At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey
The excitement is building for Saturday’s $12 million Pegasus World Cup (G1) where we have a showdown between California Chrome and Arrogate.
However, let’s not forget we have 11 other races on the card and a half dozen are stakes races. While the Pegasus looks like a two-horse race, at least on paper, the remainder of the card is going to be a handicapping challenge.
The stakes action on Saturday will start in the third race, the $100,000 Hurricane Bertie (G3) for fillies and mares going seven furlongs. Eight go to the post led by Curlin’s Approval, runner up in the Rampart (G2) in her last outing.
The $400,000 Poseidon Handicap was designed as a backup plan for connections that could not get into the Pegasus Cup and it drew a solid field of nine older runners.
Stanford, the gate to wire winner of the Harlan’s Holiday (G3) figures to be a short price for trainer Todd Pletcher.
The $125,000 Ladies’ Turf Sprint drew a wide-open field of 12 that will go five furlongs on turf. The turf rails will be down for the first time since October, and the turf could favor horses racing toward the inside part of the turf course.
The $125,000 Gulfstream Park Turf Sprint also drew a field of 12. The headliner is Mongolian Saturday, winner of the 2015 Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint (G1) at Keeneland.
The $200,000 La Prevoyante Handicap (G3) will be another tough race to handicap. A field of 12 is led by Via Borghese winner Paige and E.P. Taylor (G1) runner up Suffused.
The W.L. McKnight Handicap (G3) is the race preceding the Pegasus Cup and drew a dozen. The main contenders are Red Smith (G3) runner up Danish Dynaformer, last year’s winner Charming Kitten, and $2 million earner Twilight Eclipse.
I will have my full card report up for Pegasus World Cup Day by Friday evening.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Clm $16,000N3L (12:35 ET)
#5 Miss Otis 8-5
#4 Forever for Always 7-2
#3 Melody Croon 9-2
#2 Yes Mongolia 15-1
Analysis: Miss Otis drops into an easier spot here for the Kenneally barn that has been sending out live runners at the meeting, 10 of 19 landing in the exacta. The filly was not a threat last out in an eighth place finish against Alw-2 optional claimers on the turf at Tampa Bay Downs. She has been facing much tougher than this group and picked up her maiden win on turf at Churchill Downs back in Sept. of '15. She gets a jock upgrade here to Castellano.
Forever for Always stalked the early pace while wide much of the trip and finished evenly in a fourth place finish last out at this level. The third place finisher Cajun Queen came back to beat $16,000 non-winners of three in her next outing on Jan. 13. She should be rolling late for the Antonucci barn that is having a cold meeting (1 for 32).
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 8-5 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 2,3,4,5
TRI: 4,5 / 2,3,4,5 / 2,3,4,5,6
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 9 OClm $62,500N2X (4:32 ET)
#2 Yellow Chips 7-2
#1 He's Got Talent 5-2
#5 Island Town 9-2
#6 Flashy Jewel 4-1
Analysis: Yellow Chips made a mild late rally to finish fourth last out going seven furlongs at this condition last out. The colt was a good second two back in the restricted Tamarac behind a talented runner in Zulu. It looks as if he should get some pace to run at and he passed his first allowance condition at six furlongs.
He's Got Talent was a sharp winner last out against Alw-1 optional claimers off nearly a three month break. The Navarro trainee has won three of his six trips over the main track here in his career. The barn is 25% winners with runners coming back off a 45-180 day layoff. he does not need to move forward much off his last effort to be in the mix here.
Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,6
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,6 / 1,2,3,5,6
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #2 Yes Mongolia 15-1
R3: #4 Bank On Jon 8-1
R5: #7 Learaig 15-1
R6: #2 Miss Visconti 12-1
R8: #9 Somethingelse 8-1
R10: #6 Little Queen 8-1
R11: #6 Leroy’s Image 8-1
Good luck today!