Homedawg's Saturday Plays 87-72(55.41%). +11.10

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Dynasty
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Nice an refreshed after a short little break looking to build on a nice little roll the past week or so.

2 Units

St John's +6 -110

Statistically these 2 teams are very similar. Miami is widely considered a much better team, but St. John's is better than most people believe. They have the unique ability to turn games ugly, especially at home. They also get one of their most important players back in Justin Burrell. The Johnnie's were severely short handed in their last outing a loss against Virginia Tech where they battled for most of the game, without 3 players who started at the beginning of the season. St. John's is an athletic, rugged team, who will compete with Miami on the glass. The Canes usually win games with their ability to control the offensive and defensive glass. That won't be the case this Saturday. St. John's averages 14.5 offensive rebounds and game, and out rebound their opponents by +6 a game. With Burrel back you get one of your best rebounds, and scorers, to go along with his size. The 6'8 235lb Burrell, 6'8 240lb Sean Evans, and athletic 6'6 DJ Kennedy form a long, athletic front line that will compete with Miami. However, unlike Burrell, point guard Malik Booth won't be returning for another week or 2. He would have been a good candidate to cover Jack McClinton, but Paris Horne, Quincy Roberts, and TyShawn Edmundson should pick up his minutes. Each of those 3 are all long and athletic. Their length, and athleticism could give McClinton problems while attempting to get shots off. Overall St John's plays good team defense limiting opponents to only 61.6 point per game, but most importantly their length and quickness on the perimeter will help close out on McClinton. As good as Boothe is, Paris Horne has really started to pick his game up. I watched their last outing against VT, and he has really started to play well. He is playing with confidence, so the extra minutes may be coming at the right time. Miami on the other hand has looked lost as of late. They got blown out at home by Clemson in their last game, after struggling against Robert Morris only winning by 8 the game before that. This will only be their 3rd game in the past 2 weeks so there may also be some rust to work off. This is only their 2nd true road game so there is no telling how they will react. New York City is a long trip, and is a big difference from Miami this time of year so a sluggish performance cannot be overlooked. Their poor free throw shooting should also be a concern. For a team that goes to the line often they struggle mightily from the line. They haven't shot better than 64% over their past 5 games, including a 44% performance their last time out against Clemson. St John's is the type of team that is going to make you earn every bucket so not being able to knock down ft's consistently can be a downer. This is a St John's team who is full of sophmores who seem to have learned from the lumps they took last year. They are fighting for Norm Roberts, who is on the hot seat. They have talent on this team, and match up well against Miami. They could easily surprise a few people and win this game Saturday. I will take the +5.5 and be happy/
 

Trying new team totals system
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good Luck!

Very nice write up HD.... BOL with your saturday action!

:toast:
 

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After watching the Clemson game I'm not playing Miami anytime soon so hopefully St. John's wins outright.

I'm looking at UAB +13.5 at Louisville and West Virginia +3.5 at Ohio St.
 

Dynasty
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4 Units

West Virginia +3.5 -110

2 Units

Washington St +6 -110
UAB +14 -110
 

Dynasty
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I will add another unit on West Virg. This will be my highest rated play so far this season. I think they win straight up so I will be safe and gladly grab the +3.5, but I think it also can rise a bit so I will save the other unit to see where this goes.
 

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Love the Washington State +6...feel they outright win here. LSU has played 10 games (9-1) and only 3 of them have been lined in the books. Plus they looked to TexasA&M earlier in the year and Over the last 3 years LSU is 9-22 ATS as fav and 0-5 vs PAC10. Wazzu holds opponents to 48PPG.
 

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West Virginia +3.5

My favorite play so far this season. I think WVU has a good chance to be a top 15 team or so. They struggle to score on the offensive end at times, but the return of Alex Ruoff has given them a nice lift. After missing a few games Ruoff returned against Miami Oh and WVU went on to lambaste Miami Oh 82-46. Miami Oh is a very good defensive team, and WVU made them look bad. If they missed a shot they would just clean the offensive glass until they score. They did the same thing against Davidson for most of the game. They are probably the best offensive rebounding team in the country with a +10 advantage on the glass. This is where they can exploit Ohio St, who starts nobody taller than 6'8, and are only +1 on the glass for the season. Devin Ebanks is one of the main contributors on the glass. He is 6'9, and quick off the ground. In his last 5 games he has had 17,17, 0, 10, and 10 on the glass. The one game where he had 0 was in that blowout against Miami Oh. Huggins demands his teams play defense and rebound and they are doing just that. Their size, and athleticism should help WVU control the glass. Also, joining alex ruoff back in the lineup is Joe Mazzula. After banging out Miami Oh, Ruoff went off again against Radford with a career high 38 points, with 9 of them being 3 pointers. They really missed Mazzula, and Ruoff in their lose to Davidson. They struggled offensively that game, but in Ruoff they will have one of their best offensive players back in the lineup. With Ruoff joining Da'Sean Butler they form a strong scoring duo who can do it shooting, and slashing. Ohio St doesn't have that luxury. WVU has the athletes that can cover their main scorer Evan Turner, and their 2nd leading scorer John Diebler is extremely inconsistent. Their next best option, David Lighty, will be out Saturday taking even more offensive out of a lineup that has trouble cracking 60 as it is. With Mazzula out of the lineup freshman Truck Bryant was able to gain even more valuable in game experience. He is a great driver of the basketball, and a good defender. Now with Mazzula back it gives Huggins 2 solid point guards who are excellent defenders. Having strong point guard play is key when going on the road. With Mazzula's experience, and Bryant's talent WVU should be able to control the game. This line is some what inflated because of Ohio St gaudy record. They are a solid team that plays good defense, but they just don't have enough offense, and rebounding to score against WVU. The Mountaineers just have too many things going for them, and should be able to go into Columbus and escape with a win
 

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Not happy as we are opposite on the WVU and Wazzu plays. Curious of your reasons. I really like LSU from a couple of standpoints. Wazzu is not nearly as good as they have been the last two years. I think Bennet is going to be sad he didn't jump when he had the chance. Wazzu has a lot of issues scoring. Their D is still tough but when you don't have Low and Weaver to bail you out at the end of the shot clock things get real difficult. They are counting on Thompson who is a frosh and in the two games I watched clearly plays like one and Rochestie who is a good point guard but he is not a dynamic scorer. The other big reason I like LSU is the travel/time change. This game is starting at 2 est. That means that Wazzu is playing at 11 their time. I know how that would affect me. It may not affect a 18-21 year old as much but it still has an affect.

As far as WVU I just think they are still hurting not having Mazzula. I realize Bryant scores more than Mazzula and I realize that they are getting Ruoff back but OSU is just a solid team playing on their home floor and only giving 3.5 seems like a good number for them. Just curious as I saw you are playing it for 4 units what the big reason is.

Thanks for your time and I hope we both win with St. John's.
 

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Never mind. Just read the write up which wasn't up yet when I started my reply. Am curious about Mazzula as I saw him listed as doubtful.
 

Dynasty
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Not happy as we are opposite on the WVU and Wazzu plays. Curious of your reasons. I really like LSU from a couple of standpoints. Wazzu is not nearly as good as they have been the last two years. I think Bennet is going to be sad he didn't jump when he had the chance. Wazzu has a lot of issues scoring. Their D is still tough but when you don't have Low and Weaver to bail you out at the end of the shot clock things get real difficult. They are counting on Thompson who is a frosh and in the two games I watched clearly plays like one and Rochestie who is a good point guard but he is not a dynamic scorer. The other big reason I like LSU is the travel/time change. This game is starting at 2 est. That means that Wazzu is playing at 11 their time. I know how that would affect me. It may not affect a 18-21 year old as much but it still has an affect.

As far as WVU I just think they are still hurting not having Mazzula. I realize Bryant scores more than Mazzula and I realize that they are getting Ruoff back but OSU is just a solid team playing on their home floor and only giving 3.5 seems like a good number for them. Just curious as I saw you are playing it for 4 units what the big reason is.

Thanks for your time and I hope we both win with St. John's.


got my reasoning up behind WVU. I follow the Big East very closely, and have watched WVU play at least 5 or 6 times this season. This is a very good team who can win on the road because they play defense and rebound
 

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Might have to reconsider my OSU play. Has anybody ever told you your write-ups sound like a sports reporter's? Just kidding. That is all true stuff. Have you seen a total on this one? OSU plays tough D as well and I could see this being a bit of a slugfest.
 

Dynasty
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actually both Bryant and Mazzula are questionable. Bryant sprained his ankle last game. Banking on them both playing. Even if they didn't I still think they can win
 

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Might have to reconsider my OSU play. Has anybody ever told you your write-ups sound like a sports reporter's? Just kidding. That is all true stuff. Have you seen a total on this one? OSU plays tough D as well and I could see this being a bit of a slugfest.


no, but i will be waiting anxiously and hoping for a high number so i can hammer the under.

same with the uab/louisville game
 

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Good deal with WVU. I watched Ohio St. a couple times this year and wasn't impressed at all. Mullens was rated high, but he hasn't done anything and Lighty was their best defensive player.

Locked them in at +3.5 and might put a half unit on the ML.

I think the UAB line is off by 5 points too as they shouldn't be double digit underdogs vs. an overrated Louisville team.
 

Dynasty
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ahh shit I just read in the Charleston newspaper that Huggins said Mazzula can't play Saturday. That is not good
 

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H.D.......

thank you for the plays........g/l tomorrow......hope you had a great holiday....

indy
 

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