Race 2
(9) LIFE STRIKES has recorded seven wins and she gets into this non-winners of three on an earnings allowance. She should be tough coming off a lifetime best score. (3) ABSOLUT SEELSTER wasn’t far behind in a similar class here two back; using. (2) WITHAHEARTTOMATCH won last time Henry drove and he returns here; consider. (8) PICK UP THE TAB can take a share racing from close range here.
Race 3
(4) SPORTSMANSHIP is sharp now and he could get the best trip in a race where it looks like any one of the seven entered could win with the right trip. (6) J JS DELIVERY was a great claim and he has been on a big roll, but these are tougher and he could be an underlay here. (7) TRACEUR HANOVER must be considered dropping from the top class; note he won off a similar class drop in November. (1) MACH CODE steps up off a sharp win. Consider him for the bottom of the exotics at a price.
Race 4
(1) DON MCWHITE was purchased by trainer Johnson for himself and a partner. He debuts for those connections here and has the ability to beat these; top call. (5) THE WAYFARING MAN drops and he should be tight enough now to make an impression. (3) PROVEN DESIRE raced well in this class last week. He’s a threat from close range here. (2) IDEAL JET should be good for another smaller share.
Race 5
(8) MUSSELSFROMBRUSSELS steps up off two solid wins for Auciello. A threepeat is within his scope here in his current sharp condition. (1) HALF A BILLION picks up Jamieson here and he should get a good setup for his late charge. (3) RESISTANCE FUTILE steps up off a win that was easier than it looks on paper; using. (7) CARACCI HANOVER class drops but he is in poor form. He will likely get rolled early by Henry. Its hard to say if he will be around at the finish.
Race 6
(2) READY ANY TIME has turned into a bit of a money burner, but she was beaten by a very strong winner last week and she does look best here. I’ll give her a cautious nod. (7) ONE TOO MANY was narrowly beaten by a rival that came back to win easily from the 10-hole; using. (4) DEVILS ADVOCATE will contend if she stays flat, which is always the main concern with her. (1) SWAN FOR DEE can be closer here if she gets a better start, but the rail is tricky at this track – especially for trotters.
Race 7
(3) BRINGHOME THEBLUE gets class relief and McNair back here. Expect a big try. (2) AUDREYS DREAM got bet like he couldn’t lose last week then he passed them all in the back 1/2. He is too sharp to ignore right now. (5) MACH ON THE BEACH was flying late last week; consider for exotics. (6) VEGAS ROCKS is also worth a look on the class drop.
Race 8
(3) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT should be within striking range here starting from a better post; top call. (6) MAJOR HILL comes off a sharp qualifier and he looks ready to roll for his debut for the leading trainer. (5) HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE showed some ability last year and he is worth a look debuting for Cullen. (1) MIGRATE BLUE CHIP should be forwardly placed and stick around for a slice.
Race 9
(1) NICKLE BAG went a tough mile and just missed last week. He will likely get an aggressive steer in this short field and I’ll give him a slight nod over (2) ALEXAS JACKPOT, who will look to control things again and should go a long way on the lead. (4) THREE OF CLUBS will be first off the gate likely and he can stick around and make the ticket. (5) COMPANY MAN is in good form and comes off a decent try at this level. He is another to consider for the bottom of exotic bets.
Race 10
(6) JUSTICE JET has been too far out of position in his past two starts. Maybe Jamieson can wake him up starting from the best post here. (3) HUBBY NUMBER ONE closed into an accelerating late pace last week. He is sharp and fits well here. (8) ESCUELA comes off a sharp win in the top class at London on Tuesday; beware. (5) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS is likely to be much closer early here starting from the middle of the gate. He’s not out of this. (2) KINETIC KING moved early last time and tired late. Expect reverse tactics here.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 8 / 2,3,9 / 1,4,6,7 / 1,3,5 / 1,3,7,8 = $28.80
EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,5 / 1,3,7,8 / 2,4,7 / 2,3 = $72
LATE PICK 4: 2,3 / 3,5,6 / 1,2 / 3,5,6,8 = $48
MEET STATS: 88 - 354 / $496.10
BEST BETS: 14 - 33 / $54.50
SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 32 / $56.60
Best Bet: D GS PESQUERO (1st)
Spot Play: DON MCWHITE (4th)
Race 1
(8) D GS PESQUERO won easily last time she dropped to this level. She should be formidable here. (4) KIWI FOCUS N scored a sharp win at a similar level last week. She is unlikely to get a comparable easy trip on the lead, but she is still dangerous. (6) HOT SPOT HANOVER gets along well with driver Macdonald and he returns here. (1) LOVETHEWAYYOULOOK should share off a following trip near the front.
Race 2
(9) LIFE STRIKES has recorded seven wins and she gets into this non-winners of three on an earnings allowance. She should be tough coming off a lifetime best score. (3) ABSOLUT SEELSTER wasn’t far behind in a similar class here two back; using. (2) WITHAHEARTTOMATCH won last time Henry drove and he returns here; consider. (8) PICK UP THE TAB can take a share racing from close range here.
Race 3
(4) SPORTSMANSHIP is sharp now and he could get the best trip in a race where it looks like any one of the seven entered could win with the right trip. (6) J JS DELIVERY was a great claim and he has been on a big roll, but these are tougher and he could be an underlay here. (7) TRACEUR HANOVER must be considered dropping from the top class; note he won off a similar class drop in November. (1) MACH CODE steps up off a sharp win. Consider him for the bottom of the exotics at a price.
Race 4
(1) DON MCWHITE was purchased by trainer Johnson for himself and a partner. He debuts for those connections here and has the ability to beat these; top call. (5) THE WAYFARING MAN drops and he should be tight enough now to make an impression. (3) PROVEN DESIRE raced well in this class last week. He’s a threat from close range here. (2) IDEAL JET should be good for another smaller share.
Race 5
(8) MUSSELSFROMBRUSSELS steps up off two solid wins for Auciello. A threepeat is within his scope here in his current sharp condition. (1) HALF A BILLION picks up Jamieson here and he should get a good setup for his late charge. (3) RESISTANCE FUTILE steps up off a win that was easier than it looks on paper; using. (7) CARACCI HANOVER class drops but he is in poor form. He will likely get rolled early by Henry. Its hard to say if he will be around at the finish.
Race 6
(2) READY ANY TIME has turned into a bit of a money burner, but she was beaten by a very strong winner last week and she does look best here. I’ll give her a cautious nod. (7) ONE TOO MANY was narrowly beaten by a rival that came back to win easily from the 10-hole; using. (4) DEVILS ADVOCATE will contend if she stays flat, which is always the main concern with her. (1) SWAN FOR DEE can be closer here if she gets a better start, but the rail is tricky at this track – especially for trotters.
Race 7
(3) BRINGHOME THEBLUE gets class relief and McNair back here. Expect a big try. (2) AUDREYS DREAM got bet like he couldn’t lose last week then he passed them all in the back 1/2. He is too sharp to ignore right now. (5) MACH ON THE BEACH was flying late last week; consider for exotics. (6) VEGAS ROCKS is also worth a look on the class drop.
Race 8
(3) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT should be within striking range here starting from a better post; top call. (6) MAJOR HILL comes off a sharp qualifier and he looks ready to roll for his debut for the leading trainer. (5) HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE showed some ability last year and he is worth a look debuting for Cullen. (1) MIGRATE BLUE CHIP should be forwardly placed and stick around for a slice.
Race 9
(1) NICKLE BAG went a tough mile and just missed last week. He will likely get an aggressive steer in this short field and I’ll give him a slight nod over (2) ALEXAS JACKPOT, who will look to control things again and should go a long way on the lead. (4) THREE OF CLUBS will be first off the gate likely and he can stick around and make the ticket. (5) COMPANY MAN is in good form and comes off a decent try at this level. He is another to consider for the bottom of exotic bets.
Race 10
(6) JUSTICE JET has been too far out of position in his past two starts. Maybe Jamieson can wake him up starting from the best post here. (3) HUBBY NUMBER ONE closed into an accelerating late pace last week. He is sharp and fits well here. (8) ESCUELA comes off a sharp win in the top class at London on Tuesday; beware. (5) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS is likely to be much closer early here starting from the middle of the gate. He’s not out of this. (2) KINETIC KING moved early last time and tired late. Expect reverse tactics here.
Meadowlands: Saturday 1/28 Analysis
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 90 - 309 / $479.40 (-$148.60)
BEST BETS: 11 - 25 / $45.00 (-$5.00)
Best Bet: GRAVELSINMYTRAVELS (3rd)
Spot Play: MOONLIGHT RANSOM (1st)
Race 1
(2) MOONLIGHT RANSOM won three races in 2016 and all of them came here at The Meadowlands. He should be primed for a top effort in his third start back and faces a blank field. (9) ROCK STAR is stuck with a bad post but finds a field with plenty of potential early speed players to set him up. (7) TWINCREEKS JESSE has been racing ok of late and does drop a level tonight. (5) WINDSONG GORGEOUS would have destroyed this field a few years ago. Maybe he can turn back the clock.
Race 2
(3) VEGAS VACATION finally let loose a bit last week and was a sharp second behind Bettor’s Edge. He gets away from that foe tonight and looks like the one to beat now. (6) NATIONAL SEELSTER finished reasonably well from the back last time and is more than fast enough to defeat this group. (1) ROCKIN ROBERT has plenty of form but gets tested for class in this spot.
Race 3
(9) GRAVELSINMYTRAVELS went a nice mile to be second behind the classy millionaire Real Nice last time. This is a spot where he should take a picture after crossing the wire. (7) PRINCE PALANI has a couple of starts under his belt after some time off and should be ready for a strong effort. (5) SIR SAM’S Z TAM & (2) TINK AND TIGER both dropped to this level and raced better last week; using underneath.
Race 4
(5) THAT’S MY OPINION had a clean trip and hung badly in his first start back in the Surick barn. Against this listless bunch, there are no excuses for failure. (6) RESTLESS has been facing sharper foes in the claiming ranks and picks up Gingras now; interesting. (2) RELENTLESS DREAMER will get a nice check if the race goes in the 1:53 range, which it could depending on the weather. (1) GIDDY UP DELIGHT arrives for a high percentage barn and adds Brett Miller.
Race 5
(9) SPICEBOMB switches from conditioned races versus established veterans to the NW3 level versus his peers. While this field is somewhat better, he did win by open lengths at 1-5 in his last race in this class. (5) TANGO STAR moves into the Burke barn and gets Gingras in the bike; worth consideration. (3) MACHIAVELLI has come back from winter vacation with two wins to start the year. Tonight is a good test for him. (10) MAAJAACKKOBE can pop a big mile at times.
Race 6
(6) ASHLEY’S HUSBAND takes a meaningful drop in class and adds Brett Miller to the team. As long as he is within a few lengths in mid-stretch, he should be able to roll by late. (4) REAL NICE comes off a sharp win but lost Miller to the top choice. (2) MISSILE J is another that Miller opted off. Barn change tonight after selling in the Meadowlands Mixed Sale is interesting. (7) BARIMAH A has been racing well with Lasix added; definite threat.
Race 7
(4) DOCTOR BUTCH raced ok while at Yonkers but tends to pick up his game on the big track. I’m looking for him to leave hard and wind up sitting a cozy pocket trip behind (7) ONTARIO SUCCESS, who added Gingras and put up a 1:50 1/5 score a week ago. (1) SI SEMALU basically took the week off last Saturday. I’m not sure he can win but an exotics spot seems possible. (2) HILLBILLY HANOVER is very sharp right now. He should eclipse the $900K earnings plateau this week.
Race 8
(6) PREPARTY has a win and a second against better here in his last four starts, but was disqualified for going inside the pylons and still fits this condition. This is clearly his race to lose. (5) MY SPIRIT SOARS finally picked up a win and sometimes a little confidence goes a long way. (1) SPEED AGAIN has speed, Burke and Gingras in his corner. (4) TRUE BLUE HALL does step up from time to time.
Race 9
(6) CITY PIE just missed while trying to rally from seventh last week. There seems to be ample early speed to set up a winning rally. (4) RED SCOOTER moves in a few spots on the gate and could get a clear shot at the top. (5) JACKSON BRADY has been very consistent. (3) WHATAORSE came up with a pretty big mile last time and only lost by a couple of lengths. With a smoother trip he can do better. (8) SO TAKE THAT certainly has a chance but seems likely to be overbet with Gingras driving.
Race 10
(10) UNIX HANOVER goes from open claimers to age restricted foes tonight. The difference is huge and he should prove very tough. (7) PERSEVERANT moves into a solid barn off a winning effort; logical player. (2) LEGION OF BOOM makes the same move as the top choice and merits a ton of respect. (1) STAR GUITAR is another horse moving into a new stable, though ownership remains the same so you have to wonder if the move is on paper only.
Race 11
(2) HURRIKANE ALI is a bit of a flyer pick on my end. Now 5-year-old had high hopes a couple of years ago and he does get a big driver change to Gingras. It’s interesting that he can win this race and drop in class. (5) CALVIN B dropped and popped last time. He is more than capable of handling the class rise. (1) PANSFORMATIVE could be interesting if he gets aggressive early. (6) K-LEES SHAKENBAKE has a chance but has missed a few weeks with a scratched-lame line mixed in.
Race 12
(1) TIMCAT HANOVER showed speed, was shuffled and split foes with good energy in his return qualifier. In a field of mostly dull horses, he looks like a worthwhile play. (6) BORN OF FIRE gets a good post to work with this week and might be able to surprise. (8) CARLOS DANGER actually finished ahead of my top pick in a 1-20 qualifier; post hurts, though.
Race 13
(3) PEDRO’S DREAM has won his last two starts at The Meadowlands including one for this $10K claiming tag. It isn’t ideal that he hasn’t raced in six weeks, but the return qualifier at Yonkers was good enough to keep him sharp. (9) ALEX BULLVILLE has been racing well and seems likely to be the favorite with Miller taking over the lines. (2) DRUNKEN TERROR handled the class rise and poor post nicely last week; must consider. (10) FRATERNITY seems like an exotics player.
By Derick Giwner
DRF
Race 1 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
MEET STATS: 90 - 309 / $479.40 (-$148.60)
BEST BETS: 11 - 25 / $45.00 (-$5.00)
Best Bet: GRAVELSINMYTRAVELS (3rd)
Spot Play: MOONLIGHT RANSOM (1st)
Race 1
(2) MOONLIGHT RANSOM won three races in 2016 and all of them came here at The Meadowlands. He should be primed for a top effort in his third start back and faces a blank field. (9) ROCK STAR is stuck with a bad post but finds a field with plenty of potential early speed players to set him up. (7) TWINCREEKS JESSE has been racing ok of late and does drop a level tonight. (5) WINDSONG GORGEOUS would have destroyed this field a few years ago. Maybe he can turn back the clock.
Race 2
(3) VEGAS VACATION finally let loose a bit last week and was a sharp second behind Bettor’s Edge. He gets away from that foe tonight and looks like the one to beat now. (6) NATIONAL SEELSTER finished reasonably well from the back last time and is more than fast enough to defeat this group. (1) ROCKIN ROBERT has plenty of form but gets tested for class in this spot.
Race 3
(9) GRAVELSINMYTRAVELS went a nice mile to be second behind the classy millionaire Real Nice last time. This is a spot where he should take a picture after crossing the wire. (7) PRINCE PALANI has a couple of starts under his belt after some time off and should be ready for a strong effort. (5) SIR SAM’S Z TAM & (2) TINK AND TIGER both dropped to this level and raced better last week; using underneath.
Race 4
(5) THAT’S MY OPINION had a clean trip and hung badly in his first start back in the Surick barn. Against this listless bunch, there are no excuses for failure. (6) RESTLESS has been facing sharper foes in the claiming ranks and picks up Gingras now; interesting. (2) RELENTLESS DREAMER will get a nice check if the race goes in the 1:53 range, which it could depending on the weather. (1) GIDDY UP DELIGHT arrives for a high percentage barn and adds Brett Miller.
Race 5
(9) SPICEBOMB switches from conditioned races versus established veterans to the NW3 level versus his peers. While this field is somewhat better, he did win by open lengths at 1-5 in his last race in this class. (5) TANGO STAR moves into the Burke barn and gets Gingras in the bike; worth consideration. (3) MACHIAVELLI has come back from winter vacation with two wins to start the year. Tonight is a good test for him. (10) MAAJAACKKOBE can pop a big mile at times.
Race 6
(6) ASHLEY’S HUSBAND takes a meaningful drop in class and adds Brett Miller to the team. As long as he is within a few lengths in mid-stretch, he should be able to roll by late. (4) REAL NICE comes off a sharp win but lost Miller to the top choice. (2) MISSILE J is another that Miller opted off. Barn change tonight after selling in the Meadowlands Mixed Sale is interesting. (7) BARIMAH A has been racing well with Lasix added; definite threat.
Race 7
(4) DOCTOR BUTCH raced ok while at Yonkers but tends to pick up his game on the big track. I’m looking for him to leave hard and wind up sitting a cozy pocket trip behind (7) ONTARIO SUCCESS, who added Gingras and put up a 1:50 1/5 score a week ago. (1) SI SEMALU basically took the week off last Saturday. I’m not sure he can win but an exotics spot seems possible. (2) HILLBILLY HANOVER is very sharp right now. He should eclipse the $900K earnings plateau this week.
Race 8
(6) PREPARTY has a win and a second against better here in his last four starts, but was disqualified for going inside the pylons and still fits this condition. This is clearly his race to lose. (5) MY SPIRIT SOARS finally picked up a win and sometimes a little confidence goes a long way. (1) SPEED AGAIN has speed, Burke and Gingras in his corner. (4) TRUE BLUE HALL does step up from time to time.
Race 9
(6) CITY PIE just missed while trying to rally from seventh last week. There seems to be ample early speed to set up a winning rally. (4) RED SCOOTER moves in a few spots on the gate and could get a clear shot at the top. (5) JACKSON BRADY has been very consistent. (3) WHATAORSE came up with a pretty big mile last time and only lost by a couple of lengths. With a smoother trip he can do better. (8) SO TAKE THAT certainly has a chance but seems likely to be overbet with Gingras driving.
Race 10
(10) UNIX HANOVER goes from open claimers to age restricted foes tonight. The difference is huge and he should prove very tough. (7) PERSEVERANT moves into a solid barn off a winning effort; logical player. (2) LEGION OF BOOM makes the same move as the top choice and merits a ton of respect. (1) STAR GUITAR is another horse moving into a new stable, though ownership remains the same so you have to wonder if the move is on paper only.
Race 11
(2) HURRIKANE ALI is a bit of a flyer pick on my end. Now 5-year-old had high hopes a couple of years ago and he does get a big driver change to Gingras. It’s interesting that he can win this race and drop in class. (5) CALVIN B dropped and popped last time. He is more than capable of handling the class rise. (1) PANSFORMATIVE could be interesting if he gets aggressive early. (6) K-LEES SHAKENBAKE has a chance but has missed a few weeks with a scratched-lame line mixed in.
Race 12
(1) TIMCAT HANOVER showed speed, was shuffled and split foes with good energy in his return qualifier. In a field of mostly dull horses, he looks like a worthwhile play. (6) BORN OF FIRE gets a good post to work with this week and might be able to surprise. (8) CARLOS DANGER actually finished ahead of my top pick in a 1-20 qualifier; post hurts, though.
Race 13
(3) PEDRO’S DREAM has won his last two starts at The Meadowlands including one for this $10K claiming tag. It isn’t ideal that he hasn’t raced in six weeks, but the return qualifier at Yonkers was good enough to keep him sharp. (9) ALEX BULLVILLE has been racing well and seems likely to be the favorite with Miller taking over the lines. (2) DRUNKEN TERROR handled the class rise and poor post nicely last week; must consider. (10) FRATERNITY seems like an exotics player.
Yonkers: Saturday 1/28 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 19 - 73 / $97.50
BEST BETS: 4 - 7 / $15.70
Best Bet: LONE SURVIVOR (8th)
Spot Play: P H KENNY (1st)
Race 1
(3) P H KENNY raced pretty well last week showing speed at both ends; gelding draws well again and should be in line for a stalking trip. (2) GHOST PINE rallied well from off the pace in last and now makes his third start off the missed time; more is expected. (5) REASONABLE FORCE returns locally off a decent effort at The Meadowlands and he picks up Bartlett.
Race 2
(1) AMERICAN VENTURE couldn't fire enough off cover last out but he's raced well with better in the past and he benefits from the best post. (5) RONNY BUGATTI drops and moves in a couple of spots; logical. (6) MACHTU N took his customary early money despite being off a month and gave way on the front end; he's now back on consecutive weeks.
Race 3
(2) TYBER TYKE gave way on the front end last week when I touted him; I'll give him one more chance in this questionable field. (3) BURNING N makes his U.S. debut for Cushing off an encouraging qualifier; watch the board. (4) returns locally, now in a new barn, and he's got plenty of back class.
Race 4
(2) ESCAPE THE NEWS was a solid uncovered winner outbattling the pacesetter last out and he seems capable of repeating here. (3) BIG SURF lacks the class of others and Bartlett opted off but that was a decent effort last week; consider if the price is right. (1) SPORTSKEEPER gets much-needed post relief.
Race 5
(3) PASS THEM BY N was a solid second to a runaway winner and he can build off that effort. (2) FIVE CARD DRAW N raced pretty well last week off the month layoff and now he gets needed post relief; one to beat. (5) KID PK qualified well and certainly knows his way around this track.
Race 6
(3) CAVIART LUCA stormed home last week to upset for the second consecutive start and the sharp Burke trainee is inside what he has to beat tonight. (8) SOMEWHERE IN L A steps up to the Open ranks looking for five straight and he should be on the move early. (7) ROLAND N ROCK is a legit Open player; don't ignore him.
Race 7
(4) IN THE HUDDLE made a nice off-the-pace move last out to reach the leader but was outkicked late; improving gelding can build off that effort. (8) BLOOD BROTHER has come back sharp this year and is the one to beat despite the outside post assignment. (2) SPORTS BETTOR kept up pretty well last week and should be close up again.
Race 8
(3) LONE SURVIVOR gets class and post relief tonight and should be handled aggressively by Bartlett. (1) J T draws best and is usually in the hunt from spots such as this. (2) ELWELL has been just okay in his last two; move back inside helps.
Race 9
(6) BETTOR'S EDGE broke in his last Yonkers start, his debut for new connections, but he got things straightened out last week at The Meadowlands; classy veteran can handle these. (2) THEARTOFCONFUSION just missed last out in a needed start and can be tighter tonight. (3) BADIOU HANOVER raced well last out to follow up a game win; threat.
Race 10
(2) BETTOREVER double-jumps in class off a blowout win and he faces nothing special; Bamond trainee can repeat with Bartlett on the return drive. (3) BULLET BOB always has good speed, is always close up, but always needs more late. (8) CLASS SIX needs help from this spot but he's a player at this level and would be a big threat with a better post.
Race 11
(2) POLAK A was a solid second to a classy rival last week and the veteran seems overdue. (4) MAKE SOME LUCK gets needed class relief and should be more of a factor versus these. (1) SWEET TALKIN SATIN was ready to go right off the bench for Banca but he faces tougher tonight.
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 19 - 73 / $97.50
BEST BETS: 4 - 7 / $15.70
Best Bet: LONE SURVIVOR (8th)
Spot Play: P H KENNY (1st)
Race 1
(3) P H KENNY raced pretty well last week showing speed at both ends; gelding draws well again and should be in line for a stalking trip. (2) GHOST PINE rallied well from off the pace in last and now makes his third start off the missed time; more is expected. (5) REASONABLE FORCE returns locally off a decent effort at The Meadowlands and he picks up Bartlett.
Race 2
(1) AMERICAN VENTURE couldn't fire enough off cover last out but he's raced well with better in the past and he benefits from the best post. (5) RONNY BUGATTI drops and moves in a couple of spots; logical. (6) MACHTU N took his customary early money despite being off a month and gave way on the front end; he's now back on consecutive weeks.
Race 3
(2) TYBER TYKE gave way on the front end last week when I touted him; I'll give him one more chance in this questionable field. (3) BURNING N makes his U.S. debut for Cushing off an encouraging qualifier; watch the board. (4) returns locally, now in a new barn, and he's got plenty of back class.
Race 4
(2) ESCAPE THE NEWS was a solid uncovered winner outbattling the pacesetter last out and he seems capable of repeating here. (3) BIG SURF lacks the class of others and Bartlett opted off but that was a decent effort last week; consider if the price is right. (1) SPORTSKEEPER gets much-needed post relief.
Race 5
(3) PASS THEM BY N was a solid second to a runaway winner and he can build off that effort. (2) FIVE CARD DRAW N raced pretty well last week off the month layoff and now he gets needed post relief; one to beat. (5) KID PK qualified well and certainly knows his way around this track.
Race 6
(3) CAVIART LUCA stormed home last week to upset for the second consecutive start and the sharp Burke trainee is inside what he has to beat tonight. (8) SOMEWHERE IN L A steps up to the Open ranks looking for five straight and he should be on the move early. (7) ROLAND N ROCK is a legit Open player; don't ignore him.
Race 7
(4) IN THE HUDDLE made a nice off-the-pace move last out to reach the leader but was outkicked late; improving gelding can build off that effort. (8) BLOOD BROTHER has come back sharp this year and is the one to beat despite the outside post assignment. (2) SPORTS BETTOR kept up pretty well last week and should be close up again.
Race 8
(3) LONE SURVIVOR gets class and post relief tonight and should be handled aggressively by Bartlett. (1) J T draws best and is usually in the hunt from spots such as this. (2) ELWELL has been just okay in his last two; move back inside helps.
Race 9
(6) BETTOR'S EDGE broke in his last Yonkers start, his debut for new connections, but he got things straightened out last week at The Meadowlands; classy veteran can handle these. (2) THEARTOFCONFUSION just missed last out in a needed start and can be tighter tonight. (3) BADIOU HANOVER raced well last out to follow up a game win; threat.
Race 10
(2) BETTOREVER double-jumps in class off a blowout win and he faces nothing special; Bamond trainee can repeat with Bartlett on the return drive. (3) BULLET BOB always has good speed, is always close up, but always needs more late. (8) CLASS SIX needs help from this spot but he's a player at this level and would be a big threat with a better post.
Race 11
(2) POLAK A was a solid second to a classy rival last week and the veteran seems overdue. (4) MAKE SOME LUCK gets needed class relief and should be more of a factor versus these. (1) SWEET TALKIN SATIN was ready to go right off the bench for Banca but he faces tougher tonight.
Spot Plays
For Saturday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (1st) Tizquick, 3-1
(8th) Bass River Road, 7-2
Charles Town (6th) Holy Dixieland, 7-2
(8th) My Reward, 3-1
Delta Downs (1st) Dancing Tinkerbell, 7-2
(9th) Dawn in the Delta, 8-1
Fair Grounds (2nd) Uncommon Cat, 4-1
(6th) Ironclad, 4-1
Golden Gate Fields (3rd) Lucky Views, 4-1
(8th) Matter of Luck, 6-1
Gulfstream Park (4th) Jaunt, 7-2
(11th) Danish Dynaformer, 5-1
Laurel (4th) Anda, 8-1
(10th) Nicamore, 3-1
Mahoning Valley (3rd) Drama Princess, 3-1
(7th) Dodge City, 10-1
Oaklawn Park (2nd) Lotto Cat, 8-1
(5th) Spirit Grabber, 9-2
Parx Racing (1st) Congrats to Avie, 7-2
(9th) Chippewawhitechief, 5-1
Penn National (2nd) Divine Kitten, 7-2
(7th) Moon Vision, 3-1
Sam Houston (1st) Screamin’ Patriot, 8-1
(8th) Nex Hal Comin, 8-1
Santa Anita (1st) Via Fermato, 5-1
(10th) Panama Papers, 4-1
Sunland Park (2nd) Perfecta, 4-1
(9th) Doms Thunder, 4-1
Tampa Bay Downs (1st) High Heel Lady, 7-2
(2nd) El Banilejo, 8-1
Turf Paradise (4th) Topsana, 3-1
(7th) Pata Blanca, 4-1
Turfway Park (6th) Queen of Corona, 3-1
(9th) Harangue, 4-1
For Saturday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Aqueduct (1st) Tizquick, 3-1
(8th) Bass River Road, 7-2
Charles Town (6th) Holy Dixieland, 7-2
(8th) My Reward, 3-1
Delta Downs (1st) Dancing Tinkerbell, 7-2
(9th) Dawn in the Delta, 8-1
Fair Grounds (2nd) Uncommon Cat, 4-1
(6th) Ironclad, 4-1
Golden Gate Fields (3rd) Lucky Views, 4-1
(8th) Matter of Luck, 6-1
Gulfstream Park (4th) Jaunt, 7-2
(11th) Danish Dynaformer, 5-1
Laurel (4th) Anda, 8-1
(10th) Nicamore, 3-1
Mahoning Valley (3rd) Drama Princess, 3-1
(7th) Dodge City, 10-1
Oaklawn Park (2nd) Lotto Cat, 8-1
(5th) Spirit Grabber, 9-2
Parx Racing (1st) Congrats to Avie, 7-2
(9th) Chippewawhitechief, 5-1
Penn National (2nd) Divine Kitten, 7-2
(7th) Moon Vision, 3-1
Sam Houston (1st) Screamin’ Patriot, 8-1
(8th) Nex Hal Comin, 8-1
Santa Anita (1st) Via Fermato, 5-1
(10th) Panama Papers, 4-1
Sunland Park (2nd) Perfecta, 4-1
(9th) Doms Thunder, 4-1
Tampa Bay Downs (1st) High Heel Lady, 7-2
(2nd) El Banilejo, 8-1
Turf Paradise (4th) Topsana, 3-1
(7th) Pata Blanca, 4-1
Turfway Park (6th) Queen of Corona, 3-1
(9th) Harangue, 4-1
