Homedawg's Thursday Plays 272-284. +42.58 (GOY)

[homedawg]

Thursday: 1-3. -3.00
Overall: 272-284. +42.52


2 Units

Colorad +182 I would rather back Bergman than Perez anyways. More of a fade of Francis



Tomorrow's card could possibly have my biggest wager of the season. I plan on at least having 7 units on the M's!! Waiting to check a few things before making an official play.

 

[Mr.Cover123]

7 units on the worst team in the AL? I know King Felix is starting, but the Rays are the real deal.

 

[homedawg]

7 units on the worst team in baseball? I know King Felix is starting, but the Rays are the real deal.

you have to remember that this team was initially picked to contend for a world series birth this season. they had sky high expectations and I think the pressure had something to do with their struggles. They are actually playing much better ball as of late, and their woeful offense has picked it up big time the past 2 or 3 weeks with 10 or more hits in 9 of their past 10 games. Ibanez may be the hottest player on the planet right now. The Drays on the other hand have been struggling mightily on offense not reaching 10 hits in 9 of the last 10 games. Sonnastine isn't even in the same ball park as King Felix. Sonnastine espically struggles on the road. He got beat up for a loss earlier in the season, while Hernandez is 3-0 lifetime going 7+. Also on the road Tampa is 5 games below .500. I espically look to fade east coast teams on their 1st game of a west coast road trip. With all these factors and the relatively low price due to Tampa being this baseball's season darling, and the M's stinking it up for the most part i just can't nor won't resist to pound this. I have been waiting for this game all week.

 

[Mr.Cover123]

Good luck, but the Mariners and GOY don't fit.

I'll have to look at the game more in depth to see if I will follow.

 

[seriousaddiction]

sheeeeeittt...its all about picking your spot...GOY and Clippers/Bucks in the NBA dont fit either but it sure as hell was a winner for me in January---all about the spots and I also lovvvvve this one

 

[homedawg]

Good luck, but the Mariners and GOY don't fit.

I'll have to look at the game more in depth to see if I will follow.

it's 1 game of a 162 game season. Baseball is a game of streaks, and numbers. The M's haven't cashed it in. They took 2 of 3 at home from a red hot Minnesota team. You usually find the best value in the team's on the bottom.

 

[Mr.Cover123]

I took the Mariners a couple times this year and lost most of them so thats why I'm down on them.

 

[homedawg]

actually better get some down now as I will gladly lay the 20 cent juice...


7 Units

Seattle -120

 

[ivan722]

But why have you been waiting for this game all week as you say? What's so special about this particular game? Fill us in please.

 

[wallybell]

I believe he's already explained why this game. He gave several reasons above.

 

[ivan722]

I believe he's already explained why this game. He gave several reasons above.

Actually Homedawg, oops I thought it was the person I addressed my question to responding here.
Let me start over.
Actually the reasons he gave (which I clearly read) centered quite a bit on the poor play of TB as of late. Now if he had been waiting on this particular game all week, which probably meant as far back as Monday at least, how would he have known that TB would struggle coming into this particular game on Thursday (3 days later) when he began looking ahead back on Monday.
Listen, I'm just wondering what made him look ahead to today's game back on Monday or whenever he decided to look ahead.
Hope that answers your response Homedawg, oh darn I keep getting the person's name who should have been the one responding to my question in the first place, I mean since I directed it to him.
Anyway, hope that answers your response Wallyball.

 

[wallybell]

he listed many reasons - they are below. I don't know how you missed it to ask why he has waited.

you have to remember that this team was initially picked to contend for a world series birth this season. they had sky high expectations and I think the pressure had something to do with their struggles. They are actually playing much better ball as of late, and their woeful offense has picked it up big time the past 2 or 3 weeks with 10 or more hits in 9 of their past 10 games. Ibanez may be the hottest player on the planet right now. The Drays on the other hand have been struggling mightily on offense not reaching 10 hits in 9 of the last 10 games. Sonnastine isn't even in the same ball park as King Felix. Sonnastine espically struggles on the road. He got beat up for a loss earlier in the season, while Hernandez is 3-0 lifetime going 7+. Also on the road Tampa is 5 games below .500. I espically look to fade east coast teams on their 1st game of a west coast road trip. With all these factors and the relatively low price due to Tampa being this baseball's season darling, and the M's stinking it up for the most part i just can't nor won't resist to pound this.

 

[ivan722]

he listed many reasons - they are below. I don't know how you missed it to ask why he has waited.

you have to remember that this team was initially picked to contend for a world series birth this season. they had sky high expectations and I think the pressure had something to do with their struggles. They are actually playing much better ball as of late, and their woeful offense has picked it up big time the past 2 or 3 weeks with 10 or more hits in 9 of their past 10 games. Ibanez may be the hottest player on the planet right now. The Drays on the other hand have been struggling mightily on offense not reaching 10 hits in 9 of the last 10 games. Sonnastine isn't even in the same ball park as King Felix. Sonnastine espically struggles on the road. He got beat up for a loss earlier in the season, while Hernandez is 3-0 lifetime going 7+. Also on the road Tampa is 5 games below .500. I espically look to fade east coast teams on their 1st game of a west coast road trip. With all these factors and the relatively low price due to Tampa being this baseball's season darling, and the M's stinking it up for the most part i just can't nor won't resist to pound this.

How the fuck can you actually be serious? I can't believe you are actually answering a question, as long as it is, that wasn't even directed at you initially.
You obviously missed the boat Wallyball.
:lolBIG:

 

[wallybell]

You asked why he had waited on this game after he had already outlined the reasons. Obviously, I thought you missed the reasons.

 

[ivan722]

OK Wallyball, if you say so.
Night.
:missingte

 

[Huego]

goodluck, i'm tailing for 1 u.

 

[TheReaper]

Great spot for the M's here... fading Tampa on the road = :money8:

 

[silver7]

As The Man Said In Shawshank "Obtuse"

OK Wallyball, if you say so.
Night.
:missingte

Aptly applied here. Subtlty doesn't work on some guys,:smashf: you have to hit em over the head. Yours is a valid Q BTW.

 

[homedawg]

But why have you been waiting for this game all week as you say? What's so special about this particular game? Fill us in please.

well as i stated above i like to fade east coast teams playing their 1st game on a west coast trip, esp. a team such as the Rays that struggle on the road. i seen that Hernandez more than likely would have been matching up with Sonnanstine. Obvious to me that this was going to be a play for me. This big of a play, no I didn't plan on this big then, but it was a game i would def be playing regardless of how the teams played this week. Combine in how they did play this week and there ya go.

 

[homedawg]

But why have you been waiting for this game all week as you say? What's so special about this particular game? Fill us in please.

hope that does it for you ivan, i know you get a little testy when you don't get your answer. btw rjt is in the tracker forum