Homedawg's Monday Plays 24-15. +13.20

[homedawg]

Sunday: 2-3. -4.90
Overall: 24-15. +13.20


Another frustrating day where I felt I was on the right side but things just didn't bounce my way. It seems I deal with the loss better when I totally misread the play and get blown out. The ones that really eat at me are the ones I felt I capped correctly only to have the refs make some bad calls, or usually a dependable free throw shooting team chokes. Anyways you have to try and take each loss as a grain of salt considering by the end of the year I should have around 200 losses, and if I beat myself up over each loss it can mentally wear on you. I have really worked at this over the years, and now only bitch and complain about a bad beat for a few hours:lolBIG: . plus it helps to vent on here. it helps clear the mind. ok enough rambling. 1 for now. will be back with a write up and some more plays tomorrow.

3 Units

Notre Dame -13.5 -110

 

[MikeyLo]

I'm all Over ND tommorow. I've been targeting that one since I first saw the line today.

BOL homedawg!

 

[homedawg]

I'm all Over ND tommorow. I've been targeting that one since I first saw the line today.

BOL homedawg!

Yes sir. it is no secret Indiana is down this season. however, just how bad they will be may surprise some casual basketball fans. they literally have nobody back who can play. if crean can manage 3 wins in conference and 14 wins it will be a minor miracle in it's own right. ND will savor this and lay the hammer tomorrow as the nation gets their first glimpse on just how bad Indiana will be this year.

BOL

 

[Harris1285]

My question here is that because the public doesn't realize how bad Indiana is, wouldn't you expect the public to be heavy on Indiana and push the ND line down to -11 or -12?

 

[OTK]

Agree with the play man, BOL tomorrow. nice record so far.

 

[Basket Case]

Thanks for Your Help

I feel your frustration. I had locked in your USC and UC-Davis plays when I first saw them last night. Since I was away from the PC all day, I didn't get a chance to check your other action. Coming back now and seeing 0-2 ATS is a sharp pain in my ass, but that's part of the game. It's a long season. I can see from your hard work and thorough analysis. I have decided to tail you the remainder of this NCAA hoops season, so I know you will hit your streaks.

I have just locked and loaded the first play you posted. Notre Dame -13.5!

I hope to catch all of your Monday action. Thanks for your help! :aktion033


<TABLE class=teamheader cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD align=middle width=160> http://www.sportsline.com/redir?url...egebasketball/teams/page/ND&default_tab=NCAAB </TD><TD width=815>Notre Dame Fighting Irish
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[SonnyCrockett]

wasn't on the forum last night to cheer for us... that must be the reason we lost more then we win

GL with your plays and thanks for posting!

 

[SonnyCrockett]

My question here is that because the public doesn't realize how bad Indiana is, wouldn't you expect the public to be heavy on Indiana and push the ND line down to -11 or -12?

Don't know... do I wait or to take ND while the line is fresh... I see Bookmaker has it -13, don't know if they opened like this... others still have 13.5... I'll wait for some while to get the best line... It's always better to have some point/s or even a ' on our side

GL

 

[jordan17]

I didnt pull the trigger...-13 seems like alot...but what do I know?

gonna sleep on it.

Bol :toast:

 

[jetro315]

Lasalle looks like a nice play. I think i will put a small amount down on them.

 

[Konun8]

fellas, fellas, fellas...

Lifelong Indiana fan here. Just to put things into perspective, my father, mother, sister, and I all went to Indiana. My pops has had season tickets for 25 years. We basically bleed cream and crimson. But let me get to the point...

I absolutely LOVE the play!! I'm not talking about love as in the bond of marriage, I'm talking about stalking the cute neighbor girl outside her workplace, restraining order-pending, making a letter out of cut-out magazine words, asylum-bound, mandated shrink visits... SADISTIC LUST. I'm going to hammer this one until the nail breaks off into the wood. The only reason the Hoosiers are 2-0 is because against IUPUI the Jaguars were without Gary Patterson, their only good player. I watched that game, and wow... the only reason I could tell it wasn't a high school game is because the slutty scallywags in the stands looked of age. IU has absolutely no inside force (our big man with the most clout, Kyle Taber, is a walk on with no game whatsoever) so expect a career day from Harangody... something to the extent of 32 points and 13 rebounds. The Hoosiers have the exact look of a high school team. It's almost a blessing that IU is 2-0 right now because I guarantee later in the year once the whole world has seen our utter lack of talent, we'll see teams like Wisconsin and Michigan State favored by 20+ over the Hoosiers. Considering that Notre Dame IMO is better than any team in the Big 10 this year, it's obvious that the value of the Fighting Irish at -13 is through the roof.

I cannot advocate this play enough. I am on it for a healthy 5 units. I think ND doubles the spread and wins by about 26, possibly more. So far my strongest play of the year was the over on St. Mary's/Fresno State and I honestly feel even stronger about this ND play.

Easy $$

 

[homedawg]

fellas, fellas, fellas...

Lifelong Indiana fan here. Just to put things into perspective, my father, mother, sister, and I all went to Indiana. My pops has had season tickets for 25 years. We basically bleed cream and crimson. But let me get to the point...

I absolutely LOVE the play!! I'm not talking about love as in the bond of marriage, I'm talking about stalking the cute neighbor girl outside her workplace, restraining order-pending, making a letter out of cut-out magazine words, asylum-bound, mandated shrink visits... SADISTIC LUST. I'm going to hammer this one until the nail breaks off into the wood. The only reason the Hoosiers are 2-0 is because against IUPUI the Jaguars were without Gary Patterson, their only good player. I watched that game, and wow... the only reason I could tell it wasn't a high school game is because the slutty scallywags in the stands looked of age. IU has absolutely no inside force (our big man with the most clout, Kyle Taber, is a walk on with no game whatsoever) so expect a career day from Harangody... something to the extent of 32 points and 13 rebounds. The Hoosiers have the exact look of a high school team. It's almost a blessing that IU is 2-0 right now because I guarantee later in the year once the whole world has seen our utter lack of talent, we'll see teams like Wisconsin and Michigan State favored by 20+ over the Hoosiers. Considering that Notre Dame IMO is better than any team in the Big 10 this year, it's obvious that the value of the Fighting Irish at -13 is through the roof.

I cannot advocate this play enough. I am on it for a healthy 5 units. I think ND doubles the spread and wins by about 26, possibly more. So far my strongest play of the year was the over on St. Mary's/Fresno State and I honestly feel even stronger about this ND play.

Easy $$

what he said. now that's some good shit right here

 

[SonnyCrockett]

and if that's not enough... Oak3 has info that so far in 2008 double digit favorites went 47-30... quite nice chance we have here

 

[SonnyCrockett]

line jumped to -15!

 

[homedawg]

2 Units

Miami Oh/Wright St under 120.5 -110

 

[homedawg]

not much to say here. 2 defensive minded basketball teams. usually when 2 team that like to slow the tempo and work their offensive sets the game comes to a complete grind. It's hard to get a good rhythm going when neither team is willing to push the ball. Also doesn't help that Wright St is shooting the ball horribly. Todd Brown is really struggling with his shot, and Duggins is struggling offensively as well. I expect this to be another grind out game in the 50's

 

[jordan17]

Damn...i got -14.5, gonna roll with u...:toast:

ps
so u think Cuse later?
and any thoughts on tex/st joe

 

[homedawg]

Damn...i got -14.5, gonna roll with u...:toast:

ps
so u think Cuse later?
and any thoughts on tex/st joe

i would like to think Cuse. I think they will show some people that they are a contender in the Big East tonight.

That's a pretty good number for Tex/St. Joe IMO. Not much to do with that either way. Sorry i couldn't help, but whatever side I would have said would have been a shot in the dark.

BOL today

ND TO THE BANK!!!

 

[cut-paste-hero]

Good Luck Today

:toast:

 

[Basket Case]

Line on Total for Miami OH/Wright State Now 119.5 at The Greek

2 Units

Miami Oh/Wright St under 120.5 -110

Man, I just was able to log in now to see if you had other action.

When I went to The Greek just now, the total on your 2nd play is now 119.5! :neenee:

<TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 width="98%" bgColor=#000000 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#363636><TD width="100%"><SMALL>7:00 pm </SMALL></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 width="98%" bgColor=#000000 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle width=35>715</TD><TD width=180>Miami Ohio</TD><TD align=middle width=85> </TD><TD align=middle width=85> </TD><TD align=right width=45>+105</TD><TD width=85> </TD><TD width=85> </TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle width=35>716</TD><TD width=180>Wright State</TD><TD align=middle width=85>-1½</TD><TD align=middle width=85>119½</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Is there still value, your opinion, to take the UNDER on this play?

I defer to your expertise on this. Thanks in advance if you check back before tip-off.

Also, any opinion on the San Diego-U. of Miami(FL) game? Line is currently Canes -6. This should be an interesting game.

Thanks again, for all your help. :aktion033