Homedawg's Saturday Plays

[homedawg]

Spent an extra amount of time preparing for this card. Plan on being back in the positives sooner rather then later and this is the card it will start with. I'm not going to alter my way of doing things. I'm just going to work harder than I already do. In fact I usually play better as the season goes on. When most feel the lines get tighter as conference play starts I feel welcome the tighter card. It's no secret I primarily play home dogs, and short home chalk. Lots of home teams Saturday, and that's how I like it.

I'm going to lock so of these if for 2 minutes because I will play because I like these at the current line. But since most are dogs i think I may get an extra half point, or point here or there so I will add accordingly later. But for now...

3 Units

Georgetown -3.5 -110
Oregon -7 -110

2 Units

Temple +6 -110
Evansville -1 -110
Cincinatti +2 -110


will most likely have plays on Pepperdine, and Oregon St as well (i know it i love bad teams!!). Just looking at a few more things and possibly looking for a better number.

GL!!

 

[AndyCapp]

I'm gonna be all over that oregon game as soon as my book gets it up

 

[homedawg]

I'm gonna be all over that oregon game as soon as my book gets it up

agreed. oregon is the Cameron Indoor of the West, and don't see an undermanned SD team coming in and being able to maintain their composure. I have all the respect in the world for Grier, but he just doesn't have the bodies to compete right now. He catches a break with oregon being banged up as well, but they still have much more talent on their roster

 

[slimjd008]

whats the early spread on zona vs. gonzaga?

 

[homedawg]

whats the early spread on zona vs. gonzaga?

when is the game?

 

[Basket Case]

UNDER from Hell!

<TABLE class=scores cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=ysptblbdr2><TD colSpan=11 height=1></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=#dedec6><TD class=ysptblbdr2 width=1 rowSpan=5></TD><TD width=10 height=18></TD><TD class=yspscores align=middle></TD><TD class=yspwhitebg width=1 rowSpan=5></TD><TD class=yspscores width=30>1</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg width=1 rowSpan=5></TD><TD class=yspscores width=30>2</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg width=1 rowSpan=5></TD><TD class="yspscores total" align=right width=38>Total</TD><TD class=yspscores width=55></TD><TD class=ysptblbdr2 width=1 rowSpan=5></TD></TR><TR class=yspwhitebg><TD colSpan=9 height=1></TD></TR><TR class=ysptblclbg5 align=middle><TD width=10 height=23></TD><TD class="yspscores team" align=left>Wright St. </TD><TD class=yspscores>7</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class="ysptblclbg6 total" align=right>7 </TD><TD class="ysptblclbg6 total" align=right>14:57 </TD></TR><TR class=yspwhitebg><TD colSpan=2></TD><TD colSpan=4 height=1></TD><TD class=ysptblclbg6 colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=ysptblclbg5 align=middle><TD width=10 height=23></TD><TD class="yspscores team" align=left>AR Little Rock </TD><TD class=yspscores>8</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class="ysptblclbg6 total" align=right>8 </TD><TD class="ysptblclbg6 total" align=right>1st </TD></TR><TR class=ysptblbdr2><TD colSpan=11 height=1></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD colSpan=2 height=3></TD></TR><TR><TD class=yspscores colSpan=2>Jack Stephens Center (Little Rock, AR) </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2 height=3></TD></TR><TR vAlign=bottom><TD class=yspscores>Box Score



</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[homedawg]

<TABLE class=scores cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=ysptblbdr2><TD colSpan=11 height=1></TD></TR><TR align=middle bgColor=#dedec6><TD class=ysptblbdr2 width=1 rowSpan=5></TD><TD width=10 height=18></TD><TD class=yspscores align=middle></TD><TD class=yspwhitebg width=1 rowSpan=5></TD><TD class=yspscores width=30>1</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg width=1 rowSpan=5></TD><TD class=yspscores width=30>2</TD><TD class=yspwhitebg width=1 rowSpan=5></TD><TD class="yspscores total" align=right width=38>Total</TD><TD class=yspscores width=55></TD><TD class=ysptblbdr2 width=1 rowSpan=5></TD></TR><TR class=yspwhitebg><TD colSpan=9 height=1></TD></TR><TR class=ysptblclbg5 align=middle><TD width=10 height=23></TD><TD class="yspscores team" align=left>Wright St. </TD><TD class=yspscores>7</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class="ysptblclbg6 total" align=right>7 </TD><TD class="ysptblclbg6 total" align=right>14:57 </TD></TR><TR class=yspwhitebg><TD colSpan=2></TD><TD colSpan=4 height=1></TD><TD class=ysptblclbg6 colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR class=ysptblclbg5 align=middle><TD width=10 height=23></TD><TD class="yspscores team" align=left>AR Little Rock </TD><TD class=yspscores>8</TD><TD class=yspscores></TD><TD class="ysptblclbg6 total" align=right>8 </TD><TD class="ysptblclbg6 total" align=right>1st </TD></TR><TR class=ysptblbdr2><TD colSpan=11 height=1></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD colSpan=2 height=3></TD></TR><TR><TD class=yspscores colSpan=2>Jack Stephens Center (Little Rock, AR) </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2 height=3></TD></TR><TR vAlign=bottom><TD class=yspscores>Box Score



</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

actually they are on pace for 120. so that would be over.


11-7 ualr 13:30

 

[Basket Case]

actually they are on pace for 120. so that would be over.


11-7 ualr 13:30

My bad!

I've been searching for a radio link. No luck. I went to the Arky-LR site, and this game is on TV as a PPV! :shocked:

 

[slimjd008]

3 pm saturday

 

[homedawg]

Temple +6

Just think 6 points it too much to lay against an NCAA tournament team on their home court. Obviously this is the biggest game of the year for the Owls, and they definitely have the talent to win this game. Dionte Christmas is A10 player of the year material, and Lavoy Allen is first team all league potential. They way Ryan Brooks is playing you can throw him in the conversation as well. Fact is Temple's top 6 won't be over matched in the slightest. Temple's core rotation is more than capable. They have a well balanced attack with players that can produce offensively. Dionte Christmas avgs. 19ppg, Ryan Brooks 13.1, Sergio Olmos 10.7, and Lavoy Allen 10.5. The place where Tennessee could hurt them is with their depth. However Sergio Olmos early season injury could have been a blessing in disguise for the Owls. It allowed some of their players to get some legit in game experience and further develop their games. That early season experience could be key when facing a deep team like Tenn. As Bruce Pearl says "You may match our 5, but you can't match our 10" You would think that would be Temple he was directly referring to, but as I said that game experience gained could be helpful Saturday. Case in point is freshman Ramone Moore. He had some decent games in November when he was getting more minutes, scoring 11 each in games vs. Charleston, and E Tenn St, and putting in 13 against a talented Clemson team. Same goes for Luis Guzman, who averaged 5 assists a game prior to Olmos return. Temple, who at the beginning of the season was worried about their depth can now go a legit 7 deep without much talent dropping off. This should be key as Tennessee is one of the deepest teams in the country, and relentless with their pressure defense. Olmos is a solid 7 footer who can help neutralize the paint, and the Owls get good rebounding from their forwards and guards, with Allen averagin 8.3rpg, and Christmas 7.3rpg. I am expecting a close game and will gladly pocket the 6

 

[homedawg]

Georgetown -3.5

Revenge game from last season where the Hoyas lost at Memphis. This year i think they have a much better shot at winning. Memphis struggles to score on offense. Their 44.6% fg reflects their poor shooting. It's a common mis perception that Memphis wins games with offense, but that's not the case, and hasn't been for a while. They win with tough in your face defense. Something that will be challenged against georgetown team that shoots an amazing 53% from the field. They are much more efficient on the offensive end, and have better offensive players at this point of their careers. Their offensive struggles should come to a head Saturday as Georgetown only allows opponents to shoot 32% from the field. That should be the key to the game. Georgetown's tough defense vs. a struggling Memphis offense. I have watched Memphis a few times this season and they are a very long and athletic team. They aren't fluid on the offensive end, and don't have any pure jump shooters. That is evident by their 29% from 3 point range. People will question who Georgetown has beaten this, and rightfully so, but this is an experienced team who has played in countless big games. JT3 is an excellent coach and will have them prepared. They have a balanced attack with 5 players averaging double figures. The more and more this season goes on the more and more I like this team compared to last season's team. Where I felt the loss of Johnatahn Wallace would be almost irriplaceable Chris Wright has stepped in and gave the Hoyas a dimension they haven't had in years past. He is a player who can create for his own shot, and get to the basket when he needs to. His 18 points against Tennessee shows just how capable he is to perform on the big stage. The same can be said of Greg Monroe. He also gives the Hoyas a dimension they haven't had in years past. He is much more athletic at center compared to Hibbert. If you recall last season hibbert was basically shut down by the Tigers. It was obvious their athleticism gave him fits. With Monroe's athletic ability at the center they won't have that problem this year. Trust me DaJuan Summers, Austin Freeman, and Jessie Sapp remember their loss at Memphis last season and now they get them on their home floor with revenge on their mind.

 

[Rondawg]

Homedawg, I am liking the card quite a bit. Looks like we are some of the same as usual. Gonzaga and Zona actually don't play until Sunday as well. Is Oregon that good. I realize San Diego lost Johnson but I watched Oregon against KState the other night and I was not that impressed. Also the crowd didn't seem to be in it at all. I realize if Porter gets hot then they can beat almost anybody at home. Also any word on if Dunigan is playing. I saw him listed as questionable. One more quick question. I posted Butler as a small play. I wanted your opinion. These guys just seem to know how to win. OSU appears to be better than most thought but I think in a tough low scoring game that I have to take the 8.5. I don't think Butler will win which scares me a little but I think it will be a very tight close game.

 

[homedawg]

Dunigan is questionable. Catron was downgraded to doubtful.

I will get right back to you about my Butler opinion.

Thanks for the response Ron. Always good to hear from someone who has some reasonable information to put out, compared to they will win cause the other team sucks, and they suck worse so they won't win.

As always bol tomorrow, and i'll get back to you. I'm just finishing something up real quick

 

[homedawg]

another thing about Oregon...I HATE Porter. He shoots too much, and his shot selection is piss poor. At times he hurts the team more than he helps. I am not crazy about this Oregon team, but it is more of a fade of SD. other than Gyno, and Jones they have nobody. Johnson was the heart and soul of this team, and without him their season is vritually over. Even with him they have been struggling this season. Even without Catron, Oregon is still superior talent wise. I usually don't like laying such big numbers. In fact I have laid more big numbers compared to the past 5 seasons COMBINED. I was trying to expand on some things and I'm not sure if it is paying off or not. Actually i'm almost positive I have lost more on these large spreads, then the dogs. This is something I may have to go back and look at in the future

 

[quinnsft34]

Spent an extra amount of time preparing for this card. Plan on being back in the positives sooner rather then later and this is the card it will start with. I'm not going to alter my way of doing things. I'm just going to work harder than I already do. In fact I usually play better as the season goes on. When most feel the lines get tighter as conference play starts I feel welcome the tighter card. It's no secret I primarily play home dogs, and short home chalk. Lots of home teams Saturday, and that's how I like it.

I'm going to lock so of these if for 2 minutes because I will play because I like these at the current line. But since most are dogs i think I may get an extra half point, or point here or there so I will add accordingly later. But for now...

3 Units

Georgetown -3.5 -110
Oregon -7 -110

2 Units

Temple +6 -110
Evansville -1 -110
Cincinatti +2 -110


will most likely have plays on Pepperdine, and Oregon St as well (i know it i love bad teams!!). Just looking at a few more things and possibly looking for a better number.

GL!!

Staying away from the G'Town game personally. Like Oregon, Oregon St., Temple, Evansville, and Pepperdine. Don't know if I have the stones to throw the last three in to make them plays. Good luck HD. Others I liked are Richmond, Wyoming, Boise St., and Mississippi St.

 

[Rondawg]

Always good to chat with you as well. I am completely with you on large spreads unless you are really sold on the dog getting the big number. Also I think once conference play kicks into full gear that is when the small favorites at home and the dogs at home are so much better. I mean look at the Big 12 last year which is my favorite because of my beloved Tigers. Nobody could win on the road other than KU and Texas. The only reason they were able to do it is because they were just so much better than the competition. Same in all the BCS conferences.

BTW what is up with Devendorf. Is Boheim saying FU to the student panel. I saw him listed as questionable for tomorrow. If he hit the chick then fine he should be suspended but if she didn't have a mark on her and she is shady in the first place then screw her and the student panel.

 

[homedawg]

devo is appealing his suspension. probably won;t have a ruling until jan 12th. last yr a lax player had a similar thing where he got suspended for a year, and got it reduced to 5 games after an appeal. Jimmy B is pretty upset, and has voiced his displeasure. i have a feeling, and i hope the same happens here. syracuse really needs him to be successful , but for now he is playing.

 

[homedawg]

Staying away from the G'Town game personally. Like Oregon, Oregon St., Temple, Evansville, and Pepperdine. Don't know if I have the stones to throw the last three in to make them plays. Good luck HD. Others I liked are Richmond, Wyoming, Boise St., and Mississippi St.

Gl with the plays tomorrow quinsft

 

[Rondawg]

Any take on Butler. I was going back and looking at this one closer and Butler is playing their 4th roadie in a row. Still like it for 1 unit personally but just curious what your read was on it.

 

[bellyputter]

agreed. Oregon is the Cameron Indoor of the West, and don't see an undermanned SD team coming in and being able to maintain their composure.

This game is being played at The Rose Garden(Portland). Good Luck