Michigan St -12 -110
This is probably one of the more favorable match ups year in and year out in college basketball. Evidence of this is the record in this series, which is dominated by Michigan St. The last 2 years alone Michigan St has won by 15, and 21. No matter how good Northwestern plays defensively, and even if Michigan St has a bad shooting game they are able to make up for it by their rebounding. Michigan St has long been known for their rebounding under Izzo, and the ability to dominate the glass is something Northwestern just doesn't have. They don't recruit the big, physical, athletic players because that is not what their style of play requires. Not saying the top athletes would go their even if that is what Carmody tries to bring in, but you get my picture. Northwestern can't even able to play their 1-3-1 defense that was very effective in beating Minnesota on Sunday. Michigan St has shot the ball too well in the past and is no good on the glass that Northwestern just isn't able to rebound out of the zone. The Spartans basically just shoot until they miss. Northwestern will likely play a 2-3 zone instead of the 1-3-1, but they will still have all sorts of problems rebounding out of it. Mich St is +10 on the glass for the season, while Northwestern had been out rebounded by an amazing 71 boards through their first 4 Big 10 games until sunday when they were only out rebounded by Minnesota by 2. Northwestern got off to such a promising start this season because of the play of power forward Jon Shurna, and 7 foot center Kyle Rowley. The 2 freshman gave something the Cats haven't had in years...size. However the 2 have seem to hit a wall, and just aren't ready for the pyshical play the Big 10 brings. Both have struggled mightily since big 10 play has started. Shurna has only 8 points in the last 4 games, and has been scoreless in the past 2. Rowley has only managed 12 points and 5 rebounds in ALL BIG 10 GAMES COMBINED! Their minutes have decreased, and so has their confidence. With that type of production, or should i say lack there of, Michigan St center Goron Suton should have a field day in the paint. Mich St is too athletic, and too physical for the Cats to give the Spartans a batter in East Lansing. NW has allowed their last 4 opponents to shoot 47.2%, 45.7%, 50%, and 46.8% respectively in their last 4 big 10 games. Through in the stat that they are shooting only 60% from the foul line and all signs point to a blow out tonight. I would grab 12 when it is still available