I will post a few now and add throughout the day.
Michigan (-3')
Same thing as last year. Minnesota is a good club and runs the ball well, but they haven't played anyone. Michigan is ranked #1 against the run (47 ypg) and #1 in forcing turnovers (19).
Michigan is 8-3 ATS L11 in the series. They are also 8-1 ATS home vs. opponent off BB SU wins.
Mich has gone 7-2-1 ATS L 10 as Home Favs.
The Wolverines are also 4-1 ATS vs. opponent w/revenge. I believe this revenge factor is being overplayed with Minnesota here.
Minnesota is only 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS as a Road Dog since 2000 and the Gophers are 0-7 ATS the L7 w/ conference revenge.
Michigan State (-7)
The Illini are 0-7 ATS off BB SU losses and 0-7 ATS off DD SU loss.
Illinois is only 2-8 ATS the L10 in this series (0-4 SU ATS L4 in East Lansing).
MSU is undervalued and has performed better with Stanton at QB even in the loss at Iowa (449 yds total offense). Illinois is considering changing QB's (mistake) and is without their top player on offense WR Adeyemo.
Leaning with Texas (+7'), but still waiting. I may lay off though.
Ohio U (+9)
Ohio U is 5-1 ATS the L6 in the series.
OU is 5-0 ATS home w/revenge and 5-1 ATS home vs. opponent off SU win.
Marshall is only 6-19 ATS in MAC road games. Marshall is moving to Conference USA so they will continue to get every MAC foe's best shot.
I wish Ohio would have lost to UK LW for some more line value and they also should have beaten Pitt, but caught some bad breaks.
Mississippi (+17)
Purely a contrarian play here. I had the Gamecocks LW and their win at Bama wasn't nearly as decisive as the final score indicated.
This line is high b/c Ole Miss is 0-5 ATS, but uusually that is when you get on a team b/c the oddsmakers are overstating the line.
Ole Miss is 8-2 ATS their L10 as a DD SEC dog.
Kent State (+20)
Kent is 10-3-1 ATS as a Road Dog with Cribbs at QB.
In this series the Dog is 4-1 ATS.
Kent is also 7-0 ATS away w/rev.
Kent is 6-0 ATS w/revenge vs. MAC and 6-1 ATS their L7 as DD dog.
Kent is a little better than their record. I think this is a big # for Miami to lay.
Notre Dame (-4')
Lots being made over Stanford being blown out LY by the Irish by 50.
Stanford is overvalued b/c of their near-win over USC.
I think the Irish get back on track here.
Stanford is only 3-7-1 ATS as a Road Dog under Teevens.
This is my card up to 3:30 EST.
GL
HD
Michigan (-3')
Same thing as last year. Minnesota is a good club and runs the ball well, but they haven't played anyone. Michigan is ranked #1 against the run (47 ypg) and #1 in forcing turnovers (19).
Michigan is 8-3 ATS L11 in the series. They are also 8-1 ATS home vs. opponent off BB SU wins.
Mich has gone 7-2-1 ATS L 10 as Home Favs.
The Wolverines are also 4-1 ATS vs. opponent w/revenge. I believe this revenge factor is being overplayed with Minnesota here.
Minnesota is only 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS as a Road Dog since 2000 and the Gophers are 0-7 ATS the L7 w/ conference revenge.
Michigan State (-7)
The Illini are 0-7 ATS off BB SU losses and 0-7 ATS off DD SU loss.
Illinois is only 2-8 ATS the L10 in this series (0-4 SU ATS L4 in East Lansing).
MSU is undervalued and has performed better with Stanton at QB even in the loss at Iowa (449 yds total offense). Illinois is considering changing QB's (mistake) and is without their top player on offense WR Adeyemo.
Leaning with Texas (+7'), but still waiting. I may lay off though.
Ohio U (+9)
Ohio U is 5-1 ATS the L6 in the series.
OU is 5-0 ATS home w/revenge and 5-1 ATS home vs. opponent off SU win.
Marshall is only 6-19 ATS in MAC road games. Marshall is moving to Conference USA so they will continue to get every MAC foe's best shot.
I wish Ohio would have lost to UK LW for some more line value and they also should have beaten Pitt, but caught some bad breaks.
Mississippi (+17)
Purely a contrarian play here. I had the Gamecocks LW and their win at Bama wasn't nearly as decisive as the final score indicated.
This line is high b/c Ole Miss is 0-5 ATS, but uusually that is when you get on a team b/c the oddsmakers are overstating the line.
Ole Miss is 8-2 ATS their L10 as a DD SEC dog.
Kent State (+20)
Kent is 10-3-1 ATS as a Road Dog with Cribbs at QB.
In this series the Dog is 4-1 ATS.
Kent is also 7-0 ATS away w/rev.
Kent is 6-0 ATS w/revenge vs. MAC and 6-1 ATS their L7 as DD dog.
Kent is a little better than their record. I think this is a big # for Miami to lay.
Notre Dame (-4')
Lots being made over Stanford being blown out LY by the Irish by 50.
Stanford is overvalued b/c of their near-win over USC.
I think the Irish get back on track here.
Stanford is only 3-7-1 ATS as a Road Dog under Teevens.
This is my card up to 3:30 EST.
GL
HD