At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey
Entries are out for Saturday’s Road to the Derby Kickoff Day at Fair Grounds and we have a field of 12 lining up for the $200,000 Lecomte (G3), a Road to the Kentucky Derby points race.
The Steve Asmussen trained Untrapped is the 9-2 morning line favorite but may not end up the actual betting favorite in a wide-open race. The colt picked up his maiden score in his second career start at Churchill Downs going six furlongs.
Guest Suite (5-1) was third in the Street Sense in his first start against winners and then trounced Alw-1 optional claimers in his most recent outing by 6 ¼ lengths. The Neil Howard trainee has been working sharply since his last outing.
Saint’s Fan (5-1) draws the outside post and the Dallas Stewart trainee is perfect in two starts. He won the state bred Louisiana Juvenile at six panels in his last outing.
Takeoff (6-1) will be saddled by trainer Mark Casse. The colt broke his maiden going two turns in gate to wire fashion in his third career start.
I will have selections for the race in Saturday’s column and weather could be a factor as there are thunderstorms in the forecast.
We also have the Sunshine Millions card coming up on Saturday at Gulfstream Park. We have five stakes on the card highlighted by the $200,000 Sunshine Millions Classic
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Clm $16,000N3L (12:35 ET)
#5 Modern Tale 3-1
#4 Buon Gusto 5-2
#3 Spanish Armada 4-1
#1 Union Vow 8-1
Analysis: Modern Tale came up the inside with a good late rally to finish third last out at this level going 7 1/2 furlongs over good ground here. Two back he tracked the early pace and then did not have enough punch left in a fourth-place finish, beaten two lengths. I like the jock switch here to Castellano as the gelding makes his third start of his current form cycle.
Buon Gusto chased the early pace and weakened late to finish third last out against $12,500 non-winners of two here on the main track going seven furlongs. His last turf try came three back where he pressed the early pace and weakened late to finish third, beaten 1 3/4 lengths. He was claimed out of his last outing by the Procino barn that is showing a 0 for 3 mark first off the claim. Dating back five years the barn is showing a 4 for 27 mark first off the claim. Lopez takes the call.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 1,3,4,5
TRI: 4,5 / 1,3,4,5 / 1,3,4,5,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 9 Clm 30,000N3L (4:32 ET)
#4 Janine Melnitz 5-1
#1 Believe Indeed 8-1
#7 Bareeqa 6-1
#2 Bendita 4-1
Analysis: Janine Melnitz returns off a two-month break after making a good late run to finish third last out at this level at Laurel Park going a mile. The winner Ballinskellgs came back to beat open $16,000 claimers in her next start and then was a game second against $16,000 starter handicap foes in her most recent outing. Lopez takes the call and the 5-1 morning line looks fair enough.
Believe Indeed beat $25,000 non-winners of two last out over good ground at Tampa Bay Downs and steps up a notch here to the non-winners of three level. The runner up in her last start was Judy's Chance, who came back to beat $15,000 non-winners of two in her next start at Tampa on Jan. 14. The filly has landed in the exacta in 5 of 8 trips on turf in her career and looks headed in the right direction for Ryan who claimed her for $20,000 last summer. Decent value if she goes off near her 8-1 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,2,4,7
TRI: 1,4 / 1,2,4,7 / 1,2,4,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #1 Union Vow 8-1
R4: #3 Raptor 12-1
R6: #7 Gray Dude 8-1
R9: #1 Believe Indeed 8-1
R10: #10 Stolen Sunday 15-1
Good luck today!
By Mike Dempsey
Entries are out for Saturday’s Road to the Derby Kickoff Day at Fair Grounds and we have a field of 12 lining up for the $200,000 Lecomte (G3), a Road to the Kentucky Derby points race.
The Steve Asmussen trained Untrapped is the 9-2 morning line favorite but may not end up the actual betting favorite in a wide-open race. The colt picked up his maiden score in his second career start at Churchill Downs going six furlongs.
Guest Suite (5-1) was third in the Street Sense in his first start against winners and then trounced Alw-1 optional claimers in his most recent outing by 6 ¼ lengths. The Neil Howard trainee has been working sharply since his last outing.
Saint’s Fan (5-1) draws the outside post and the Dallas Stewart trainee is perfect in two starts. He won the state bred Louisiana Juvenile at six panels in his last outing.
Takeoff (6-1) will be saddled by trainer Mark Casse. The colt broke his maiden going two turns in gate to wire fashion in his third career start.
I will have selections for the race in Saturday’s column and weather could be a factor as there are thunderstorms in the forecast.
We also have the Sunshine Millions card coming up on Saturday at Gulfstream Park. We have five stakes on the card highlighted by the $200,000 Sunshine Millions Classic
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Clm $16,000N3L (12:35 ET)
#5 Modern Tale 3-1
#4 Buon Gusto 5-2
#3 Spanish Armada 4-1
#1 Union Vow 8-1
Analysis: Modern Tale came up the inside with a good late rally to finish third last out at this level going 7 1/2 furlongs over good ground here. Two back he tracked the early pace and then did not have enough punch left in a fourth-place finish, beaten two lengths. I like the jock switch here to Castellano as the gelding makes his third start of his current form cycle.
Buon Gusto chased the early pace and weakened late to finish third last out against $12,500 non-winners of two here on the main track going seven furlongs. His last turf try came three back where he pressed the early pace and weakened late to finish third, beaten 1 3/4 lengths. He was claimed out of his last outing by the Procino barn that is showing a 0 for 3 mark first off the claim. Dating back five years the barn is showing a 4 for 27 mark first off the claim. Lopez takes the call.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 1,3,4,5
TRI: 4,5 / 1,3,4,5 / 1,3,4,5,7
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 9 Clm 30,000N3L (4:32 ET)
#4 Janine Melnitz 5-1
#1 Believe Indeed 8-1
#7 Bareeqa 6-1
#2 Bendita 4-1
Analysis: Janine Melnitz returns off a two-month break after making a good late run to finish third last out at this level at Laurel Park going a mile. The winner Ballinskellgs came back to beat open $16,000 claimers in her next start and then was a game second against $16,000 starter handicap foes in her most recent outing. Lopez takes the call and the 5-1 morning line looks fair enough.
Believe Indeed beat $25,000 non-winners of two last out over good ground at Tampa Bay Downs and steps up a notch here to the non-winners of three level. The runner up in her last start was Judy's Chance, who came back to beat $15,000 non-winners of two in her next start at Tampa on Jan. 14. The filly has landed in the exacta in 5 of 8 trips on turf in her career and looks headed in the right direction for Ryan who claimed her for $20,000 last summer. Decent value if she goes off near her 8-1 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,2,4,7
TRI: 1,4 / 1,2,4,7 / 1,2,4,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #1 Union Vow 8-1
R4: #3 Raptor 12-1
R6: #7 Gray Dude 8-1
R9: #1 Believe Indeed 8-1
R10: #10 Stolen Sunday 15-1
Good luck today!
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 9:00 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$7500 - PREFERRED 3.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 SEEYOU MEN 4/1
# 3 KENNEL BUDDY 3/1
# 9 ALACRITY 2/1
SEEYOU MEN is the most solid bet in this gathering. Worth considering in this event if only for the very nice speed fig earned in the last contest. Good driver/trainer, winning 20 percent of the time. Could be a terrific bet. Gelding has one of the finest win percentages in the pack and that could be the deciding factor when they head for home. KENNEL BUDDY - Been going to post with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 83). The group noted a very promising effort out of this entrant last time. Hoping for a repeat effort of that to end up in the winner's circle. ALACRITY - With a 83 avg class rating, this nice horse has one of the most respectable class edges in the field of starters.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Post: 9:00 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$7500 - PREFERRED 3.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 SEEYOU MEN 4/1
# 3 KENNEL BUDDY 3/1
# 9 ALACRITY 2/1
SEEYOU MEN is the most solid bet in this gathering. Worth considering in this event if only for the very nice speed fig earned in the last contest. Good driver/trainer, winning 20 percent of the time. Could be a terrific bet. Gelding has one of the finest win percentages in the pack and that could be the deciding factor when they head for home. KENNEL BUDDY - Been going to post with some tougher customers of late, has a distinct class edge. (Average Rating 83). The group noted a very promising effort out of this entrant last time. Hoping for a repeat effort of that to end up in the winner's circle. ALACRITY - With a 83 avg class rating, this nice horse has one of the most respectable class edges in the field of starters.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Post: 9:50 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$10000 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $12,000 TO $15,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 2 WILLIAM STAR 12/1
# 5 GIRL DRAMA 6/1
# 6 NOTROUBLE DECHAFRA 12/1
WILLIAM STAR looks formidable to best this field of starters and the big morning line could mean a big score. Don't let a horse with such a formidable winning statistic like this be forgotten. GIRL DRAMA - Considered a solid bet based solely on her high victory figure. Drawing the 5 position at this track has lead to a well above average win figure. NOTROUBLE DECHAFRA - Layoff, schmayoff, this gelding's trainer races starters back ready to roll. More wins than is normal have been recorded by solid standardbreds lining up behind the 6 post at Woodbine.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Post: 9:50 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$10000 - CLAIMING HANDICAP $12,000 TO $15,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000.
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 2 WILLIAM STAR 12/1
# 5 GIRL DRAMA 6/1
# 6 NOTROUBLE DECHAFRA 12/1
WILLIAM STAR looks formidable to best this field of starters and the big morning line could mean a big score. Don't let a horse with such a formidable winning statistic like this be forgotten. GIRL DRAMA - Considered a solid bet based solely on her high victory figure. Drawing the 5 position at this track has lead to a well above average win figure. NOTROUBLE DECHAFRA - Layoff, schmayoff, this gelding's trainer races starters back ready to roll. More wins than is normal have been recorded by solid standardbreds lining up behind the 6 post at Woodbine.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 79
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR FOUR YEAR OLD FILLIES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE DECEMBER 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $10,000 2 LBS. (IF
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 1 LOU 7/2
# 5 GOBLET OF FIRE 9/5
# 4 MARYBLUEEYES 9/2
LOU is the most competitive wager in this race. Has a very solid record at the distance and surface, which makes me have to support this filly. Should be considered in this competition if only for the decent Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last contest. Has competitive Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. GOBLET OF FIRE - Strong average speed figs in turf route races make this equine a key contender. This trainer has the best ROI in this group of animals with entries running at this distance and surface. MARYBLUEEYES - Has competed solidly in turf route races. Will most likely come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved promptly to the lead recently.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 79
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR FOUR YEAR OLD FILLIES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE DECEMBER 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $10,000 2 LBS. (IF
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 1 LOU 7/2
# 5 GOBLET OF FIRE 9/5
# 4 MARYBLUEEYES 9/2
LOU is the most competitive wager in this race. Has a very solid record at the distance and surface, which makes me have to support this filly. Should be considered in this competition if only for the decent Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last contest. Has competitive Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. GOBLET OF FIRE - Strong average speed figs in turf route races make this equine a key contender. This trainer has the best ROI in this group of animals with entries running at this distance and surface. MARYBLUEEYES - Has competed solidly in turf route races. Will most likely come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved promptly to the lead recently.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $29500 Class Rating: 82
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 19, 2016 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 19, 2016 ALLOWED 4 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 CONQUEST CITY GIRL 7/2
# 3 FIRELIGHT 4/1
# 1 SINGMEALOVESONG 8/1
I give my vote to CONQUEST CITY GIRL here. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 83 speed figure which is one of the best in this field. Rose has recent return on investment figs which make this entrant a good wager. Looks very good to be up near the front end at the first call. FIRELIGHT - Earned a sound speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Reason to like this filly as she has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. SINGMEALOVESONG - Formidable selection to take this race going in a dirt sprint. She looks competitive in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $29500 Class Rating: 82
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 19, 2016 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 19, 2016 ALLOWED 4 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 CONQUEST CITY GIRL 7/2
# 3 FIRELIGHT 4/1
# 1 SINGMEALOVESONG 8/1
I give my vote to CONQUEST CITY GIRL here. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 83 speed figure which is one of the best in this field. Rose has recent return on investment figs which make this entrant a good wager. Looks very good to be up near the front end at the first call. FIRELIGHT - Earned a sound speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Reason to like this filly as she has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. SINGMEALOVESONG - Formidable selection to take this race going in a dirt sprint. She looks competitive in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Charles Town - Race #7 - Post: 9:47pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 64
Rating:
#2 ALREADY BETTYE (ML=5/1)
ALREADY BETTYE - With a big class drop in class rating points from her Dec 17th race at Charles Town. Based on that valuable data, I will give this thoroughbred the edge. This animal didn't run well on the mud in her last start at Charles Town. You may want to throw out that effort. Have to believe this speed horse has a nice chance on this tight track. A quick move out of the gate, and this one gets position. The addition of the 'hood' should keep her mind on business today. Recent speed figures show powerful pattern of improvement.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1A REATA'S CORK (ML=8/5), #1 WAGERED (ML=8/5), #3 RUNAWAY CHARITY (ML=9/5),
REATA'S CORK - Hasn't been doing anything at all recently. 8/5 is not offering enough value for any racer in a sprint of 6 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance race of late. WAGERED - This questionable contender didn't do much last time finishing sixth. Don't expect any betterment in today's event. I can't play this continual non-winner. Gets the job done now and then. Should be difficult for this racer to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced contenders list. RUNAWAY CHARITY - Didn't meet expectations as the favorite the last two times.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - ALREADY BETTYE - At Charles Town on December 17th this mare posted a speed figure of 56 in her last race. She has the best last figure in the field.
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 ALREADY BETTYE is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Charles Town - Race #7 - Post: 9:47pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 64
Rating:
#2 ALREADY BETTYE (ML=5/1)
ALREADY BETTYE - With a big class drop in class rating points from her Dec 17th race at Charles Town. Based on that valuable data, I will give this thoroughbred the edge. This animal didn't run well on the mud in her last start at Charles Town. You may want to throw out that effort. Have to believe this speed horse has a nice chance on this tight track. A quick move out of the gate, and this one gets position. The addition of the 'hood' should keep her mind on business today. Recent speed figures show powerful pattern of improvement.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1A REATA'S CORK (ML=8/5), #1 WAGERED (ML=8/5), #3 RUNAWAY CHARITY (ML=9/5),
REATA'S CORK - Hasn't been doing anything at all recently. 8/5 is not offering enough value for any racer in a sprint of 6 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance race of late. WAGERED - This questionable contender didn't do much last time finishing sixth. Don't expect any betterment in today's event. I can't play this continual non-winner. Gets the job done now and then. Should be difficult for this racer to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the likely underpriced contenders list. RUNAWAY CHARITY - Didn't meet expectations as the favorite the last two times.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - ALREADY BETTYE - At Charles Town on December 17th this mare posted a speed figure of 56 in her last race. She has the best last figure in the field.
*
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 ALREADY BETTYE is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Gulfstream Park - Race #10 - Post: 5:02pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 73
Rating:
#4 GRACE'S DRAMA (ML=7/2)
#10 STOLEN SUNDAY (ML=15/1)
GRACE'S DRAMA - I expect this horse to astonish some railbirds today. STOLEN SUNDAY - I always like to see a filly getting Lasix for the second time. This one fits the bill. Horses out of the barn of Cibelli have been great on the grass. Should perform well.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ANTHONY LASS (ML=5/2), #11 OPERATIC (ML=9/2), #6 PACHAMANCA (ML=6/1),
ANTHONY LASS - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint affairs in order to wager on her. OPERATIC - Should have at least finished in the money in the last sixty days in a sprint clash to be any kind of value at short odds in a sprint. 9/2 odds isn't enough for this entrant when examining the most recent outings. This questionable contender ran a mediocre speed rating in the last race. She shouldn't improve and will probably lose in today's event running that number. PACHAMANCA - The finish position of tenth in the last race shows me that this horse may be getting out of condition.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 GRACE'S DRAMA to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Gulfstream Park - Race #10 - Post: 5:02pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 73
Rating:
#4 GRACE'S DRAMA (ML=7/2)
#10 STOLEN SUNDAY (ML=15/1)
GRACE'S DRAMA - I expect this horse to astonish some railbirds today. STOLEN SUNDAY - I always like to see a filly getting Lasix for the second time. This one fits the bill. Horses out of the barn of Cibelli have been great on the grass. Should perform well.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ANTHONY LASS (ML=5/2), #11 OPERATIC (ML=9/2), #6 PACHAMANCA (ML=6/1),
ANTHONY LASS - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint affairs in order to wager on her. OPERATIC - Should have at least finished in the money in the last sixty days in a sprint clash to be any kind of value at short odds in a sprint. 9/2 odds isn't enough for this entrant when examining the most recent outings. This questionable contender ran a mediocre speed rating in the last race. She shouldn't improve and will probably lose in today's event running that number. PACHAMANCA - The finish position of tenth in the last race shows me that this horse may be getting out of condition.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 GRACE'S DRAMA to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,10]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass
Woodbine Harness: Thursday 1/19 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,5,6,10/10/1,5,6,8/2,5,7,9/1,3,4 = $38.40
EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,7,9/1,3,4/3,5/1,5,10 = $72
LATE PICK 4: 1,5,10/5,9/3,6,7/7,8,9 = $54
MEET STATS: 75 - 312 / $428.30 BEST BETS: 12 - 29 / $44.70
SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 28 / $44.20
Best Bet: JIMBELINA (2nd)
Spot Play: JUST A THOUGHT (9th)
Race 1
(6) VASCO BI gets his best chance yet to break his maiden, starting from the middle of the gate vs. a weak group; slight nod. (10) ROYAL INTRIGUE is a half-sister to several decent performers. She could surprise if she stays flat this time. (1) ROAD LIGHT figures to be a threat, but he must get out decently from the tricky inside post. (5) IN FOR ALONG HAUL picks up McNair, which has been the best angle at this meet; using.
Race 2
(10) JIMBELINA got pushed to a very quick 1/2 last week but she stayed game and still almost got the job done. She holds a recency edge on most of the field; top call. (8) STONEBRIDGE PEARL can go better here if she can avoid being first up this time; exacta factor. (2) FRANSCHOEK closed energetically off excess cover last time, but she now has missed five weeks; your call. (1) AMERICAN CURVES is another that figures on paper but also shows a stale date; minor share predicted.
Race 3
(5) XELENE BAYAMA immediately dropped four seconds last May when she shipped from Rideau to Mohawk and switched barns from Filion to Larocque. History could repeat here. (6) SENSELESS BEAUTY was an impressive winner coming off a long break last time; using. (1) TEARFUL OF HAPPY dropped four seconds in four days in her two qualifiers. She is another I think you need on Pick 5 tickets. (8) COLLECTIVE WISDOM was game in defeat last time and she is another that can be dangerous from close range.
Race 4
(9) JIMMYS LITTLE GIRL couldn't close into an accelerating late pace last time. She should find the drop back to maidens more to her liking here. (7) ON THE MINUTE MARK qualified sharply for this. She can take these a long way. (5) BALOO SANDS has been on a roll out of town and her good early speed makes her a threat here. (2) ALEXAS LUCK - a full-sister to Little Brown Jug winner Michaels Power - is worth a look here in her debut.
Race 5
(1) I WANNA BE GEARED should be tough dropping back into a claimer here. Expect an early move this time. (4) VITAL SIGN improved when dropped to this level last time. He could be cycling towards a rare win now. (3) WINDSONG LORD wired similar at Flamboro. He isn't out of this. (10) CHEYENNE FORD will be coming late, but it's hard to say if he will be in position to pass them all as they turn for home.
Race 6
(5) GROUPIE DOLL looks like a solid bet to wire these. (3) SUMMIT CITY TURBO, bought by Zeron for himself since his last start, should be a big player here. (9) ANCASTOR SEELSTER has raced great since being claimed and he could drop several seconds here racing on the big track. (8) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE will be closing late, as always.
Race 7
(5) BIG CITY JEWEL showed some late interest in his qualifier and now he adds Lasix. This one has some angles going for him in a race that is very tough to figure; slightest of nods. (1) HOUSE OF TERROR debuts for Baillargeon here, and he too showed late interest racing in the same qualifier as the choice; using. (10) WALTZKING HANOVER has a reasonable shot here if he can beat a few off the gate. (2) LEVY TAYLORE should stick around for a slice, at a minimum.
Race 8
(9) TYMAL WIZARD took a new life's mark racing here in this class two starts back. Racing back on the big track can make all the difference for him. (5) GIRL DRAMA is in good form, but she always needs a bit of luck to pass them all. (8) TOP DOLLAR was well back of the choice most recently, but he can close for a smaller share here. (3) CHIEVOUS COLE is one that can threaten from close range if he can stay flat this time.
Race 9
(6) JUST A THOUGHT should hold a major conditioning advantage here while making his third start in 12 days; top call. (3) FIRST CAR couldn't chase down a strong leader while trying first up at Flamboro, but he projects to get a better trip here; using. (7) FUTOMAKI is another that should get a better trip this time and he retains white-hot driver McNair. (8) BETTIM CHRIS ships in and goes for Moreau here, which makes him worthy of inclusion on vertical bets.
Race 10
(8) CASIMIR PARDON ME has been racing well despite spending a lot of time uncovered on the rim. She should be a top contender here. (7) BOOZER BRUISER woke up in a big way in her past two starts. She should string another good effort together. (9) SR BEACH BABE took a new life's mark here two back now she drops back to that same class; beware. (1) MATTJESTIC TEMPO looks ready to produce a decent effort off the shelf. (2) SOBEAUTIFULSOWHAT looks like one that can sit an inside following trip and come on late for a slice.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,5,6,10/10/1,5,6,8/2,5,7,9/1,3,4 = $38.40
EARLY PICK 4: 2,5,7,9/1,3,4/3,5/1,5,10 = $72
LATE PICK 4: 1,5,10/5,9/3,6,7/7,8,9 = $54
MEET STATS: 75 - 312 / $428.30 BEST BETS: 12 - 29 / $44.70
SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 28 / $44.20
Best Bet: JIMBELINA (2nd)
Spot Play: JUST A THOUGHT (9th)
Race 1
(6) VASCO BI gets his best chance yet to break his maiden, starting from the middle of the gate vs. a weak group; slight nod. (10) ROYAL INTRIGUE is a half-sister to several decent performers. She could surprise if she stays flat this time. (1) ROAD LIGHT figures to be a threat, but he must get out decently from the tricky inside post. (5) IN FOR ALONG HAUL picks up McNair, which has been the best angle at this meet; using.
Race 2
(10) JIMBELINA got pushed to a very quick 1/2 last week but she stayed game and still almost got the job done. She holds a recency edge on most of the field; top call. (8) STONEBRIDGE PEARL can go better here if she can avoid being first up this time; exacta factor. (2) FRANSCHOEK closed energetically off excess cover last time, but she now has missed five weeks; your call. (1) AMERICAN CURVES is another that figures on paper but also shows a stale date; minor share predicted.
Race 3
(5) XELENE BAYAMA immediately dropped four seconds last May when she shipped from Rideau to Mohawk and switched barns from Filion to Larocque. History could repeat here. (6) SENSELESS BEAUTY was an impressive winner coming off a long break last time; using. (1) TEARFUL OF HAPPY dropped four seconds in four days in her two qualifiers. She is another I think you need on Pick 5 tickets. (8) COLLECTIVE WISDOM was game in defeat last time and she is another that can be dangerous from close range.
Race 4
(9) JIMMYS LITTLE GIRL couldn't close into an accelerating late pace last time. She should find the drop back to maidens more to her liking here. (7) ON THE MINUTE MARK qualified sharply for this. She can take these a long way. (5) BALOO SANDS has been on a roll out of town and her good early speed makes her a threat here. (2) ALEXAS LUCK - a full-sister to Little Brown Jug winner Michaels Power - is worth a look here in her debut.
Race 5
(1) I WANNA BE GEARED should be tough dropping back into a claimer here. Expect an early move this time. (4) VITAL SIGN improved when dropped to this level last time. He could be cycling towards a rare win now. (3) WINDSONG LORD wired similar at Flamboro. He isn't out of this. (10) CHEYENNE FORD will be coming late, but it's hard to say if he will be in position to pass them all as they turn for home.
Race 6
(5) GROUPIE DOLL looks like a solid bet to wire these. (3) SUMMIT CITY TURBO, bought by Zeron for himself since his last start, should be a big player here. (9) ANCASTOR SEELSTER has raced great since being claimed and he could drop several seconds here racing on the big track. (8) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE will be closing late, as always.
Race 7
(5) BIG CITY JEWEL showed some late interest in his qualifier and now he adds Lasix. This one has some angles going for him in a race that is very tough to figure; slightest of nods. (1) HOUSE OF TERROR debuts for Baillargeon here, and he too showed late interest racing in the same qualifier as the choice; using. (10) WALTZKING HANOVER has a reasonable shot here if he can beat a few off the gate. (2) LEVY TAYLORE should stick around for a slice, at a minimum.
Race 8
(9) TYMAL WIZARD took a new life's mark racing here in this class two starts back. Racing back on the big track can make all the difference for him. (5) GIRL DRAMA is in good form, but she always needs a bit of luck to pass them all. (8) TOP DOLLAR was well back of the choice most recently, but he can close for a smaller share here. (3) CHIEVOUS COLE is one that can threaten from close range if he can stay flat this time.
Race 9
(6) JUST A THOUGHT should hold a major conditioning advantage here while making his third start in 12 days; top call. (3) FIRST CAR couldn't chase down a strong leader while trying first up at Flamboro, but he projects to get a better trip here; using. (7) FUTOMAKI is another that should get a better trip this time and he retains white-hot driver McNair. (8) BETTIM CHRIS ships in and goes for Moreau here, which makes him worthy of inclusion on vertical bets.
Race 10
(8) CASIMIR PARDON ME has been racing well despite spending a lot of time uncovered on the rim. She should be a top contender here. (7) BOOZER BRUISER woke up in a big way in her past two starts. She should string another good effort together. (9) SR BEACH BABE took a new life's mark here two back now she drops back to that same class; beware. (1) MATTJESTIC TEMPO looks ready to produce a decent effort off the shelf. (2) SOBEAUTIFULSOWHAT looks like one that can sit an inside following trip and come on late for a slice.
Yonkers: Thursday 1/19 Analysis
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 13 - 52 / $72.90
BEST BETS: 2 - 5 / $9.80
Best Bet: AMERICAN VENTURE (6th)
Spot Play: HOOSIER CHATTER (3rd)
Race 1
(8) SHADIOS plummets to the bottom level and can leave 100 mph which should make the outside post no problem. (3) I'M THE REAL MAJOR hasn't put in a bad effort in ages for William Mann. (7) MUSTANG MACH N is clearly a perfect fit at the level but he may not be able to match strides with the top choice early.
Race 2
(2) JARNAC isn't the most prolific winner out there but she should fit well at this level upon returning from The Meadowlands. (3) HOOVES ON FIRST was a nice off-the-pace winner last week; threat. (1) VORST arrives from The Meadows and joins Team Buter while drawing best.
Race 3
(3) HOOSIER CHATTER never wins but has also never faced such a soft field. (1) TWIN B HONOUR had no excuse from the pocket last week but she remains a solid speed threat from the best post with the top driver. (4) KIA KAHA N has looked awful but I have to believe there's more than meets the eye.
Race 4
(1) ENVIOUS HANOVER makes another cross-country trip returning from Cal-Expo off a win and she's been competitive versus better than these in the past. (4) HER OWN LAND raced evenly last week in a needed start and can show more tonight. (6) DUNE IN RED could be an early speed threat and obviously has to leave hard for her best chance.
Race 5
(3) TYLER didn't fire last week but probably needed that start for his new barn; veteran is capable of better. (2) LITTLEBITASWAGGER missed a nose last week for good connections. (5) TENDTOWIN gets a top driver back in the bike off a win at Monticello.
Race 6
(6) AMERICAN VENTURE is another horse returning from California for the Ruiz barn and he's a legit Saturday night-type who is capable of crushing these. (2) DIAMOND COWBOY lands in a better spot in his third start for new connections. (4) PIER HO TEMPTATION was a solid second last week.
Race 7
(4) SANTANNA ONE was a sharp two-move winner last week and he can certainly repeat at what could be a halfway decent price. (5) SKY MCFLY swept impressively from the eight hole last out versus one notch lesser and he'll attract plenty of attention at the windows. (2) WESTERN ALUMNI was Bartlett's choice and draws well enough.
Race 8
(1) SPINARAMA seems to fit with these and should be able to work out a perfect trip from this spot. (8) FASHION DELIGHT debuts for Hudson off the claim looking for two straight; needs an alert getaway. (6) RANGERS SURESHOT saw his four race win streak snapped last out and now has missed time; use underneath.
Race 9
(4) ANALYZE was handled aggressively last week from the eight hole despite missing a month of action and she understandably tired; mare can be tighter tonight. (1) PRINCESS KATIE debuts for new connections via claim and she's in good form while drawing best. (3) PASULTIMATEDELITE N seems to be better than she's been showing.
Race 10
(2) BABY REMIND ME likely needed last week's race where she was in a tough spot; Allard trainee should be ready to roll tonight. (3) MACHO CHICK is a good fit at this level and draws well enough. (5) BROWN BRINNY is back on consecutive weeks off a decent effort.
By Matt Rose
DRF
MEET STATS: 13 - 52 / $72.90
BEST BETS: 2 - 5 / $9.80
Best Bet: AMERICAN VENTURE (6th)
Spot Play: HOOSIER CHATTER (3rd)
Race 1
(8) SHADIOS plummets to the bottom level and can leave 100 mph which should make the outside post no problem. (3) I'M THE REAL MAJOR hasn't put in a bad effort in ages for William Mann. (7) MUSTANG MACH N is clearly a perfect fit at the level but he may not be able to match strides with the top choice early.
Race 2
(2) JARNAC isn't the most prolific winner out there but she should fit well at this level upon returning from The Meadowlands. (3) HOOVES ON FIRST was a nice off-the-pace winner last week; threat. (1) VORST arrives from The Meadows and joins Team Buter while drawing best.
Race 3
(3) HOOSIER CHATTER never wins but has also never faced such a soft field. (1) TWIN B HONOUR had no excuse from the pocket last week but she remains a solid speed threat from the best post with the top driver. (4) KIA KAHA N has looked awful but I have to believe there's more than meets the eye.
Race 4
(1) ENVIOUS HANOVER makes another cross-country trip returning from Cal-Expo off a win and she's been competitive versus better than these in the past. (4) HER OWN LAND raced evenly last week in a needed start and can show more tonight. (6) DUNE IN RED could be an early speed threat and obviously has to leave hard for her best chance.
Race 5
(3) TYLER didn't fire last week but probably needed that start for his new barn; veteran is capable of better. (2) LITTLEBITASWAGGER missed a nose last week for good connections. (5) TENDTOWIN gets a top driver back in the bike off a win at Monticello.
Race 6
(6) AMERICAN VENTURE is another horse returning from California for the Ruiz barn and he's a legit Saturday night-type who is capable of crushing these. (2) DIAMOND COWBOY lands in a better spot in his third start for new connections. (4) PIER HO TEMPTATION was a solid second last week.
Race 7
(4) SANTANNA ONE was a sharp two-move winner last week and he can certainly repeat at what could be a halfway decent price. (5) SKY MCFLY swept impressively from the eight hole last out versus one notch lesser and he'll attract plenty of attention at the windows. (2) WESTERN ALUMNI was Bartlett's choice and draws well enough.
Race 8
(1) SPINARAMA seems to fit with these and should be able to work out a perfect trip from this spot. (8) FASHION DELIGHT debuts for Hudson off the claim looking for two straight; needs an alert getaway. (6) RANGERS SURESHOT saw his four race win streak snapped last out and now has missed time; use underneath.
Race 9
(4) ANALYZE was handled aggressively last week from the eight hole despite missing a month of action and she understandably tired; mare can be tighter tonight. (1) PRINCESS KATIE debuts for new connections via claim and she's in good form while drawing best. (3) PASULTIMATEDELITE N seems to be better than she's been showing.
Race 10
(2) BABY REMIND ME likely needed last week's race where she was in a tough spot; Allard trainee should be ready to roll tonight. (3) MACHO CHICK is a good fit at this level and draws well enough. (5) BROWN BRINNY is back on consecutive weeks off a decent effort.
Spot Plays
For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Charles Town (4th) Minnie Ball, 5-1
(9th) The Squire, 4-1
Delta Downs (1st) Shesatopattraction, 6-1
(10th) Lady Friend, 4-1
Fair Grounds (2nd) Lou, 7-2
(5th) Sweet Halory, 3-1
Gulfstream Park (7th) Wilshire Star, 7-2
(8th) Bajan Rhythm, 4-1
Oaklawn Park (3rd) J P of Galilee, 5-1
(5th) Sheridan’s Bling, 7-2
Penn National (2nd) Captured, 4-1
(6th) Svindahl, 9-2
Turfway Park (2nd) Relentless Spirit, 7-2
(6th) Stay on Shore, 7-2
For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Charles Town (4th) Minnie Ball, 5-1
(9th) The Squire, 4-1
Delta Downs (1st) Shesatopattraction, 6-1
(10th) Lady Friend, 4-1
Fair Grounds (2nd) Lou, 7-2
(5th) Sweet Halory, 3-1
Gulfstream Park (7th) Wilshire Star, 7-2
(8th) Bajan Rhythm, 4-1
Oaklawn Park (3rd) J P of Galilee, 5-1
(5th) Sheridan’s Bling, 7-2
Penn National (2nd) Captured, 4-1
(6th) Svindahl, 9-2
Turfway Park (2nd) Relentless Spirit, 7-2
(6th) Stay on Shore, 7-2
